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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Yale
31
-Final
24
Dartmouth
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Yale by 1.3

Home Win Probability

Dartmouth 43%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Dartmouth +4.5

Edge: Dartmouth +4.5 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Yale
71001431
Dartmouth
773724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-1014-1717-1724-2424-31
DartmouthYale

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20YALDARYALDARYALDARDARYALDARYALDARYALDARYALYALDARYALDARYALDARYALDARYALPUNT519ydPUNT34ydPUNT33ydTD776ydPUNT34ydTD676ydPUNT33ydFG943ydTD1475ydTD875ydPUNT35ydEND22ydFG1354ydPUNT3-11ydPUNT4-16ydPUNT36ydTD782ydTD1475ydTD375ydTO718ydPUNT35ydTO315ydUncategorized32yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Yale and Dartmouth
StatisticYaleDartmouth
Passing15-2221-29
Pass Yards239147
Rush Yards36221
Total Yards275368
Turnovers04
3rd Down2-1011-17
Penalties5-504-35
Possession24:3335:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Yale
passing
Nolan Grooms
15/22, 239 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Nolan Grooms
15 CAR, 20 YDS
receiving
Ryan Lindley
7 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD
Dartmouth
passing
Jackson Proctor
17/23, 120 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Nick Howard
17 CAR, 87 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Paxton Scott
5 REC, 60 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Joshua Pitsenberger run for 6 yds to the YALE 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 6 yds to the YALE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Tipton for a loss of 1 yard to the YALE 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Tipton for 4 yds to the YALE 40

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Joshua Pitsenberger run for 4 yds to the YALE 44

4th & 3Punt+12 yds

Jack Bosman punt for 46 yds , Sean Williams returns for 12 yds to the DART 44 Yale Penalty, illegal formation (Tre Peterson) to the DART 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Q Jones run for 4 yds to the DART 31

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71
3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Howard pass incomplete to Isaac Boston, broken up by Wande Owens

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Davis Golick punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to Mason Tipton

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tre Peterson run for 3 yds to the YALE 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

pass incomplete to Ryan Lindley

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Bosman punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Q Jones for 9 yds to the DART 33

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Q Jones run for 2 yds to the DART 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Tevita Moimoi for 1 yd to the DART 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.23

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Isaac Boston for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jackson Proctor run for 4 yds to the YALE 46

2nd & 6Rush+41 ydsPPA +2.10

Tevita Moimoi run for 41 yds to the YALE 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Nick Howard 5 Yd Run (Owen Zalc Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70
2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nolan Grooms pass incomplete to Ryan Lindley, broken up by Sean Williams

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nolan Grooms run for 4 yds to the YALE 29

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Jack Bosman punt for 51 yds , Sean Williams returns for 4 yds to the DART 24

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Q Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the DART 23

2nd & 11Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.41

Nick Howard pass complete to Paxton Scott Dartmouth Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the DART 18

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Nick Howard pass complete to Alex Geraci for 5 yds to the DART 23

3rd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.63

Nick Howard pass complete to Daniel Haughton for 19 yds to the DART 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.62

Nick Howard run for 24 yds to the YALE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+70 ydsPPA -11.06

Sean Guyton 70 Yd Interception Return (Jack Bosman Kick)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Q Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the DART 36

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Q Jones run for 6 yds to the DART 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Isaac Boston for 1 yd to the DART 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Davis Golick punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Ryan Lindley

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Nolan Grooms run for 2 yds to the YALE 34

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.77

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Jackson Hawes for 14 yds to the YALE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nolan Grooms run for 5 yds to the DART 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.16

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Jackson Hawes for 20 yds to the DART 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nolan Grooms pass incomplete to Mason Tipton, broken up by Quinten Arello

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete to Mason Tipton

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Joshua Pitsenberger run for 2 yds to the DART 25

4th & 8Field Goal Good+43 yds

Jack Bosman 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tevita Moimoi run for 5 yds to the DART 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Tevita Moimoi run for 6 yds to the DART 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Jackson Proctor run for 13 yds to the DART 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.99

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Paxton Scott for 17 yds to the YALE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.60

Dartmouth Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the YALE 39

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

D.J. Crowther run for 6 yds to the YALE 33

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Nick Howard run for 3 yds to the YALE 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.05

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Painter Richards-Baker for 7 yds to the YALE 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

pass incomplete to Tevita Moimoi

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

D.J. Crowther run for 5 yds to the YALE 18

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.57

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Paxton Scott for 15 yds to the YALE 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Nick Howard run for 2 yds to the YALE 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Nick Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the YALE 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Nick Howard 2 Yd Run (Owen Zalc Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 9 yds to the YALE 34

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Nolan Grooms run for 8 yds to the YALE 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Nolan Grooms run for 1 yd to the YALE 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 3 yds to the YALE 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +2.44

Nolan Grooms pass incomplete to Mason Tipton for a 1ST down Dartmouth Penalty, Defensive holding (Tyson McCloud) to the DART 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Nolan Grooms pass incomplete to Ryan Lindley for a 1ST down Dartmouth Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Sean Williams) to the DART 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Yale Penalty, false start (Aaron Session) to the DART 34

1st & 15Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.68

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Tipton for 30 yds to the DART 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Joshua Pitsenberger 4 Yd Run (Jack Bosman Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Shamus Florio kickoff for 50 yds , Sean Williams return for 21 yds to the DART 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Tevita Moimoi run for 2 yds to the DART 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.98

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Tevita Moimoi for a loss of 5 yards to the DART 28

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Jackson Proctor run for 8 yds to the DART 36

4th & 5Punt+10 yds

Davis Golick punt for 41 yds , Ryan Lindley returns for 10 yds to the YALE 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Spencer Alston run for 2 yds to the YALE 35

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Nolan Grooms run for 6 yds to the YALE 40

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Shamus Florio kickoff for 51 yds , Sean Williams return for 22 yds to the DART 31

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Q Jones run for 6 yds to the DART 37

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nick Howard run for 2 yds to the DART 39

3rd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.41

Nick Howard run for 16 yds to the YALE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Nick Howard pass complete to Tevita Moimoi for a loss of 4 yards to the YALE 49

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Nick Howard run for 7 yds to the YALE 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.90

Nick Howard pass complete to Painter Richards-Baker for 7 yds to the YALE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Nick Howard run for 12 yds to the YALE 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nick Howard run for 4 yds to the YALE 19

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Tevita Moimoi run for 17 yds to the YALE 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Nick Howard run for 1 yd to the YALE 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55
3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -1.82

Nick Howard run for a loss of 14 yards to the YALE 15 Nick Howard fumbled, recovered by DART Nick Howard

4th & 15Field Goal Good+32 yds

Owen Zalc 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Nolan Grooms sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the YALE 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 6 yds to the YALE 29

3rd & 6Sack-15 ydsPPA -0.55

Nolan Grooms sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the YALE 14

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Jack Bosman punt for 27 yds , Cam Maddox returns for no gain to the YALE 41 Cam Maddox fumbled, recovered by YALE Joshua Pitsenberger , return for no gain to the YALE 41

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for a loss of 3 yards to the YALE 38

2nd & 13Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.97

Yale Penalty, Offensive holding (Leo Bluhm) to the YALE 28

2nd & 23Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.16

Nolan Grooms run for 8 yds to the YALE 36

4th & 26Punt+9 yds

Jack Bosman punt for 36 yds , Sean Williams returns for 9 yds to the DART 48

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

D.J. Crowther run for 3 yds to the YALE 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tevita Moimoi run for 3 yds to the YALE 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Chris Corbo

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Davis Golick punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.75

Joshua Pitsenberger run for a loss of 5 yards to the YALE 13

2nd & 15Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.48

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Ryan Lindley for 38 yds to the DART 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Mason Shipp

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.25

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Mason Tipton for 30 yds to the DART 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Nolan Grooms pass complete to Tre Peterson for 10 yds to the DART 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nolan Grooms run for 5 yds to the DART 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Mason Tipton 4 Yd pass from Nolan Grooms (Jack Bosman Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Paxton Scott for 17 yds to the DART 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Daniel Haughton for 3 yds to the DART 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Q Jones

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.58

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Isaac Boston for 10 yds to the YALE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Q Jones

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nick Howard run for 5 yds to the YALE 40

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.43

D.J. Crowther run for 5 yds to the YALE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tevita Moimoi run for 4 yds to the YALE 31

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tevita Moimoi run for 4 yds to the YALE 27

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Nick Howard run for 6 yds to the YALE 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Nick Howard run for 11 yds to the YALE 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Q Jones run for 2 yds to the YALE 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Nick Howard run for 2 yds to the YALE 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Paxton Scott 6 Yd pass from Jackson Proctor (Owen Zalc Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nolan Grooms run for 4 yds to the YALE 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Joshua Pitsenberger run for 2 yds to the YALE 31

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +6.61

Ryan Lindley 69 Yd pass from Nolan Grooms (Jack Bosman Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Painter Richards-Baker for 5 yds to the DART 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Q Jones run for 2 yds to the DART 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Paxton Scott for 5 yds to the DART 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Jackson Proctor pass incomplete to Painter Richards-Baker for a 1ST down Yale Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Sean Guyton) to the YALE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.83

Jackson Proctor sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the DART 43

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

pass incomplete to Jace Henry

3rd & 19Interception0 ydsPPA -0.02

Jackson Proctor pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Joshua Pitsenberger run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Nolan Grooms run for 3 yds to the DART 47

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Nolan Grooms run for 1 yd to the DART 46

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Bosman punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.91

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Alex Geraci for 17 yds to the DART 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Jackson Proctor pass complete to Q Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the DART 26

2nd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jackson Proctor pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Joshua Pitsenberger run for 1 yd to the DART 35

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Nolan Grooms run for 1 yd to the DART 34

Situational Analysis

Yale

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
30%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
4th

Dartmouth

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
40%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th