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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Incarnate Word by 13.6

Home Win Probability

Houston Christian 21%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Incarnate Word
141071445
Houston Christian
0731424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-147-2410-3817-45
Houston ChristianIncarnate Word

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HCIWHCIWIWHCIWHCIWHCIWHCIWHCIWHCIWHCIWHCIWHCIWIWHCTO513ydDOWNS835ydPUNT34ydTD362ydTD529ydPUNT31ydTD874ydDOWNS1146ydTD780ydTD786ydFG1041ydTO727ydEND220ydPUNT730ydMISS948ydFG1058ydTD1065ydPUNT32ydTD164ydPUNT39ydTD761ydTD875ydTD482ydPUNT38ydUncategorized39yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Incarnate Word and Houston Christian
StatisticIncarnate WordHouston Christian
Passing29-3823-37
Pass Yards407202
Rush Yards155114
Total Yards562316
Turnovers12
3rd Down9-164-11
Penalties7-623-25
Possession31:3128:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Incarnate Word
passing
Zach Calzada
29/38, 407 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Jarrell Wiley
14 CAR, 93 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Caleb Chapman
7 REC, 170 YDS, 3 TD
Houston Christian
passing
Colby Suits
23/37, 202 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Darryle Evans
12 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Karl Reynolds
6 REC, 58 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 59 yds , Jesse Valenzuela return for 15 yds to the HCU 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Ismael Fuller, broken up by Tiji Paul

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 5 yds to the HCU 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 8 yds to the HCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Deuce McMillan

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.68

Colby Suits pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 5 yds to the UIW 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.06

Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 15 yds to the HCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Jaelin Campbell run for a loss of 4 yards to the HCU 39 Jaelin Campbell fumbled, recovered by UIW Campbell,Jaelin rush left for loss of 4 yards to the HCU39, fumble by Campbell,Jaelin, out-of-bounds.

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Dekalon Taylor run for 7 yds to the HCU 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Dekalon Taylor, broken up by Josh Ferguson

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Dillon Fedor kickoff for 54 yds , Jaelon Travis return for 23 yds to the UIW 42 Houston Christian Penalty, off-side (-5 Yards) to the UIW 39

4th & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -2.04

Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 6 yds to the HCU 26

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Deuce McMillan run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 25

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Colby Suits run for 5 yds to the HCU 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Ismael Fuller, broken up by Tiji Paul

4th & 6Punt+8 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 40 yds , Dekalon Taylor returns for 8 yds to the UIW 38

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Robinson run for 5 yds to the UIW 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.15

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 53 yds to the HCU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Isaiah Robinson run for 4 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.31

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelin Campbell Incarnate Word Penalty, illegal shift (Brandon Porter) to the HCU 34

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Dekalon Taylor run for 1 yd to the HCU 33

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Dekalon Taylor

3rd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 5 yds to the HCU 28

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Mason Lawler 45 yd FG MISSED

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 1 yd to the HCU 27

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

pass incomplete to Caleb Chapman

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.25

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 16 yds to the UIW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +1.98

Jarrell Wiley run for 41 yds to the HCU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Brandon Porter run for 3 yds to the HCU 14

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 3 yds to the HCU 11

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.75

Jarrell Wiley run for 5 yds to the HCU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 6 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 54 yds , Jesse Valenzuela return for 23 yds to the HCU 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jesse Valenzuela run for 5 yds to the HCU 39

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.57

Jesse Valenzuela run for a loss of 4 yards to the HCU 35 Jesse Valenzuela fumbled, recovered by HCU Christian Hood Valenzuela,Jesse rush left for loss of 4 yards to the HCU35, fumble by Valenzuela,Jesse recovered by HCU Hood,Christian, Hood,Christian rush.

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.96

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins for a 1ST down Incarnate Word Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Ronald Wilson) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jesse Valenzuela run for 1 yd to the UIW 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Interception+5 ydsPPA -1.02

Colby Suits pass intercepted Incarnate Word Penalty, off-side (Tre Siggers) to the UIW 45

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Incarnate Word Penalty, off-side (Brandon Richard) to the UIW 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 12 yds to the UIW 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jesse Valenzuela run for 3 yds to the UIW 25

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jesse Valenzuela run for 4 yds to the UIW 21

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Colby Suits run for 1 yd to the UIW 20

4th & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -3.55

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 16 yds to the UIW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Robinson run for 4 yds to the UIW 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.41

Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 27 yds to the HCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 6 yds to the HCU 27

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

pass incomplete to Jaelin Campbell

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 7 yds to the HCU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 20 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 65 yds , Jesse Valenzuela return for 14 yds to the HCU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 10 yds to the HCU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.30

Darryle Evans run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Darryle Evans run for 7 yds to the UIW 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 2 yds to the UIW 41

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Colby Suits run for 3 yds to the UIW 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 1 yd to the UIW 37

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.69

Colby Suits pass complete to Calvin Wiggins for 37 yds for a TD (Dillon Fedor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jaelon Travis run for 6 yds to the UIW 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.65

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 16 yds to the UIW 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 8 yds to the HCU 45

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

pass incomplete to Jaelin Campbell

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the HCU 44

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.40

Isaiah Robinson run for 10 yds to the HCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.66

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Caleb Chapman, broken up by Isaiah Cash

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to CJ Hardy, broken up by Caleb Flagg

4th & 10Field Goal Good+51 yds

Mason Lawler 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 7 yds to the HCU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Colby Suits pass complete to Calvin Wiggins for 1 yd to the HCU 33

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Darryle Evans run for 5 yds to the HCU 38 Darryle Evans fumbled, recovered by HCU Darryle Evans for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins, broken up by Ronald Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.56

Colby Suits run for 2 yds to the UIW 40 for a 1ST down Incarnate Word Penalty, personal foul (John Mathis) to the UIW 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.68

Colby Suits sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the UIW 48

2nd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -1.84

Colby Suits pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Dekalon Taylor run for 5 yds to the UIW 34 for a 1ST down Houston Christian Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Judas McKenzie) to the UIW 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 12 yds to the UIW 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Colby Suits pass complete to Ismael Fuller for 9 yds to the HCU 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Darryle Evans run for 2 yds to the HCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Alvin Edney

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 15 yds to the UIW 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Darryle Evans run for 5 yds to the UIW 44

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Darryle Evans run for 4 yds to the UIW 40

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, false start (Nonso Omezi) to the UIW 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Ismael Fuller

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 10 yds to the UIW 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jarrell Wiley run for 3 yds to the UIW 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 6 yds to the UIW 39

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.27

Jarrell Wiley run for 4 yds to the UIW 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.62

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 26 yds to the HCU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 1 yd to the HCU 30

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Incarnate Word Penalty, false start (Stanley Mark) to the HCU 35

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the HCU 34

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Zach Calzada run for 2 yds to the HCU 32

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Mason Lawler 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Darryle Evans run for 3 yds to the HCU 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.60

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 23 yds to the UIW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 7 yds to the UIW 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Colby Suits pass complete to Calvin Wiggins for 3 yds to the UIW 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.95

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 8 yds to the UIW 24 for a 1ST down Incarnate Word Penalty, personal foul (Ricky Rich) to the UIW 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Darryle Evans run for 2 yds to the UIW 10

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

pass incomplete to Alvin Edney

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 yds

Dillon Fedor 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Dekalon Taylor run for 3 yds to the UIW 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 6 yds to the UIW 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds to the UIW 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.21

Jaelin Campbell run for 19 yds to the HCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 8 yds to the HCU 27

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

pass incomplete to Jaelin Campbell

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.43

Isaiah Robinson run for 3 yds to the HCU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Caleb Chapman, broken up by Jordan Oliver

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Zach Calzada pass complete to Dekalon Taylor for 9 yds to the HCU 15

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.64

Zach Calzada pass complete to CJ Hardy for 15 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jesse Valenzuela run for 2 yds to the HCU 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds, broken up by Brandon Richard

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 64 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Darryle Evans run for 4 yds to the HCU 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Darryle Evans run for 4 yds to the HCU 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Darryle Evans run for 1 yd to the HCU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jarrell Wiley run for 7 yds to the UIW 46

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Jarrell Wiley run for 1 yd to the UIW 47

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.26

Jarrell Wiley run for 2 yds to the UIW 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Jarrell Wiley run for 10 yds to the HCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jarrell Wiley run for 4 yds to the HCU 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.12

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 35 yds to the HCU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jarrell Wiley run for 2 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jesse Valenzuela run for 5 yds to the HCU 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Jesse Valenzuela run for 6 yds to the HCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Colby Suits pass complete to Alvin Edney for 7 yds to the HCU 43

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Darryle Evans run for 4 yds to the HCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 5 yds to the UIW 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Colby Suits pass complete to Alvin Edney for 8 yds to the UIW 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.50

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 36 yds to the UIW 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Colby Suits run for 4 yds for a TD (Dillon Fedor KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Dillon Fedor kickoff for 47 yds , Dekalon Taylor return for no gain to the UIW 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyrese Brown run for 5 yds to the UIW 23

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyrese Brown run for 1 yd to the UIW 24

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyrese Brown run for 3 yds to the UIW 27

4th & 1Fumble Return Touchdown+8 ydsPPA -7.00

Caleb King 8 Yd Fumble Return (Dillon Fedor Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jarrell Wiley run for 3 yds to the UIW 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jarrell Wiley run for 3 yds to the UIW 31

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jarrell Wiley run for 2 yds to the UIW 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 23 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Justin Fomby run for 7 yds to the UIW 49

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Fudge Woods run for 2 yds to the UIW 47

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Justin Fomby run for 5 yds to the UIW 47 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Incarnate Word

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
60%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Houston Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
28 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play