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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee State by 12.2

Home Win Probability

Tennessee State 75%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

Tennessee State -11.5

Edge: Tennessee State -11.5 (0.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Lindenwood
7001320
Tennessee State
16243043

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284216-737-741-744-14
Tennessee StateLindenwood

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LINTSLINTSLINLINTSTSLINTSLINLINTSLINTSTSLINLINTSLINTSLINTSLINTSLINTSPUNT3-1ydTD665ydTD275ydFG1374ydTD375ydMISS1040ydTD190ydTD880ydUncategorized3-3ydTD217ydPUNT619ydPUNT612ydFG823ydEND26ydTO10ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT3-1ydMISS42ydFG1678ydTD775ydPUNT515ydPUNT32ydPUNT39ydTD755ydPUNT33ydTO330ydUncategorized37yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Lindenwood and Tennessee State
StatisticLindenwoodTennessee State
Passing11-2715-25
Pass Yards221298
Rush Yards66168
Total Yards287466
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-146-14
Penalties3-328-70
Possession27:3032:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Lindenwood
passing
Tyler Kubat
7/13, 114 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chris Gannaway
2 CAR, 27 YDS
receiving
Jeff Caldwell
1 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
Tennessee State
passing
Draylen Ellis
9/14, 236 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jordan Gant
18 CAR, 64 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Da'Shon Davis
5 REC, 200 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Justin Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIN 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Carter Davis pass complete to Justin Williams for 1 yd to the LIN 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Carter Davis pass incomplete to Justin Williams, broken up by Monroe Beard III

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Patrick Turner punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jordan Gant for 4 yds to the TNST 39

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.22

Jordan Gant run for 7 yds to the TNST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Draylen Ellis run for 3 yds to the TNST 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.25

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 8 yds to the LIN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.66

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jordan Gant for 39 yds to the LIN 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jordan Gant run for 4 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

James Lowery kickoff for 54 yds , Spencer Redd return for 14 yds to the LIN 25

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Carter Davis run for 10 yds to the LIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Carter Davis pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 65 yds for a TD (Logan Seibert KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Logan Seibert kickoff for 65 yds , Dayron Johnson return for 8 yds to the TNST 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Deveon Bryant pass complete to Trenton Gillison for 1 yd to the TNST 9

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Jordan Gant run for 3 yds to the TNST 12

3rd & 6Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.64

Deveon Bryant pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 42 yds to the LIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the LIN 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete to Karate Brenson

3rd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.46

Deveon Bryant run for 17 yds to the LIN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete to Dayron Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Deveon Bryant pass complete to Dayron Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the LIN 28

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Deveon Bryant pass complete to Avery Williams for 13 yds to the LIN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, false start (Romello Watson) to the LIN 20

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the LIN 18

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete to Delanie Majors, broken up by Jayden Patrick

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete to Trenton Gillison

4th & 13Field Goal Good+35 yds

James Lowery 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rhodes,Jared rush middle for no gain (Green,James).

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Carter Davis run for 4 yds to the LIN 29

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown+31 ydsPPA -7.16

Josh Green 31 Yd Interception Return (James Lowery PAT failed)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+45 yds

James Lowery kickoff for 63 yds , Spencer Redd return for 45 yds to the LIN 47

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Justin Williams run for 6 yds to the TNST 47

3rd & 17Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +4.32

Carter Davis pass complete to Cole Watson for 26 yds to the TNST 34 Tennessee State Penalty, Defensive holding (Terrell Allen) to the TNST 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Justin Williams run for 4 yds to the TNST 20

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Jared Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 21

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.24

Cooper Justice pass complete to Darrin Fugitt for 15 yds to the TNST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.92

Carter Davis sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the TNST 13

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Jalen Bethany

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Carter Davis pass incomplete to Jeff Caldwell, broken up by Bryce Phillips

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Logan Seibert 30 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+90 ydsPPA +6.79

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 90 yds for a TD

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+90 ydsPPA +6.79

Da'Shon Davis 90 Yd pass from Draylen Ellis (James Lowery Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jordan Gant run for 6 yds to the TNST 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Gant run for 3 yds to the TNST 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Draylen Ellis run for 2 yds to the TNST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.02

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 51 yds to the LIN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Gant run for 5 yds to the LIN 13

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Da'Shon Davis, broken up by Brenden Dye

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

pass incomplete to Jordan Gant

4th & 5Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.33

Draylen Ellis run for 13 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK) Tennessee State Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LIN 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Justin Williams run for 1 yd to the LIN 26

2nd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.58

Cooper Justice sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the LIN 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete to Karate Brenson for a 1ST down Lindenwood Penalty, illegal block (Taylen Blaylock) to the LIN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jordan Gant run for 8 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jared Rhodes run for 11 yds to the LIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Ronnie Thomas

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +2.00

pass incomplete to Jeff Caldwell Tennessee State Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the LIN 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Jeff Caldwell

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Jared Rhodes run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIN 44

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to John Anthony

4th & 12Punt+46 yds

Patrick Turner punt for 36 yds Tennessee State Penalty, Offensive holding (Dion Villiers) to the TNST 10

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

James Lowery kickoff for 65 yds , Jalen Bethany return for 6 yds to the LIN 6

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Justin Williams run for 8 yds to the LIN 14

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Justin Williams run for 1 yd to the LIN 15

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.43

Justin Williams run for 4 yds to the LIN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete to John Anthony

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Justin Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIN 18

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

pass incomplete to Jeff Caldwell

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Patrick Turner punt for 12 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Da'Shon Davis run for 4 yds to the LIN 26

2nd & 6Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.52

Bryant,Deveon rush (Wingate,Donnie), PENALTY TSU holding (Page,Chazan) 10 yards to the LWU16. Tennessee State Penalty, Offensive holding (Chazan Page) to the LIN 36

2nd & 16Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Deveon Bryant run for 10 yds to the LIN 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete to Gerand Turner, broken up by Wesley Hines for a 1ST down Lindenwood Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Wesley Hines) to the LIN 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jordan Gant run for 6 yds to the LIN 7

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Gant,Jordan rush middle (Lowe,Jayson).

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Avery Williams

4th & 4Field Goal Good+29 yds

James Lowery 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

James Lowery kickoff for 64 yds , Jalen Bethany return for 19 yds to the LIN 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jared Rhodes run for 6 yds to the LIN 26

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Jared Rhodes run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIN 35

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.38

Deveon Bryant run for 5 yds to the TNST 20 Deveon Bryant fumbled, recovered by LIN Taylen Blaylock Bryant,Deveon rush middle for 5 yards to the TSU20, fumble by Bryant,Deveon recovered by LWU Blaylock,Taylen, Blaylock,Taylen rush.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the TNST 27

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.37

Draylen Ellis sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the TNST 18

4th & 17Punt+10 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 43 yds , Spencer Redd returns for 10 yds to the LIN 49

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Justin Williams run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

pass incomplete to Jeff Caldwell

3rd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.96

Tyler Kubat sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the LIN 48

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Patrick Turner punt for 37 yds , Dayron Johnson returns for no gain to the TNST 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

pass incomplete to Jeff Caldwell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

pass incomplete to Jeff Caldwell

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Tyler Kubat sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the TNST 18

4th & 8Missed Field Goal Return0 yds

Logan Seibert 40 yd FG MISSED , Gerand Turner return for no gain to the TNST 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Gant run for 6 yds to the TNST 8

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.08

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jordan Gant for 17 yds to the TNST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 9 yds to the TNST 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the TNST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Joshua Meriwether for 9 yds to the TNST 44

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the TNST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Gant run for 5 yds to the LIN 47

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Draylen Ellis run for 5 yds to the LIN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Tre Boone III run for 3 yds to the LIN 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Dayron Johnson for 9 yds to the LIN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Chayil Garnett for a 1ST down Lindenwood Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Wesley Hines) to the LIN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jordan Gant run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIN 21

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the LIN 20

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Ellis,Draylen rush middle , out-of-bounds.

4th & 10Field Goal Good+37 yds

James Lowery 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jared Rhodes run for 7 yds to the LIN 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Tyler Kubat run for 6 yds to the LIN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jared Rhodes run for 3 yds to the LIN 41

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.36

Jared Rhodes run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIN 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.73

Tyler Kubat pass complete to Jared Rhodes for 10 yds to the LIN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Tyler Kubat pass complete to Chase Lanckriet for 12 yds to the TNST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Tyler Kubat pass complete to Jared Rhodes for 40 yds for a TD (Logan Seibert KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Logan Seibert kickoff for 62 yds , Dayron Johnson return for 35 yds to the TNST 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Deveon Bryant pass complete to Dayron Johnson for 3 yds to the TNST 41

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Craig Cunningham run for 11 yds to the LIN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Deveon Bryant run for 2 yds to the LIN 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete to Dayron Johnson, broken up by Taylen Blaylock

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Deveon Bryant pass complete to Craig Cunningham for 4 yds to the LIN 42

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LIN 47

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Jeff Caldwell

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jared Rhodes run for 5 yds to the LIN 25

3rd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler Kubat sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the LIN 22

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Patrick Turner punt for 42 yds , Dayron Johnson returns for no gain to the TNST 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ike Brown run for 2 yds to the TNST 33

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Ike Brown run for 2 yds to the TNST 35

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ike Brown run for 5 yds to the TNST 40

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 15 yds

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.37

Chris Gannaway run for 22 yds to the TNST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Kubat pass complete to Chris Gannaway for 2 yds to the TNST 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Kubat pass complete to Jalen Smith for 5 yds to the TNST 26

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.54

Chris Gannaway run for 5 yds to the TNST 21 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Spencer Redd 21 Yd pass from Tyler Kubat (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Logan Seibert kickoff for 58 yds , Dayron Johnson return for 9 yds to the TNST 16

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Craig Cunningham run for a loss of 2 yards to the TNST 14

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Craig Cunningham run for 2 yds to the TNST 16

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Craig Cunningham run for 3 yds to the TNST 19

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyler Kubat run for 6 yds to the LIN 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.75

Tyler Kubat pass complete to Chris Gannaway for 24 yds to the TNST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.10

Tyler Kubat pass intercepted by Tyler Jones, out-of-bounds.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Craig Cunningham run for 2 yds to the TNST 24

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Craig Cunningham run for 5 yds to the TNST 29

3rd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Tre Boone III run for 19 yds to the TNST 29 for a 1ST down

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.72

End of 4th Qtr

Situational Analysis

Lindenwood

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
24 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
45%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play