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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
Drake
25
-Final
20
San Diego
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Drake by 3.1

Home Win Probability

San Diego 42%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

San Diego +4

Edge: San Diego +4 (0.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Drake
3610625
San Diego
0731020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-67-67-910-910-1913-1920-19
San DiegoDrake

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DRASDDRASDDRASDDRADRASDDRASDDRASDDRASDDRASDDRASDDRASDDRASDDRASDDRAPUNT3-5ydPUNT36ydFG1270ydPUNT3-8ydFG1759ydPUNT33ydTD622ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT56ydFG622ydPUNT625ydEND1-1ydFG1059ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT38ydFG535ydPUNT3-13ydTD344ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT35ydFG748ydPUNT39ydPUNT37ydPUNT624ydTD686ydTD775yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Drake and San Diego
StatisticDrakeSan Diego
Passing19-4616-25
Pass Yards292205
Rush Yards5750
Total Yards349255
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-192-14
Penalties6-459-99
Possession31:2328:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Drake
passing
Luke Bailey
19/44, 292 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dorian Boyland
16 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Zack Gray
4 REC, 71 YDS
San Diego
passing
Dom Nankil
10/18, 180 YDS
rushing
Isaiah Williams
16 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ja'seem Reed
5 REC, 125 YDS

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 64 yds , return for no gain to the DRKE 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Dorian Boyland run for no gain to the DRKE 20

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Drake Penalty, False Start (Parker Althaus) to the DRKE 15

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the USD 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the USD 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.29

Grant Sergent pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for a loss of 2 yards to the USD 44

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Grant Sergent pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 7 yds to the DRKE 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Christian Galvan run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.14

Luke Bailey pass complete to Zack Gray for 28 yds to the DRKE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Blake Ellingson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.42

Luke Bailey pass complete to Zack Gray for 24 yds to the USD 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Dorian Boyland run for 9 yds to the USD 20

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.41

Luke Bailey pass complete to Colin Howard for 9 yds to the USD 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Dorian Boyland run for 1 yd to the USD 10

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+37 yds

Shane Dunning 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Grant Sergent pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 4 yds to the USD 29

2nd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.02

Grant Sergent sacked by Finn Claypool for a loss of 6 yards to the USD 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.17

Grant Sergent pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for a loss of 6 yards to the USD 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 51 yds, downed at the DRKE 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

San Diego Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the DRKE 37

4th & 5Penalty+10 yds

San Diego Penalty, Defensive Holding (Amir Wallace) to the DRKE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dorian Boyland run for 5 yds to the USD 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 4 yds to the USD 44

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.47

Dorian Boyland run for 12 yds to the USD 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Dorian Boyland run for 2 yds to the USD 30

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Dorian Boyland run for no gain to the USD 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.28

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 8 yds to the USD 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Christian Galvan run for 2 yds to the USD 20

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Luke Bailey pass complete to Christian Galvan for 8 yds to the USD 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.56

Luke Woodson run for a loss of 4 yards to the USD 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Luke Bailey pass complete to Zack Gray for 7 yds to the USD 9

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 yds

Shane Dunning 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the USD 16

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Dom Nankil pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 3 yds to the USD 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

San Diego Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jerry Rangel) to the USD 45 for a 1ST down

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.91

Luke Bailey run for 12 yds to the USD 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Luke Bailey pass complete to Colin Howard for 9 yds to the USD 36

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Christian Galvan run for 1 yd to the USD 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+83 ydsPPA -11.34

Nick Murray 83 Yd Interception Return (Aidan Lehman Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Dorian Boyland run for 1 yd to the DRKE 46

2nd & 9Penalty-2 yds

Drake Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-2 Yards) to the DRKE 44

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 47 yds, downed at the USD 9

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the USD 11

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.18

Re-al Mitchell pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 17 yds to the USD 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the USD 28

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

San Diego Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ja'seem Reed) to the USD 14

3rd & 24Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.01

Re-al Mitchell run for 1 yd to the USD 15

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 40 yds, downed at the DRKE 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Christian Galvan run for 2 yds to the DRKE 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.29

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 30 yds to the USD 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Taj Hughes run for no gain to the USD 23

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

BAILEY, Luke pass short to the left complete for 5 yards to GALVAN, Christian caught at the USD22 and advanced to the USD18 (WALLACE, Amir), out of bounds. PENALTY DRK Holding on KREBS, Bennet enforced 10 yards from the USD23 to the USD33 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 20Field Goal Good+50 yds

Shane Dunning 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Re-al Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 24

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Isaiah Williams run for 10 yds to the USD 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.18

Dom Nankil pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 15 yds to the USD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.95

Dom Nankil sacked by Tom Shefte for a loss of 11 yards to the USD 38

2nd & 21Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 8 yds to the USD 46

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (Trey Price) to the USD 41

3rd & 18Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Isaiah Williams run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Deyon Campbell at the DRKE 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kneel down by BAILEY, Luke at DRK21 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Isaiah Williams run for 6 yds to the USD 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Dom Nankil run for 1 yd to the USD 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Dom Nankil pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 6 yds to the USD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Isaiah Williams run for 15 yds to the DRKE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.93

Dom Nankil pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 23 yds to the DRKE 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the DRKE 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dom Nankil pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 5 yds to the DRKE 16

4th & 2Field Goal Good+33 yds

Aidan Lehman 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Dorian Boyland run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 27

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Drake Penalty, False Start (Jimmy Poremba) to the DRKE 22

3rd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Luke Bailey pass complete to Christian Galvan for 2 yds to the DRKE 24

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 41 yds, downed at the USD 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 8 yds to the USD 43

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.35

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the USD 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 25 yds, downed at the DRKE 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

BAILEY, Luke pass short to the right complete for 5 yards to HOWARD, Colin caught at the DRK37 and advanced to the DRK37 (HANEY, Eric). PENALTY USD Unnecessary Roughness on CARNEY, Garrett enforced 15 yards USD Unnecessary Roughness on COBURN, Brian enforced 15 yards from the end of the play at the USD48 to the USD33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+50 yds

Shane Dunning 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Re-al Mitchell run for 1 yd to the USD 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the USD 29

3rd & 6Sack-17 ydsPPA -0.55

Dom Nankil sacked by Tom Shefte for a loss of 17 yards to the USD 12

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 32 yds, downed at the USD 44

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Dorian Boyland run for 6 yds to the USD 38

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Dorian Boyland run for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 39

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

BAILEY, Luke pass to the right complete for 10 yards to JANUARY, Mitchell caught at the USD29 and advanced to the USD29 (HANEY, Eric). PENALTY DRK Holding on POREMBA, Jimmy enforced 10 yards from the USD39 to the USD49 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +6.37

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 49 yds for a TD (Shane Dunning KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Isaiah Williams run for 8 yds to the USD 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Re-al Mitchell run for 1 yd to the USD 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

4th & 1Penalty-15 yds

San Diego Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Maicah Talavou) to the USD 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Deyon Campbell at the DRKE 46

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Christian Galvan run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Christian Galvan run for 1 yd to the USD 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the USD 19

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Dom Nankil run for 11 yds to the USD 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.72

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 35 yds to the DRKE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the DRKE 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Dom Nankil pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+51 yds

Aidan Lehman 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Dorian Boyland run for 7 yds to the DRKE 36

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Dorian Boyland run for 2 yds to the DRKE 38

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Dorian Boyland run for no gain to the DRKE 38

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Re-al Mitchell pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for no gain to the USD 27

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the USD 29

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Re-al Mitchell pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Deyon Campbell at the DRKE 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Christian Galvan run for 1 yd to the DRKE 39

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Christian Galvan run for 2 yds to the DRKE 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.67

Luke Bailey pass complete to Colin Howard for 36 yds to the USD 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Christian Galvan run for 1 yd to the USD 22

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.13

Dorian Boyland run for a loss of 4 yards to the USD 26

3rd & 13Penalty-10 yds

BAILEY, Luke pass to the right incomplete dropped by GRAY, Zack thrown to the USD18. PENALTY DRK Holding on POREMBA, Jimmy enforced 10 yards from the USD26 to the USD36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 23Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 3 yds to the USD 33

4th & 20Penalty-5 yds

Drake Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the USD 38

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the USD 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.32

Dom Nankil pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 20 yds to the USD 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +2.91

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 57 yds to the DRKE 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the DRKE 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Re-al Mitchell run for 3 yds to the DRKE 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the DRKE 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Luke Bailey pass complete to Brandon Langdok for 4 yds to the DRKE 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Luke Bailey pass complete to Zack Gray for 12 yds to the DRKE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Luke Bailey pass complete to Brandon Langdok for 5 yds to the DRKE 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

BAILEY, Luke pass deep to the right incomplete intended for JANUARY, Mitchell broken up by MURRAY, Nick at the USD38; QB hurried by WICKWARE, Jayden. PENALTY USD Offsides on WICKWARE, Jayden enforced 5 yards from the DRK46 to the USD49 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 11 yds to the USD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.88

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 38 yds for a TD

Situational Analysis

Drake

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
29 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
15%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
29%
7 plays
4th
100%
1 play

San Diego

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
21 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play