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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Rhode Island by 2.1

Home Win Probability

Villanova 45%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

Villanova -3.5

Edge: Rhode Island +3.5 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Rhode Island
03069
Villanova
1477735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-321-328-335-335-9
VillanovaRhode Island

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VILRIVILRIVILRIVILRIVILRIVILVILRIVILRIVILRIVILRIVILTO759ydPUNT626ydTD665ydPUNT34ydTD450ydFG968ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT31ydPUNT433ydPUNT39ydTD679ydDOWNS4-6ydPUNT33ydTD163ydPUNT821ydPUNT823ydTO1870ydTD733ydTD374ydEND950yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Rhode Island and Villanova
StatisticRhode IslandVillanova
Passing15-279-16
Pass Yards181172
Rush Yards60287
Total Yards241459
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-148-12
Penalties3-4012-105
Possession27:0332:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Rhode Island
passing
Kasim Hill
14/26, 175 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Ja'Den McKenzie
9 CAR, 24 YDS
receiving
Kahtero Summers
2 REC, 56 YDS
Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
8/14, 166 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Connor Watkins
10 CAR, 113 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jaaron Hayek
3 REC, 78 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

DeeWil Barlee run for 3 yds to the VILL 23

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Connor Watkins run for 4 yds to the VILL 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.87

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 34 yds to the URI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (Nick Torres) to the URI 44

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.45

Isaiah Ragland run for a loss of 3 yards to the URI 47

3rd & 18Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.90

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 31 yds to the URI 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.43

Connor Watkins pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Kasim Hill run for 1 yd to the URI 9

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.24

Gabe Sloat run for a loss of 5 yards to the URI 4

3rd & 14Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.43

Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 23 yds to the URI 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kasim Hill pass complete to John Erby for 1 yd to the URI 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kasim Hill pass complete to Kevin Schaeffer for 6 yds to the URI 34

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Devin Walter punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

DeeWil Barlee run for 4 yds to the VILL 39

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Rhode Island Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on NEAL, JR., Westley enforced (Westley Neal Jr.) to the URI 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.28

Connor Watkins run for 38 yds to the URI 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Connor Watkins run for 6 yds to the URI 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

DeeWil Barlee run for no gain to the URI 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Connor Watkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Villanova Penalty, Offsides (Jake Green) to the URI 31

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.56

Kasim Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the URI 30

2nd & 6Penalty0 yds

HILL, Kasim pass short up the middle incomplete dropped by MCKENZIE, Ja'Den thrown to the URI34. PENALTY URI Holding on DELASOUDAS, Sebastian VIL Roughing the Passer on HOWARD, Ayden , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Devin Walter punt for 20 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AYO-DUROJAIYE, TD rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the URI48 (BETHEL, Mekhi;BURBY, Malachi). PENALTY VIL Holding on CORBI, Michael enforced 10 yards from the VIL50 to the VIL40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (Michael Corbi) to the VILL 35

1st & 25Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VILL 30

1st & 30Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 4 yds to the VILL 34

2nd & 26Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.80

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 19 yds to the URI 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.69

Connor Watkins pass complete to TD Ayo-Durojaiye for 24 yds to the URI 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Connor Watkins run for 23 yds for a TD (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaden Griffin run for 2 yds to the URI 24

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jaden Griffin run for 1 yd to the URI 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.72

Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 33 yds to the VILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

HILL, Kasim pass to the right incomplete thrown to the VIL30. PENALTY VIL Roughing the Passer on REICHWEIN, Jake enforced 15 yards from the VIL42 to the VIL27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Gabe Sloat run for 7 yds to the VILL 20

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.15

Kasim Hill pass complete to John Erby for 5 yds to the VILL 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Ja'Den McKenzie run for 2 yds to the VILL 13

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ja'Den McKenzie run for 3 yds to the VILL 10

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 yds

Ty Groff 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.83

DeeWil Barlee run for a loss of 5 yards to the VILL 15

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kasim Hill run for 2 yds to the URI 35

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.04

Kasim Hill sacked by Brendan Bell for a loss of 4 yards to the URI 31

3rd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Kasim Hill pass complete to John Erby for 3 yds to the URI 34

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Devin Walter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Rayjuon Pringle at the VILL 26

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.82

Connor Watkins run for 34 yds to the URI 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Connor Watkins pass complete to DeeWil Barlee for no gain to the URI 40

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

DeeWil Barlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the URI 41

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ja'Den McKenzie run for no gain to the URI 20

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ja'Den McKenzie run for a loss of 1 yard to the URI 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Kasim Hill pass complete to Gabe Sloat for 10 yds to the URI 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Dylan Shank punt for 50 yds, downed at the VILL 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

DeeWil Barlee run for 1 yd to the VILL 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.73

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 40 yds to the URI 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

DeeWil Barlee run for 9 yds to the URI 29

2nd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA -0.23

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 18 yds to the URI 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 6 yds to the URI 5

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.34

Connor Watkins run for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro kickoff for 65 yds , return for no gain to the URI 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

DeeWil Barlee run for no gain to the URI 19

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.01

Connor Watkins sacked by Emmanuel Gomes for a loss of 4 yards to the URI 23

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the URI 28

3rd & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

DeeWil Barlee run for 3 yds to the URI 25

4th & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.67

Nathan Fondacaro pass incomplete

0th & 16End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Deon Silas run for 6 yds to the URI 20

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Gabe Sloat run for a loss of 3 yards to the URI 17

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Devin Walter punt for 46 yds, downed at the VILL 37

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 63 yds for a TD (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kasim Hill run for 3 yds to the URI 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.44

Kasim Hill run for 8 yds to the VILL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

HILL, Kasim pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BUCHANAN, Marquis broken up by GOODMAN, Jalen at the VIL30. PENALTY VIL Holding on TRINH, Ty enforced 10 yards from the VIL49 to the VIL39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.19

Kasim Hill pass complete to John Erby for 11 yds to the VILL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kasim Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 29

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

HILL, Kasim pass to the left complete for 10 yards to SAVEDGE, Darius caught at the VIL19 and advanced to the VIL19 (SAPP, Christian). PENALTY URI Holding on MCKANNA, Adam enforced 10 yards from the VIL29 to the VIL39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Devin Walter punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

DeeWil Barlee run for 8 yds to the VILL 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

DeeWil Barlee run for 3 yds to the VILL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

DeeWil Barlee run for 7 yds to the VILL 38

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

BARLEE, DeeWil rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the VIL40 (ANDREWS, Jasyn). PENALTY VIL Holding on PICARD, Jake enforced 10 yards from the VIL38 to the VIL28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Isaiah Ragland run for 2 yds to the VILL 30

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.68

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 14 yds to the VILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the VILL 46

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.50

Connor Watkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the VILL 43

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Kasim Hill pass complete to Kevin Schaeffer for 7 yds to the URI 27

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.91

Ja'Den McKenzie run for 11 yds to the URI 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ja'Den McKenzie run for 2 yds to the URI 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Kasim Hill pass complete to Ja'Den McKenzie for 7 yds to the URI 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Ja'Den McKenzie run for 2 yds to the URI 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Deon Silas run for a loss of 4 yards to the URI 45

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.96

Kasim Hill pass complete to Gabe Sloat for 13 yds to the VILL 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Ja'Den McKenzie run for 3 yds to the VILL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Ja'Den McKenzie run for 2 yds to the VILL 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Kasim Hill pass complete to Gabe Sloat for 11 yds to the VILL 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.32

Kasim Hill run for a loss of 6 yards to the VILL 32

2nd & 16Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.13

Kasim Hill run for 13 yds to the VILL 19

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.87

Gabe Sloat run for a loss of 2 yards to the VILL 21

4th & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.22

Kasim Hill run for 5 yds to the VILL 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Devin Farrell pass complete to Darius Savedge for 6 yds to the VILL 10

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty+81 yds

Villanova Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Rayjuon Pringle) to the VILL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 7 yds to the URI 26

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 3 yds to the URI 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for a loss of 2 yards to the URI 25

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.36

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 8 yds to the URI 17

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Connor Watkins run for 9 yds to the URI 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the URI 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

DeeWil Barlee run for 6 yds for a TD (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

HILL, Kasim pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BUCHANAN, Marquis broken up by SCHULTERS, Kshawn at the VIL40. PENALTY VIL Pass Interference on SCHULTERS, Kshawn enforced 15 yards to the URI41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.96

Kasim Hill pass complete to Darius Savedge for 34 yds to the VILL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Kasim Hill pass complete to Darius Savedge for 11 yds to the VILL 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jaden Griffin run for 14 yds for a TD (Ty Groff PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Isaiah Ragland run for 3 yds to the VILL 46

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Isaiah Ragland run for 2 yds to the VILL 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.01

Tanner Maddocks pass complete to Nathaniel Hill for 6 yds to the URI 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Rhode Island Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Westley Neal Jr.) to the URI 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Tanner Maddocks run for 1 yd to the URI 28

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Tanner Maddocks run for 3 yds to the URI 25

3rd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Isaiah Ragland run for 13 yds to the URI 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Isaiah Ragland run for 6 yds to the URI 6

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

[NH] Kneel down by VIL at URI7 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Rhode Island

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
20 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
45%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
22 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play