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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

UT Martin by 21.8

Home Win Probability

UT Martin 89%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Houston Christian
70007
UT Martin
142421766

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-014-721-728-738-752-759-766-7
UT MartinHouston Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HCUMHCUMHCUMHCUMHCUMHCUMHCUMHCUMHCUMHCUMHCUMHCUMHCUMHCUMPUNT39ydTD794ydTO426ydTD651ydTD475ydPUNT823ydPUNT416ydTD570ydDOWNS721ydTD143ydPUNT3-9ydTD752ydPUNT34ydFG653ydTO733ydEND532ydTD10ydTD1145ydPUNT33ydTD255ydPUNT34ydPUNT518ydTO3-1ydTO540ydPUNT34ydTD560ydPUNT633ydEND1376yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston Christian and UT Martin
StatisticHouston ChristianUT Martin
Passing12-2827-36
Pass Yards174437
Rush Yards48271
Total Yards222708
Turnovers31
3rd Down3-159-15
Penalties4-405-40
Possession21:3838:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston Christian
passing
Colby Suits
10/24, 142 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Champ Dozier
10 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Champ Dozier
3 REC, 67 YDS
UT Martin
passing
Kinkead Dent
20/27, 347 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Sam Franklin
17 CAR, 127 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
DeVonte Tanksley
6 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Colby Suits pass complete to Champ Dozier for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 36

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Champ Dozier run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 35

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Colby Suits pass complete to Alvin Edney for 12 yds to the HCU 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 47 yds, downed at the UTM 6

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Sam Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 5

2nd & 11Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.47

Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 35 yds to the UTM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Sam Franklin run for 5 yds to the UTM 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Sam Franklin for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +5.98

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 50 yds for a TD (Aidan Laros KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Colby Suits pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for 13 yds to the HCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

RJ Smith run for 3 yds to the HCU 41

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.68

Colby Suits sacked by Daylan Dotson for a loss of 7 yards to the HCU 34

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA +0.06

Colby Suits run for 17 yds to the UTM 49 Colby Suits fumbled, recovered by UTM Jack Lucas

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sam Franklin run for 5 yds to the HCU 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.63

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 6 yds to the HCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Sam Franklin run for 6 yds to the HCU 34

2nd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.91

Sam Franklin run for a loss of 5 yards to the HCU 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

4th & 9Penalty+5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, Delay Of Game (Champ Dozier) to the HCU 34

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +4.78

Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 34 yds for a TD (Aidan Laros KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Champ Dozier run for 7 yds to the HCU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +3.59

Colby Suits pass complete to Champ Dozier for 63 yds to the UTM 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Colby Suits run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTM 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 10 yds for a TD (Dillon Fedor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Narkel Leflore run for 4 yds to the UTM 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 9 yds to the UTM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 7 yds to the UTM 49

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.02

Narkel Leflore run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Kinkead Dent run for 5 yds to the HCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Zoe Roberts for 8 yds to the HCU 37

2nd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan Castleberry run for 4 yds to the HCU 48

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

2nd & 2Penalty-15 yds

LEFLORE, Narkel rush up the middle for a gain of 20 yards to the HCU17 (FERGUSON, Josh). PENALTY UTM Illegal Block in the Back on RUCKER, Trevonte enforced 15 yards from the HCU37 to the UTM48 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 20 yds to the HCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Champ Dozier run for 3 yds to the HCU 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Colby Suits pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.03

Colby Suits sacked by Bryce Dailey for a loss of 7 yards to the HCU 36

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sam Franklin run for 5 yds to the UTM 35 Sam Franklin fumbled, recovered by UTM

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.35

Sam Franklin run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTM 31

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

DENT, Kinkead pass up the middle incomplete intended for TANKSLEY, Devonte broken up by FERGUSON, Josh at the UTM44 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY HCU Targeting on FERGUSON, Josh enforced 15 yards from the UTM31 to the UTM46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Sam Franklin run for 1 yd to the UTM 47

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Sam Franklin run for 7 yds to the HCU 46

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.51

Sam Franklin run for 46 yds for a TD (Aidan Laros KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Aidan Laros kickoff for 60 yds , return for no gain to the HCU 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Colby Suits run for no gain to the HCU 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Colby Suits pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.84

Colby Suits pass complete to AJ Wilson for 12 yds to the HCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Colby Suits sacked by Giovanni Davis and Daylan Dotson for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 32

2nd & 12Penalty+5 yds

UT Martin Penalty, Offsides (Jarid Johnson) to the HCU 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Colby Suits pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Colby Suits pass complete to Champ Dozier for 6 yds to the HCU 43

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Colby Suits pass incomplete

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Shawn Hardy II for 43 yds for a TD (Aidan Laros KICK)

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.20

run for a loss of 9 yards to the HCU 16

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Colby Suits pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Colby Suits pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 36 yds, downed at the UTM 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Marlon Cook Jr. for 13 yds to the HCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 14 yds to the HCU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 6 yds to the HCU 19

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.02

Narkel Leflore run for 8 yds to the HCU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Narkel Leflore run for 3 yds to the HCU 8

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Narkel Leflore run for 2 yds to the HCU 6

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.78

Zoe Roberts 6 Yd pass from Kinkead Dent (Aidan Laros Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Champ Dozier run for 4 yds to the HCU 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Colby Suits pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Colby Suits pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 35 yds , Oshae Baker returns for no gain to the UTM 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sam Franklin run for 5 yds to the UTM 36

2nd & 5Rush+41 ydsPPA +2.84

Sam Franklin run for 41 yds to the HCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Sam Franklin run for 2 yds to the HCU 21

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Kinkead Dent run for 6 yds to the HCU 15

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Sam Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 16

4th & 3Field Goal Good+33 yds

Aidan Laros 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Champ Dozier run for 11 yds to the HCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Champ Dozier run for 3 yds to the HCU 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Colby Suits pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for 4 yds to the HCU 43

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.17

Champ Dozier run for 11 yds to the UTM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Colby Suits pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for 4 yds to the UTM 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Colby Suits pass incomplete

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -2.27

Colby Suits pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Jordan Castleberry run for 12 yds to the UTM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.82

Jordan Castleberry run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTM 32

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.07

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Asa Wondeh for 16 yds to the UTM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Shawn Hardy II for 7 yds to the HCU 45

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+95 yds

Narkel Leflore 95 Yd Kickoff Return (Aidan Laros Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

UT Martin Penalty, Illegal Block (Jay Rogers) to the HCU 45

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Kinkead Dent run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 47

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.44

Sam Franklin run for 11 yds to the HCU 36

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Sam Franklin run for 4 yds to the HCU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Sam Franklin for 5 yds to the HCU 27

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

UT Martin Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kinkead Dent) to the HCU 37

4th & 15Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.72

Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 24 yds to the HCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Sam Franklin run for no gain to the HCU 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Sam Franklin for 4 yds to the HCU 9

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.87

Kinkead Dent 9 Yd Run (Aidan Laros Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Champ Dozier run for 1 yd to the HCU 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Champ Dozier run for 2 yds to the HCU 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Colby Suits pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +2.81

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Asa Wondeh for 52 yds to the HCU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Marlon Cook Jr. 3 Yd pass from Kinkead Dent (Aidan Laros Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Colby Suits run for 1 yd to the HCU 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Champ Dozier run for 3 yds to the HCU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Colby Suits pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 35 yds, downed at the UTM 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jordan Castleberry run for 3 yds to the UTM 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.87

Kody Sparks pass complete to Asa Wondeh for 13 yds to the HCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jordan Castleberry run for 2 yds to the HCU 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kody Sparks pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kody Sparks pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

RJ Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 9

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Colby Suits pass incomplete

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA +0.32

Colby Suits pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jordan Castleberry run for 6 yds to the HCU 34

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Castleberry run for 2 yds to the HCU 32

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.80

Kody Sparks pass complete to Ajay Smith for 15 yds to the HCU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Kody Sparks pass complete to Asa Wondeh for 14 yds to the HCU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -5.54

Jordan Castleberry run for 3 yds Jordan Castleberry fumbled, recovered by HCU Xavier McIntyre

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

RJ Smith run for 8 yds to the HCU 28

2nd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.40

RJ Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the HCU 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Justin Fomby pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Oshae Baker at the UTM 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Corey Harris Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTM 43

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Corey Harris Jr. run for 10 yds to the HCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kody Sparks pass complete to Asa Wondeh for 4 yds to the HCU 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Kody Sparks pass complete to Austin Bray for 11 yds to the HCU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Ajay Smith 32 Yd pass from Kody Sparks (Aidan Laros Kick)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Justin Fomby sacked by Charles Perkins for a loss of 4 yards to the HCU 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Justin Fomby pass complete to Alvin Edney for 5 yds to the HCU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.46

Justin Fomby pass complete to Dawson Adams-Grenier for 27 yds to the UTM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

RJ Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTM 49

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

RJ Smith run for 7 yds to the UTM 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Justin Fomby pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 34 yds, downed at the UTM 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Glover Cook III run for 5 yds to the UTM 13

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Glover Cook III run for 10 yds to the UTM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Glover Cook III run for 4 yds to the UTM 27

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Glover Cook III run for 4 yds to the UTM 31

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Glover Cook III run for 3 yds to the UTM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Corey Harris Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTM 36

2nd & 8Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.81

Corey Harris Jr. run for 25 yds to the HCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Kody Sparks pass complete to Deray Lawrence for 1 yd to the HCU 38

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Corey Harris Jr. run for 6 yds to the HCU 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.72

Corey Harris Jr. run for 3 yds to the HCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.25

Glover Cook III run for 16 yds to the HCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Kody Sparks run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 15

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

[NHSG] Kneel down by SPARKS, Kody at HCU16 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Houston Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
26%
19 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
13%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

UT Martin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
54%
37 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
55%
11 plays
55%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play