Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

UT Martin by 9.8

Home Win Probability

UT Martin 74%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Missouri StateMissouri State
7071731
UT Martin
17701438

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284224-1424-1731-3138-31
UT MartinMissouri State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSTD675ydMISS948ydTO35ydFG622ydPUNT37ydTD1066ydPUNT33ydDOWNS939ydPUNT34ydTD1385ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT614ydTO861ydEND1-1ydMISS1250ydPUNT415ydTD1082ydPUNT3-1ydFG1049ydPUNT33ydTD671ydTD360ydTD1175ydTD876ydEND851yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri State and UT Martin
StatisticMissouri StateUT Martin
Passing27-4814-33
Pass Yards402107
Rush Yards111405
Total Yards513512
Turnovers20
3rd Down10-217-14
Penalties2-205-35
Possession33:5726:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri State
passing
Jacob Clark
23/42, 332 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jacardia Wright
18 CAR, 46 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Raylen Sharpe
7 REC, 142 YDS, 1 TD
UT Martin
passing
Kinkead Dent
14/33, 107 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Sam Franklin
20 CAR, 259 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
DeVonte Tanksley
4 REC, 44 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 12 yds to the MOST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 6 yds to the MOST 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Jayden Becks run for 3 yds to the MOST 45

3rd & 1Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.30

Jacardia Wright run for 22 yds to the UTM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

J. Clark pass to R. Sharpe for 33 yds for a TD (O. Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.78

Sam Franklin run for 20 yds to the UTM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.12

Kinkead Dent run for 14 yds to the MOST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.53

Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 14 yds to the MOST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Aidan Laros 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacob Clark run for 2 yds to the MOST 30

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 31

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jacob Clark sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the MOST 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Narkel Leflore run for 4 yds to the MOST 29

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.37

Narkel Leflore run for 11 yds to the MOST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Narkel Leflore run for 5 yds to the MOST 13

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Shawn Hardy II for 2 yds to the MOST 11

4th & 3Field Goal Good+29 yds

Aidan Laros 29 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Raylen Sharpe run for 8 yds to the MOST 24

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 23

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Oshae Baker at the UTM 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Max Dowling for 4 yds to the UTM 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 5 yds to the UTM 43

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Jordan Castleberry run for 3 yds to the UTM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.66

Jordan Castleberry run for 30 yds to the MOST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Castleberry run for 5 yds to the MOST 19

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 11 yds to the MOST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Castleberry run for 5 yds to the MOST 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

K. Dent pass to A. Bray for 3 yds for a TD (A. Laros KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 1 yd to the MOST 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Oshae Baker at the UTM 35

1st & 72Rushing Touchdown+81 ydsPPA +7.41

Sam Franklin 81 Yd Run (Aidan Laros Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Sam Franklin run for 8 yds to the UTM 43

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Sam Franklin run for 9 yds to the MOST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Marlon Cook Jr. for 7 yds to the MOST 41

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.23

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 6 yds to the MOST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.66

Kinkead Dent sacked by Darion Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the MOST 40

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Sam Franklin run for 2 yds to the MOST 38

3rd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Kinkead Dent run for 7 yds to the MOST 31

4th & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -2.26

Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 5 yds to the MOST 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 4 yds to the MOST 30

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Missouri State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MOST 25

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jacob Clark run for 5 yds to the MOST 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Kinkead Dent run for 8 yds to the UTM 23

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Narkel Leflore run for 2 yds to the UTM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Narkel Leflore for 8 yds to the UTM 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.20

Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 14 yds to the UTM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Narkel Leflore run for 8 yds to the MOST 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Zoe Roberts for 7 yds to the MOST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Narkel Leflore run for 3 yds to the MOST 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.50

Jordan Castleberry run for 9 yds to the MOST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.66

Jordan Castleberry run for 14 yds to the MOST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

K. Dent pass to M. Cook Jr. for 12 yds for a TD (A. Laros KICK)

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Jayden Becks run for a loss of 7 yards to the MOST 13

2nd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Jacob Clark pass complete to Terique Owens for 2 yds to the MOST 15

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 47 yds , Oshae Baker returns for no gain to the UTM 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Sam Franklin run for 6 yds to the UTM 38

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Sam Franklin run for 3 yds to the UTM 41

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Sam Franklin run for 5 yds to the UTM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.34

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 19 yds to the MOST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Jacardia Wright run for 11 yds to the MOST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 45

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the MOST 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.58

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 29 yds to the UTM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Hunter Wood for 2 yds to the UTM 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Pachot pass incomplete

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -3.53

Jordan Pachot pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kneel down by UTM at UTM16 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.58

Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 20 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.13

Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 17 yds to the UTM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the UTM 41

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

UT Martin Penalty, Offsides (Daylan Dotson) to the UTM 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 8 yds to the UTM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 29

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.15

Jayden Becks run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTM 31

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Spencer Grosz 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Sam Franklin run for 13 yds to the UTM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Sam Franklin run for 2 yds to the UTM 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Jacardia Wright run for 8 yds to the MOST 26

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.98

Celdon Manning run for 14 yds to the MOST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Jacob Clark pass complete to Terique Owens for 12 yds to the UTM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.76

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 11 yds to the UTM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 10 yds to the UTM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacob Clark run for 3 yds to the UTM 24

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.44

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 24 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Sam Franklin run for 1 yd to the UTM 26

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Sam Franklin run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTM 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.22

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 15 yds to the MOST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the MOST 44

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jacob Clark run for 4 yds to the MOST 48

4th & 8Penalty+15 yds

UT Martin Penalty, Roughing the Passer on MURRAY, Davonte enforced (Devonte Murray) to the UTM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the UTM 19

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTM 21

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 yds

Owen Rozanc 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

UT Martin Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kinkead Dent) to the UTM 12

2nd & 23Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.07

Sam Franklin run for 9 yds to the UTM 21

3rd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Kinkead Dent run for 7 yds to the UTM 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Aidan Laros punt for 43 yds, downed at the MOST 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MOST 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.63

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 12 yds to the MOST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.72

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 40 yds to the UTM 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTM 17

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Jacob Clark run for 7 yds to the UTM 10

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.84

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 10 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kinkead Dent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Sam Franklin run for 11 yds to the MOST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Sam Franklin run for 49 yds for a TD (Aidan Laros KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.08

Jacob Clark pass complete to Celdon Manning for 23 yds to the MOST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacob Clark run for 5 yds to the UTM 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 12 yds to the UTM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Celdon Manning run for 4 yds to the UTM 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.15

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 28 yds to the UTM 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds for a TD (Owen Rozanc KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Sam Franklin run for 2 yds to the UTM 26

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.82

Kinkead Dent run for 14 yds to the UTM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Sam Franklin run for 4 yds to the UTM 44

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.74

Kinkead Dent run for 16 yds to the MOST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Sam Franklin run for 2 yds to the MOST 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 9 yds to the MOST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UT Martin Penalty, False Start (Lamar Morgan) to the MOST 34

1st & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.26

Sam Franklin run for 14 yds to the MOST 20

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.11

Sam Franklin run for 20 yds for a TD (Aidan Laros KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 15 yds to the MOST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Jacob Clark run for 9 yds to the MOST 49

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.40

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.97

Jacob Clark run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jacob Clark pass complete to Celdon Manning for 1 yd to the UTM 49

3rd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.00

Jordan Pachot pass complete to Terique Owens for 20 yds to the UTM 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Pachot run for 5 yds to the UTM 24

Situational Analysis

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
41%
34 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
10%
10 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

UT Martin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
30 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play