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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
Butler
37
-Final
10
Dayton
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Butler by 9.8

Home Win Probability

Dayton 27%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Dayton +7

Edge: Butler -7 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Butler
13731437
Dayton
030710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-103-133-203-2310-2310-37
DaytonButler

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTPUNT36ydFG1141ydTO34ydTD124ydPUNT32ydFG46ydFG1460ydTD1175ydPUNT928ydEND29ydPUNT33ydPUNT518ydFG557ydPUNT514ydTO850ydDOWNS1239ydPUNT35ydTD1867ydTD375ydDOWNS40ydTD412ydTO326ydEND20yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Butler and Dayton
StatisticButlerDayton
Passing18-2330-49
Pass Yards191183
Rush Yards151105
Total Yards342288
Turnovers12
3rd Down1-97-19
Penalties0-06-61
Possession27:5732:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Butler
passing
Bret Bushka
18/23, 191 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jyran Mitchell
16 CAR, 117 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ethan Loss
6 REC, 86 YDS
Dayton
passing
Drew VanVleet
30/48, 183 YDS
rushing
Luke Hansen
9 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jake Coleman
7 REC, 52 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Cole Dow run for a loss of 5 yards to the DAY 20 Cole Dow fumbled, recovered by DAY Cole Dow

2nd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 11 yds to the DAY 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.44

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for no gain to the DAY 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 17 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jyran Mitchell run for 1 yd to the DAY 47

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Bret Bushka run for 6 yds to the DAY 41

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Bret Bushka run for no gain to the DAY 41

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.39

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jeremy Johnson for 7 yds to the DAY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 4 yds to the DAY 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 6 yds to the DAY 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 11 yds to the DAY 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jyran Mitchell run for no gain to the DAY 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ryan Lezon for 3 yds to the DAY 10

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Bret Bushka run for 3 yds to the DAY 7

4th & 4Field Goal Good+24 yds

Luka Zurak 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Cole Dow run for 3 yds to the DAY 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Michael Neel run for 5 yds to the DAY 28

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

VANVLEET, Drew pass short up the middle complete for 4 yards to COLEMAN, Jake caught at the DAY30 and advanced to the DAY32 (MASON, Trey;GARRETT, Tyson). PENALTY DAY Holding enforced 10 yards from the DAY28 to the DAY18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Logan Davis run for 6 yds to the DAY 24 Logan Davis fumbled, recovered by BUT Lucas Kozlowski

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Jyran Mitchell run for 24 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 65 yds , return for no gain to the DAY 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 3 yds to the DAY 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 10

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Jyran Mitchell run for 8 yds to the DAY 27

2nd & 2Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.39

run for a loss of 9 yards to the DAY 36

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 7 yds to the DAY 29

4th & 4Field Goal Good+46 yds

Luka Zurak 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 1 yd to the DAY 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 5 yds to the DAY 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 5 yds to the DAY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Luke Hansen run for 13 yds to the DAY 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 7 yds to the BUT 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Derek Willits for 10 yds to the BUT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mason Hackett run for 5 yds to the BUT 29

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the BUT 27

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Cole Dow run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 28

4th & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.67

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 13 yds to the BUT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Gavin Lochow pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+32 yds

Sam Webster 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Bret Bushka run for 6 yds to the BUT 31

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.26

Joey Audia run for a loss of 4 yards to the BUT 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.32

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Suchy for 25 yds to the DAY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Ershod Jasey II run for 7 yds to the DAY 41

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 8 yds Ethan Loss fumbled, recovered by BUT Ershod Jasey II for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 15 yds to the DAY 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jack Bill for 7 yds to the DAY 8

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Bret Bushka run for 1 yd to the DAY 7

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Bret Bushka run for 1 yd to the DAY 6

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Jyran Mitchell run for 3 yds to the DAY 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 3 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 4 yds to the DAY 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 7 yds to the DAY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Luke Hansen run for 3 yds to the DAY 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 1 yd to the DAY 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.21

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 7 yds to the DAY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Drew VanVleet run for no gain to the DAY 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Joey Swanson for 6 yds to the BUT 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Joey Suchy run for 4 yds to the BUT 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 5 yds to the BUT 29

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jyran Mitchell run for 4 yds to the BUT 29

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jyran Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 47 yds, downed at the DAY 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Neel run for 3 yds to the DAY 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 8 yds to the DAY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Mason Hackett run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 35

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Michael Neel run for 3 yds to the DAY 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 5 yds to the DAY 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Joey Audia at the BUT 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.51

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for 55 yds to the DAY 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jyran Mitchell run for 2 yds to the DAY 19

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 yds

Luka Zurak 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Michael Neel run for 15 yds to the DAY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Dayton Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the DAY 37

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Drew VanVleet run for 2 yds to the DAY 39

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Joey Audia at the BUT 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jyran Mitchell run for 4 yds to the BUT 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.43

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 7 yds to the DAY 40 for a 1ST down Dayton Penalty, Roughing the Passer enforced (15 Yards) to the DAY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 9 yds to the DAY 36

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jyran Mitchell run for 1 yd to the DAY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Ershod Jasey II run for 3 yds to the DAY 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 8 yds to the DAY 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jyran Mitchell run for 3 yds to the DAY 21

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -4.18

Bret Bushka pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Michael Neel for 4 yds to the DAY 47

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Luke Hansen run for 4 yds to the BUT 49

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.56

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 8 yds to the BUT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Derek Willits for 12 yds to the BUT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 3 yds to the BUT 26

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 8 yds to the BUT 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.97

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Ershod Jasey II run for 1 yd to the BUT 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Bret Bushka run for 4 yds to the BUT 23

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cam Cope at the DAY 33

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.70

Drew VanVleet sacked by Sam Urbanski for a loss of 8 yards to the DAY 25

2nd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 8 yds to the DAY 33

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 8 yds to the DAY 41

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.30

Michael Neel run for 4 yds to the DAY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Dayton Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the DAY 40

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Luke Hansen run for 9 yds to the DAY 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +3.10

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 8 yds to the BUT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Michael Neel run for 9 yds to the BUT 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.46

Michael Neel run for 1 yd to the BUT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Joey Swanson for 6 yds to the BUT 27

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.09

Luke Hansen run for 9 yds to the BUT 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Luke Hansen run for 6 yds to the BUT 12

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Michael Neel run for 2 yds to the BUT 10

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.32

Luke Hansen run for 2 yds to the BUT 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Luke Hansen run for 6 yds to the BUT 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Luke Hansen run for 2 yds for a TD (Sam Webster KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jyran Mitchell run for 14 yds to the BUT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Bret Bushka run for 2 yds to the BUT 41

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +5.53

Jyran Mitchell run for 59 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 56 yds , return for no gain to the DAY 12

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Michael Neel run for a loss of 2 yards to the DAY 10

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 2 yds to the DAY 12

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.36

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jyran Mitchell run for 1 yd to the DAY 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ethan Loss for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 12

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jyran Mitchell run for 3 yds to the DAY 9

4th & 7Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.28

Bret Bushka pass complete to Ryan Lezon for 9 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Michael Neel run for 8 yds to the DAY 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 4 yds to the DAY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+14 ydsPPA -2.82

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 14 yds Gavin Lochow fumbled, recovered by BUT Peyton Daniels

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ershod Jasey II run for 1 yd to the BUT 43

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Kneel down by SCHOTT, Eddie at BUT42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Butler

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
23 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Dayton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays