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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Tennessee State by 16.7

Home Win Probability

East Tennessee State 82%

Market (ESPN Bet)

East Tennessee State -9.5

Edge: East Tennessee State -9.5 (7.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
The Citadel
01013023
East Tennessee State
7217035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-728-1735-1735-23
East Tennessee StateThe Citadel

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCETSTCETSTCTCETSTCETSTCETSTCETSTCETSTCETSTCTCETSTCETSTCETSTCETSPUNT3-3ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-3ydTD847ydPUNT35ydTD672ydTD768ydTD875ydPUNT3-6ydTD237ydFG844ydTO221ydTD356ydPUNT35ydTO313ydTD5-61ydFG945ydFG928ydTO311ydDOWNS1127ydPUNT517ydTO617ydPUNT52ydDOWNS1471ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing The Citadel and East Tennessee State
StatisticThe CitadelEast Tennessee State
Passing24-459-16
Pass Yards261163
Rush Yards113115
Total Yards374278
Turnovers22
3rd Down6-192-8
Penalties6-509-99
Possession36:3623:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

The Citadel
passing
Graeson Underwood
22/43, 244 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ricky Conway
7 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Malachi Taylor
7 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
East Tennessee State
passing
Haynes Eller
9/15, 163 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Trey Foster
17 CAR, 96 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Xavier Gaillardetz
5 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Hi'keem Elmore run for 3 yds to the CIT 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Varney Layman pass complete to Ricky Conway for no gain to the CIT 28

3rd & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.40

Varney Layman run for a loss of 6 yards to the CIT 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 51 yds, downed at the ETSU 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Haynes Eller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Haynes Eller pass complete to Quinn Caballero for 5 yds to the ETSU 32

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Haynes Eller run for 4 yds to the ETSU 36

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dominick Poole at the CIT 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Hi'keem Elmore run for 2 yds to the CIT 26

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

The Citadel Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CIT 21

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Varney Layman run for 9 yds to the CIT 30

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Hi'keem Elmore run for no gain to the CIT 30

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

Direct snap to FOSTER, Trey rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the ETS21 (IVERSON, Chris;MCDOWELL, Michael). PENALTY ETS Holding enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the ETS18 to the ETS9 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Trey Foster run for 4 yds to the ETSU 13

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Haynes Eller pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Bryson Irby run for 2 yds to the ETSU 15

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jay Graves-Billips run for 4 yds to the CIT 36

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the CIT 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.87

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 19 yds to the ETSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Graeson Underwood run for 4 yds to the ETSU 39

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the ETSU 34

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, Offsides (Max Evans) to the ETSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Romello Jones run for 2 yds to the ETSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Dervon Pesnell for 4 yds to the ETSU 23

4th & 2Blocked Field Goal0 yds

Colby Kintner 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by (Ewan Johnson KICK)

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Hi'keem Elmore run for 2 yds to the ETSU 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Romello Jones run for no gain to the CIT 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Hayden Johnson run for 3 yds to the CIT 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Dervon Pesnell for 2 yds to the CIT 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 42 yds, downed at the ETSU 28

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

The Citadel Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the CIT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Tommy Winton III run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETSU 49

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryson Irby run for 4 yds to the CIT 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.06

Haynes Eller pass complete to Xavier Gaillardetz for 38 yds to the CIT 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Bryson Irby run for 1 yd to the CIT 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Trey Foster run for 8 yds for a TD (Ewan Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Malachi Taylor for 6 yds to the CIT 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Malachi Taylor for 20 yds to the ETSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Ha'Keem Monroe for 5 yds to the ETSU 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

UNDERWOOD, Graeson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Malachi thrown to the ETS16. PENALTY ETS Pass Interference on HENDERSON, Jayvon enforced 15 yards to the ETS22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.76

Ricky Conway pass complete to Pat McSweeney for 17 yds to the ETSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Hi'keem Elmore run for 4 yds to the ETSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Graeson Underwood run for 1 yd for a TD (Colby Kintner KICK)

0th & 3Penalty-5 yds

The Citadel Penalty, False Start (Brian Horn) to the ETSU 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Trey Foster run for 1 yd to the ETSU 26

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Trey Foster run for 14 yds to the ETSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Haynes Eller pass complete to Xavier Gaillardetz for 11 yds to the CIT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Bryson Irby run for 6 yds to the CIT 43

2nd & 4Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.87

Trey Foster run for 28 yds to the CIT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Haynes Eller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Tommy Winton III run for 2 yds to the CIT 13

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.07

Haynes Eller pass complete to Xavier Gaillardetz for 13 yds for a TD (Ewan Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Jay Graves-Billips for 3 yds to the CIT 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.52

Graeson Underwood sacked by Ray Coney and Deven Brantley for a loss of 9 yards to the CIT 22

4th & 16Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.36

Haynes Eller pass complete to Xavier Gaillardetz for 33 yds to the CIT 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Trey Foster run for 4 yds for a TD (Ewan Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ricky Conway run for 7 yds to the CIT 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Ahmad Green run for 6 yds to the CIT 27 Ahmad Green fumbled, recovered by CIT [NHSG] GREEN, Ahmad rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards, GREEN, Ahmad fumbled at CIT38 forced by ARNOLD, II, Sheldon out of bounds to the CIT39. PENALTY CIT Holding enforced 10 yards from the CIT37 to the CIT27, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, runner is credited with 5 yards on the play.

3rd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.54

Graeson Underwood run for 16 yds to the CIT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Graeson Underwood run for 11 yds to the ETSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

UNDERWOOD, Graeson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for PESNELL, Dervon thrown to the ETS0. PENALTY ETS Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the ETS31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Field Goal Good+49 yds

Colby Kintner 49 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Haynes Eller run for 2 yds to the ETSU 37

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+19 ydsPPA -1.13

Haynes Eller pass complete to Jaylen Frierson for 19 yds Jaylen Frierson fumbled, recovered by CIT Brian Horn [NHSG] ELLER, Haynes pass short to the right complete for 19 yards to FRIERSON, Jaylen caught at the ETS40, FRIERSON, Jaylen fumbled at CIT43 forced by POOLE, Dominick, recovered by CIT HORN, Brian at the CIT44, returned 0 yards to the CIT44, End of Play, clock 14:21.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Varney Layman run for 3 yds to the CIT 47

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.79

Ricky Conway run for 17 yds to the ETSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Malachi Taylor for 36 yds for a TD The Citadel Penalty, Delay Of Game (Brian Horn) to the ETSU 8 (Colby Kintner KICK)

0th & 3Penalty-5 yds

The Citadel Penalty, Delay Of Game (Brian Horn) to the ETSU 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Trey Foster run for 5 yds to the ETSU 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Haynes Eller pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Haynes Eller pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 55 yds, downed at the CIT 11

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Ricky Conway run for 10 yds to the CIT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Varney Layman run for 4 yds to the CIT 25

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.58

Varney Layman run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIT 15 Varney Layman fumbled, recovered by ETSU Zach West for a 1ST down , return for no gain to the CIT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Trey Foster run for 1 yd to the CIT 38

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Bryson Irby run for 2 yds to the CIT 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Haynes Eller pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.65

Haynes Eller pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 11 yds to the CIT 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Haynes Eller pass complete to Jaylen Frierson for 25 yds for a TD East Tennessee State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaylen Frierson) to the ETSU 0 (Ewan Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Pat McSweeney for 10 yds to the ETSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the ETSU 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.36

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Pat McSweeney for 11 yds to the ETSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

UNDERWOOD, Graeson pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GRAVES-BILLIPS, Jay thrown to the ETS4. PENALTY ETS Pass Interference on WEST, Zach enforced 15 yards to the ETS19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Graeson Underwood run for 5 yds to the ETSU 14

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Hayden Johnson run for 2 yds to the ETSU 12

4th & 3Field Goal Good+30 yds

Colby Kintner 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

UNDERWOOD, Graeson pass deep to the right intercepted by HOPE, Chris at the ETS17 intended for GRAVES-BILLIPS, Jay. Hope return for 0 yards to the ETS17, End of Play. PENALTY ETS Offsides on BRANTLEY, Deven enforced 5 yards from the CIT46 to the ETS49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.21

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ricky Conway run for 4 yds to the ETSU 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.88

Ricky Conway run for 2 yds to the ETSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.39

Graeson Underwood run for 10 yds to the ETSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Ricky Conway run for 2 yds to the ETSU 31

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Graeson Underwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETSU 32

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Malachi Taylor for 6 yds to the ETSU 26

4th & 3Field Goal Good+44 yds

Colby Kintner 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Trey Foster run for 4 yds to the ETSU 33

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.06

Haynes Eller run for 6 yds to the ETSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.14

Bryson Irby run for 1 yd to the ETSU 40 Bryson Irby fumbled, recovered by CIT Carson Arnold [NHSG] IRBY, Bryson rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard, IRBY, Bryson fumbled at ETS40 forced by MCDOWELL, Michael, recovered by CIT ARNOLD, Carson at the ETS40, returned 0 yards to the ETS40, End of Play, clock 00:13.

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.71

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Pat McSweeney for a loss of 4 yards to the ETSU 44

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Malachi Taylor for 6 yds to the ETSU 38

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Graeson Underwood run for 9 yds to the ETSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Malachi Taylor for 4 yds to the ETSU 25

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.66

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Hayden Johnson for 13 yds to the ETSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Hayden Johnson run for 3 yds to the ETSU 9

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Hayden Johnson run for 2 yds to the ETSU 7

3rd & 5Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.97

Graeson Underwood run for a loss of 6 yards to the ETSU 13

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.24

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Trey Foster run for 6 yds to the ETSU 19

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.32

Trey Foster run for 5 yds to the ETSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Trey Foster run for 2 yds to the ETSU 26

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Trey Foster run for 4 yds to the ETSU 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

William Riddle pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 32 yds, downed at the CIT 38

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Graeson Underwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIT 37

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Ricky Conway run for 1 yd to the CIT 38

4th & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.62

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 17 yds to the ETSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+22 ydsPPA -2.53

Graeson Underwood pass intercepted Zach West return for 22 yds to the CIT 38

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Trey Foster run for 6 yds to the CIT 32

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Trey Foster run for 4 yds to the CIT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Trey Foster run for 3 yds to the CIT 25

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Trey Foster run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIT 28

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.46

William Riddle sacked by Michael McDowell for a loss of 8 yards to the CIT 36

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dominick Poole at the CIT 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.30

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Pat McSweeney for 10 yds to the CIT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.31

Graeson Underwood sacked by Jaylen George for a loss of 7 yards to the CIT 8

3rd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.12

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Ricky Conway for 12 yds to the CIT 20

4th & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.47

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Jay Graves-Billips for 9 yds to the CIT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Malachi Taylor for 8 yds to the CIT 37

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Hayden Johnson run for 3 yds to the CIT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Hayden Johnson for 13 yds to the ETSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.07

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Ha'Keem Monroe for 34 yds to the ETSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.61

Graeson Underwood sacked by Jaylen George and Deven Brantley for a loss of 11 yards to the ETSU 24

4th & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

[NH] Kneel down by RIDDLE, William at ETS23 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

The Citadel

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
35%
34 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
21%
14 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

East Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
37%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play