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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Towson
10
-Final
33
Villanova
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Villanova by 19.3

Home Win Probability

Villanova 87%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Villanova -18

Edge: Villanova -18 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Towson
003710
Villanova
10147233

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284210-017-024-331-333-333-10
VillanovaTowson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VILTOWVILTOWVILTOWVILTOWVILTOWVILTOWTOWVILTOWVILTOWVILTOWVILTOWTO32ydDOWNS46ydTD271ydPUNT33ydFG1048ydPUNT611ydPUNT829ydPUNT840ydTD783ydPUNT36ydTD977ydEND22ydFG1259ydTD1378ydPUNT3-2ydTO751ydSAF31ydPUNT54ydTD175ydDOWNS1273ydEND112yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Towson and Villanova
StatisticTowsonVillanova
Passing10-2116-25
Pass Yards53300
Rush Yards158255
Total Yards211555
Turnovers02
3rd Down1-106-12
Penalties4-4711-87
Possession18:5841:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Towson
passing
Nathan Kent
10/21, 53 YDS
rushing
Chris Watkins
6 CAR, 90 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Carter Runyon
4 REC, 34 YDS
Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
15/24, 299 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen Jackson
14 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Rayjoun Pringle
5 REC, 180 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 10 yds to the VILL 18

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

DeeWil Barlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 17

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA +0.19

Connor Watkins pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Devin Matthews run for 3 yds to the VILL 32

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Nathan Kent run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 33

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Devin Matthews run for 3 yds to the VILL 30

4th & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.48

Nathan Kent run for 1 yd to the VILL 29

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (Mitchell Bothwell) to the VILL 24

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 7 yds to the VILL 31

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass deep to the right complete for 31 yards to SANCHEZ, Jaylan caught at the TOW40 and advanced to the TOW38, out of bounds. PENALTY VIL Holding on VOLTAIRE, Stephane enforced 10 yards from the VIL31 to the VIL21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Passing Touchdown+79 ydsPPA +7.20

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 79 yds for a TD (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro kickoff for 46 yds , return for no gain to the TOW 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nathan Kent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Nathan Kent pass complete to Carter Runyon for 3 yds to the TOW 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Nathan Kent pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Justin Ritter punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jalen Jackson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

run for 8 yds to the TOW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 2 yds to the TOW 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 3 yds to the TOW 37

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 1 yd to the TOW 36

4th & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.40

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 20 yds to the TOW 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Connor Watkins run for 1 yd to the TOW 15

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

DeeWil Barlee run for 8 yds to the TOW 7

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 1Field Goal Good+25 yds

Matthew Mercurio 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Nathan Kent pass complete to Carter Runyon for 1 yd to the TOW 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Nathan Kent pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Nathan Kent run for 13 yds to the TOW 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Nathan Kent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.47

Chris Watkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the TOW 46

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Nathan Kent pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Justin Ritter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Rayjuon Pringle at the VILL 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

DeeWil Barlee run for 3 yds to the VILL 17

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

DeeWil Barlee run for 11 yds to the VILL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.32

Connor Watkins sacked by Dion Crews-Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the VILL 21

2nd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Watkins pass complete to Mitchell Bothwell for 7 yds to the VILL 28

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.79

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 17 yds to the VILL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Jalen Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the VILL 43

2nd & 12Penalty-15 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass deep to the right complete for 38 yards to PRINGLE, Rayjuon caught at the TOW25 and advanced to the TOW19 (JAVIER, Robert), out of bounds. PENALTY VIL Chop Block on JACKSON, Jalen enforced 15 yards from the VIL43 to the VIL28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 27Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.64

DeeWil Barlee run for 15 yds to the VILL 43

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Devin Matthews run for 5 yds to the TOW 11

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Nathan Kent pass complete to Daniel Thompson IV for 9 yds to the TOW 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Devin Matthews run for 12 yds to the TOW 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Devin Matthews run for 6 yds to the TOW 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Nathan Kent pass complete to Matthew Akuchie for 4 yds to the TOW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Chris Watkins run for 2 yds to the TOW 44

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Chris Watkins run for 2 yds to the TOW 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Nathan Kent pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Cupitt punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Rayjuon Pringle at the VILL 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jalen Jackson run for 6 yds to the VILL 23

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

run for 10 yds to the VILL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 7 yds to the VILL 40

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.00

Jalen Jackson run for 1 yd to the VILL 41

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.26

Jalen Jackson run for 2 yds to the VILL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.17

Connor Watkins sacked by Dion Crews-Harris for a loss of 6 yards to the VILL 37

2nd & 16Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +6.64

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 63 yds for a TD (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Nathan Kent run for 3 yds to the TOW 35

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.32

Nathan Kent sacked by Jake Reichwein for a loss of 8 yards to the TOW 27

3rd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.37

Nathan Kent run for 11 yds to the TOW 38

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Josh Cupitt punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Rayjuon Pringle at the VILL 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.84

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 25 yds to the VILL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 11 yds to the TOW 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.38

Connor Watkins pass complete to TD Ayo-Durojaiye for 14 yds to the TOW 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+12 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass up the middle incomplete intended for MILES, Kenyon thrown to the TOW15. PENALTY TOW Pass Interference on SMITH, Shafeek enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the TOW15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (-5 Yards) to the TOW 19

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.18

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 19 yds for a TD (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TOW 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nathan Kent pass complete to Chris Watkins for 2 yds to the TOW 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nathan Kent pass complete to Chris Watkins for no gain to the TOW 27

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Devin Matthews run for 6 yds to the TOW 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Nathan Kent pass complete to Carter Runyon for 8 yds to the TOW 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nathan Kent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Nathan Kent pass complete to Daniel Thompson IV for 7 yds to the TOW 46

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.21

Nathan Kent run for a loss of 2 yards to the TOW 44 Nathan Kent fumbled, recovered by TOW Devin Matthews [NH] QB Keeper KENT, Nathan rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards, KENT, Nathan fumbled at TOW45 , recovered by TOW MATTHEWS, Devin at the TOW44, returned 0 yards to the TOW44, End of Play.

4th & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.72

Nathan Kent pass complete to Carter Runyon for 22 yds to the VILL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Devin Matthews run for 7 yds to the VILL 27

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.07

Devin Matthews run for 7 yds to the VILL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

KENT, Nathan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for THOMPSON IV, Daniel broken up by WAXTER, Isas at the VIL0. PENALTY VIL Offsides on HOWARD, Ayden enforced 5 yards from the VIL20 to the VIL15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Chris Watkins run for 2 yds to the VILL 13

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Nathan Kent pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Nathan Kent pass complete to Matthew Akuchie for a loss of 3 yards to the VILL 16

4th & 6Field Goal Good+33 yds

Keegan Vaughan 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Caden Williams kickoff for 43 yds , return for no gain to the VILL 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jalen Jackson run for 4 yds to the VILL 26

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.22

Jalen Jackson run for 10 yds to the VILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

run for 2 yds to the VILL 38

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jalen Jackson run for 5 yds to the VILL 43

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.70

Jalen Jackson run for 5 yds to the VILL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.96

DeeWil Barlee run for 15 yds to the TOW 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

DeeWil Barlee run for 8 yds to the TOW 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.22

Connor Watkins pass complete to TD Ayo-Durojaiye for 5 yds to the TOW 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

DeeWil Barlee run for 4 yds to the TOW 20

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (Stephane Voltaire) to the TOW 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jalen Jackson for 12 yds to the TOW 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Jalen Jackson run for 9 yds to the TOW 4

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

TD Ayo-Durojaiye 4 Yd Run (Matthew Mercurio Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Nathan Kent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Devin Matthews run for 3 yds to the TOW 27

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Towson Penalty, False Start (Daniel Thompson IV) to the TOW 22

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Nathan Kent pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Justin Ritter punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

DeeWil Barlee run for 9 yds to the TOW 43

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the TOW 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.45

run for 12 yds to the TOW 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.10

Jalen Jackson run for 25 yds to the TOW 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jalen Jackson run for no gain to the TOW 4

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.67

run for 3 yds to the TOW 1 Jalen Jackson fumbled, recovered by TOW Evan Rutkowski [NHSG] Direct snap to JACKSON, Jalen rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards, JACKSON, Jalen fumbled at TOW1 forced by RUTKOWSKI, Evan, recovered by TOW RUTKOWSKI, Evan at the TOW1, returned 0 yards to the TOW1, End of Play, clock 12:07 (After review, play stands as called on the field).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Nathan Kent run for 1 yd to the TOW 2

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Nathan Kent pass incomplete

3rd & 9Safety0 ydsPPA -1.68

Nathan Kent run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY Nathan Kent fumbled, recovered by TOW Devin Matthews for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ja'briel Mace run for 5 yds to the VILL 38

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Ja'briel Mace run for 5 yds to the VILL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tanner Maddocks run for 3 yds to the VILL 46

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.82

Ja'briel Mace run for a loss of 5 yards to the VILL 41

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (Stephane Voltaire) to the VILL 36

3rd & 17Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Tanner Maddocks pass complete to Ja'briel Mace for 1 yd to the VILL 37

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Chris Watkins run for 75 yds for a TD (Keegan Vaughan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ja'briel Mace run for 2 yds to the VILL 27

2nd & 8Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.05

Ja'briel Mace run for 28 yds to the TOW 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Isaiah Wright run for 1 yd to the TOW 44

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Isaiah Wright run for 1 yd to the TOW 43

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Ja'briel Mace run for 13 yds to the TOW 30 for a 1ST down Villanova Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TOW 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.88

Ja'briel Mace run for 12 yds to the TOW 33 for a 1ST down Towson Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jamal Gay) to the TOW 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Ja'briel Mace run for 1 yd to the TOW 17

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.93

Ja'briel Mace run for 16 yds to the TOW 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Ja'briel Mace run for no gain to the TOW 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Ja'briel Mace run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOW 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Ja'briel Mace run for 1 yd to the TOW 1

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.21

Ja'briel Mace run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOW 2

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.32

Chris Watkins run for 12 yds to the TOW 14 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Towson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
17 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
10%
10 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
39%
28 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
62%
13 plays
100%
6 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play