Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri State by 15.9

Home Win Probability

Western Illinois 18%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Western Illinois +17

Edge: Western Illinois +17 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Missouri StateMissouri State
1010141448
Western Illinois
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-107-207-347-41
Western IllinoisMissouri State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSWIMSWIMSWIMSWIWIMSWIMSWIMSWIWIMSWITD894ydTO946ydFG1278ydTD1071ydTD1165ydTO23ydFG820ydEND717ydDOWNS719ydTD644ydDOWNS1125ydTD650ydDOWNS810ydTD335ydTD768ydPUNT31ydPUNT519ydTO518yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri State and Western Illinois
StatisticMissouri StateWestern Illinois
Passing17-2423-33
Pass Yards217213
Rush Yards20355
Total Yards420268
Turnovers04
3rd Down5-108-13
Penalties6-756-60
Possession28:4531:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri State
passing
Jordan Pachot
17/24, 217 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jacardia Wright
22 CAR, 163 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Terique Owens
6 REC, 98 YDS, 1 TD
Western Illinois
passing
Matt Morrissey
23/32, 213 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Seth Glatz
8 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Jaylin Jackson
6 REC, 61 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Jacardia Wright run for 9 yds to the MOST 15

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.02

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 9 yds to the MOST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MOST 28

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.60

Jordan Pachot run for 13 yds to the MOST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.56

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Hunter Wood for 21 yds to the WIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Jordan Pachot run for 9 yds to the WIU 29

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Pachot pass complete to DVontae Key for 10 yds to the WIU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Owen Valek kickoff for 64 yds , Jayden Becks return for 5 yds to the MOST 6

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Jacardia Wright run for 19 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Spencer Grosz kickoff for 50 yds , Jay Parker return for 7 yds to the WIU 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Matt Morrissey run for 4 yds to the WIU 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jay Parker for 15 yds to the WIU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for 8 yds to the WIU 49

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.06

Ludovick Choquette run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Matt Morrissey run for 12 yds to the MOST 38 for a 1ST down Western Illinois Penalty, Offensive holding (Tre Maronic) to the MOST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.95

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Tre Maronic Western Illinois Penalty, Offensive holding (Ryan Merklinger) to the WIU 42

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jay Parker run for 6 yds to the WIU 48

2nd & 14Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.79

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for 5 yds to the MOST 47 for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, personal foul (Sterling Smithson) to the MOST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.13

Jaylin Jackson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.09

Jacardia Wright run for 32 yds to the MOST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jordan Pachot pass incomplete, broken up by Almarion Bell

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.19

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson Missouri State Penalty, illegal shift (Kaunor Ashley) to the MOST 35

2nd & 15Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.38

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Terique Owens for 23 yds to the WIU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Jacardia Wright run for 10 yds to the WIU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61
2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Terique Owens for 7 yds to the WIU 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 11 yds to the WIU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 5 yds to the WIU 9

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the WIU 6

3rd & 2Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.16

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 8 yards to the WIU 14

4th & 10Field Goal Good+31 yds

Owen Rozanc 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Spencer Grosz kickoff for 55 yds , Jay Parker return for 19 yds to the WIU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for 20 yds to the WIU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jay Parker for 14 yds to the MOST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jay Parker run for 6 yds to the MOST 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -2.82

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete to Ludovick Choquette Western Illinois Penalty, Offensive holding (Joey Treccia) to the MOST 41

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Donald McKinney for 6 yds to the MOST 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jack Whyte for 10 yds to the MOST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to Donald McKinney

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Matt Morrissey pass complete to AJ Coons for 1 yd to the MOST 24

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.45

Matt Morrissey sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the MOST 32

4th & 17Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +6.06

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Donald McKinney for 32 yds for a TD (Owen Valek KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Jayden Becks run for a loss of 2 yards to the MOST 33

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Pachot pass incomplete to Jayden Becks, broken up by Anthony Quinney

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.92

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Terique Owens for 14 yds to the MOST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Jacardia Wright run for 8 yds to the WIU 45

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

pass incomplete to DVontae Key

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Lance Mason Missouri State Penalty, illegal shift (Kaunor Ashley) to the WIU 45

4th & 2Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.04

Jacardia Wright run for 33 yds to the WIU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jordan Pachot run for 1 yd to the WIU 11

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Jmariyae Robinson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 6 yds to the WIU 5

4th & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.96

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ludovick Choquette run for 3 yds to the WIU 28

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -0.63

Matt Morrissey pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Jacardia Wright run for 10 yds to the WIU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the WIU 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Jordan Pachot pass complete to DVontae Key for 8 yds to the WIU 5

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.80

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the WIU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the WIU 1

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIU 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Terique Owens

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Owen Rozanc 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Matt Morrissey sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the WIU 21

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18
3rd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.12

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for 15 yds to the WIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -2.02

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete Western Illinois Penalty, Offensive holding (Jeremiah Banks-Wall) to the WIU 26

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Ludovick Choquette

2nd & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Matt Morrissey pass complete to AJ Coons for 16 yds to the WIU 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.32

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Taj Sanders for 11 yds to the MOST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Matt Morrissey run for 8 yds to the WIU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jay Parker

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jay Parker for 2 yds to the WIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Matt Morrissey run for 7 yds to the WIU 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Matt Morrissey run for 2 yds to the WIU 44

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete to Jaylin Jackson, broken up by P.J. Hall

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete to Jaylin Jackson, broken up by Caleb Blake

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97
2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Lance Mason for 7 yds to the WIU 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.07

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 8 yds to the WIU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIU 30

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jordan Pachot pass incomplete to Hunter Wood, broken up by Gage Freeman

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +4.24

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Terique Owens for 30 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Seth Glatz run for 5 yds to the WIU 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jay Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Taj Sanders for 7 yds to the WIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04
2nd & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete to Jaylin Jackson for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (P.J. Hall) to the MOST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Taj Sanders

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.72

Matt Morrissey pass complete to AJ Coons for 10 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Seth Glatz

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jay Parker for a loss of 2 yards Matt Morrissey fumbled, recovered by WIU Jack Whyte

3rd & 12Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.73

Matt Morrissey sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.13

pass incomplete to Seth Glatz

1st & 10Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.90

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jacardia Wright to the 50 yard line Missouri State Penalty, Offensive holding (Mark Hutchinson) to the MOST 40

1st & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Terique Owens for 15 yds to the WIU 45

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Jacardia Wright run for 10 yds to the WIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.46

Jacardia Wright run for 25 yds to the WIU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the WIU 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 9 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70
2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Matt Morrissey pass complete to AJ Coons for 5 yds to the WIU 30

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Matt Morrissey run for 5 yds to the WIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jack Whyte for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the WIU 47

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jay Parker for 4 yds to the MOST 49

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.35

Matt Morrissey sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WIU 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the WIU 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Terique Owens for 9 yds to the WIU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 25 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Spencer Grosz kickoff for 43 yds , Dallas Parker return for 10 yds to the WIU 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jay Parker for 5 yds to the WIU 37

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Seth Glatz run for 8 yds to the WIU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-15 ydsPPA -2.93

Western Illinois Penalty, personal foul (Ryan Merklinger) to the WIU 30

1st & 25Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.26

Seth Glatz run for 3 yds to the WIU 33 for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jared Lloyd) to the WIU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.04

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for 17 yds to the MOST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete to Taj Sanders for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (DeAndre Washington) to the MOST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+69 ydsPPA -11.38

Steven Ward 69 Yd Fumble Return (Owen Rozanc Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+1 yds

Spencer Grosz kickoff for 53 yds , Jay Parker return for 1 yd to the WIU 13

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Matt Morrissey run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIU 12

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Ludovick Choquette run for 2 yds to the WIU 14

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

pass incomplete to AJ Coons

4th & 9Punt+81 yds

Jared Campbell punt for 86 yds Western Illinois Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the MOST 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jayden Becks run for 4 yds to the MOST 29

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Jayden Becks run for 10 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11
2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jayden Becks run for 4 yds to the MOST 43

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jayden Becks run for 1 yd to the MOST 44

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Nate Lamb run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIU 12

2nd & 11Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.46

Seth Glatz run for 18 yds to the WIU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Seth Glatz run for 1 yd to the WIU 31

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53
3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+15 ydsPPA +2.76

Nate Lamb run for 15 yds to the WIU 31 Nate Lamb fumbled, recovered by WIU Nate Lamb for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Western Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
28 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays