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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Illinois by 4.2

Home Win Probability

Youngstown State 37%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Youngstown State +4

Edge: Southern Illinois -4 (0.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern Illinois
03003
Youngstown State
7731431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-317-324-331-3
Youngstown StateSouthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20YSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSTD775ydPUNT1025ydTD1396ydPUNT3-7ydTO722ydFG1664ydEND20ydPUNT415ydPUNT830ydTO10ydFG4-3ydPUNT3-7ydMISS627ydDOWNS41ydTO311ydDOWNS43ydTD519ydPUNT3-2ydTD736ydPUNT3-2ydEND511yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Illinois and Youngstown State
StatisticSouthern IllinoisYoungstown State
Passing12-2714-18
Pass Yards94156
Rush Yards6167
Total Yards100323
Turnovers12
3rd Down2-137-14
Penalties5-454-24
Possession22:2137:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Illinois
passing
Nic Baker
12/27, 94 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Justin Strong
5 CAR, 8 YDS
receiving
Izaiah Hartrup
5 REC, 68 YDS
Youngstown State
passing
Mitch Davidson
14/18, 156 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyshon King
22 CAR, 117 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Bryce Oliver
5 REC, 76 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyshon King run for 5 yds to the YSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.64

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 17 yds to the YSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Dra Rushton run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.44

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 10 yds to the SIU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Tyshon King run for 40 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 7 yds to the SIU 43

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.03

Justin Strong run for 1 yd to the SIU 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Justin Strong run for 1 yd to the SIU 45

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.24

Shaun Lester run for 3 yds to the SIU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Nic Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Nic Baker run for 8 yds to the YSU 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.55

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 16 yds to the YSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.26

Nic Baker sacked by Devin Lee for a loss of 10 yards to the YSU 38

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nic Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nic Baker pass complete to Aidan Quinn for 4 yds to the YSU 34

4th & 16Penalty-5 yds

Southern Illinois Penalty, Delay Of Game (Thomas Burks) to the YSU 39

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 35 yds, downed at the YSU 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dra Rushton run for 4 yds to the YSU 8

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd to the YSU 9

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, False Start (Anthony Johnson) to the YSU 5

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Tyshon King run for 14 yds to the YSU 19 Tyshon King fumbled, recovered by YSU Tyshon King for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the YSU 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.52

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 39 yds to the SIU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 5 yds to the SIU 34

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Dra Rushton run for 6 yds to the SIU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Dra Rushton for 6 yds to the SIU 22

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Dra Rushton run for 6 yds to the SIU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dra Rushton run for 4 yds to the SIU 12

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the SIU 9

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.49

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 7 yds to the SIU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SIU 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Strong run for 1 yd to the SIU 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Nic Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.17

Nic Baker sacked by Alex Howard and Hunter Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the SIU 9

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Tyjon Jones at the SIU 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the SIU 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Tyshon King for 3 yds to the SIU 32

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyshon King run for 5 yds to the SIU 27

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.16

Dra Rushton run for 6 yds to the SIU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Dra Rushton run for 9 yds to the SIU 12

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.79

Dra Rushton run for a loss of 2 yards to the SIU 14

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

(08:45) KING, Tyshon rush up the middle for a gain of 14 yards to the SIU0, TOUCHDOWN YSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 08:37 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY Before the snap, YSU Illegal Formation on OLIVER, Bryce enforced 5 yards from the SIU14 to the SIU19. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

(08:37) DAVIDSON, Mitch pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for CHARLESTON, CJ broken up by SMITH, Dune at the SIU0, clock 08:30. PENALTY SIU Offsides on COWAN, Devin enforced 5 yards from the SIU19 to the SIU14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -4.21

Mitch Davidson pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 7 yds to the SIU 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.25

Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 4 yds to the SIU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 20 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nic Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 5 yds to the YSU 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 4 yds to the YSU 40

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.90

Nic Baker run for 3 yds to the YSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southern Illinois Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the YSU 42

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nic Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.21

Nic Baker run for 22 yds to the YSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Nic Baker pass complete to Vinson Davis III for 2 yds to the YSU 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 7 yds to the YSU 11

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.37

Justin Strong run for 4 yds to the YSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Nic Baker sacked by Chris Fitzgerald and Anthony Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the YSU 10

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Strong run for 1 yd to the YSU 9

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.46

Nic Baker sacked by Chris Fitzgerald and Dawan Martin for a loss of 7 yards to the YSU 16

4th & 16Field Goal Good+33 yds

Thomas Burks 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Tyshon King run for a loss of 3 yards to the YSU 18

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the YSU 21

0th & 13End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Nic Baker pass complete to Izaiah Hartrup for 18 yds to the SIU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Shaun Lester run for a loss of 3 yards to the SIU 34

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Nic Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Nic Baker pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Max Tomczak at the YSU 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the YSU 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 5 yds to the YSU 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 18 yds to the SIU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Tyshon King run for 8 yds to the SIU 41

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the SIU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the SIU 36

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.56

Mitch Davidson sacked by Devin Cowan and Dune Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the SIU 44

3rd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the SIU 43

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.06

Nic Baker pass intercepted

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd to the SIU 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Mitch Davidson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SIU 2

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyshon King run for a loss of 3 yards to the SIU 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Andrew Lastovka 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shaun Lester run for no gain to the SIU 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nic Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.25

Nic Baker sacked by Dylan Wudke for a loss of 7 yards to the SIU 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Max Tomczak at the YSU 47

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(04:09) DAVIDSON, Mitch pass deep to the left incomplete intended for OLIVER, Bryce broken up by JOHNSON, DJ at the SIU35, clock 04:05. PENALTY SIU Pass Interference on JOHNSON, DJ enforced 15 yards to the SIU38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 3 yds to the SIU 35

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Tyshon King run for 9 yds to the SIU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the SIU 24

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(01:56) DAVIDSON, Mitch pass short to the left complete for 3 yards to RUSHTON, Dra caught at the SIU22 and advanced to the SIU21 (SMITH, Dune), clock 01:49. PENALTY YSU Holding on LEIGH, Desmeal enforced 10 yards from the SIU24 to the SIU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Tyshon King run for 8 yds to the SIU 26

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Clay Medvec 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.73

Nic Baker pass complete to Aidan Quinn for no gain to the SIU 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nic Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Nic Baker run for 1 yd to the SIU 27

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.25

Nic Baker pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the SIU 23

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.12

Mitch Davidson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SIU 27 Mitch Davidson fumbled, recovered by YSU Mitch Davidson

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -3.10

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jake Benio for 11 yds Jake Benio fumbled, recovered by SIU Branson Combs

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Nic Baker run for 7 yds to the SIU 23

2nd & 3Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.01

Nic Baker sacked by Anthony Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the SIU 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Nic Baker pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.29

Nic Baker pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the SIU 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Brandan Serrano for 12 yds to the SIU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyshon King run for 2 yds to the SIU 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Tyshon King run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Shaun Lester run for 3 yds to the SIU 25

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Shaun Lester run for 3 yds to the SIU 28

3rd & 4Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.60

Nic Baker sacked by Dylan Wudke for a loss of 8 yards to the SIU 20

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Max Tomczak at the SIU 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Dra Rushton run for no gain to the SIU 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Brandan Serrano for 2 yds to the SIU 34

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the SIU 31

4th & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.08

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 18 yds to the SIU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tyshon King run for 6 yds to the SIU 7

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Dra Rushton run for 6 yds to the SIU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jimmy Athans run for a loss of 2 yards to the SIU 15

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Nic Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Nic Baker pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 41 yds, downed at the YSU 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Dante Walker run for 2 yds to the YSU 46

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Da'Shaun Whatley run for 5 yds to the SIU 49

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.61

Da'Shaun Whatley run for 6 yds to the SIU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

(01:00) [NHSG] Kneel down by DAVIDSON, Mitch at SIU44 (team loss of 1), clock 00:54.

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

(00:33) [NHSG] Kneel down by DAVIDSON, Mitch at SIU45 (team loss of 1), clock 00:29.

Situational Analysis

Southern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
17 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
32%
22 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play