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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

St. Thomas (MN) by 5.6

Home Win Probability

St. Thomas (MN) 63%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

St. Thomas (MN) -2

Edge: St. Thomas (MN) -2 (3.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Butler
030710
St. Thomas (MN)
377017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401410-010-317-3
St. Thomas (MN)Butler

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTFG952ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT36ydTO312ydTD844ydPUNT38ydDOWNS816ydFG15-9ydEND22ydPUNT923ydTD988ydPUNT33ydTO532ydPUNT827ydPUNT35ydTD635ydPUNT49ydDOWNS624ydPUNT31ydDOWNS1174yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Butler and St. Thomas (MN)
StatisticButlerSt. Thomas (MN)
Passing16-315-8
Pass Yards11171
Rush Yards151229
Total Yards262300
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-134-12
Penalties2-155-41
Possession28:5631:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Butler
passing
Bret Bushka
16/31, 111 YDS
rushing
Bret Bushka
16 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Ryan Lezon
4 REC, 35 YDS
St. Thomas (MN)
passing
Tak Tateoka
5/8, 71 YDS
rushing
Shawn Shipman
22 CAR, 103 YDS
receiving
Andrew McElroy
2 REC, 32 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Shawn Shipman run for 6 yds to the BUT 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 6 yds to the BUT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Shawn Shipman run for 4 yds to the BUT 34

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.53

Shawn Shipman run for 12 yds to the BUT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Shawn Shipman run for 3 yds to the BUT 19

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Shawn Shipman run for 1 yd to the BUT 18

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

pass incomplete to Hope Adebayo

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 61 yds , Andrew McElroy return for 26 yds to the STMN 30

4th & 6Field Goal Good+35 yds

Stephen Shagen 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 54 yds , Joey Audia return for 16 yds to the BUT 27

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77
2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Butler Penalty, false start (Fabian Gonzalez) to the BUT 22

2nd & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.26

Bret Bushka sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the BUT 16

3rd & 21Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ryan Lezon for 2 yds to the BUT 18

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Hope Adebayo run for 6 yds to the STMN 42

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the STMN 44

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.21

Tak Tateoka run for a loss of 2 yards to the STMN 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Bret Bushka run for 3 yds to the BUT 20

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Jyran Mitchell run for 9 yds to the BUT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -1.22

Ethan Loss run for 15 yds to the BUT 44 Ethan Loss fumbled, recovered by STMN Yusef Leak

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the BUT 42

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Hope Adebayo run for 7 yds to the BUT 35

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Gabriel Abel run for 9 yds to the BUT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, delay of game (Tak Tateoka) to the BUT 31

1st & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.00

Hope Adebayo run for 13 yds to the BUT 18

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.19

Gabriel Abel run for 9 yds to the BUT 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the BUT 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Hope Adebayo run for 3 yds to the BUT 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 60 yds , Joey Audia return for 19 yds to the BUT 46 Butler Penalty, Offensive holding (Jeremiah Jackson) to the BUT 14

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jyran Mitchell run for 4 yds to the BUT 18

2nd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.62

Bret Bushka sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the BUT 10

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Suchy for 12 yds to the BUT 22

4th & 2Punt+6 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 35 yds , Andrew McElroy returns for 6 yds to the STMN 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tak Tateoka run for 3 yds to the BUT 48

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Shawn Shipman run for 5 yds to the BUT 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.03

Shawn Shipman run for 3 yds to the BUT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Shawn Shipman run for 2 yds to the BUT 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion-15 ydsPPA -3.36

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Jacob WIldermuth St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the STMN 47

2nd & 23Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.28

Shawn Shipman run for 12 yds to the BUT 41

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Shawn Shipman run for 6 yds to the BUT 35

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Shawn Shipman, broken up by Austin Korba

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jyran Mitchell run for 8 yds to the STMN 42

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Joey Suchy run for 9 yds to the STMN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Bret Bushka run for 9 yds to the STMN 16

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Jyran Mitchell run for 1 yd to the STMN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Jyran Mitchell, broken up by C.J. Warren

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.19

Bret Bushka run for 11 yds to the STMN 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jyran Mitchell run for 1 yd to the STMN 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to William Enneking, broken up by Luke Herzog

3rd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Suchy for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 4

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13
3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Jyran Mitchell run for 6 yds to the STMN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Suchy for 2 yds to the STMN 34

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Luka Zurak 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 9 yds to the BUT 44

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, delay of game (Tak Tateoka) to the STMN 20

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Shawn Shipman run for 7 yds to the STMN 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Shawn Shipman run for 7 yds to the STMN 35

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 56 yds , Joey Audia return for 24 yds to the BUT 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96
2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Bret Bushka run for 3 yds to the BUT 36

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.34

Bret Bushka run for 9 yds to the BUT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ryan Lezon for 6 yds to the STMN 49

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

pass incomplete to Luka Popovic

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 10 yds to the STMN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81
2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.04

Bret Bushka sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the STMN 44

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Joey Suchy, broken up by Nick Hand

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.65

Shawn Shipman run for 13 yds to the STMN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 9 yds to the STMN 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28
3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70
4th & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Shawn Shipman run for 11 yds to the STMN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Shawn Shipman run for 2 yds to the STMN 47

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Shawn Shipman run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.62

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 23 yds to the BUT 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Hope Adebayo run for 27 yds for a TD (Stephen Shagen KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 60 yds , Joey Audia return for 35 yds to the BUT 40

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.12

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ethan Loss run for 3 yds to the BUT 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

pass incomplete to Jeremy Johnson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Gabriel Abel run for 5 yds to the STMN 36

2nd & 5Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.15

Gabriel Abel run for 21 yds to the BUT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gabriel Abel run for 5 yds to the BUT 38

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Shawn Shipman run for 1 yd to the BUT 37

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -3.00

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Terrance Kamara for 13 yds Tak Tateoka fumbled, recovered by BUT Jack Burch

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jyran Mitchell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Joey Suchy, broken up by Jonathan Bunce

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.58

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 18 yds to the BUT 42 for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, encroachment (David Ayeni) to the BUT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jyran Mitchell run for 5 yds to the BUT 47

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.77

Bret Bushka run for 5 yds to the STMN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Cameron Heald

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Jyran Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 49

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

pass incomplete to Jeremy Johnson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Shawn Shipman run for 1 yd to the STMN 11

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Shawn Shipman run for 2 yds to the STMN 13

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the STMN 15

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 20 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ryan Lezon for 9 yds to the STMN 26

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.41

Jyran Mitchell run for 5 yds to the STMN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Ethan Loss, broken up by Yusef Leak

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Jeremy Johnson, broken up by Johnson Fallah

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion+11 ydsPPA +1.00

pass incomplete to Jeremy Johnson for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, personal foul (Nick Hand) to the STMN 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Jyran Mitchell run for 10 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 58 yds , Andrew McElroy return for 15 yds to the STMN 22

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Hope Adebayo run for 15 yds to the STMN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Hope Adebayo run for 5 yds to the STMN 42

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 3 yards to the STMN 39

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.76

Tak Tateoka sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the STMN 31

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Bret Bushka run for 6 yds to the BUT 42

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Joey Suchy run for 9 yds to the STMN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Joey Suchy

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Luke Wooten

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jeremy Johnson for 7 yds to the STMN 42

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -1.58

Bret Bushka run for 2 yds to the STMN 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Shawn Shipman run for 2 yds to the STMN 42

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Tak Tateoka run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Andrew McElroy, broken up by Will Mason

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Bret Bushka run for 10 yds to the BUT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 6 yds to the BUT 41

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.55

Bret Bushka run for 17 yds to the STMN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Bret Bushka run for 7 yds to the STMN 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.24

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ryan Lezon for 18 yds to the STMN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Luke Wooten

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.04

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 7 yds to the STMN 10 for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, roughing passer (Grif Wurtz) to the STMN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Joey Suchy run for 4 yds to the STMN 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55
3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33
4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Ryan Lezon, broken up by Luke Herzog

Situational Analysis

Butler

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
44%
25 plays
2nd
29%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
80%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

St. Thomas (MN)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
53%
19 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play