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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Houston Christian by 8.1

Home Win Probability

Houston Christian 67%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East Texas A&M
076013
Houston Christian
0170017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401417-717-13
Houston ChristianEast Texas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ETAHCETAHCETAHCETAHCETAHCETAHCETAHCETAHCETAHCHCETAHCETAHCPUNT614ydPUNT3-3ydMISS1252ydPUNT36ydTO321ydTD544ydPUNT727ydPUNT33ydPUNT35ydTD695ydTD963ydFG942ydEND10ydPUNT522ydUncategorized1022ydMISS141ydPUNT39ydTD361ydPUNT421ydPUNT620ydPUNT622ydTO1451ydUncategorized522yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Texas A&M and Houston Christian
StatisticEast Texas A&MHouston Christian
Passing21-4022-33
Pass Yards183254
Rush Yards12962
Total Yards312316
Turnovers21
3rd Down8-164-13
Penalties7-755-31
Possession31:5628:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Texas A&M
passing
Josh Magana
20/39, 174 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jordon Hamilton
13 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Keith Miller III
6 REC, 39 YDS
Houston Christian
passing
Colby Suits
21/32, 242 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jesse Valenzuela
16 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Karl Reynolds
9 REC, 119 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Josh Magana pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 7 yds to the TAMC 19

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordon Hamilton run for 2 yds to the TAMC 21

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.51

Josh Magana run for 2 yds to the TAMC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jordon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the TAMC 24

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, false start (Peyton Ellis) to the TAMC 19

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Josh Magana pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 2 yds to the TAMC 21

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Josh Magana pass incomplete to Austin Samaha, broken up by Caleb Flagg

4th & 12Penalty+5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, off-side (Ashton Williams) to the TAMC 26

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Dillon Fedor kickoff for 65 yds , Sean-Krystoff King return for 12 yds to the TAMC 12

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Jesse Valenzuela run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 47

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 13Punt+1 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 40 yds , Sean-Krystoff King returns for 1 yd to the TAMC 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Shamenski Rucker run for 3 yds to the TAMC 19

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.26

Josh Magana run for 13 yds to the TAMC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Josh Magana pass incomplete to Shamenski Rucker, broken up by Jalyx Hunt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.52

Josh Magana pass complete to Shamenski Rucker for 17 yds to the TAMC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Shamenski Rucker run for 4 yds to the HCU 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.02

Josh Magana pass complete to Shamenski Rucker for 10 yds to the HCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Shamenski Rucker run for 1 yd to the HCU 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Josh Magana pass complete to Keith Miller III for 9 yds to the HCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.57

Darlington Frasch run for a loss of 7 yards to the HCU 34

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Keith Miller III

3rd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Josh Magana pass complete to Shamenski Rucker for 2 yds to the HCU 32

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Emmanuel Adagbon 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Darryle Evans run for 3 yds to the HCU 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 3 yds to the HCU 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

pass incomplete to Deuce McMillan

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.32

Jordon Hamilton run for 20 yds to the TAMC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jordon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the TAMC 35

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Josh Magana pass intercepted Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, Defensive holding (Emmanuel Adagbon) to the TAMC 44

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Deuce McMillan run for 6 yds to the TAMC 38

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jesse Valenzuela run for 3 yds to the TAMC 35

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.64

Jesse Valenzuela run for 6 yds to the TAMC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.26

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 17 yds to the TAMC 12 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Dillon Fedor kickoff for 53 yds , Sean-Krystoff King return for 21 yds to the TAMC 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Josh Magana pass complete to Austin Samaha for 14 yds to the TAMC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.99

Josh Magana pass complete to Keith Miller III for a loss of 4 yards to the TAMC 43

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Josh Magana run for 1 yd to the TAMC 44

3rd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.40

Josh Magana pass complete to Austin Samaha for 15 yds to the HCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

pass incomplete to Keith Miller III

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jordon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the HCU 40

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Jerome Buckner

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jesse Valenzuela run for 3 yds to the HCU 6

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Valenzuela,Jesse rush middle (Rodriguez,Levi Drake).

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Ismael Fuller, broken up by Javotrick Dotrey

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 41 yds , Sean-Krystoff King returns for no gain to the HCU 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Josh Magana pass incomplete to Cameron Nellor, broken up by Caleb Flagg

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Shamenski Rucker run for 3 yds to the HCU 44

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, delay of game (Josh Magana) to the HCU 49

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Josh Magana pass complete to Shamenski Rucker for 7 yds to the HCU 42

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.49

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 28 yds to the HCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 21 yds to the TAMC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Darryle Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the TAMC 48

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Evans,Darryle rush left (Dotrey,Javotrick;Joseph,Gerard).

3rd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Colby Suits run for 11 yds to the TAMC 37

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.66

C. Suits pass to D. McMillan for 37 yds for a TD (D. Fedor KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Dillon Fedor kickoff for 46 yds , Jerome Buckner return for 18 yds to the TAMC 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Josh Magana pass complete to Keith Miller III for 5 yds to the TAMC 42

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Jordon Hamilton run for 9 yds to the HCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Magana pass complete to Keith Miller III for 4 yds to the HCU 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Josh Magana pass complete to Keith Miller III for 10 yds to the HCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Josh Magana run for 4 yds to the HCU 31

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, off-side (Lordswill Uwa-Ndukwe) to the HCU 26

2nd & 1Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.53

Josh Magana pass complete to Preston Kilgore for 22 yds to the HCU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Hamilton,Jordon rush middle (Hunt,Jalyx;Gonzales,Charles).

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jordon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the HCU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

J. Hamilton run for 1 yd for a TD (E. Adagbon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 9 yds to the HCU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 6 yds to the HCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Colby Suits pass complete to Alvin Edney for 8 yds to the HCU 48

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.04

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Deuce McMillan for a 1ST down Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, personal foul (Kyree Anderson) to the TAMC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Colby Suits pass complete to Calvin Wiggins for 4 yds to the TAMC 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Alvin Edney, broken up by Jordan Polk

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds

4th & 6Field Goal Good+50 yds

Dillon Fedor 50 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Dillon Fedor kickoff for 62 yds , Sean-Krystoff King return for 17 yds to the TAMC 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordon Hamilton run for 6 yds to the TAMC 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jesse Valenzuela run for 1 yd to the HCU 26

2nd & 9Interception+15 ydsPPA -0.33

Colby Suits pass intercepted for a 1ST down Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Christian Shaw) to the HCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jesse Valenzuela run for 6 yds to the HCU 47

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Jesse Valenzuela run for 2 yds to the HCU 49

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Jesse Valenzuela run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.12

Jordon Hamilton run for 19 yds to the TAMC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jordon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the TAMC 32

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordon Hamilton run for 2 yds to the TAMC 34

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.07

Darlington Frasch run for 8 yds to the HCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

pass incomplete to Keith Miller III

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Josh Magana sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 43

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 31 yds

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Josh Magana pass complete to Darlington Frasch for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

pass incomplete to Jerome Buckner

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Austin Samaha

2nd & 26Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.28

Colby Suits run for 17 yds to the HCU 25

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.85

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 10 yds to the HCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Darryle Evans

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.42

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds for a 1ST down Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, roughing passer (Levi Drake Rodriguez) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jesse Valenzuela run for 1 yd to the TAMC 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.62

Colby Suits pass complete to Calvin Wiggins for 11 yds to the TAMC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Colby Suits pass complete to Adrian Green for 4 yds to the TAMC 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Colby Suits pass complete to Dawson Adams-Grenier for 5 yds to the TAMC 29

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.06

Jesse Valenzuela run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAMC 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 10 yds to the HCU 21

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.57

Darryle Evans run for 3 yds to the HCU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.18

Colby Suits sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the HCU 13

2nd & 21Penalty-5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, false start (Karl Reynolds) to the HCU 8

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Dillon Fedor 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Darryle Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 11

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Lake Bennett pass complete to Zayden Davis for 9 yds to the TAMC 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

pass incomplete to Devin Matthews

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Rucker,Shamenski rush middle (Dansby,Rodney).

4th & 1Punt+12 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 44 yds , Karl Reynolds returns for 12 yds to the HCU 49 Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, Defensive holding (Reiss Vickers) to the HCU 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.95

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 28 yds to the TAMC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Deuce McMillan, broken up by Max Epps

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+86 ydsPPA -10.46

Jaden Rios 86 Yd Interception Return (Emmanuel Adagbon PAT failed)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Jesse Valenzuela run for 16 yds to the HCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jesse Valenzuela run for 2 yds to the HCU 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Aaron Sotelo, broken up by Kion Hurd

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Aidan Martin kickoff for 59 yds , Jesse Valenzuela return for 23 yds to the HCU 29

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Jerome Buckner run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAMC 17

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Josh Magana pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 7 yds to the TAMC 24

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.26

Josh Magana run for 7 yds to the TAMC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Josh Magana pass complete to Zayden Davis for 7 yds to the TAMC 38

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Frasch,Darlington rush middle (Ferguson,Josh).

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Josh Magana pass incomplete to Jerome Buckner, broken up by Isaiah Cash

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jesse Valenzuela run for 6 yds to the HCU 18

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Alvin Edney

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 9 yds to the HCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 2 yds to the HCU 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete to Deuce McMillan

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 5 yds to the HCU 34

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 42 yds , Jerome Buckner returns for no gain to the TAMC 24

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.97

Josh Magana sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the TAMC 20

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Josh Magana pass incomplete to Zayden Davis, broken up by Jordan Oliver

3rd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.04

Josh Magana pass complete to Keith Miller III for 15 yds to the TAMC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Josh Magana pass incomplete to Keith Miller III, broken up by Devion Hargrove

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Josh Magana pass incomplete to Zayden Davis, broken up by Caleb Flagg

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.02

Josh Magana run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Josh Magana pass complete to Austin Samaha for 5 yds to the HCU 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Josh Magana pass incomplete to Shamenski Rucker, broken up by Jordan Oliver

3rd & 5Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.20

Magana,Josh rush (Huff,Andrew), PENALTY AMC holding 10 yards to the HCU35. Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, Offensive holding (Daryion Taylor) to the TAMC 45

3rd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.52

Josh Magana pass complete to Zayden Davis for 15 yds to the HCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Shamenski Rucker run for 15 yds to the HCU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to Keith Miller III

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Keith Miller III

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.24

Josh Magana pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Jesse Valenzuela run for 12 yds to the HCU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.38

Jesse Valenzuela run for a loss of 4 yards to the HCU 28

2nd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.81

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 19 yds to the HCU 47 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

East Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
31%
29 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
4th

Houston Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play