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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Tennessee State by 8.9

Home Win Probability

East Tennessee State 68%

Market (ESPN Bet)

East Tennessee State -3.5

Edge: East Tennessee State -3.5 (5.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VMI
0771731
East Tennessee State
01014024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-710-717-1424-2124-24
East Tennessee StateVMI

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ETSVMIETSVMIETSVMIETSVMIETSVMIETSVMIETSVMIVMIETSVMIETSVMIETSVMIETSVMIMISS844ydPUNT37ydTO519ydDOWNS4-7ydPUNT34ydPUNT521ydTO425ydTD1147ydTD1075ydTO24ydFG44ydPUNT521ydPUNT823ydEND1-1ydTO22ydDOWNS813ydPUNT32ydTD643ydTD875ydTD475ydTD1075ydTO23ydFG45yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing VMI and East Tennessee State
StatisticVMIEast Tennessee State
Passing19-348-14
Pass Yards19074
Rush Yards51264
Total Yards241338
Turnovers23
3rd Down6-132-11
Penalties4-528-75
Possession22:2227:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

VMI
passing
Collin Shannon
19/34, 190 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Hunter Rice
12 CAR, 36 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Aidan Twombly
3 REC, 60 YDS
East Tennessee State
passing
William Riddle
8/14, 74 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Trey Foster
25 CAR, 151 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tommy Winton III
1 REC, 26 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Trey Foster run for 10 yds to the ETSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Trey Foster run for 4 yds to the ETSU 42

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Amir Dendy run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETSU 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.43

William Riddle pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 26 yds to the VMI 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

William Riddle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Trey Foster run for 5 yds to the VMI 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

William Riddle pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Ewan Johnson 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Collin Shannon pass complete to Julio DaSilva for 5 yds to the VMI 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Collin Shannon pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 3 yds to the VMI 36

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Collin Shannon run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 35

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Xavier Gaillardetz at the ETSU 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Trey Foster run for 6 yds to the ETSU 36

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Trey Foster run for 10 yds to the ETSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Amir Dendy run for 3 yds to the ETSU 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

William Riddle pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-15 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Chris Everhart) to the ETSU 40

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Hunter Rice run for 6 yds to the ETSU 34

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the ETSU 32

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Hunter Rice run for no gain to the ETSU 32

4th & 2Penalty-15 yds

VMI Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Personal Foul on POINDEXTER, Tyriq enforced (-15 Yards) to the ETSU 47

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ETSU 42

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

run for 3 yds to the ETSU 45

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Amir Dendy run for 6 yds to the VMI 49

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Trey Foster run for no gain to the VMI 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Collin Shannon pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 11 yds to the VMI 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Collin Shannon pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 14 yds to the VMI 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.31

Collin Shannon sacked by Stephen Scott for a loss of 14 yards to the VMI 24

2nd & 24Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Collin Shannon pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 10 yds to the VMI 34

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Collin Shannon pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Xavier Gaillardetz at the ETSU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

William Riddle pass complete to Christian Mathis for 3 yds to the ETSU 25

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.68

Trey Foster run for 14 yds to the ETSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Torey Lambert run for 4 yds to the ETSU 43

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -1.98

Trey Foster run for 4 yds to the ETSU 47 Trey Foster fumbled, recovered by VMI Dorien Starnes FOSTER, Trey rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards, FOSTER, Trey fumbled at ETS46 forced by KNAPP, Josh, recovered by VMI STARNES, Dorien at the ETS47, returned 0 yards to the ETS47, End of Play, clock 14:48.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Collin Shannon pass complete to Julio DaSilva for 7 yds to the ETSU 40

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Collin Shannon pass complete to Julio DaSilva for 5 yds to the ETSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Collin Shannon pass complete to Rashad Raymond for a loss of 1 yard to the ETSU 36

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Collin Shannon pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.23

Collin Shannon pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 20 yds to the ETSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rashad Raymond run for 5 yds to the ETSU 11

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the ETSU 7

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.83

Hunter Rice run for 3 yds to the ETSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

run for 1 yd to the ETSU 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Collin Shannon pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Hunter Rice 3 Yd Run (Caden Beck Kick)

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Trey Foster run for 28 yds to the VMI 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.87

Torey Lambert run for 20 yds to the VMI 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Amir Dendy run for 7 yds to the VMI 20

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Trey Foster run for 4 yds to the VMI 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Trey Foster run for 2 yds to the VMI 14

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 15

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

William Riddle pass complete to Quinn Caballero for 6 yds to the VMI 9

4th & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.18

William Riddle pass complete to Jawan Martin for 4 yds to the VMI 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

run for 4 yds to the VMI 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

William Riddle run for 1 yd for a TD (Ewan Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the VMI 29

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.81

Collin Shannon pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Trey Foster run for 3 yds to the VMI 9

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Torey Lambert run for 5 yds to the VMI 4

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.63

Torey Lambert run for a loss of 4 yards to the VMI 8

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Ewan Johnson 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Collin Shannon pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 8 yds to the VMI 22

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Collin Shannon pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 6 yds to the VMI 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Collin Shannon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Collin Shannon pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Collin Shannon pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 7 yds to the VMI 35

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Xavier Gaillardetz at the ETSU 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

William Riddle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

William Riddle pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.11

Trey Foster run for 10 yds to the ETSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

William Riddle pass complete to Trey Foster for 10 yds to the ETSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

William Riddle pass complete to Xavier Gaillardetz for 12 yds to the VMI 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.15

William Riddle sacked by John Covert for a loss of 6 yards to the VMI 46

2nd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

William Riddle pass complete to Trey Foster for 7 yds to the VMI 39

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (William Riddle) to the VMI 49

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

[NH] Kneel down by SHANNON, Collin at VMI19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Ivan Thorpe run for a loss of 3 yards to the VMI 9

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA +0.24

Hunter Rice run for 5 yds to the VMI 14 Hunter Rice fumbled, recovered by ETSU Sheldon Arnold II [NHSG] RICE, Hunter rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards, RICE, Hunter fumbled at VMI14 forced by ARNOLD, II, Sheldon, recovered by ETS ARNOLD, II, Sheldon at the VMI14, returned 0 yards to the VMI14, End of Play, clock 14:01.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tommy Winton III run for 5 yds to the VMI 9

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Trey Foster run for 3 yds to the VMI 6

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Amir Dendy run for no gain to the VMI 6

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Trey Foster run for 3 yds to the VMI 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Trey Foster run for no gain to the VMI 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Trey Foster run for 1 yd to the VMI 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Trey Foster run for 1 yd to the VMI 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

William Riddle run for no gain to the VMI 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Collin Shannon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Rashad Raymond run for 2 yds to the VMI 3

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Collin Shannon pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Trey Foster run for 3 yds to the VMI 40

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Trey Foster run for no gain to the VMI 40

3rd & 7Penalty-15 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, Tripping (Jaylen Frierson) to the ETSU 45

3rd & 22Penalty+15 yds

VMI Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Geoffrey Speight) to the VMI 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Amir Dendy run for 3 yds to the VMI 32

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.19

Trey Foster 32 Yd Run (Ewan Johnson Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Collin Shannon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Rashad Raymond run for 4 yds to the VMI 29

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chris Hope) to the ETSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.12

Collin Shannon pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 32 yds to the ETSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Collin Shannon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Collin Shannon pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 8 yds to the ETSU 8

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.67

run for 7 yds to the ETSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Hunter Rice 1 Yd Run (Caden Beck Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Amir Dendy run for 8 yds to the ETSU 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Amir Dendy run for 3 yds to the ETSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Torey Lambert run for no gain to the ETSU 36

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +6.19

Torey Lambert run for 64 yds for a TD (Ewan Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ivan Thorpe run for no gain to the VMI 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Collin Shannon pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Collin Shannon pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 8 yds to the VMI 33

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, Offsides (Ewan Johnson) to the VMI 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Rashad Raymond run for 1 yd to the VMI 39

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper SHANNON, Collin rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the VMI47 (HOSKINS, Jordan). PENALTY VMI Holding enforced 10 yards from the VMI39 to the VMI29 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Collin Shannon pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.50

Collin Shannon pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 22 yds to the ETSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Collin Shannon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rashad Raymond run for 4 yds to the ETSU 45

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.28

Rashad Raymond run for 18 yds to the ETSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Collin Shannon pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 12 yds for a TD (Caden Beck KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Trey Foster run for 2 yds to the ETSU 31

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, False Start (Braxton Shipp) to the ETSU 26

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.08

William Riddle pass complete to Xavier Gaillardetz for 6 yds Xavier Gaillardetz fumbled, recovered by VMI Alex Oliver [NHSG] RIDDLE, William pass short to the left complete for 6 yards to GAILLARDETZ, Xavier caught at the ETS30, GAILLARDETZ, Xavier fumbled at ETS30 forced by RANKIN, Eric, recovered by VMI OLIVER, Alex at the ETS32, returned 0 yards to the ETS32, End of Play, clock 11:06.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Hunter Rice run for no gain to the ETSU 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Collin Shannon pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 5 yds to the ETSU 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Collin Shannon pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+46 yds

Caden Beck 46 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

VMI

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
43%
23 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

East Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
41%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays