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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 18.3

Home Win Probability

Southern Illinois 14%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Southern Illinois +14

Edge: South Dakota State -14 (4.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Dakota State
077317
Southern Illinois
0001010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-70-147-1710-17
Southern IllinoisSouth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SISDSSISDSSISDSSISDSSISDSSISDSSISDSSISDSSISDSSISDSDOWNS1357ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT410ydPUNT4-2ydPUNT36ydMISS1060ydTO56ydTD537ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-6ydEND423ydTD372ydPUNT622ydPUNT31ydTO456ydTO858ydTD680ydFG1560ydFG959ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Dakota State and Southern Illinois
StatisticSouth Dakota StateSouthern Illinois
Passing15-2220-24
Pass Yards161225
Rush Yards14783
Total Yards308308
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-124-12
Penalties13-1257-45
Possession31:5028:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
15/21, 161 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Davis
15 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Griffin Wilde
2 REC, 61 YDS, 1 TD
Southern Illinois
passing
Nic Baker
20/24, 225 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nic Baker
15 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
D'Ante' Cox
7 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Strong run for 4 yds to the SIU 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.92

Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 6 yds to the SIU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Shaun Lester run for 8 yds to the SIU 42

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.08

Shaun Lester run for 1 yd to the SIU 43

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.38

Justin Strong run for a loss of 3 yards to the SIU 40

4th & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.63

Colton Hoag run for 21 yds to the SDST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Nic Baker pass complete to Aidan Quinn for 8 yds to the SDST 31

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Vinson Davis III run for 1 yd to the SDST 30

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.40

Nic Baker run for 3 yds to the SDST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nic Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Justin Strong run for 4 yds to the SDST 23

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Southern Illinois Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDST 28

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Nic Baker run for 9 yds to the SDST 19 Nic Baker fumbled, recovered by SIU

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -3.61

Justin Strong run for no gain to the SDST 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 6 yds to the SDST 25

2nd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.78

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 24

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Jadon Janke) to the SDST 19

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Davis run for no gain to the SDST 19

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Hunter Dustman) to the SDST 14

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 59 yds, downed at the SIU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 12 yds to the SIU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Justin Strong run for 2 yds to the SIU 41

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Southern Illinois Penalty, False Start (Shaun Lester) to the SIU 36

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Nic Baker run for 1 yd to the SIU 37

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nic Baker pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Isaiah Davis run for 11 yds to the SDST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDST 45

3rd & 8Penalty-15 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unsportsmanlike Conduct on MCCORMICK, Mason enforced (-15 Yards) to the SDST 30

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Izaiah Hartrup at the SIU 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaelin Benefield run for 3 yds to the SIU 38

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jaelin Benefield run for no gain to the SIU 38

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Nic Baker run for 3 yds to the SIU 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 49 yds, downed at the SDST 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDST 14

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDST 18

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Isaiah Davis run for 7 yds to the SDST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +4.12

Isaiah Davis run for 39 yds to the SIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Isaiah Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the SIU 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 5 yds to the SIU 30

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Hunter Dustman 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 11 yds to the SIU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Zach Gibson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SIU 39

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Shaun Lester run for 4 yds to the SIU 43

3rd & 8Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.95

Nic Baker run for 8 yds to the SDST 49 for a 1ST down Southern Illinois Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nic Baker) to the SIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.85

Nic Baker pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Southern Illinois Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the SIU 32

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Isaiah Davis run for no gain to the SIU 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 9 yds to the SIU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the SIU 17

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 14 yds to the SIU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Justin Strong run for 1 yd to the SIU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nic Baker pass complete to Jaelin Benefield for no gain to the SIU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 8 yds to the SIU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tucker Large at the SDST 25

1st & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.28

Mark Gronowski sacked by Colin Bohanek for a loss of 14 yards to the SDST 11

2nd & 24Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Amar Johnson run for 7 yds to the SDST 18

3rd & 17Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Garret Greenfield) to the SDST 13

3rd & 22Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDST 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Nic Baker run for 8 yds to the SIU 37

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Nic Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

BAKER, Nic pass short to the left complete for 5 yards to HARTRUP, Izaiah caught at the SIU42 and advanced to the SIU42 (GALES, DyShawn;FREEMAN, Jason). PENALTY Before the snap, SIU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the SIU37 to the SIU32. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.24

Nic Baker run for 10 yds to the SIU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 10 yds to the SDST 48 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 21 yds to the SDST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SIU 49

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +4.57

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 49 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 11 yds to the SIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

BAKER, Nic pass short to the left incomplete intended for HARTRUP, Izaiah thrown to the SIU41. PENALTY SDS Holding on GALES, DyShawn enforced 10 yards from the SIU36 to the SIU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Nic Baker pass complete to Jaelin Benefield for a loss of 1 yard to the SIU 45

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Nic Baker run for 7 yds to the SDST 48

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

BAKER, Nic pass deep to the right incomplete intended for COX, D'Ante' broken up by FREEMAN, Jason at the SDS19. PENALTY SDS Offsides on WILSON, Zac enforced 5 yards from the SDS48 to the SDS43 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.65

Nic Baker sacked by Jason Freeman and Ryan Van Marel for a loss of 8 yards to the SIU 49

2nd & 18Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.13

Nic Baker sacked by Cade Terveer and Jarod DePriest for a loss of 6 yards to the SIU 43

3rd & 24Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 4 yds to the SIU 47

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.96

Mark Gronowski sacked by Kam Bowdry for a loss of 6 yards to the SDST 16

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Isaiah Davis run for no gain to the SDST 16

3rd & 16Penalty+5 yds

Southern Illinois Penalty, Offsides (Tim Varga) to the SDST 21

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDST 23

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 62 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Nic Baker run for 1 yd to the SIU 16

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Justin Strong run for 4 yds to the SIU 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +4.06

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 45 yds to the SDST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BAKER, Nic pass to the left complete for -4 yards to SCHWENDEMAN, Ryan caught at the SDS41 and advanced to the SDS39 (SPALDING, Graham;GALES, DyShawn). PENALTY SDS Roughing the Passer on PETERSON, Blake enforced 15 yards from the SDS35 to the SDS20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.48

Nic Baker sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the SDST 29

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.16

Amar Johnson run for 24 yds to the SIU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Amar Johnson run for 13 yds to the SIU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the SIU 29

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the SIU 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.06

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 20 yds to the SIU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-15 yds

JOHNSON, Amar rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the SIU4 (JOHNSON, DJ). PENALTY SDS Chop Block on CHRISTENSEN, Quinten enforced 15 yards from the SIU8 to the SIU23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 23Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 3 yds to the SIU 20

2nd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 7 yds to the SIU 13

3rd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -3.67

Mark Gronowski pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.11

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 25 yds to the SIU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on JOHNSON, Caden enforced (Amar Johnson) to the SDST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Strong run for 5 yds to the SDST 27

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Justin Strong run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 28

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nic Baker run for 4 yds to the SDST 24

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.69

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 24 yds for a TD (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 65 yds , return for no gain to the SDST 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 10 yds to the SDST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDST 25

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the SDST 26

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.65

Mark Gronowski run for 8 yds to the SDST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 12 yds to the SDST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Isaiah Davis run for 11 yds to the SIU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the SIU 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 3 yds to the SIU 36

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SIU 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.50

Mark Gronowski run for 2 yds to the SIU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 2 yds to the SIU 30

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the SIU 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 1 yd to the SIU 27

4th & 5Field Goal Good+44 yds

Hunter Dustman 44 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

DUSTMAN, Hunter kickoff 60 yards from the SDS35 to the SIU5, DAVIS, Vinson returned 12 yards to the SIU17 (JOHNSON, Amar), clock 02:35. PENALTY SDS Offsides on LEE, Jalen B. enforced 5 yards from the SDS35 to the SDS30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 9 yds to the SIU 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Nic Baker run for 7 yds to the SIU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BAKER, Nic pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for HARTRUP, Izaiah broken up by GALES, DyShawn at the SDS18. PENALTY Before the snap, SDS Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the SIU41 to the SIU46. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.56

Nic Baker pass complete to Aidan Quinn for 5 yds to the SDST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 6 yds to the SDST 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.78

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 21 yds to the SDST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.26

Nic Baker sacked by Zac Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the SDST 29

2nd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 5 yds to the SDST 24

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 8 yds to the SDST 16

4th & 4Field Goal Good+39 yds

Thomas Burks 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

[NH] Kneel down by SDS at SIU45 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

[NH] Kneel down by SDS at SIU46 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
43%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Southern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
23 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play