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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota by 4.8

Home Win Probability

Northern Iowa 35%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Northern Iowa +4.5

Edge: North Dakota -4.5 (0.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota
00000
Northern Iowa
7107327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142810-017-024-027-0
Northern IowaNorth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDNINDNINININDNINDNINDNDNINDNINDNDNININDNIPUNT729ydPUNT30ydTO837ydTD765ydFG1167ydEND53ydMISS1158ydTD580ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT523ydPUNT515ydPUNT33ydTD975ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT35ydDOWNS979ydTO34ydFG717ydPUNT844ydPUNT3-9ydUncategorized2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota and Northern Iowa
StatisticNorth DakotaNorthern Iowa
Passing19-3013-22
Pass Yards172239
Rush Yards15163
Total Yards187402
Turnovers20
3rd Down1-124-11
Penalties2-139-70
Possession27:0132:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota
passing
Tommy Schuster
17/28, 164 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Gaven Ziebarth
4 CAR, 27 YDS
receiving
Caden Dennis
2 REC, 70 YDS
Northern Iowa
passing
Theo Day
13/22, 239 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Amauri Pesek-Hickson
31 CAR, 180 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Sam Schnee
5 REC, 90 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Luke Skokna for 1 yd to the UND 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 11 yds to the UND 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Luke Skokna run for 4 yds to the UND 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.53

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Luke Skokna for 11 yds to the UNI 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Gaven Ziebarth

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Wesley Eliodor

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Tommy Schuster run for 7 yds to the UNI 41

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, delay of game (Quincy Vaughn) to the UNI 46

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Theo Day run for 0 yds to the UNI 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Theo Day pass incomplete to Desmond Hutson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 6 yds to the UND 39

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the UND 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.27

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 12 yds to the UNI 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Caden Dennis run for 7 yds to the UNI 41

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Gaven Ziebarth run for 6 yds to the UNI 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 5 yds to the UNI 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Isaiah Smith run for 0 yds to the UNI 30

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -3.40

Tommy Schuster run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNI 35 Tommy Schuster fumbled, recovered by UNI Caden Houghtelling

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 17 yds to the UND 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the UND 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.35

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 20 yds to the UND 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the UND 19

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 0 yds to the UND 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 5 yds to the UND 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 14 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.77

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 33 yds to the UND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the UND 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.15

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 8 yds to the UND 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the UND 34

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 10 yds to the UND 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sam Schnee

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 10 yds to the UND 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the UND 13

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 0 yds to the UND 13

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Theo Day run for 0 yds to the UND 13

4th & 9Field Goal Good+30 yds

Matthew Cook 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the UNI 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.87

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 11 yds to the UNI 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sam Schnee

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, Offensive holding (Josh Volk) to the UNI 39

3rd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the UNI 35

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Gaven Ziebarth run for 17 yds to the UND 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Nate DeMontagnac

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Gaven Ziebarth run for 3 yds to the UND 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 6 yds to the UNI 49

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.38

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the UNI 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.73

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Caden Dennis for 20 yds to the UNI 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Simon Romfo for a 1ST down Northern Iowa Penalty, face mask (12 yards) (Caden Houghtelling) to the UNI 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Max Gunderson for 2 yds to the UNI 10

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 2 yds to the UNI 8

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.60

Tommy Schuster sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UNI 17

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+34 yds

C.J. Elrichs 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 8 yds to the UNI 28

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the UNI 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the UNI 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.86

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +6.56

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 70 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the UND 23

2nd & 12Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.43

Tommy Schuster sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the UND 10

3rd & 25Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.03

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Luke Skokna for 10 yds to the UND 20

4th & 15Punt+44 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 34 yds Northern Iowa Penalty, Offensive holding (Dalesean Staley) to the UNI 36

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 12 yds to the UND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.93

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 23 yds to the UND 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the UND 21

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.58

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the UND 28 Northern Iowa Penalty, intentional grounding (Theo Day) to the UND 28

3rd & 14Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.30

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the UND 36

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Luke Skokna run for 9 yds to the UND 29

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Luke Skokna run for 5 yds to the UND 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Luke Skokna run for 1 yd to the UND 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Jack Wright

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Nate DeMontagnac

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 46 yds , Logan Wolf returns for no gain to the UNI 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Tommy Schuster run for 0 yds to the UND 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Isaiah Smith

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Luke Skokna for 3 yds to the UND 31

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Matthew Cook kickoff for 58 yds , Wesley Eliodor return for 21 yds to the UND 28

4th & 7Punt+44 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 34 yds Northern Iowa Penalty, Offensive holding (Desmond Hutson) to the UNI 25

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 9 yds to the UNI 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.28

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 20 yds to the UND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 8 yds to the UND 38

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, false start (Jared Penning) to the UND 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.42

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 29 yds to the UND 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Theo Day pass incomplete to Desmond Hutson

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.40

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 11 yds to the UND 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the UND 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Theo Day pass complete to Brady McCullough for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Matthew Cook kickoff for 50 yds , Wesley Eliodor return for 17 yds to the UND 32

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.67

Tommy Schuster sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UND 23

2nd & 19Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 12 yds to the UND 35

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.66

Tommy Schuster sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the UND 27

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Theo Day pass incomplete to Desmond Hutson, broken up by Sammy Fort

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the UNI 23

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Theo Day pass incomplete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson, broken up by Malachi McNeal

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 61 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -0.75

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith North Dakota Penalty, Offensive holding (Nate DeMontagnac) to the UND 8

1st & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.56

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 12 yds to the UND 20

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.72

Isaiah Smith run for 7 yds to the UND 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Tommy Schuster for a 1ST down Northern Iowa Penalty, personal foul (Devin Rice) to the UND 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +2.24

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Caden Dennis for 50 yds to the UNI 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Red Wilson

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 3 yds to the UNI 5

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.95

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist, broken up by Dalesean Staley

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Luke Skokna run for 4 yds to the UND 12

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Jack Wright

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA +0.19

Tommy Schuster pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the UND 29

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the UND 25

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the UND 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Josh Jenkins run for 0 yds to the UND 21

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the UND 18

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the UND 17

4th & 6Field Goal Good+35 yds

Matthew Cook 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the UNI 6

2nd & 9Penalty-3 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, false start (Chase Arends) to the UNI 3

2nd & 12Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.94

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 18 yds to the UNI 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the UNI 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 10 yds to the UNI 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 20 yds to the UND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Josh Jenkins run for 2 yds to the UND 45

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Josh Jenkins run for 3 yds to the UND 42

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, false start (Josh Volk) to the UND 47

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.21

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the UNI 49

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-17 ydsPPA -1.30

Trey Feeney run for a loss of 17 yards to the UND 8 Trey Feeney fumbled, recovered by UND Trey Feeney

2nd & 27Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Trey Feeney pass complete to Jack Wright for 4 yds to the UND 12

3rd & 23Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Trey Feeney pass complete to Jack Wright for 4 yds to the UND 16

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Theo Day run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNI 38

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Theo Day run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 38

Situational Analysis

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
14%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
28 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
63%
16 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th