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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 19.3

Home Win Probability

South Dakota 12%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

South Dakota +14.5

Edge: South Dakota State -14.5 (4.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Dakota State
01761437
South Dakota
30003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-73-143-203-233-303-37
South DakotaSouth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSDSSDSDSSDSDSSDSDSSDSDSSDSSDSDSSDSDSSDSDSSDFG1142ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-4ydTO45ydPUNT510ydTD1493ydPUNT613ydTD467ydTO739ydFG640ydFG760ydPUNT725ydFG950ydPUNT519ydTD1172ydTO727ydTD867ydEND22yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Dakota State and South Dakota
StatisticSouth Dakota StateSouth Dakota
Passing13-2117-31
Pass Yards207133
Rush Yards26650
Total Yards473183
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-104-11
Penalties6-354-28
Possession35:5924:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
13/19, 207 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Davis
17 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
Jaxon Janke
3 REC, 93 YDS
South Dakota
passing
Aidan Bouman
17/31, 133 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Travis Theis
9 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
JJ Galbreath
8 REC, 65 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 10 yds to the SDAK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDAK 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.24

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 18 yds to the SDST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 1 yd to the SDST 43

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDST 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 5 yds to the SDST 35

4th & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Keyondray Jones for 7 yds to the SDST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDST 26

3rd & 8Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.31

Aidan Bouman run for a loss of 7 yards to the SDST 33

4th & 15Field Goal Good+50 yds

Will Leyland 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Davis run for 5 yds to the SDST 19

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDST 14

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDST 9

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.07

Isaiah Davis run for no gain to the SDST 9

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDST 11

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for a loss of 4 yards to the SDAK 40

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 34 yds, downed at the SDST 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 8 yds to the SDST 39

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the SDST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SDST 36

1st & 17Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Mark Gronowski pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 5 yds to the SDAK 33

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.90

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 6 yds to the SDAK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDAK 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-10 yds

BOUMAN, Aidan scrambles up the middle for a gain of 13 yards to the SDS47 (REEDER, Cale). PENALTY USD Holding on COTTON, Joe enforced 10 yards from the USD40 to the USD30 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.12

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 8 yds to the SDAK 38

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Isaiah Davis run for 8 yds to the SDST 15

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the SDST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.29

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 17 yds to the SDST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 11 yds to the SDST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Mark Gronowski run for 4 yds to the SDAK 49

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the SDAK 44

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.00

Isaiah Davis run for 5 yds to the SDAK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Mark Gronowski run for 4 yds to the SDAK 35

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the SDAK 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the SDAK 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Michael Morgan for 5 yds to the SDAK 23

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jadon Janke run for 7 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Travis Theis run for 4 yds to the SDAK 18

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Travis Theis run for 5 yds to the SDAK 23

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDAK 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDAK 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tucker Large at the SDST 33

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Isaiah Davis run for 13 yds to the SDST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.72

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 30 yds to the SDAK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Amar Johnson run for 20 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 19 yds to the SDAK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 5 yds to the SDAK 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 5 yds to the SDST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 8 yds to the SDST 38

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.99

Aidan Bouman pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Mark Gronowski run for 8 yds to the SDST 36

2nd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.41

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 19 yds to the SDAK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Mark Gronowski run for 13 yds to the SDAK 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+49 yds

Hunter Dustman 49 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the SDST 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.00

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 52 yds to the SDAK 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Garret Greenfield) to the SDAK 15

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Isaiah Davis run for 8 yds to the SDAK 7

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDAK 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Hunter Dustman 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 8 yds to the SDAK 33

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 7 yds to the SDAK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Aidan Bouman sacked by Cade Terveer for a loss of 4 yards to the SDAK 36

2nd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.71

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the SDST 24

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Angel Johnson run for 9 yds to the SDST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.08

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 24 yds to the SDAK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Angel Johnson run for 5 yds to the SDAK 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Angel Johnson for 7 yds to the SDAK 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.24

Isaiah Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDAK 35

2nd & 14Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Jadon Janke) to the SDAK 40

2nd & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds to the SDAK 35

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 14Penalty+5 yds

South Dakota Penalty, Encroachment on SHORTER, Dennis enforced (Dennis Shorter) to the SDAK 30

4th & 9Field Goal Good+47 yds

Hunter Dustman 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Travis Theis run for 7 yds to the SDAK 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Nate Thomas run for 5 yds to the SDAK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 5 yds to the SDAK 42

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDAK 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Amar Johnson run for 7 yds to the SDST 35

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the SDST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the SDST 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 6 yds to the SDST 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the SDAK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDAK 43

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Mark Gronowski run for 6 yds to the SDAK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDAK 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Michael Morgan for 7 yds to the SDAK 28

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Mason McCormick) to the SDAK 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.31

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 13 yds to the SDAK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Amar Johnson run for 20 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 2 yds to the SDAK 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Charles Pierre Jr. for 6 yds to the SDAK 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.74

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 9 yds to the SDAK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.31

Aidan Bouman pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Angel Johnson run for 3 yds to the SDST 36

2nd & 7Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.47

Chase Mason run for 21 yds to the SDAK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Chase Mason run for 8 yds to the SDAK 35

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Mason pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.95

Angel Johnson run for 15 yds to the SDAK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Angel Johnson run for 12 yds to the SDAK 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Angel Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDAK 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Angel Johnson run for 4 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mike Mansaray run for 5 yds to the SDAK 30

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.03

Mike Mansaray run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDAK 27

Situational Analysis

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
62%
29 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th

South Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
22 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play