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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Iowa by 7.9

Home Win Probability

Missouri State 31%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Missouri State +6.5

Edge: Northern Iowa -6.5 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Iowa
306716
Missouri StateMissouri State
71401435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-314-321-321-628-935-935-16
Missouri StateNorthern Iowa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSNIMSNIMSNIMSNIMSNIMSNIMSNIMSNIMSNIMSNIMSNIMSTO635ydTO332ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS53ydTD561ydFG1363ydTD775ydTO57ydTD27ydPUNT727ydMISS1268ydPUNT30ydPUNT32ydFG626ydTO3-2ydFG922ydTD1285ydPUNT517ydTD568ydDOWNS834ydPUNT38ydTD278ydEND523yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Iowa and Missouri State
StatisticNorthern IowaMissouri State
Passing14-3527-35
Pass Yards182326
Rush Yards117104
Total Yards299430
Turnovers22
3rd Down5-145-12
Penalties12-10310-104
Possession27:2732:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Iowa
passing
Theo Day
14/35, 182 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Tye Edwards
12 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Sam Schnee
3 REC, 98 YDS, 1 TD
Missouri State
passing
Jordan Pachot
27/35, 326 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jacardia Wright
15 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Raylen Sharpe
11 REC, 160 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 7 yds to the MOST 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.06

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 24 yds to the UNI 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the UNI 39

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the UNI 35

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.59

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the UNI 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.26

Jordan Pachot sacked by Cannon Butler for a loss of 9 yards to the UNI 40 Jordan Pachot fumbled, recovered by UNI Cannon Butler , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Day,Theo pass incomplete deep middle to Hutson,Desmond PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Hall,P.J.) 15 yards from UNI40 to MSU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Day,Theo pass incomplete deep left to Morancy,Sergio PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Joe,Lemondre) 15 yards from MSU45 to MSU30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Theo Day pass incomplete to Alex Allen

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the MOST 28

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU False Start (Hutchinson,Mark) 5 yards from MSU13 to MSU08. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Pachot pass incomplete to Raylen Sharpe

2nd & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.38

Jacardia Wright run for 12 yds to the MOST 20

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Pachot sacked by Caden Houghtelling for a loss of 8 yards to the MOST 12

4th & 11Punt+10 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 40 yds , Logan Wolf returns for 10 yds to the MOST 42

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MOST 45

1st & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the MOST 43

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sam Schnee

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Theo Day pass incomplete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey

4th & 11Penalty+4 yds

Pettinger,Noah punt 43 yards to the MSU00, Touchback PENALTY MSU Offside (Dixson,Dylan) 4 yards from MSU43 to MSU39. NO PLAY.

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.37

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Terique Owens for 8 yds to the MOST 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Jordan Pachot pass incomplete to Lance Mason

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jordan Pachot pass incomplete to Jmariyae Robinson

4th & 2Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.61

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 34 yds to the UNI 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 19 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyjahree Edwards run for 7 yds to the UNI 32

2nd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.55

Tyjahree Edwards run for 17 yds to the UNI 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyjahree Edwards run for 5 yds to the MOST 46

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyjahree Edwards run for 3 yds to the MOST 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.03

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the MOST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Theo Day pass complete to Alex Allen for 1 yd to the MOST 39

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the MOST 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.00

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 6 yds to the MOST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.23

Tyjahree Edwards run for 16 yds to the MOST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyjahree Edwards run for no gain to the MOST 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sam Schnee

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Theo Day pass incomplete to Logan Wolf

4th & 10Field Goal Good+29 yds

Matthew Cook 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Pachot pass incomplete to Jayden Becks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jordan Pachot pass complete to DVontae Key for 6 yds to the MOST 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Celdon Manning for 3 yds to the MOST 34

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.95

Trae Thompson run for 5 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Wright,Jacardia rush left for 0 yards to the MSU39 (Thomas Jr.,Corry) PENALTY MSU Holding (Cade,Erick) 10 yards from MSU39 to MSU29. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.45

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 29 yds to the UNI 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.75

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Hunter Wood for 28 yds to the UNI 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 14 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyjahree Edwards run for no gain to the UNI 21

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tyjahree Edwards run for no gain to the UNI 21

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 13 yds to the UNI 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Pesek-Hickson,Amauri rush left for 4 yards gain to the UNI38 (Lloyd,Jared) PENALTY UNI Holding (Allen,Alex) 10 yards from UNI34 to UNI24. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the UNI 28

2nd & 16Interception0 ydsPPA -0.01

Theo Day pass intercepted

1st & 7Penalty+4 yds

PENALTY UNI Personal Foul (Kamerling,Keean) 4 yards from UNI07 to UNI03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the UNI 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Gary Clinton for 3 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 7 yds to the UNI 32

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 7 yds to the UNI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Theo Day run for 5 yds to the UNI 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.39

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 13 yds to the MOST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyjahree Edwards run for 3 yds to the MOST 40

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Shotgun Edwards,Tye rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU38 (Lloyd,Jared; Goree,Devin) PENALTY UNI Illegal Formation 5 yards from MSU40 to MSU45. NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the MOST 48

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Raylen Sharpe at the MOST 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.24

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 21 yds to the MOST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jacardia Wright run for 12 yds to the MOST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MOST 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.45

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 10 yds to the UNI 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the UNI 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Gary Clinton for 3 yds to the UNI 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 9 yds to the UNI 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 8 yds to the UNI 22 Missouri State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jmariyae Robinson) to the UNI 32

1st & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.75

Jordan Pachot sacked by Caden Houghtelling for a loss of 6 yards to the UNI 38

2nd & 18Penalty+5 yds

Shotgun Pachot,Jordan pass incomplete deep right to Wood,Hunter broken up by Governor,Woo PENALTY UNI Offside (Boyd,Khristian) 5 yards from UNI38 to UNI33. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jordan Pachot pass incomplete to DVontae Key

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.34

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 12 yds to the UNI 21

4th & 1Blocked Field Goal+38 yds

Owen Rozanc 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Cannon Butler

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the UNI 19

2nd & 6Penalty-9 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Day,Theo pass incomplete short right to Pesek-Hickson,Amauri PENALTY UNI Holding (Roper,Tristan) 9 yards from UNI19 to UNI10. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 5 yds to the UNI 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

4th & 10Punt+14 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 51 yds , Raylen Sharpe returns for 14 yds to the MOST 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 2 yds to the MOST 26

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the MOST 26

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Pachot pass incomplete to DVontae Key

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Logan Wolf at the UNI 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Theo Day pass incomplete to Naran Buntin

2nd & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.81

Tyjahree Edwards run for 27 yds to the MOST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyjahree Edwards run for 3 yds to the MOST 33

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the MOST 31

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

4th & 11Field Goal Good+48 yds

Matthew Cook 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 2 yds to the MOST 28

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jordan Pachot pass incomplete to Raylen Sharpe

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA +0.13

Jordan Pachot pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the MOST 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.02

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for no gain to the MOST 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.03

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 18 yds to the MOST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Theo Day pass incomplete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the MOST 25

3rd & 13Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Day,Theo pass incomplete deep left to Wolf,Logan PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Powell,Avery) 15 yards from MSU25 to MSU10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Tyjahree Edwards run for 4 yds to the MOST 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Theo Day run for no gain to the MOST 6

3rd & 6Penalty-15 yds

Shotgun Day,Theo pass complete short left to Schnee,Sam for 0 yards to the MSU06 PENALTY UNI Pass Interference (Morancy,Sergio) 15 yards from MSU06 to MSU21. NO PLAY.

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

4th & 21Field Goal Good+38 yds

Matthew Cook 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 8 yds to the MOST 23

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Gary Clinton for 6 yds to the MOST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 28

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 5 yds to the MOST 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.32

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 11 yds to the MOST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Jacardia Wright run for 7 yds to the UNI 49

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the UNI 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jayden Becks run for no gain to the UNI 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for no gain to the UNI 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.03

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 35 yds to the UNI 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the UNI 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 10 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Theo Day pass incomplete to Desmond Hutson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.47

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 17 yds to the UNI 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Theo Day pass incomplete to Logan Wolf

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Theo Day pass incomplete to Desmond Hutson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Theo Day pass incomplete to Desmond Hutson

4th & 10Punt+15 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 52 yds , Raylen Sharpe returns for 15 yds to the MOST 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Jacardia Wright run for 9 yds to the MOST 41

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 13 yds to the UNI 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Pachot,Jordan rush right for 2 yards loss to the UNI48 (Belken,Ben) PENALTY UNI Personal Foul (Belken,Ben) 15 yards from UNI46 to UNI31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.30

Jacardia Wright run for 18 yds to the UNI 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jayden Becks run for 1 yd to the UNI 14

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.91

Jayden Becks run for 14 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 8 yds to the UNI 38

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Day,Theo pass incomplete short middle to Hutson,Desmond PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Powell,Avery) 15 yards from UNI38 to MSU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 3 yds to the MOST 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 15 yds to the MOST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UNI False Start (Penning,Jared) 5 yards from MSU29 to MSU34. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Theo Day pass complete to Brady McCullough for 5 yds to the MOST 29

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.18

Theo Day sacked by Cooper Roy for a loss of 7 yards to the MOST 36

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Theo Day pass incomplete to Desmond Hutson

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Theo Day pass incomplete to Logan Wolf

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jayden Becks run for 2 yds to the MOST 38

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jayden Becks run for 2 yds to the MOST 40

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jayden Becks run for 4 yds to the MOST 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Logan Wolf at the UNI 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 12 yds to the UNI 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +5.34

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 66 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Celdon Manning run for 6 yds to the UNI 34

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Celdon Manning run for 5 yds to the UNI 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Celdon Manning run for 6 yds to the UNI 23

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Celdon Manning run for 3 yds to the UNI 20

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.18

Celdon Manning run for 3 yds to the UNI 17 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
22 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
27%
11 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
83%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays