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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Dayton by 13.7

Home Win Probability

Dayton 78%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Dayton -8

Edge: Dayton -8 (5.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
Presbyterian
3770320
Dayton
00017017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-103-1710-1717-17
DaytonPresbyterian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREPUNT38ydTO10ydDOWNS615ydFG1157ydPUNT33ydDOWNS1162ydTO626ydTD754ydTO512ydPUNT37ydPUNT617ydPUNT39ydPUNT33ydTO845ydTO629ydTD647ydFG857ydPUNT3-3ydTD1150ydPUNT3-3ydTD1277ydEND1-1ydMISS44ydFG48yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Presbyterian and Dayton
StatisticPresbyterianDayton
Passing16-2516-29
Pass Yards165118
Rush Yards109193
Total Yards274311
Turnovers23
3rd Down5-136-16
Penalties5-507-58
Possession26:2833:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Presbyterian
passing
Tyler Wesley
16/25, 165 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
JB Seay
18 CAR, 61 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Irizarry
4 REC, 47 YDS
Dayton
passing
Drew VanVleet
8/14, 67 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Cole Dow
8 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Derek Willits
4 REC, 39 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Michael Neel run for no gain to the DAY 28

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Drew VanVleet run for 3 yds to the DAY 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Michael Neel for 5 yds to the DAY 36

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 48 yds, downed at the PRES 16

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 48 yds, downed at the PRES 16

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Wesley pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Michael Neel run for a loss of 2 yards to the PRES 49

2nd & 12Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Gavin Lochow run for 12 yds to the PRES 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Logan Davis run for 1 yd to the PRES 36

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Dayton Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the PRES 41

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Derek Willits for 9 yds to the PRES 32

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.29

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.29

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Presbyterian Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Irizarry) to the PRES 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Worth Warner for 12 yds to the DAY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

JB Seay run for no gain to the DAY 48

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

WESLEY, Tyler pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WARNER, Worth thrown to the DAY20. PENALTY DAY Pass Interference on COPE, Cam enforced 15 yards to the DAY33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 10 yds to the DAY 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyler Wesley sacked by Gideon Lampron for a loss of 5 yards to the DAY 28

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

JB Seay run for no gain to the DAY 28

3rd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.98

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jordan Irizarry for 17 yds to the DAY 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Mack Mikko 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Dayton Penalty, False Start (Ben Huefner) to the DAY 21

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.12

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 11 yds to the DAY 32

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Dayton Penalty, False Start (Ben Huefner) to the DAY 27

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Michael Neel run for 2 yds to the DAY 29

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 51 yds , Shawn Lodge returns for no gain to the PRES 10

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 51 yds , Shawn Lodge returns for no gain to the PRES 10

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.46

JB Seay run for 24 yds to the PRES 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

JB Seay run for 3 yds to the PRES 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jordan Irizarry for 6 yds to the PRES 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

JB Seay run for 2 yds to the PRES 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Dominic Kibby for no gain to the PRES 45

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Zach Switzer run for 7 yds to the DAY 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.89

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Worth Warner for 13 yds to the DAY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Zach Switzer run for a loss of 2 yards to the DAY 37

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

JB Seay run for 7 yds to the DAY 30

4th & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.48

Tyler Wesley run for 2 yds to the DAY 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Luke Hansen run for 1 yd to the DAY 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.15

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Derek Willits for 10 yds to the DAY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Joey Swanson for 6 yds to the DAY 45

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Presbyterian Penalty, Offsides (Bradley Russ-Martin) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Hansen for 11 yds to the PRES 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.31

Drew VanVleet sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the PRES 46

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.31

Drew VanVleet sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the PRES 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jordan Irizarry for 1 yd to the PRES 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.87

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Dealo Parson for 12 yds to the DAY 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

JB Seay run for 3 yds to the DAY 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

JB Seay run for 3 yds to the DAY 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Shawn Lodge for 11 yds to the DAY 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Wesley run for 14 yds to the DAY 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Worth Warner for 10 yds for a TD (Mack Mikko KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Michael Neel run for 1 yd to the DAY 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 6 yds to the DAY 43

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Luke Hansen run for 4 yds to the DAY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Luke Hansen run for 1 yd to the DAY 48

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -1.99

Drew VanVleet pass intercepted

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -1.99

Drew VanVleet pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

JB Seay run for 3 yds to the PRES 27

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

JB Seay run for 1 yd to the PRES 28

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Wesley run for 3 yds to the PRES 31

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ezra King punt for 43 yds, downed at the DAY 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Michael Neel run for 4 yds to the DAY 30

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Neel run for 5 yds to the DAY 35

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.18

Luke Hansen run for 4 yds to the DAY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

VANVLEET, Drew scrambles to the left for a loss of 6 yards to the DAY33, out of bounds. PENALTY DAY Holding enforced 10 yards from the DAY39 to the DAY29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Michael Neel run for 4 yds to the DAY 33

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 16Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Michael Neel run for 10 yds to the DAY 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 37 yds, downed at the PRES 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Shawn Lodge for 2 yds to the PRES 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

JB Seay run for no gain to the PRES 27

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Wesley run for 7 yds to the PRES 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ezra King punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.22

Drew VanVleet run for a loss of 4 yards to the DAY 25

2nd & 14Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.28

Drew VanVleet sacked by Alex Herriott and Carter Szydlowski for a loss of 2 yards to the DAY 23

3rd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.15

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Joey Swanson for 9 yds to the DAY 32

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 13 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Tyler Wesley pass complete to JB Seay for 22 yds to the PRES 23 Presbyterian Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.57

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 15 yds to the DAY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

JB Seay run for 7 yds to the DAY 28

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

3rd & 3Penalty+2 yds

Dayton Penalty, Personal Foul (Gideon Lampron) to the DAY 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyler Wesley run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 14

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.97

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Deverious Abercrombie for 13 yds to the DAY 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -6.06

run for 1 yd Tyler Wesley fumbled, recovered by DAY Aiden McKinley

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Michael Neel run for 3 yds to the DAY 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Luke Hansen run for 5 yds to the DAY 28

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.50

Luke Hansen run for 9 yds to the DAY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Cole Dow pass complete to Jake Coleman for 11 yds to the DAY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Cole Dow run for 1 yd to the DAY 49

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.09

Cole Dow pass complete to Luke Hansen for no gain fumbled, recovered by PRES Carter Szydlowski

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

JB Seay run for 2 yds to the DAY 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.48

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Deverious Abercrombie for 15 yds to the DAY 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

WESLEY, Tyler pass to the right incomplete intended for ABERCROMBIE, Deverious thrown to the DAY15. PENALTY DAY Offsides enforced 5 yards from the DAY30 to the DAY25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA -0.10

Zach Switzer run for 18 yds to the DAY 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Zach Switzer run for 4 yds to the DAY 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

JB Seay run for 3 yds for a TD (Mack Mikko KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Cole Dow pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Michael Neel run for 7 yds to the DAY 37

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Michael Neel run for 1 yd to the DAY 38

4th & 2Rush+42 ydsPPA +4.10

Cole Dow run for 42 yds to the PRES 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Cole Dow pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Cole Dow pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Cole Dow pass complete to Derek Willits for 7 yds to the PRES 13

4th & 3Field Goal Good+30 yds

Sam Webster 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

JB Seay run for 1 yd to the PRES 19

2nd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyler Wesley sacked by Nate Hess for a loss of 11 yards to the PRES 8

3rd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Zach Switzer run for 7 yds to the PRES 15

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ezra King punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Cole Dow pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Cole Dow pass complete to Jake Coleman for 7 yds to the PRES 43

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Michael Neel run for no gain to the PRES 43

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.46

Cole Dow run for 6 yds to the PRES 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.21

Michael Neel run for a loss of 7 yards to the PRES 44

2nd & 17Penalty+10 yds

DOW, Cole pass up the middle complete for 11 yards to KEATHLEY, Alec caught at the PRC33 and advanced to the PRC33 (THORNTON, Anthony). PENALTY PRC Holding enforced 10 yards from the PRC44 to the PRC34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Cole Dow pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Neel run for 4 yds to the PRES 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cole Dow pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 5 yds to the PRES 25

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.05

Cole Dow run for 6 yds to the PRES 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Luke Hansen run for 6 yds to the PRES 13

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.42

Michael Neel run for 13 yds for a TD (Sam Webster KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.31

Zach Switzer run for a loss of 3 yards to the PRES 15

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ezra King punt for 62 yds, downed at the DAY 23

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Michael Neel run for 9 yds to the DAY 32

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Michael Neel run for 8 yds to the DAY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Neel run for 4 yds to the DAY 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Cole Dow pass complete to Alec Keathley for 10 yds to the PRES 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Cole Dow pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Luke Hansen run for 2 yds to the PRES 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.35

Cole Dow pass complete to Derek Willits for 13 yds to the PRES 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Michael Neel run for 4 yds to the PRES 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Cole Dow pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.31

Cole Dow run for 25 yds to the PRES 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Cole Dow run for 1 yd to the PRES 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Cole Dow run for 1 yd for a TD (Sam Webster KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NHSG] Kneel down by WESLEY, Tyler at PRC24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Cole Dow pass complete to Michael Neel for a loss of 2 yards to the PRES 27

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Michael Neel run for 3 yds to the PRES 24

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Cole Dow run for 3 yds to the PRES 21

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Sam Webster 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

JB Seay run for 1 yd to the DAY 24

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.71

JB Seay run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 25

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Tyler Wesley run for 8 yds to the DAY 17

4th & 2Field Goal Good+34 yds

Mack Mikko 34 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Presbyterian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
28%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
27%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Dayton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
19%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
29%
14 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays