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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota by 12.3

Home Win Probability

North Dakota 77%

Market (Bovada)

North Dakota -34.5

Edge: Drake +34.5 (22.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Drake
00077
North Dakota
014271455

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-028-034-041-048-755-7
North DakotaDrake

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DRANDDRANDDRANDDRANDDRANDDRANDDRANDDRANDDRANDDRANDDRANDDRANDPUNT833ydMISS955ydPUNT34ydTD959ydTO742ydTD1167ydMISS1062ydTO662ydEND10ydTD179ydTO411ydTD548ydDOWNS527ydTD872ydDOWNS633ydTD558ydTD1265ydTD675ydDOWNS737ydPUNT34ydDOWNS518ydTD158ydPUNT35ydEND20yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Drake and North Dakota
StatisticDrakeNorth Dakota
Passing18-4426-31
Pass Yards226364
Rush Yards106288
Total Yards332652
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-186-9
Penalties6-505-35
Possession26:0933:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Drake
passing
Luke Bailey
15/33, 194 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Luke Woodson
4 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Colin Howard
5 REC, 100 YDS
North Dakota
passing
Tommy Schuster
22/26, 262 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Gaven Ziebarth
7 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bo Belquist
7 REC, 110 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dorian Boyland run for 4 yds to the DRKE 23

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Dorian Boyland run for 1 yd to the DRKE 24

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.19

Luke Bailey pass complete to Dorian Boyland for 14 yds to the DRKE 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Dorian Boyland run for 7 yds to the DRKE 45

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Davion Cherwin run for 7 yds to the UND 42

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Luke Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Luke Bailey pass complete to Eli Stewart for 6 yds to the UND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Isaiah Smith run for 8 yds to the UND 37

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Isaiah Smith run for 8 yds to the UND 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the UND 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.50

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 17 yds to the DRKE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Gaven Ziebarth for 10 yds to the DRKE 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Gaven Ziebarth run for 6 yds to the DRKE 18

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the DRKE 16

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Brady Stevens 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Christian Galvan run for 1 yd to the DRKE 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Luke Bailey pass complete to Tim Nesslage for 3 yds to the DRKE 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Quincy Vaughn for 12 yds to the DRKE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 48

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.22

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 10 yds to the DRKE 42

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the DRKE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

[SG] Kneel down by SCHUSTER, Tommy at DRA33 (team loss of 3).

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the DRKE 32

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Drake Penalty, Offsides (Finn Claypool) to the DRKE 27

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Gaven Ziebarth run for 13 yds to the DRKE 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy Schuster run for 4 yds to the DRKE 10

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the DRKE 5

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.49

Tommy Schuster run for 5 yds for a TD (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Davion Cherwin run for 3 yds to the DRKE 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Davion Cherwin run for 2 yds to the DRKE 30

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Drake Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the DRKE 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty+15 yds

DUNNING, Shane punt 34 yards to the UND41, fair catch by BELQUIST, Bo. PENALTY UND Roughing the Kicker on MCNEAL, Malachi enforced 15 yards from the DRA25 to the DRA40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Luke Bailey pass complete to Colin Howard for 17 yds to the UND 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Luke Bailey pass complete to Colin Howard for 5 yds to the UND 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Dorian Boyland run for 4 yds to the UND 34

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -3.64

Dorian Boyland run for 1 yd to the UND 33 Dorian Boyland fumbled, recovered by UND Wyatt Pedigo

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.08

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 24 yds to the DRKE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Gaven Ziebarth run for 3 yds to the DRKE 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 9 yds to the DRKE 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Caden Dennis for 12 yds to the DRKE 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 4 yds to the DRKE 15

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 5 yds to the DRKE 10

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.24

run for 2 yds to the DRKE 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 9 yds for a TD (Brady Stevens KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 64 yds , return for no gain to the DRKE 12

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Christian Galvan run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 11

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Christian Galvan run for 2 yds to the DRKE 13

3rd & 9Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.12

Luke Bailey pass complete to Colin Howard for 48 yds to the UND 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Taj Hughes run for no gain to the UND 39

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Dorian Boyland run for 8 yds to the UND 31

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

Dorian Boyland run for 2 yds to the UND 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 3 yds to the UND 26

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Shane Dunning 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 15 yds to the UND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 7 yds to the UND 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.15

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 22 yds to the DRKE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.28

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 18 yds to the DRKE 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.17

Tommy Schuster run for no gain to the DRKE 29 Tommy Schuster fumbled, recovered by DRKE Trystan Anderson

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kneel down by BAILEY, Luke at DRA29 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+79 ydsPPA +6.33

Gaven Ziebarth run for 79 yds for a TD (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Luke Bailey pass complete to Colin Howard for 12 yds to the DRKE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Dorian Boyland run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 42

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Luke Bailey pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Red Wilson run for 14 yds to the DRKE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.32

Isaiah Smith run for 14 yds to the DRKE 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.40

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Caden Dennis for 18 yds to the DRKE 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Isaiah Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Quincy Vaughn for 3 yds for a TD (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.23

Luke Bailey pass complete to Colin Howard for 18 yds to the UND 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.97

Luke Bailey pass complete to Christian Galvan for no gain to the UND 37

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA -1.22

Luke Bailey run for 9 yds to the UND 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 13 yds to the UND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (Cade Borud) to the UND 36

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Red Wilson run for 4 yds to the UND 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.99

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 24 yds to the DRKE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the DRKE 32

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the DRKE 37

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Tommy Schuster run for 6 yds to the DRKE 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.97

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 6 yds to the DRKE 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 2 yds to the DRKE 23

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.94

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 23 yds for a TD (Brady Stevens PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Deyon Campbell run for 2 yds to the DRKE 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.24

Luke Bailey pass complete to Sam Rodriguez for 31 yds to the UND 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.69

Trey Feeney pass complete to Red Wilson for 26 yds to the DRKE 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gaven Ziebarth run for 5 yds to the DRKE 27

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Grant Romfo run for 5 yds to the DRKE 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.45

Trey Feeney pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 15 yds to the DRKE 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Donavan Hunt run for 7 yds for a TD (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Luke Bailey pass complete to Hunter Johnson for 6 yds to the DRKE 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.53

Luke Bailey pass complete to Hunter Johnson for 14 yds to the UND 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Luke Bailey run for 5 yds to the UND 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.64

Luke Bailey pass complete to Ian Corwin for 12 yds to the UND 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.59

Christian Galvan run for 24 yds to the UND 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Christian Galvan run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Luke Bailey pass complete to Ian Corwin for 5 yds for a TD (Shane Dunning KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Grant Romfo run for 6 yds to the UND 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.50

Trey Feeney pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 28 yds to the DRKE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Grant Romfo run for 2 yds to the DRKE 39

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Simon Romfo run for 6 yds to the DRKE 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Trey Feeney pass incomplete

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.42

Trey Feeney pass complete to Elijah Klein for 33 yds for a TD Drake Penalty, Pass Interference Roughing the Passer on THOMPSON, Jacob of (Chris Davis Jr.) declined (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Luke Woodson run for 5 yds to the DRKE 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Blake Ellingson pass complete to Luke Woodson for 3 yds to the DRKE 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.88

Blake Ellingson pass complete to Parker Olthoff for 23 yds to the UND 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Blake Ellingson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Blake Ellingson pass complete to Taj Hughes for 6 yds to the UND 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Blake Ellingson pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.83

Blake Ellingson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Grant Romfo run for 5 yds to the UND 43

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Donavan Hunt run for no gain to the UND 43

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Grant Romfo run for 4 yds to the UND 47

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (Ethan Ball) to the UND 42

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 18 yds

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.46

Luke Woodson run for 18 yds to the UND 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Blake Ellingson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Blake Ellingson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Blake Ellingson pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Blake Ellingson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.56

Donavan Hunt run for 58 yds for a TD (Brady Stevens KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

C.J. Elrichs kickoff for 57 yds , return for no gain to the DRKE 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Luke Woodson run for no gain to the DRKE 20

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Luke Woodson run for 5 yds to the DRKE 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Blake Ellingson pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 44

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kneel down by ROMFO, Simon at UND44 (team loss of 0).

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kneel down by ROMFO, Simon at UND44 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Drake

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
54%
13 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
66%
32 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
75%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play