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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Princeton by 14.7

Home Win Probability

San Diego 20%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Princeton
777223
San Diego
633012

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-76-76-149-2112-2112-23
San DiegoPrinceton

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PRISDPRISDPRISDPRISDPRISDPRISDPRISDPRISDPRISDPRISDPRISDSDPRISDPRISDPRISDPRITD875ydPUNT33ydPUNT52ydTD750ydPUNT833ydPUNT31ydDOWNS1053ydPUNT38ydTD553ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS816ydFG624ydEND1-3ydPUNT36ydTD358ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydFG745ydPUNT428ydPUNT614ydPUNT517ydPUNT56ydPUNT20ydPUNT31ydMISS419ydPUNT37ydDOWNS524ydPUNT31ydSAF1-2ydEND612yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Princeton and San Diego
StatisticPrincetonSan Diego
Passing23-3820-37
Pass Yards240209
Rush Yards159-15
Total Yards399194
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-164-16
Penalties8-755-35
Possession32:2727:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Princeton
passing
Blake Stenstrom
23/38, 240 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
John Volker
15 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Luke Colella
3 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
San Diego
passing
Dom Nankil
20/37, 209 YDS
rushing
Isaiah Williams
11 CAR, 9 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ja'seem Reed
11 REC, 105 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Tyler Picinic for 9 yds to the PRIN 34

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Marco Scarano run for 9 yds to the PRIN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Tyler Picinic for 5 yds to the PRIN 48

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Princeton Penalty, Illegal Formation (Caleb Coleman) to the PRIN 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.83

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 28 yds to the USD 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.25

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Connor Hulstein for 16 yds to the USD 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 2 yds to the USD 11

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ja'Derris Carr run for 1 yd to the USD 10

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

STENSTROM, Blake pass to the left complete for 10 yards to HULSTEIN, Connor caught at the USD0 and advanced to the USD0, TOUCHDOWN PRI, score nullified by penalty, clock 12:03 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY Before the snap, PRI False Start enforced 5 yards from the USD10 to the USD15. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Princeton Penalty, Delay Of Game (Caleb Coleman) to the USD 20

3rd & 17Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +4.03

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Tamatoa Falatea for 20 yds for a TD (Jeffrey Sexton KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the USD 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 7 yds to the USD 27

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.64

Isaiah Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the USD 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dom Nankil pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the USD 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 36 yds, fair catch by AJ Barber at the PRIN 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 9 yds to the PRIN 45

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Blake Stenstrom run for 7 yds to the USD 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Princeton Penalty, Offensive Holding (Will Reed) to the PRIN 42

3rd & 20Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.28

Blake Stenstrom sacked by Jerry Rangel for a loss of 4 yards to the PRIN 38

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 12 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the PRIN 49

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the PRIN 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.94

Dom Nankil pass complete to Elijah Johnson for 11 yds to the PRIN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.00

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 33 yds to the PRIN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Zane Fullmer run for no gain to the PRIN 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

run for no gain to the PRIN 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Aidan Lehman PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 7 yds to the PRIN 34

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Dareion Murphy run for 10 yds to the PRIN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dareion Murphy run for no gain to the PRIN 44

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

John Volker run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRIN 43

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.36

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Tamatoa Falatea for 17 yds to the USD 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

John Volker run for no gain to the USD 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 34 yds, downed at the USD 6

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the USD 6

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the USD 7

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 55 yds, downed at the PRIN 38

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Blake Stenstrom run for 17 yds to the USD 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 6 yds to the USD 39

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.24

John Volker run for 5 yds to the USD 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Caleb Coleman run for 6 yds to the USD 28

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.79

John Volker run for 10 yds to the USD 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 5 yds to the USD 13

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

John Volker run for 3 yds to the USD 10

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.97

John Volker run for 1 yd to the USD 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the USD 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Dom Nankil pass complete to Rashaan Ward for 5 yds to the USD 17

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Caleb Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the PRIN 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Caden Dumas for 8 yds to the USD 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.63

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 5 yds to the USD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Dareion Murphy run for 10 yds to the USD 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 32 yds for a TD (Jeffrey Sexton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Isaiah Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the USD 30

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dareion Murphy for 13 yds to the PRIN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.60

Blake Stenstrom sacked by Giovanni Iovino for a loss of 8 yards to the PRIN 40

2nd & 18Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.32

Blake Stenstrom run for 18 yds to the USD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 4 yds to the USD 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Tyler Picinic for 4 yds to the USD 34

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

4th & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -2.49

Blake Stenstrom pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

San Diego Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the USD 34

1st & 25Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Dom Nankil pass complete to Josh Heverly for 5 yds to the USD 39

2nd & 20Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.30

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 17 yds to the PRIN 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Dom Nankil pass complete to Josh Heverly for 17 yds to the PRIN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

[NHSG] Kneel down by HEVERLY, Josh at PRI27 (team loss of 0).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+55 yds

Aidan Lehman 55 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NHSG] Kneel down by STENSTROM, Blake at PRI22 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USD 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 5 yds to the USD 25

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Dom Nankil run for 6 yds to the USD 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 27 yds, downed at the PRIN 42

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

John Volker run for 5 yds to the PRIN 47

2nd & 5Rush+51 ydsPPA +3.24

John Volker run for 51 yds to the USD 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

John Volker run for 2 yds for a TD (Jeffrey Sexton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the USD 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dom Nankil pass complete to Elijah Johnson for 5 yds to the USD 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the USD 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 42 yds, downed at the PRIN 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dareion Murphy run for 5 yds to the PRIN 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Tyler Picinic for 1 yd to the PRIN 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Dom Nankil pass complete to Rashaan Ward for 10 yds to the USD 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

San Diego Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the USD 25

1st & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 8 yds to the USD 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.69

Dom Nankil pass complete to Josh Heverly for 35 yds to the PRIN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -3.30

Dom Nankil sacked by Will Perez for a loss of 14 yards to the PRIN 46

2nd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

3rd & 24Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.90

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 16 yds to the PRIN 30

4th & 8Field Goal Good+48 yds

Aidan Lehman 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.44

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 28 yds to the USD 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Ja'Derris Carr run for no gain to the USD 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dom Nankil run for 5 yds to the USD 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.30

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 6 yds to the USD 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the USD 34

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 44 yds, downed at the PRIN 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

John Volker run for 2 yds to the PRIN 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Matthew Mahoney for 9 yds to the PRIN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

John Volker run for 2 yds to the PRIN 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 6 yds to the PRIN 41

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.08

John Volker run for a loss of 2 yards to the PRIN 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the USD 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Dom Nankil pass complete to Cole Monach for 12 yds to the USD 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

NANKIL, Dom pass short to the right complete for 5 yards to REED, Ja'seem caught at the USD25 and advanced to the USD28 (HILL, Nasir). PENALTY PRI Offsides enforced 5 yards from the USD23 to the USD28 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.40

Dom Nankil sacked by Ozzie Nicholas for a loss of 12 yards to the USD 16

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the PRIN 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

San Diego Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Dom Nankil) to the PRIN 44

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.86

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for no gain to the PRIN 45

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 26 yds, downed at the PRIN 19

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Ja'Derris Carr run for 7 yds to the PRIN 26

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

3rd & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.58

Blake Stenstrom sacked by Jayden Wickware for a loss of 6 yards to the PRIN 20

4th & 9Punt+44 yds

Brady Clark punt for 44 yds , returns for no gain to the PRIN 49 , returns for no gain to the PRIN 49

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Princeton Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the PRIN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 4 yds to the PRIN 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+57 yds

Aidan Lehman 57 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Anthony Bland for 5 yds to the PRIN 35

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Dareion Murphy run for 2 yds to the PRIN 37

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 41 yds, downed at the USD 22

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.05

Dom Nankil sacked by Bakari Edwards for a loss of 10 yards to the USD 12

2nd & 20Penalty+15 yds

Princeton Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Bakari Edwards) to the USD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 7 yds to the USD 44

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 2 yds to the USD 46

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

John Volker run for no gain to the USD 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to John Volker for 1 yd to the USD 45

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 43 yds, downed at the USD 2

1st & 10Safety0 ydsPPA -2.02

Bakari Edwards Safety

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Ja'Derris Carr run for 3 yds to the PRIN 29

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Blake Stenstrom run for 3 yds to the PRIN 32

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.51

Ja'Derris Carr run for 5 yds to the PRIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

John Volker run for 3 yds to the PRIN 40

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

John Volker run for 1 yd to the PRIN 41

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

[SG] Kneel down by STENSTROM, Blake at PRI38 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Princeton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
31 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
42%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

San Diego

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
18%
17 plays
75%
4 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
30%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play