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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 31.8

Home Win Probability

South Dakota State 96%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

South Dakota State -24

Edge: South Dakota State -24 (7.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Iowa
03036
South Dakota State
141014341

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-024-031-338-341-341-6
South Dakota StateNorthern Iowa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NISDSNISDSNISDSNISDSNISDSNISDSNISDSNISDSNISDSNISDSNIPUNT520ydTD855ydTO310ydTD635ydTO220ydTO233ydTO1348ydTO624ydTO1-4ydTD447ydTO535ydFG735ydFG455ydTD874ydPUNT3-5ydTD983ydPUNT31ydFG1143ydFG764ydUncategorized31ydEND822yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Iowa and South Dakota State
StatisticNorthern IowaSouth Dakota State
Passing18-2621-26
Pass Yards224291
Rush Yards40169
Total Yards264460
Turnovers52
3rd Down6-107-11
Penalties2-156-47
Possession24:3735:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Iowa
passing
Theo Day
16/24, 210 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Zach Brand
6 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Sam Schnee
4 REC, 104 YDS
South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
21/26, 291 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Isaiah Davis
17 CAR, 103 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Zach Heins
4 REC, 69 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 6 yds to the UNI 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 8 yds to the UNI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Naran Buntin run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNI 36

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 9 yds to the UNI 45

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Theo Day run for no gain to the UNI 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cael Loecher punt for 10 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Isaiah Davis run for 1 yd to the SDST 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.36

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 23 yds to the UNI 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the UNI 29

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the UNI 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Michael Morgan for 13 yds to the UNI 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GRONOWSKI, Mark pass short to the left incomplete intended for JANKE, Jadon thrown to the UNI13. PENALTY SDS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GREENFIELD, Garret enforced 5 yards from the UNI15 to the UNI20 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Isaiah Davis run for 7 yds to the UNI 13

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.80

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 12 yds to the UNI 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Theo Day pass complete to Alex Allen for 12 yds to the UNI 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Naran Buntin run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNI 35 Naran Buntin fumbled, recovered by SDST Jason Freeman

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Michael Morgan for 5 yds to the UNI 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Isaiah Davis run for 8 yds to the UNI 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Mark Gronowski run for 6 yds to the UNI 16

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 13 yds to the UNI 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Theo Day pass complete to Layne Pryor for 9 yds to the UNI 34

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -2.17

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 11 yds to the UNI 45 Harrison Bey-Buie fumbled, recovered by SDST Steven Arrell

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the UNI 42

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+30 ydsPPA -3.19

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 30 yds Zach Heins fumbled, recovered by UNI Tate Sander

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 3 yds to the UNI 15

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jc Roque Jr. run for 2 yds to the UNI 17

3rd & 5Penalty+7 yds

DAY, Theo pass to the right incomplete intended for SCHNEE, Sam thrown to the UNI24. PENALTY SDS Pass Interference on LARGE, Tucker enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the UNI24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Theo Day pass complete to Layne Pryor for 6 yds to the UNI 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 7 yds to the UNI 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jc Roque Jr. run for 5 yds to the UNI 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Josh Jenkins run for 6 yds to the SDST 44

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Theo Day run for 4 yds to the SDST 40 Theo Day fumbled, recovered by UNI Theo Day for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.97

Theo Day pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 8 yds to the SDST 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Illegal Block (Jadon Janke) to the SDST 31

1st & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds to the SDST 36

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 7 yds to the SDST 43

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.91

Mark Gronowski run for 6 yds to the SDST 49 Mark Gronowski fumbled, recovered by UNI Woo Governor

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -3.24

Josh Jenkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNI 47 Josh Jenkins fumbled, recovered by SDST Caleb Francl

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Isaiah Davis run for 15 yds to the UNI 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.27

Isaiah Davis run for 13 yds to the UNI 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the UNI 16

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.72

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 16 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 6 yds to the UNI 27

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, False Start (Jared Penning) to the UNI 22

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Theo Day run for no gain to the UNI 22

3rd & 9Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.67

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 33 yds to the SDST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jc Roque Jr. run for 1 yd to the SDST 44

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -2.75

Theo Day pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 5 yds to the SDST 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.35

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 13 yds to the UNI 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Mark Gronowski run for 11 yds to the UNI 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Grahm Goering for 3 yds to the UNI 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

run for 3 yds to the UNI 25

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+42 yds

Hunter Dustman 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

DAY, Theo pass up the middle incomplete intended for HUTSON, Desmond thrown to the UNI35. PENALTY SDS Pass Interference on GALES, DyShawn enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the UNI35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Zach Brand run for 12 yds to the UNI 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.28

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 23 yds to the SDST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 10 yds to the SDST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+38 yds

Matthew Cook 38 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Isaiah Davis run for 1 yd to the SDST 27

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.06

Isaiah Davis run for 15 yds to the SDST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.94

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 38 yds to the UNI 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the UNI 14

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Amar Johnson run for 8 yds to the UNI 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Amar Johnson run for no gain to the UNI 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 6 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 4 yds to the UNI 39

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Zach Brand run for 1 yd to the UNI 40

3rd & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.11

Theo Day sacked by Cade Terveer and Jarod DePriest for a loss of 10 yards to the UNI 30

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 53 yds, downed at the SDST 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the SDST 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 4 yds to the SDST 24

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.46

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 10 yds to the SDST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the SDST 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.30

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 22 yds to the UNI 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNI 45

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Amar Johnson run for 7 yds to the UNI 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.95

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 15 yds to the UNI 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 23 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 7 yds to the UNI 32

2nd & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.60

Theo Day sacked by Caden Johnson and Cade Terveer for a loss of 6 yards to the UNI 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Theo Day pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDST 34

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Davis run for 5 yds to the SDST 39

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.19

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Mark Gronowski run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

DAVIS, Isaiah rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the UNI49 (SANDER, Tate). PENALTY SDS Holding on O'BRIAN, John enforced 10 yards from the SDS50 to the SDS40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Isaiah Davis run for 7 yds to the SDST 47

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.33

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 14 yds to the UNI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Isaiah Davis run for 10 yds to the UNI 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the UNI 25

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Amar Johnson run for no gain to the UNI 25

4th & 6Field Goal Good+42 yds

Hunter Dustman 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jc Roque Jr. run for 4 yds to the UNI 14

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Zach Brand run for 4 yds to the UNI 18

3rd & 2Pass Reception+66 ydsPPA +4.32

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 66 yds to the SDST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Theo Day pass complete to Naran Buntin for 1 yd to the SDST 15

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.26

Theo Day sacked by Isaiah Stalbird for a loss of 7 yards to the SDST 22

3rd & 16Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.76

Theo Day sacked by Ryan Van Marel and Cade Terveer for a loss of 4 yards to the SDST 26

4th & 20Field Goal Good+43 yds

Matthew Cook 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Mason run for 4 yds to the SDST 29

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.94

Angel Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDST 25

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Mason run for 1 yd to the SDST 26

4th & 9Penalty+46 yds

DUSTMAN, Hunter punt 46 yards to the UNI28, fair catch by WOLF, Logan, clock 04:35. PENALTY SDS Unsportsmanlike Conduct on SPALDING, Graham UNI Unsportsmanlike Conduct on HUTSON, Desmond , Offsetting penalties. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Zach Brand run for no gain to the UNI 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Alex Allen for 8 yds to the UNI 36

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.55

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 6 yds to the UNI 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Brand run for 5 yds to the UNI 47

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Zach Brand run for 8 yds to the SDST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, Offensive Holding (Alex Allen) to the UNI 49

1st & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Aidan Dunne run for 3 yds to the SDST 48

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Aidan Dunne run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
48%
23 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
8 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th