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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Villanova by 4.1

Home Win Probability

UAlbany 37%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

UAlbany +4

Edge: Villanova -4 (0.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Villanova
370010
UAlbany
10701431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-33-310-1017-1024-1031-10
UAlbanyVillanova

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VILUALVILUALVILUALVILUALVILUALVILUALVILUALVILUALVILUALVILUALFG1143ydFG1045ydTO437ydTD1051ydTD963ydDOWNS935ydPUNT33ydTD980ydEND15ydPUNT31ydPUNT918ydPUNT516ydTO54ydTD830ydTO524ydTD549ydTO952ydPUNT446ydTO520ydEND311yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Villanova and UAlbany
StatisticVillanovaUAlbany
Passing17-3120-32
Pass Yards198244
Rush Yards71116
Total Yards269360
Turnovers50
3rd Down8-138-14
Penalties6-444-30
Possession27:5932:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
17/31, 198 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Dee Wil Barlee
9 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
Jaylan Sanchez
4 REC, 50 YDS, 1 TD
UAlbany
passing
Reese Poffenbarger
20/31, 244 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Griffin Woodell
16 CAR, 107 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brevin Easton
5 REC, 86 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Sam Hogan kickoff for 35 yds , TD Ayo-Durojaiye return for no gain to the VILL 30

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.34

Connor Watkins sacked by Ori Jean-Charles for a loss of 5 yards to the VILL 25

2nd & 15Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.67

DeeWil Barlee run for 19 yds to the VILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 8 yds to the ALB 48

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 4 yds to the ALB 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaaron Hayek

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 5 yds to the ALB 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Connor Watkins pass complete to TD Ayo-Durojaiye for 8 yds to the ALB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

DeeWil Barlee run for 4 yds to the ALB 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Daniel Lopes

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to TD Ayo-Durojaiye

4th & 6Field Goal Good+44 yds

Matthew Mercurio 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Nathan Fondacaro kickoff for 64 yds , Griffin Woodell return for 29 yds to the ALB 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Carter Moses

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.14

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Brevin Easton for 26 yds to the VILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Griffin Woodell run for 1 yd to the VILL 43

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Reese Poffenbarger run for 1 yd to the VILL 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Faysal Aden for 7 yds to the VILL 35

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.60

Nate Larkins run for 3 yds to the VILL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Griffin Woodell run for 6 yds to the VILL 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Brevin Easton

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nate Larkins run for 1 yd to the VILL 25

4th & 3Field Goal Good+42 yds

John Opalko 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

DeeWil Barlee run for 3 yds to the VILL 17

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.19

DeeWil Barlee run for 6 yds to the VILL 11 DeeWil Barlee fumbled, recovered by VILL DeeWil Barlee

3rd & 13Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.96

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 33 yds to the VILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -2.63

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 7 yds to the ALB 49 TD Ayo-Durojaiye fumbled, recovered by VILL Dylan Kelly

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Griffin Woodell run for 2 yds to the VILL 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Griffin Woodell

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.53

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Marqeese Dietz for 10 yds to the VILL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Brevin Easton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.29

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Marqeese Dietz for 16 yds to the VILL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Faysal Aden run for 1 yd to the VILL 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Ian Renninger for 10 yds to the VILL 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Conrad Perry

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Ian Renninger

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.14

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 12 yds for a TD (John Opalko KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Sam Hogan kickoff for 60 yds , TD Ayo-Durojaiye return for 32 yds to the VILL 37

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

DeeWil Barlee run for 7 yds to the VILL 44

2nd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.33

DeeWil Barlee run for 20 yds to the ALB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Connor Watkins run for 7 yds to the ALB 29

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaaron Hayek

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 6 yds to the ALB 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

DeeWil Barlee run for 11 yds to the ALB 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Rayjuon Pringle

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Connor Watkins sacked by AJ Simon for a loss of 5 yards to the ALB 17

3rd & 15Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.66

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 17 yds for a TD (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Nathan Fondacaro kickoff for 60 yds , Griffin Woodell return for 19 yds to the ALB 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nate Larkins run for 15 yds to the ALB 39 UAlbany Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marqeese Dietz) to the ALB 18

1st & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Reese Poffenbarger run for 2 yds to the ALB 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Nate Larkins run for 1 yd to the ALB 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Caden Burti for 13 yds to the ALB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Griffin Woodell run for 12 yds to the VILL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Griffin Woodell run for 1 yd to the VILL 44

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.32

Reese Poffenbarger sacked by Shane Hartzell for a loss of 7 yards to the ALB 49

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Brevin Easton for 10 yds to the VILL 41

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Tyler Pastula pass incomplete to Caden Burti

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 5 yds to the VILL 46

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 2 yds to the VILL 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Rayjuon Pringle

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Brevin Easton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Griffin Woodell for 7 yds to the ALB 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.26

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Brevin Easton for 6 yds to the ALB 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Griffin Woodell run for 18 yds to the VILL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Caden Burti for 19 yds to the VILL 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Griffin Woodell run for 5 yds to the VILL 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Griffin Woodell run for 4 yds to the VILL 21

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.18

Nate Larkins run for 2 yds to the VILL 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Griffin Woodell for 19 yds for a TD (John Opalko KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DeeWil Barlee run for 5 yds to the VILL 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Nathan Fondacaro kickoff for 55 yds , Levi Wentz return for 15 yds to the ALB 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Carter Moses for 6 yds to the ALB 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Griffin Woodell run for 5 yds to the ALB 26

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Poffenbarger,Reese pass complete short left to Easton,Brevin for 74 yards to the NOVA00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:33 PENALTY UALB Illegal Shift 5 yards from UALB26 to UALB21. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Griffin Woodell for 5 yds to the ALB 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VILL 41

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.45

Connor Watkins sacked by AJ Simon for a loss of 11 yards to the VILL 30

2nd & 21Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.21

DeeWil Barlee run for 8 yds to the VILL 38

3rd & 13Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.85

Connor Watkins pass complete to DeeWil Barlee for 25 yds to the ALB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the ALB 44

2nd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 7 yds to the ALB 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.09

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 13 yds to the ALB 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 5 yds to the ALB 19

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -2.83

Connor Watkins sacked by Ori Jean-Charles for a loss of 14 yards to the ALB 33 Connor Watkins fumbled, recovered by VILL James Welde , return for 0 yards

3rd & 19Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.65

Connor Watkins sacked by Anton Juncaj for a loss of 8 yards to the ALB 41

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Brevin Easton

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.43

Griffin Woodell run for 12 yds to the ALB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Griffin Woodell run for 2 yds to the ALB 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Brevin Easton for 2 yds to the ALB 36

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Marqeese Dietz

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Rayjuon Pringle at the VILL 26

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Isaiah Ragland run for 6 yds to the VILL 32

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA +0.52

Isaiah Ragland run for 4 yds to the VILL 36 Isaiah Ragland fumbled, recovered by VILL Michael Corbi for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 10 yds to the VILL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaaron Hayek

2nd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -1.01

Connor Watkins sacked by Anton Juncaj for a loss of 11 yards to the VILL 30 Connor Watkins fumbled, recovered by VILL Aj Simon , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Griffin Woodell for 7 yds to the VILL 23

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Julian Hicks

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Caden Burti for 10 yds to the VILL 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Nate Larkins run for 1 yd to the VILL 7

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Nate Larkins run for 2 yds to the VILL 5

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Dylan Walker

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Nate Larkins run for 1 yd to the VILL 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Griffin Woodell run for 3 yds for a TD (John Opalko KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 5 yds to the VILL 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaaron Hayek

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 10 yds to the VILL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Connor Watkins run for 6 yds to the VILL 34

2nd & 16Fumble Recovery (Own)+15 ydsPPA +1.97

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 15 yds Jaylan Sanchez fumbled, recovered by VILL Jahlil Johnson

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

UAlbany Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Reese Poffenbarger) to the ALB 40

2nd & 21Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.31

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Caden Burti for 13 yds to the VILL 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.60

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Brevin Easton for 42 yds to the VILL 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Reese Poffenbarger run for 1 yd to the VILL 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Marqeese Dietz for 4 yds for a TD (John Opalko KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Sam Hogan kickoff for 40 yds , TD Ayo-Durojaiye return for 15 yds to the VILL 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 5 yds to the VILL 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 8 yds to the ALB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 3 yds to the ALB 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaaron Hayek

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.13

Connor Watkins pass complete to Antonio Johnson for 10 yds to the ALB 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.39

Connor Watkins pass complete to Kenyon Miles for 20 yds to the ALB 14 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Watkins run for 6 yds to the ALB 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Antonio Johnson

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -4.25

Connor Watkins pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+39 yds

Griffin Woodell run for 39 yds to the ALB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Griffin Woodell run for no gain to the ALB 39

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Griffin Woodell run for 7 yds to the ALB 46

3rd & 3Penalty0 yds

UAlbany Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declined

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.02

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Rayjuon Pringle for a 1ST down UAlbany Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Brad Igweike) to the VILL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaaron Hayek

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Connor Watkins run for 7 yds to the VILL 39

3rd & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.91

Connor Watkins sacked by AJ Simon for a loss of 2 yards to the VILL 37

4th & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -0.07

Connor Watkins pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Nate Larkins run for 2 yds to the VILL 35

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Nate Larkins run for 6 yds to the VILL 29

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.49

Nate Larkins run for 3 yds to the VILL 26 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
58%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

UAlbany

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
41%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
58%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play