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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Iowa by 2.2

Home Win Probability

Northern Iowa 52%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Youngstown State
103141441
Northern Iowa
61432144

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284213-1020-1323-2744-34
Northern IowaYoungstown State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20YSNIYSNIYSNIYSNIYSNIYSNININIYSNIYSNIYSYSNIYSNIYSNIYSNIFG567ydPUNT3-1ydTD959ydTD879ydPUNT3-3ydTD673ydTO3-2ydTD440ydPUNT730ydPUNT635ydFG845ydEND20ydTO10ydFG860ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-9ydTD39ydPUNT3-7ydTD648ydDOWNS49ydTD784ydPUNT415ydTD570ydTD1070ydTD215ydTD575ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Youngstown State and Northern Iowa
StatisticYoungstown StateNorthern Iowa
Passing31-4121-29
Pass Yards333337
Rush Yards8599
Total Yards418436
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-133-10
Penalties4-124-44
Possession33:2326:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Youngstown State
passing
Mitch Davidson
30/40, 332 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dra Rushton
10 CAR, 34 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bryce Oliver
7 REC, 111 YDS, 1 TD
Northern Iowa
passing
Theo Day
21/29, 337 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tye Edwards
21 CAR, 124 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Naran Buntin
3 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +3.98

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 61 yds to the UNI 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 2 yds to the UNI 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 7 yds to the UNI 17

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Tyshon King run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNI 20

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Matthew Cook kickoff for 64 yds , Amarian Robinson return for 12 yds to the YSU 13

4th & 4Field Goal Good+38 yds

Andrew Lastovka 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Clay Medvec kickoff for 50 yds , Josh Jenkins return for 22 yds to the UNI 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Alex Allen

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Tyjahree Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 36

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey

4th & 11Punt+11 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 34 yds , Max Tomczak returns for 11 yds to the YSU 41

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Dra Rushton run for 7 yds to the YSU 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Dra Rushton for 4 yds to the UNI 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dra Rushton run for 5 yds to the UNI 43

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Mitch Davidson run for 9 yds to the UNI 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyshon King run for 5 yds to the UNI 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Brandan Serrano for 11 yds to the UNI 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Beau Brungard pass complete to Jake Benio for 1 yd to the UNI 17

2nd & 9Penalty+9 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, personal foul (Jahsiah Galvan) to the UNI 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the UNI 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Mitch Davidson run for 6 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Clay Medvec kickoff for 63 yds , Josh Jenkins return for 19 yds to the UNI 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyjahree Edwards run for 1 yd to the UNI 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.73

Theo Day pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 40 yds to the YSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, false start (Jared Penning) to the YSU 43

1st & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.20

Tyjahree Edwards run for 16 yds to the YSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 5 yds to the YSU 22

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyjahree Edwards run for 3 yds to the YSU 19

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyjahree Edwards run for 1 yd to the YSU 18

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, off-side (Chris Fitzgerald) to the YSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Layne Pryor 13 Yd pass from Theo Day (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 yds

Noah Pettinger pass incomplete to Layne Pryor

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Max Tomczak

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyshon King run for a loss of 3 yards to the YSU 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

pass incomplete to Jake Benio

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 51 yds , Logan Wolf returns for no gain to the UNI 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 10 yds to the UNI 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.39

Tyjahree Edwards run for 40 yds to the YSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.15

Theo Day pass complete to Naran Buntin for 13 yds to the YSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyjahree Edwards run for 3 yds to the YSU 7

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyjahree Edwards run for 5 yds to the YSU 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Theo Day pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Dra Rushton run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

pass incomplete

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA +0.21

Mitch Davidson pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ben Belken) to the UNI 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16
2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.30

Theo Day pass complete to Tyjahree Edwards for 16 yds to the YSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Theo Day pass complete to Tyjahree Edwards for 7 yds to the YSU 32

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.71

Theo Day pass complete to Naran Buntin for 32 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 10 yds to the YSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Dra Rushton

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the YSU 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Tyshon King for 10 yds to the YSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 5 yds to the UNI 47

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd to the UNI 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 1 yd to the UNI 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 14 yds to the UNI 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 6 yds to the UNI 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.47

Theo Day pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 15 yds to the YSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyjahree Edwards run for 3 yds to the YSU 42

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Tyjahree Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the YSU 45

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

pass incomplete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey

4th & 10Punt+30 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 45 yds for a 1ST down Northern Iowa Penalty, personal foul (Naran Buntin) to the YSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Dra Rushton run for 6 yds to the YSU 41

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.66

Dra Rushton run for 5 yds to the YSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 2 yds to the YSU 48

2nd & 8Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.12

Tyshon King run for 25 yds to the UNI 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 1 yd to the UNI 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver, broken up by Woo Governor

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Mitch Davidson run for 6 yds to the UNI 20

4th & 3Field Goal Good+38 yds

Clay Medvec 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Clay Medvec kickoff for 54 yds , Josh Jenkins return for 35 yds to the UNI 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.84

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the YSU 35

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Theo Day pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyjahree Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 16

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

pass incomplete to Logan Wolf

3rd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.32

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 22 yds to the UNI 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.19

Theo Day pass complete to Naran Buntin for 34 yds to the YSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyjahree Edwards run for 3 yds to the YSU 25

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyjahree Edwards run for 2 yds to the YSU 23

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Sam Schnee

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Clay Medvec kickoff for 65 yds , Josh Jenkins return for 17 yds to the UNI 17

4th & 5Field Goal Good+40 yds

Matthew Cook 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Mitch Davidson sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the YSU 18

2nd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyshon King run for 6 yds to the YSU 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 6 yds to the YSU 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 2 yds to the UNI 23

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.64

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UNI 14

3rd & 17Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.04

Theo Day pass complete to Tyjahree Edwards for a loss of 2 yards to the UNI 12

4th & 19Punt+2 yds

punt for no gain , Deamontae Diggs returns for 2 yds to the UNI 9

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyshon King run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Dra Rushton for 9 yds to the UNI 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Clay Medvec kickoff for 60 yds , Josh Jenkins return for 10 yds to the UNI 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 3 yds to the UNI 18

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Theo Day pass incomplete to Logan Wolf, broken up by Greg Benton Jr.

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.25

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the UNI 8

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd to the UNI 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

pass incomplete to Colt Sechrest

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.60

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 11 yds to the UNI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jake Benio for 8 yds to the UNI 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.50

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 27 yds to the UNI 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyshon King run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Dra Rushton run for 8 yds to the UNI 17

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Mitch Davidson run for 1 yd to the UNI 16

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51
4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.83
1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.57

Theo Day pass complete to Alex Allen for 32 yds to the UNI 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Tyjahree Edwards run for 1 yd to the UNI 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 10 yds to the YSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88
2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Theo Day pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 9 yds to the YSU 32

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.43

Theo Day run for 2 yds to the YSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 30 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 12 yds to the YSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Joey Farthing

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 3 yds to the YSU 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to C.J. Charleston, broken up by Jonathan Cabral-Martin

4th & 7Punt+10 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 40 yds , Logan Wolf returns for 10 yds to the UNI 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyjahree Edwards run for 4 yds to the UNI 34

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyjahree Edwards run for 4 yds to the UNI 38

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyjahree Edwards run for 1 yd to the UNI 39

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, off-side (Deamontae Diggs) to the UNI 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.56

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 26 yds to the YSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Tyjahree Edwards run for 30 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Matthew Cook kickoff for 65 yds , C.J. Charleston return for 30 yds to the YSU 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 6 yds to the YSU 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Tyshon King for 1 yd to the YSU 37

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Mitch Davidson run for 3 yds to the YSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Dra Rushton for 12 yds to the UNI 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07
2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Tyshon King for 4 yds to the UNI 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.92

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jake Benio for 8 yds to the UNI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to C.J. Charleston

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.85

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 31 yds to the UNI 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 5 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Clay Medvec kickoff for 10 yds , Dalesean Staley return for 25 yds to the YSU 15

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Tyjahree Edwards run for 12 yds to the YSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty+2 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, personal foul (D'Marco Augustin) to the YSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, personal foul (Anthony Johnson) to the YSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Theo Day run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 17 yds to the YSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.32

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 17 yds to the UNI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Dra Rushton for 6 yds to the UNI 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.54

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 26 yds to the UNI 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Luke Hensley for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Theo Day run for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 45

Situational Analysis

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
53%
30 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
71%
7 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th