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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Villanova by 1.4

Home Win Probability

North Carolina A&T 42%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

North Carolina A&T +15

Edge: North Carolina A&T +15 (13.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Villanova
10207037
North Carolina A&T
770014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-38-107-1314-2014-3014-37
North Carolina A&TVillanova

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VILVILNCAVILNCAVILNCAVILNCAVILVILNCAVILNCAVILNCAVILNCAVILNCAVILNCAVILFG1464ydTD475ydPUNT34ydFG947ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-7ydTD333ydTD985ydPUNT613ydTD762ydFG747ydPUNT36ydPUNT934ydPUNT3-3ydTD365ydPUNT32ydPUNT33ydMISS951ydPUNT37ydPUNT34ydTO555ydDOWNS1048ydEND20yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Villanova and North Carolina A&T
StatisticVillanovaNorth Carolina A&T
Passing16-238-17
Pass Yards28964
Rush Yards248108
Total Yards537172
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-162-11
Penalties0-03-20
Possession37:2722:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
16/23, 289 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Dee Wil Barlee
16 CAR, 94 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaylan Sanchez
6 REC, 158 YDS, 2 TD
North Carolina A&T
passing
Kevin White
8/17, 64 YDS
rushing
Kenji Christian
11 CAR, 64 YDS
receiving
Nicholas Dobson
4 REC, 52 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

DeeWil Barlee run for 6 yds to the VILL 34

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the VILL 36

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.64

DeeWil Barlee run for 7 yds to the VILL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 6 yds to the NCAT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.09

Connor Watkins sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the NCAT 49

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.07

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 14 yds to the NCAT 35

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Jalen Jackson run for 5 yds to the NCAT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Jalen Jackson run for 9 yds to the NCAT 21

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen Jackson run for 14 yds to the NCAT 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

DeeWil Barlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCAT 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Jackson run for no gain to the NCAT 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Matthew Mercurio 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+95 yds

Taymon Cooke 95 Yd Kickoff Return (Owen Daffer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

DeeWil Barlee run for 11 yds to the VILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

DeeWil Barlee run for 3 yds to the VILL 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

DeeWil Barlee run for 3 yds to the VILL 42

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +5.93

Jaylan Sanchez 58 Yd pass from Connor Watkins (Matthew Mercurio Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kevin White pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kenji Christian run for 2 yds to the NCAT 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Kevin White pass complete to Kenji Christian for 2 yds to the NCAT 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Caleb Brickhouse punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 3 yds to the VILL 35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 5 yds to the VILL 40

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.25

Jalen Jackson run for 2 yds to the VILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.47

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 20 yds to the NCAT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Jalen Jackson run for 12 yds to the NCAT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 1 yd to the NCAT 25

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Rayjuon Pringle run for 4 yds to the NCAT 21 Rayjuon Pringle fumbled, recovered by VILL

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+39 yds

Matthew Mercurio 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Wesley Graves run for 6 yds to the NCAT 31

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Kevin White run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kevin White pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Caleb Brickhouse punt for 59 yds, downed at the VILL 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

DeeWil Barlee run for 1 yd to the VILL 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.14

Connor Watkins sacked by Anthony Hairston II for a loss of 8 yards to the VILL 5

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kevin White run for 3 yds to the VILL 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kevin White pass complete to Laquan Veney for 5 yds to the VILL 25

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.03

Kevin White 25 Yd Run (Owen Daffer Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 2 yds to the VILL 17

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

DeeWil Barlee run for 9 yds to the VILL 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.08

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 23 yds to the VILL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

DeeWil Barlee run for 7 yds to the NCAT 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Connor Watkins pass complete to TD Ayo-Durojaiye for 9 yds to the NCAT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 5 yds to the NCAT 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 4 yds to the NCAT 26

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.32

DeeWil Barlee run for 5 yds to the NCAT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

DeeWil Barlee 21 Yd Run (Matthew Mercurio Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro kickoff for 65 yds , return for no gain to the NCAT 17

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Kevin White run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCAT 16

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Kevin White pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Kevin White run for 11 yds to the NCAT 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kevin White pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.63

Wesley Graves run for a loss of 8 yards to the NCAT 19

3rd & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Kevin White run for 11 yds to the NCAT 30

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Caleb Brickhouse punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 17 yds to the NCAT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 5 yds to the NCAT 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.76

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 20 yds to the NCAT 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 5 yds to the NCAT 15

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Connor Watkins run for 6 yds to the NCAT 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Rayjuon Pringle 9 Yd pass from Connor Watkins (Matthew Mercurio Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 16 yds to the NCAT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 5 yds to the NCAT 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.31

Connor Watkins pass complete to TD Ayo-Durojaiye for 18 yds to the NCAT 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjuon Pringle for 9 yds to the NCAT 1

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

DeeWil Barlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCAT 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 yds

Matthew Mercurio 19 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kevin White pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kenji Christian run for 6 yds to the NCAT 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kevin White pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Caleb Brickhouse punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Rayjuon Pringle at the VILL 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

DeeWil Barlee run for 6 yds to the VILL 29

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.14

DeeWil Barlee run for 11 yds to the VILL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

DeeWil Barlee run for 4 yds to the VILL 44

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen Jackson run for 4 yds to the VILL 48

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.48

Jalen Jackson run for 5 yds to the NCAT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Jalen Jackson run for 10 yds to the NCAT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 3 yds to the NCAT 34

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.48

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCAT 37

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.93

Connor Watkins sacked by Karon Prunty for a loss of 6 yards to the NCAT 43

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Connor Watkins punt for 34 yds, downed at the NCAT 9

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kenji Christian run for 2 yds to the NCAT 11

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kenji Christian run for 5 yds to the NCAT 16

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina A&T Penalty, False Start (Jason Ivey) to the NCAT 11

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.13

Kevin White sacked by Danny Abraham for a loss of 5 yards to the NCAT 6

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Caleb Brickhouse punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Connor Watkins run for 6 yds to the VILL 41

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +6.01

Jaylan Sanchez 59 Yd pass from Connor Watkins (Matthew Mercurio Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Wesley Graves run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 34

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Wesley Graves run for 4 yds to the NCAT 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kevin White pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Caleb Brickhouse punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Rayjuon Pringle at the VILL 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 4 yds to the VILL 29

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Kevin White run for 7 yds to the NCAT 33

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Kenji Christian run for 12 yds to the NCAT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Kenji Christian run for 11 yds to the VILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kenji Christian run for 6 yds to the VILL 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.53

Kevin White pass complete to Nicholas Dobson for 20 yds to the VILL 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kevin White run for 5 yds to the VILL 13

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Kevin White pass incomplete

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.13

Kevin White sacked by Chandon Pierre for a loss of 5 yards to the VILL 18

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina A&T Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the VILL 23

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Owen Daffer 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Jalen Jackson run for 7 yds to the VILL 30

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jalen Jackson run for 1 yd to the VILL 31

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jalen Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 30

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nathan Fondacaro punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kevin White pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Kevin White pass complete to Laquan Veney for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 30

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Kevin White run for 6 yds to the NCAT 36

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Caleb Brickhouse punt for 39 yds, downed at the VILL 25

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Connor Watkins run for 19 yds to the VILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.53

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 25 yds to the NCAT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 2 yds to the NCAT 29

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jalen Jackson run for 6 yds to the NCAT 23

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.05

Jalen Jackson run for 3 yds to the NCAT 20 Jalen Jackson fumbled, recovered by NCAT Joshua Iseah

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Kevin White pass complete to Nicholas Dobson for 7 yds to the NCAT 27

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Kenji Christian run for 7 yds to the NCAT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kenji Christian run for 4 yds to the NCAT 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.14

Kevin White pass complete to Nicholas Dobson for 19 yds to the VILL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Kevin White pass complete to Darren Bennett for 7 yds to the VILL 36

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.12

Kenji Christian run for 9 yds to the VILL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kenji Christian run for no gain to the VILL 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Kevin White pass complete to Nicholas Dobson for 6 yds to the VILL 21

3rd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.16

Kevin White sacked by Tyrell Mims for a loss of 3 yards to the VILL 24

4th & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.78

Kevin White sacked by Camden Gagnon for a loss of 8 yards to the VILL 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

[NHSG] Kneel down by WATKINS, Connor at NOV32 (team loss of 0).

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

[NHSG] Kneel down by WATKINS, Connor at NOV32 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
35 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
45%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
63%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th

North Carolina A&T

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
17 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play