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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 36.5

Home Win Probability

South Dakota State 97%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Drake
70007
South Dakota State
1421211470

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-77-147-217-287-357-497-567-637-70
South Dakota StateDrake

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DRASDSDRASDSDRASDSDRASDSDRASDSDRASDSDRASDSDRASDSDRASDSDRASDSDRASDSDRASDSDRASDSDRATD383ydTD475ydPUNT619ydTD736ydPUNT38ydPUNT37ydPUNT35ydTD764ydPUNT39ydTD718ydPUNT520ydTD469ydPUNT520ydTO525ydEND1-1ydTD445ydPUNT31ydTD856ydPUNT31ydTD545ydMISS1444ydTD169ydPUNT53ydTD378ydPUNT37ydPUNT56ydEND512yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Drake and South Dakota State
StatisticDrakeSouth Dakota State
Passing20-3421-30
Pass Yards220259
Rush Yards47359
Total Yards267618
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-166-8
Penalties6-365-65
Possession32:1127:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Drake
passing
Luke Bailey
16/29, 201 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Luke Bailey
3 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Colin Howard
3 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD
South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
18/25, 226 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Angel Johnson
4 CAR, 90 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jaxon Janke
7 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+53 yds

Luke Bailey pass complete to Colin Howard for 53 yds to the SDST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Dorian Boyland run for 1 yd to the SDST 29

2nd & 9Penalty-6 yds

BAILEY, Luke pass short up the middle complete for 9 yards to RADOCHA, Trey caught at the SDS25 and advanced to the SDS20 (FREEMAN, Jason). PENALTY DRA Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HOUSE, Isaac enforced 6 yards from the SDS29 to the SDS35 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +6.67

Luke Bailey pass complete to Colin Howard for 35 yds for a TD (Shane Dunning KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.76

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Michael Morgan for 24 yds to the SDST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.13

Isaiah Davis run for 28 yds to the DRKE 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Isaiah Davis run for no gain to the DRKE 23

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +6.85

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 23 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Christian Galvan run for a loss of 2 yards to the DRKE 23

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Christian Galvan run for no gain to the DRKE 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.86

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 22 yds to the DRKE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Davion Cherwin run for a loss of 5 yards to the DRKE 40

3rd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Luke Bailey pass complete to Jacob McCauley for 4 yds to the DRKE 44

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Amar Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the DRKE 40

3rd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.46

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 16 yds to the DRKE 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 1 yd to the DRKE 23

3rd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.67

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 20 yds to the DRKE 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +5.97

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kevin Brenner for 3 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Luke Bailey pass complete to Dorian Boyland for 2 yds to the DRKE 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Davion Cherwin run for 3 yds to the DRKE 30

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Drake Penalty, False Start (Parker Althaus) to the DRKE 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Luke Bailey pass complete to Sam Rodriguez for 8 yds to the DRKE 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 46 yds , Tucker Large returns for no gain to the SDST 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Amar Johnson run for 7 yds to the SDST 25

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 36 yds, downed at the DRKE 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Christian Galvan run for 4 yds to the DRKE 43

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

BAILEY, Luke pass short to the left complete for 5 yards to RADOCHA, Trey caught at the DRA48 and advanced to the DRA48 (STALBIRD, Isaiah), clock 00:00. PENALTY DRA Holding on ALTHAUS, Parker enforced 10 yards from the DRA43 to the DRA33 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Luke Bailey pass complete to Christian Galvan for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 32

3rd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.40

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 12 yds to the DRKE 44

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the SDST 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 8 yds to the SDST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the DRKE 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.38

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Grahm Goering for 17 yds to the DRKE 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Amar Johnson run for 17 yds to the DRKE 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the DRKE 13

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +7.05

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 13 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Luke Bailey pass complete to Tim Nesslage for 8 yds to the DRKE 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Dorian Boyland run for 1 yd to the DRKE 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Davis run for 5 yds to the DRKE 13

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the DRKE 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Michael Morgan for 5 yds to the DRKE 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 4 yds to the DRKE 9

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.24

Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the DRKE 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the DRKE 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +6.58

run for 1 yd for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.73

Luke Bailey pass complete to Sam Rodriguez for 16 yds to the DRKE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Christian Galvan run for 4 yds to the DRKE 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.42

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 22 yds to the DRKE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.28

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 23 yds to the DRKE 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the DRKE 18

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +6.51

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 18 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dorian Boyland run for 4 yds to the DRKE 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.32

Luke Bailey pass complete to Colin Howard for 15 yds to the DRKE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Dorian Boyland run for 1 yd to the DRKE 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDST 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 6 yds to the SDST 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.70

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Mark Gronowski run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.16

Mark Gronowski pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kneel down by DRA at DRA37 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Isaiah Davis run for 7 yds to the DRKE 38

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Isaiah Davis run for 8 yds to the DRKE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.22

Jaxon Janke run for 25 yds to the DRKE 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +6.33

Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Dorian Boyland run for 1 yd to the DRKE 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Isaiah Davis run for 13 yds to the DRKE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 12 yds to the DRKE 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 10 yds to the DRKE 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Amar Johnson run for 13 yds to the DRKE 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Amar Johnson run for 7 yds to the DRKE 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +7.06

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 1 yd for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Luke Bailey pass complete to Christian Galvan for 1 yd to the DRKE 21

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Christian Galvan run for no gain to the DRKE 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Angel Johnson run for 2 yds to the DRKE 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Chase Mason pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.25

Chase Mason pass complete to Marcus Preston for 20 yds to the DRKE 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Chase Mason pass complete to Grahm Goering for 2 yds to the DRKE 21

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +6.78

Angel Johnson run for 21 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Luke Bailey pass complete to Tim Nesslage for 1 yd to the DRKE 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Dorian Boyland run for no gain to the DRKE 26

3rd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Luke Bailey run for 13 yds to the DRKE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Luke Bailey pass complete to Christian Galvan for 4 yds to the DRKE 43

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Christian Galvan run for no gain to the DRKE 43

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.86

Luke Bailey run for 8 yds to the SDST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BAILEY, Luke pass short up the middle complete for 3 yards to JANUARY, Mitchell caught at the SDS47 and advanced to the SDS46 (MCSHANE, Cullen). PENALTY DRA Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GRAY, Zack enforced 5 yards from the SDS49 to the DRA46 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Luke Bailey pass complete to Christian Galvan for 9 yds to the SDST 45

4th & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.32

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 12 yds to the SDST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Luke Bailey run for 4 yds to the SDST 29

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.82

Dorian Boyland run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDST 31

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Shane Dunning 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +2.84

Chase Mason run for 69 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Blake Ellingson pass complete to Mitchell January for 8 yds to the DRKE 43

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Luke Woodson run for 3 yds to the DRKE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Blake Ellingson pass complete to Gage Vander Leest for 2 yds to the DRKE 48

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Luke Woodson run for no gain to the DRKE 48

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Drake Penalty, False Start (Mitchell January) to the DRKE 43

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Drake Penalty, False Start (Sam Rodriguez) to the DRKE 38

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Blake Ellingson pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Angel Johnson run for 1 yd to the SDST 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Chase Mason pass complete to Greyton Gannon for 11 yds to the SDST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +2.94

Angel Johnson run for 66 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Luke Woodson run for 4 yds to the DRKE 29

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Luke Woodson run for a loss of 3 yards to the DRKE 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Blake Ellingson pass complete to Gage Vander Leest for 6 yds to the DRKE 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 38 yds, downed at the SDST 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Kirby Vorhees run for 8 yds to the SDST 38

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the SDST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kirby Vorhees run for 4 yds to the SDST 44

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the SDST 46

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

BELL, Jon pass to the right complete for 8 yards to GANNON, Greyton caught at the DRA46 and advanced to the DRA46, End of Play. PENALTY SDS Holding on CHRISTENSEN, Quinten enforced 10 yards from the SDS46 to the SDS36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jon Bell pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Luke Woodson run for 2 yds to the DRKE 26

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Luke Woodson run for 8 yds to the DRKE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Blake Ellingson pass complete to Gage Vander Leest for 3 yds to the DRKE 37

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Luke Woodson run for 3 yds to the DRKE 40

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Taj Hughes run for a loss of 4 yards to the DRKE 36

Situational Analysis

Drake

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
10%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
18%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
56%
32 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
12 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th