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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nicholls by 5.5

Home Win Probability

Nicholls 63%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Nicholls -14.5

Edge: Houston Christian +14.5 (9.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Houston Christian
70007
Nicholls
7724038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-738-7
NichollsHouston Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HCNICHCNICHCNICHCNICHCNICHCNICHCNICNICHCNICNICHCNICHCNICHCNICHCNICHCNICHCTO514ydTD645ydTD1475ydTO638ydMISS963ydPUNT33ydPUNT612ydPUNT930ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-1ydTD875ydTO26ydMISS10ydTD475ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-2ydTD27ydTO947ydFG640ydPUNT34ydTD764ydPUNT620ydPUNT618ydPUNT32ydPUNT37ydPUNT519ydPUNT530ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston Christian and Nicholls
StatisticHouston ChristianNicholls
Passing19-4215-25
Pass Yards174204
Rush Yards46237
Total Yards220441
Turnovers41
3rd Down5-165-14
Penalties3-207-50
Possession26:5533:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston Christian
passing
Colby Suits
17/38, 170 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Colby Suits
7 CAR, 18 YDS
receiving
Ismael Fuller
2 REC, 35 YDS
Nicholls
passing
Pat McQuaide
15/25, 204 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jaylon Spears
8 CAR, 113 YDS
receiving
David Robinson Jr.
7 REC, 127 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to AJ Wilson

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

AJ Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Darrion Sherfield for a 1ST down Nicholls Penalty, Defensive holding (Jordan Jackson) to the HCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Colby Suits run for 5 yds to the HCU 39

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Darrion Sherfield, broken up by Kendarius Smith

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Tyren Montgomery for 11 yds to the HCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Collin Guggenheim run for 8 yds to the HCU 26

2nd & 2Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.16

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Lee Negrotto for a loss of 3 yards to the HCU 29

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Pat McQuaide run for 12 yds to the HCU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the HCU 14

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.69

Pat McQuaide pass complete to David Robinson Jr. for 14 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jesse Valenzuela run for 7 yds to the HCU 32

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jesse Valenzuela run for 7 yds to the HCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Ismael Fuller, broken up by Kendarius Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 9 yds to the HCU 48

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Jesse Valenzuela run for 4 yds to the NICH 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Nicholls Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the NICH 43

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Darryle Evans run for 1 yd to the NICH 42

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Nicholls Penalty, off-side (Kershawn Fisher) to the NICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Darryle Evans run for 1 yd to the NICH 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 8 yds to the NICH 28

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Darryle Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the NICH 29

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, false start (Zavion Evans) to the NICH 34

4th & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.46

Colby Suits run for 9 yds to the NICH 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.24

Colby Suits pass complete to Ismael Fuller for 22 yds to the NICH 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jesse Valenzuela run for 1 yd to the NICH 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

pass incomplete

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Colby Suits pass complete to Darryle Evans for 2 yds for a TD (Dillon Fedor KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Dillon Fedor kickoff for 65 yds , Jaylon Spears return for 31 yds to the NICH 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds to the NICH 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

pass incomplete to Lee Negrotto

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.53

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Neno Lemay for 13 yds to the NICH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.97

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Jaylon Spears for 19 yds to the HCU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.16

Pat McQuaide pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.10

Colby Suits pass complete to Alvin Edney for 15 yds to the HCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Colby Suits pass complete to Alvin Edney for 4 yds to the HCU 38

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94
3rd & 6Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.82

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins for a 1ST down Nicholls Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jordan Jackson) to the NICH 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.98

Colby Suits pass complete to Calvin Wiggins for 26 yds to the NICH 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Darryle Evans run for 3 yds to the NICH 18

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins, broken up by Kendarius Smith

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Dillon Fedor 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Pat McQuaide sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the NICH 13

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

pass incomplete to Neno Lemay

3rd & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Collin Guggenheim run for 10 yds to the NICH 23

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jesse Valenzuela run for 1 yd to the HCU 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Colby Suits pass incomplete to AJ Wilson, broken up by Jordan Jackson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.39

Colby Suits pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for 14 yds to the HCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Jesse Valenzuela run for a loss of 3 yards to the HCU 38

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Colby Suits pass incomplete to AJ Wilson, broken up by Jordan Jackson

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Colby Suits pass incomplete to AJ Wilson, broken up by Markeyvrick Eddie

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds to the NICH 29

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the NICH 32

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the NICH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Pat McQuaide pass complete to David Robinson Jr. for 11 yds to the NICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Pat McQuaide pass complete to David Robinson Jr. for 6 yds to the HCU 48

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Jaylon Spears run for 6 yds to the HCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaylon Spears run for 5 yds to the HCU 37

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 23 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Colby Suits pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for 1 yd to the HCU 24

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Colby Suits run for 3 yds to the HCU 27

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.41

Colby Suits sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the HCU 22

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the NICH 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Terry Matthews

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

pass incomplete to Terry Matthews

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 41 yds , Deuce McMillan returns for no gain to the HCU 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Colby Suits run for 1 yd to the HCU 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 32

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins, broken up by Markeyvrick Eddie

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Terry Matthews for 8 yds to the NICH 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Pat McQuaide pass complete to David Robinson Jr. for 11 yds to the NICH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Pat McQuaide pass complete to David Robinson Jr. for 12 yds to the HCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Pat McQuaide pass complete to David Robinson Jr. for 10 yds to the HCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds to the HCU 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Tank McMath for 14 yds to the HCU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Neno Lemay for 11 yds to the HCU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Colby Suits run for 6 yds to the HCU 31

2nd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -1.26

Colby Suits pass intercepted

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Gavin Lasseigne 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +3.55

Pat McQuaide pass complete to David Robinson Jr. for 63 yds to the HCU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Neno Lemay, broken up by Caleb Flagg

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Neno Lemay run for 7 yds to the HCU 5

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Ray Vallee kickoff for 59 yds , Deuce McMillan return for 12 yds to the HCU 18

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, false start (Zavion Evans) to the HCU 13

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

pass incomplete to Alvin Edney

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

pass incomplete to Darrion Sherfield

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Darrion Sherfield, broken up by Kendarius Smith

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the HCU 42

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Nicholls Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the HCU 47

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to Tyren Montgomery

4th & 12Punt+2 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 42 yds , Darius Bean returns for 2 yds to the HCU 7

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds to the HCU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Darryle Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the HCU 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Colby Suits pass complete to Adrian Green for 11 yds to the HCU 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.75

Colby Suits pass complete to AJ Wilson for 21 yds to the NICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Darryle Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the NICH 47

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.83

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 12 yds to the NICH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Colby Suits pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for 7 yds to the NICH 28

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins, broken up by Jordan Jackson

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Darrion Sherfield, broken up by Tyler Morton

4th & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -2.89

Colby Suits pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jaylon Spears run for 7 yds to the HCU 44

2nd & 3Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.75

Jaylon Spears run for 28 yds to the HCU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Pat McQuaide run for 1 yd to the HCU 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Terry Matthews for 4 yds to the HCU 11

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Terry Matthews

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Gavin Lasseigne 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Darryle Evans run for no gain to the HCU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 4 yds to the HCU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jaylon Spears run for 8 yds to the NICH 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.35

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Tank McMath Nicholls Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the NICH 39

2nd & 7Rush+58 ydsPPA +4.10

Jaylon Spears run for 58 yds to the HCU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jaylon Spears run for 2 yds to the HCU 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaylon Spears run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Neno Lemay run for 1 yd to the HCU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Darryle Evans run for 3 yds to the HCU 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Darryle Evans run for 2 yds to the HCU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Colby Suits pass complete to Ismael Fuller for 13 yds to the HCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 3 yds to the HCU 46

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Colby Suits run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Ismael Fuller

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Dalmado run for 2 yds to the NICH 17

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jake Dalmado run for 5 yds to the NICH 22

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.85

Jake Dalmado run for 4 yds to the NICH 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Tye Smith-Lindsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NICH 25

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Pat McQuaide run for a loss of 1 yard to the NICH 24

3rd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Tye Smith-Lindsey run for 9 yds to the NICH 33

4th & 3Punt+1 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 29 yds , Deuce McMillan returns for 1 yd to the HCU 34 Houston Christian Penalty, Offensive holding (Zavion Evans) to the HCU 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Darryle Evans run for 2 yds to the HCU 31

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Darryle Evans

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Marquese Albert run for a loss of 1 yard to the NICH 18

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Marquese Albert run for 5 yds to the NICH 23

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Marquese Albert run for 3 yds to the NICH 26

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Calvin Wiggins for 6 yds to the HCU 40

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Darryle Evans run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Deuce McMillan

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Deuce McMillan for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 48

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Nicholls Penalty, off-side (5 Yards) to the NICH 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Deuce McMillan

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56
2nd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.76

Marquese Albert run for 26 yds to the NICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marquese Albert run for 5 yds to the HCU 49

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.64

Tye Smith-Lindsey run for a loss of 2 yards to the NICH 49

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Tye Smith-Lindsey run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.45

Darryle Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the HCU 7

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Houston Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
17%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Nicholls

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
59%
29 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play