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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee State by 13.3

Home Win Probability

Tennessee State 78%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Tennessee State -8

Edge: Tennessee State -8 (5.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tennessee Tech
2170735
Tennessee State
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-210-28
Tennessee StateTennessee Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TTTSTSTTTSTTTSTTTSTTTSTTTSTTTSTTTTTSTTTSTTTSTTTSTTTD110ydTO3-11ydPUNT634ydTD268ydPUNT3-4ydTD1058ydMISS1159ydPUNT34ydPUNT817ydPUNT419ydPUNT36ydTD588ydPUNT39ydPUNT612ydPUNT3-2ydUncategorized24ydPUNT937ydPUNT621ydMISS1260ydPUNT517ydPUNT620ydDOWNS45ydDOWNS45ydTO2-1ydUncategorized30yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee Tech and Tennessee State
StatisticTennessee TechTennessee State
Passing15-3212-29
Pass Yards16777
Rush Yards20773
Total Yards374150
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-143-14
Penalties4-305-44
Possession28:5821:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee Tech
passing
Jordyn Potts
15/28, 167 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Marcus Knight
13 CAR, 89 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brad Clark
4 REC, 33 YDS, 1 TD
Tennessee State
passing
Draylen Ellis
12/27, 77 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Draylen Ellis
11 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Chevy Brenson
4 REC, 19 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Justin Pegues for 10 yds for a TD (Hayden Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jordan Gant run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 24

2nd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.49

Deveon Bryant sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the TNST 14

3rd & 21Interception0 ydsPPA +0.37

Deveon Bryant pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the TNST 6

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Dayron Johnson for 10 yds to the TNST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.72

Draylen Ellis run for 23 yds to the TNST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 5 yds to the TNST 44

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.23

Draylen Ellis sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the TNST 38

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Justin Pegues for 7 yds to the TNTC 39

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.83

Marcus Knight run for 61 yds for a TD (Hayden Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.27

Deveon Bryant sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the TNST 12

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete to Jordan Gant, broken up by Jeremiah Sandiford

3rd & 23Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.03

Deveon Bryant run for 9 yds to the TNST 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Jalal Dean

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Marcus Knight run for 4 yds to the TNTC 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +2.44

Jordyn Potts pass incomplete to Brad Clark for a 1ST down Tennessee State Penalty, Defensive holding (Bryce Phillips) to the TNST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.62

pass incomplete to Justin Pegues for a 1ST down Tennessee State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Terrell Allen) to the TNST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordyn Potts run for 2 yds to the TNST 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Knight,Marcus rush right (Stewart,Cameron).

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.14

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Metrius Fleming for 11 yds to the TNST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

O.J. Ross run for 4 yds to the TNST 12

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to O.J. Ross

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.94

Jordyn Potts run for 12 yds for a TD (Hayden Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Canen Adrian, broken up by Jyron Gilmore

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Draylen Ellis sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the TNST 23

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, false start (Hadine Diaby) to the TNST 18

3rd & 17Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.53

Draylen Ellis run for 1 yd to the TNST 19 for a 1ST down Tennessee Tech Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kanstin Brooks) to the TNST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.40

Draylen Ellis run for 32 yds to the TNTC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 8 yds to the TNTC 26

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the TNTC 25

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.25

Draylen Ellis run for 2 yds to the TNTC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

pass incomplete to Avery Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Canen Adrian, broken up by Gerald Kilgore

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Dayron Johnson for 7 yds to the TNTC 16

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+32 yds

James Lowery 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Marcus Knight run for 4 yds to the TNTC 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Jalal Dean

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

pass incomplete to Metrius Fleming

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nick Bigelow punt for 41 yds , Delanie Majors returns for no gain to the TNST 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 2 yds to the TNST 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 7 yds to the TNST 44

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Draylen Ellis run for 1 yd to the TNST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Delanie Majors for 13 yds to the TNTC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Delanie Majors for 1 yd to the TNTC 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -2.76

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Karate Brenson, broken up by Okachi Emmanwori Tennessee State Penalty, Offensive holding (Hadine Diaby) to the TNST 49

2nd & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jordan Gant run for 3 yds to the TNTC 48

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Marcus Knight run for 10 yds to the TNTC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordyn Potts pass incomplete to Jalal Dean, broken up by Ken Garlington

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.31

Marcus Knight run for a loss of 2 yards to the TNTC 17

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.30

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Jalal Dean for 11 yds to the TNTC 28

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nick Bigelow punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Draylen Ellis run for 6 yds to the TNST 46

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

pass incomplete to Da'Shon Davis

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Da'Shon Davis, broken up by Jyron Gilmore

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

O.J. Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNTC 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Quavel Thornton for 13 yds to the TNTC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

O.J. Ross run for 4 yds to the TNTC 28

2nd & 6Rush+68 ydsPPA +4.57

O.J. Ross run for 64 yds to the TNST 8 Tennessee State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Josh Green) to the TNST 4

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Brad Clark for 4 yds for a TD (Hayden Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Draylen Ellis run for 3 yds to the TNST 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Gant run for 3 yds to the TNST 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jordan Gant for 3 yds to the TNST 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Brad Clark

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Marcus Knight for 5 yds to the TNTC 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Brad Clark for 7 yds to the TNTC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

pass incomplete to Justin Pegues

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Pegues,Justin rush left (Allen,Terrell).

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nick Bigelow punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Jordan Gant run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 31

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Deveon Bryant run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 30

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

Bryant,Deveon rush right (Brooks,Kanstin;Parker,Myles).

4th & 12Punt+13 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 42 yds , Justin Pegues returns for 13 yds to the TNTC 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Justin Pegues run for 4 yds to the TNTC 45

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Justin Pegues run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 35

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Justin Pegues Tennessee Tech Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the TNTC 20

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Marcus Knight run for 2 yds to the TNTC 22

2nd & 13Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.79

Jordyn Potts run for 13 yds to the TNTC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordyn Potts run for 4 yds to the TNTC 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jordyn Potts pass incomplete to Metrius Fleming, broken up by Fondren Hollis III

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.18

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Marcus Knight for 21 yds to the TNST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marcus Knight run for 5 yds to the TNST 35

2nd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Marcus Knight run for a loss of 5 yards to the TNST 40

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Jalal Dean for 2 yds to the TNST 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nick Bigelow punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the TNST 9

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 5 yds to the TNST 14

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Jordan Gant run for 8 yds to the TNST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the TNST 26

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

pass incomplete to Dayron Johnson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Delanie Majors, broken up by Tim Coutras

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 66 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Marcus Knight run for 2 yds to the TNTC 10

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Marcus Knight run for 3 yds to the TNTC 13

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.36

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Reece Perkins for 16 yds to the TNTC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Brad Clark for 11 yds to the TNTC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Justin Pegues run for a loss of 3 yards to the TNTC 37

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Tech Penalty, personal foul (Nate Hodnett) to the TNTC 32

2nd & 18Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.66

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Hunter Barnhart for 26 yds to the TNST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Brad Clark for 11 yds to the TNST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Tech Penalty, false start (Hunter Barnhart) to the TNST 36

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Pegues,Justin rush middle (Josephs,Jeremiah).

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Metrius Fleming

3rd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Justin Pegues run for 4 yds to the TNST 32 Tennessee Tech Penalty, Offensive holding (Jalal Dean) to the TNST 32

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Hayden Olsen 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Chayil Garnett for 5 yds to the TNST 38

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.48

Draylen Ellis run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Canen Adrian

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

pass incomplete to Chayil Garnett

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

O.J. Ross run for 4 yds to the TNTC 10

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.36

O.J. Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the TNTC 7

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.86

Jordyn Potts pass complete to Ashton Maples for 12 yds to the TNTC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

O.J. Ross run for 9 yds to the TNTC 28

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.37

Jordyn Potts run for a loss of 2 yards to the TNTC 26

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jordyn Potts pass incomplete to Reece Perkins, broken up by Ken Garlington

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nick Bigelow punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.72

Draylen Ellis sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the TNST 29

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Delanie Majors, broken up by Jyron Gilmore

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Avery Williams for 11 yds to the TNST 40

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

pass incomplete to Dayron Johnson

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Marcus Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 41

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Marcus Knight run for 6 yds to the TNST 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Brad Clark

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Ike Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 34

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -0.58

Draylen Ellis pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Reece Perkins

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Pegues pass incomplete to Metrius Fleming, broken up by Bryce Phillips

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

O.J. Ross run for 4 yds to the TNST 15

Situational Analysis

Tennessee Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
28%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
25%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
71%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
6 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play