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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mercer by 7.1

Home Win Probability

East Tennessee State 34%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

East Tennessee State +14.5

Edge: East Tennessee State +14.5 (7.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mercer
0170724
East Tennessee State
00606

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-103-176-176-24
East Tennessee StateMercer

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERPUNT611ydTO427ydPUNT3-15ydPUNT3-4ydMISS437ydTO13ydDOWNS49ydFG1570ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydTO221ydTD667ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT35ydPUNT32ydTD249ydEND36ydPUNT3-11ydFG4-7ydPUNT36ydPUNT77ydPUNT36ydFG839ydPUNT539ydPUNT31ydPUNT31ydMISS41ydTD578ydPUNT619ydEND919yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mercer and East Tennessee State
StatisticMercerEast Tennessee State
Passing20-277-23
Pass Yards31745
Rush Yards7181
Total Yards388126
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-143-18
Penalties5-624-32
Possession29:5830:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mercer
passing
Carter Peevy
20/27, 317 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Al Wooten II
17 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Ty James
14 REC, 285 YDS, 2 TD
East Tennessee State
passing
William Riddle
3/5, 28 YDS
rushing
Bryson Irby
9 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
Will Huzzie
1 REC, 17 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Bryson Irby run for 6 yds to the ETSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Tyler Riddell run for 5 yds to the ETSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper RIDDELL, Tyler rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the ETS39 (STANDLEY, Ken). PENALTY ETS Holding on TETER, Zachary enforced 10 yards from the ETS36 to the ETS26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Zach Borisch run for 3 yds to the ETSU 29

2nd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Christian Mathis for 2 yds to the ETSU 31

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Bryson Irby run for 5 yds to the ETSU 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Devron Harper at the MER 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Al Wooten II run for 8 yds to the MER 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 11 yds to the MER 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the MER 46

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -1.95

Devron Harper run for 6 yds to the ETSU 48 Devron Harper fumbled, recovered by ETSU Deven Brantley

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DENDY, Amir rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the MER45, out of bounds. PENALTY ETS Holding enforced 10 yards from the ETS48 to the ETS38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 4 yds to the ETSU 42

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete

3rd & 16Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyler Riddell sacked by Solomon Zubairu for a loss of 9 yards to the ETSU 33

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Langston White run for 2 yds to the MER 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 6 yds to the MER 35

3rd & 2Penalty-15 yds

Mercer Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Face mask on THOMAS, John enforced (-15 Yards) to the MER 18

4th & 19Penalty+5 yds

East Tennessee State Penalty, Offsides (Teddy Wilson) to the MER 23

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kody Arnold punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

QB Keeper RIDDELL, Tyler rush up the middle for a gain of 20 yards to the MER34 (MCCARTHY, Tavion). PENALTY MER Face mask on WASHBURN, Isaiah enforced 15 yards from the MER36 to the MER21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Bryson Irby run for 4 yds to the MER 17

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Ewan Johnson 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.61

Devron Harper run for 3 yds to the MER 23 Devron Harper fumbled, recovered by ETSU Sheldon Arnold II

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Timothy Dorsey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Bryson Irby run for 4 yds to the MER 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Timothy Dorsey pass complete to Zach Borisch for 5 yds to the MER 14

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.90

Bryson Irby run for no gain to the MER 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the MER 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.03

Carter Peevy pass complete to Andrew May for 7 yds to the MER 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 10 yds to the MER 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the MER 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 6 yds to the MER 44

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Carter Peevy run for 3 yds to the MER 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the MER 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.22

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 23 yds to the ETSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Carter Peevy pass complete to Gavin McKay for 1 yd to the ETSU 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Carter Peevy pass complete to Travion Solomon for 10 yds to the ETSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the ETSU 18

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Carter Peevy sacked by Sheldon Arnold II for a loss of 3 yards to the ETSU 21

3rd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Carter Peevy pass complete to Devron Harper for 5 yds to the ETSU 16

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 yds

Reice Griffith 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryson Irby run for 4 yds to the ETSU 39

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Bryson Irby run for 4 yds to the ETSU 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Timothy Dorsey pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Devron Harper at the MER 14

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Langston White run for 4 yds to the MER 18

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Langston White run for 2 yds to the MER 20

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kody Arnold punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Timothy Dorsey pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 6 yds to the MER 48

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

DORSEY, Timothy pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HUZZIE, Will thrown to the MER30; QB hurried by STANDLEY, Ken. PENALTY MER Pass Interference on MCCARTHY, Tavion enforced 15 yards to the MER33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.10

Bryson Irby run for no gain to the MER 33 Bryson Irby fumbled, recovered by MER Richie Coffey

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.75

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 43 yds to the ETSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the ETSU 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.18

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 23 yds to the ETSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Al Wooten II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETSU 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Carter Peevy run for 1 yd to the ETSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Carter Peevy run for 1 yd for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Zach Borisch run for 2 yds to the ETSU 32

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Amir Dendy run for no gain to the ETSU 32

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.45

Timothy Dorsey sacked by Brayden Manley and Savio Frazier for a loss of 5 yards to the ETSU 27

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the MER 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Carter Peevy pass complete to Travion Solomon for 3 yds to the MER 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kody Arnold punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Timothy Dorsey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Bryson Irby run for 2 yds to the ETSU 26

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Timothy Dorsey pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 19 yds to the ETSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 30 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Reice Griffith kickoff for 33 yds , return for no gain to the ETSU 35

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Amir Dendy run for a loss of 3 yards to the ETSU 32

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Timothy Dorsey pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Amir Dendy run for 9 yds to the ETSU 41

0th & 13End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Al Wooten II run for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 24

2nd & 11Penalty0 yds

PEEVY, Carter pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JAMES, Ty thrown to the ETS43. PENALTY MER Tripping on JOHNSON, Mac enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards from the MER24 to the MER12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 23Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Carter Peevy run for 6 yds to the MER 18

3rd & 17Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.06

Carter Peevy sacked by Chris Hope and Jaylen George for a loss of 4 yards to the MER 14

4th & 21Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Teddy Wilson blocked by Teddy Wilson

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Timothy Dorsey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Zach Borisch run for no gain to the MER 20

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.16

Timothy Dorsey sacked by Marques Thomas and Solomon Zubairu for a loss of 7 yards to the MER 27

4th & 17Field Goal Good+44 yds

Ewan Johnson 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Langston White run for 6 yds to the MER 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kody Arnold punt for 24 yds, downed at the ETSU 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Amir Dendy run for 4 yds to the ETSU 49

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Amir Dendy run for 4 yds to the MER 47

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Amir Dendy run for 1 yd to the MER 46

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.05

Timothy Dorsey run for 1 yd to the MER 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Timothy Dorsey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Timothy Dorsey pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.22

Timothy Dorsey sacked by Tavion McCarthy for a loss of 3 yards to the MER 48

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 34 yds, downed at the MER 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 7 yds to the MER 21

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the MER 23

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.57

run for a loss of 3 yards to the MER 20

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kody Arnold punt for 25 yds, downed at the MER 45

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.71

Timothy Dorsey run for 17 yds to the MER 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Timothy Dorsey run for 1 yd to the MER 27

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Amir Dendy run for 1 yd to the MER 26

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Timothy Dorsey run for 12 yds to the MER 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Timothy Dorsey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Timothy Dorsey run for a loss of 2 yards to the MER 16

3rd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.47

Timothy Dorsey run for 10 yds to the MER 6

4th & 2Field Goal Good+23 yds

Ewan Johnson 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Langston White run for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.47

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 32 yds to the ETSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Langston White run for 3 yds to the ETSU 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Carter Peevy run for 5 yds to the ETSU 36

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kody Arnold punt for 36 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Tommy Winton III run for a loss of 4 yards to the ETSU 16

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Timothy Dorsey pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Timothy Dorsey run for 5 yds to the ETSU 21

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 38 yds, downed at the MER 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Langston White run for 1 yd to the MER 42

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Langston White run for 5 yds to the MER 47

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Mercer Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the MER 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 9Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Teddy Wilson blocked by Teddy Wilson

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Amir Dendy run for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 24

2nd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.16

William Riddle sacked by Richie Coffey for a loss of 8 yards to the MER 32

3rd & 19Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.08

William Riddle pass complete to Christian Mathis for 10 yds to the MER 22

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Ewan Johnson 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the MER 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.52

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 12 yds to the MER 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the MER 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.72

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 50 yds for a TD (Reice Griffith KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Reice Griffith kickoff for 63 yds , return for no gain to the ETSU 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

William Riddle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.19

Amir Dendy run for a loss of 4 yards to the ETSU 4

3rd & 14Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.03

William Riddle pass complete to Will Huzzie for 17 yds to the ETSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

William Riddle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Amir Dendy run for 5 yds to the ETSU 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

William Riddle pass complete to Tommy Winton III for 1 yd to the ETSU 27

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the MER 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 8 yds to the ETSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the ETSU 46

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Langston White run for 1 yd to the ETSU 45

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Al Wooten II run for 7 yds to the ETSU 38

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.99

Al Wooten II run for 5 yds to the ETSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

[NH] Kneel down by PEEVY, Carter at ETS35 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

[NH] Kneel down by PEEVY, Carter at ETS37 (team loss of 2).

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

[NH] Kneel down by PEEVY, Carter at ETS38 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Mercer

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
25%
28 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
63%
16 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

East Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
16%
19 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
11%
9 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
86%
7 plays
4th
50%
2 plays