Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Youngstown State by 27.2

Home Win Probability

Indiana State 6%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Indiana State +19.5

Edge: Youngstown State -19.5 (7.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Youngstown State
706619
Indiana State
70007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-77-107-137-19
Indiana StateYoungstown State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSYSISYSISYSISYSISYSPUNT415ydPUNT532ydPUNT3-4ydMISS62ydTD366ydTD775ydPUNT430ydPUNT738ydPUNT435ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT31ydPUNT38ydPUNT31ydEND620ydFG1479ydPUNT514ydFG942ydTO726ydTD1282ydTO751ydPUNT32ydDOWNS4-8ydEND38yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Youngstown State and Indiana State
StatisticYoungstown StateIndiana State
Passing25-379-24
Pass Yards254125
Rush Yards13266
Total Yards386191
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-170-10
Penalties10-834-42
Possession39:2920:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Youngstown State
passing
Mitch Davidson
25/37, 254 YDS
rushing
Beau Brungard
3 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Max Tomczak
10 REC, 81 YDS
Indiana State
passing
Cade Chambers
9/24, 125 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Plez Lawrence
7 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Justin Dinka
1 REC, 56 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.49

Cade Chambers pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 19 yds to the INST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Justin Dinka run for 1 yd to the INST 39

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the INST 44

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

DINKA, Justin rush to the left for a gain of 12 yards to the YSU44 (FITZGERALD, Chris;LENTON, Quincy), out of bounds. PENALTY INS Holding on ROSS, Michael enforced 10 yards from the INS44 to the INS34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Anthony Beacom punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 10 yds to the YSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 15 yds to the INST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Mitch Davidson run for 1 yd to the INST 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Tyshon King for 3 yds to the INST 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Dra Rushton for 3 yds to the INST 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 35 yds, downed at the INST 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the INST 8

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Plez Lawrence run for 1 yd to the INST 9

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.15

Cade Chambers sacked by Hunter Allen and Chris Fitzgerald for a loss of 7 yards to the INST 2

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the INST 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 10 yds to the INST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyshon King run for no gain to the INST 24

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.76

Mitch Davidson sacked by Geoffrey Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the INST 34

4th & 20Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Andrew Lastovka 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 10 yds to the INST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Justin Dinka run for no gain to the INST 44

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +5.53

Cade Chambers pass complete to Justin Dinka for 56 yds for a TD (Jake Andjelic KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Mitch Davidson) to the YSU 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.35

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 12 yds to the YSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 6 yds to the YSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 17 yds to the INST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the INST 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Dra Rushton for 12 yds to the INST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 12 yds to the INST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Mitch Davidson run for 18 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Evan Olaes run for 38 yds to the YSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Justin Dinka run for no gain to the YSU 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 2 yds to the YSU 35

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.55

Cade Chambers sacked by Dylan Wudke and Anthony Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the YSU 45

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 43 yds, downed at the YSU 2

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the YSU 5

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 12 yds to the YSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyshon King run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 15

2nd & 12Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.30

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 35 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DAVIDSON, Mitch pass to the left complete for 6 yards to TOMCZAK, Max caught at the YSU48 and advanced to the INS44 (HOOVER, Ethan;CHATMAN, Malik). PENALTY YSU Holding on METZLER, David enforced 10 yards from the INS50 to the YSU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Plez Lawrence run for 29 yds to the YSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Plez Lawrence run for 3 yds to the YSU 43

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the YSU 41

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Justin Dinka run for 1 yd to the YSU 40

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Dra Rushton run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 1 yd to the YSU 19

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.15

Mitch Davidson sacked by Shane Bennett for a loss of 6 yards to the YSU 13

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Justin Dinka run for 1 yd to the INST 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Anthony Beacom punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyshon King run for 2 yds to the YSU 19

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the YSU 23

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Tyshon King for 2 yds to the YSU 25

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 34 yds, downed at the INST 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Justin Dinka run for 1 yd to the INST 42

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Anthony Beacom punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Max Tomczak at the YSU 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Mitch Davidson pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 8 yds to the YSU 27

2nd & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.59

Mitch Davidson sacked by Garret Ollendieck and Geoffrey Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the YSU 18

3rd & 11Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.39

Beau Brungard run for 21 yds to the YSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Mitch Davidson) to the YSU 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Tyshon King run for 5 yds to the YSU 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the YSU 4

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the YSU 7

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Joey Farthing for 10 yds to the YSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyshon King run for 5 yds to the YSU 22

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the YSU 26

3rd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.78

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 14 yds to the YSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 11 yds to the INST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

DAVIDSON, Mitch pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for OLIVER, Bryce thrown to the INS8. PENALTY INS Pass Interference on EDWARDS, Payton enforced 15 yards to the INS34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the INST 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 6 yds to the INST 25

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.27

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the INST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 4 yds to the INST 18

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+35 yds

Andrew Lastovka 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cade Chambers pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 4 yds to the INST 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Cade Chambers pass complete to Dakota Caton for 6 yds to the INST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Plez Lawrence run for 5 yds to the INST 40

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Anthony Beacom punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Mitch Davidson run for 1 yd to the YSU 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.63

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Luke Hensley for 13 yds to the YSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the YSU 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.05

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Tyshon King for 20 yds to the INST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Luke Hensley for 4 yds to the INST 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyshon King run for 2 yds to the INST 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+45 yds

Andrew Lastovka 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Cade Chambers pass complete to Dakota Caton for 9 yds to the INST 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Justin Dinka run for 7 yds to the INST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Justin Dinka run for 4 yds to the INST 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cade Chambers pass complete to Ethan Chambers for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.11

Evan Olaes run for 1 yd to the YSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.24

Cade Chambers pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Tyshon King run for 7 yds to the YSU 25

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Beau Brungard run for 1 yd to the YSU 26

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

Mitch Davidson run for 5 yds to the YSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Dra Rushton run for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Nate Damron for 9 yds to the YSU 39

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.33

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the YSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 5 yds to the YSU 47

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Tyshon King run for 6 yds to the INST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the INST 44

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.92

Dra Rushton run for 7 yds to the INST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.80

Beau Brungard run for 37 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Dinka run for no gain to the INST 14

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass to the left complete for 7 yards to VAN DYNE, Harry caught at the INS21 and advanced to the INS21, out of bounds. PENALTY INS Holding on ROSS, Michael enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the INS14 to the INS7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Penalty+5 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass to the right complete for 3 yards to CATON, Dakota caught at the INS3 and advanced to the INS10 (JONES, Tyjon). PENALTY YSU Offsides on WUDKE, Dylan enforced 5 yards from the INS7 to the INS12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CATON, Dakota thrown to the INS44. PENALTY YSU Pass Interference on JONES, Tyjon enforced 15 yards to the INS27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass to the right incomplete intended for VAN DYNE, Harry thrown to the INS39. PENALTY YSU Pass Interference on CASTLEBERRY, Jaylen enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the INS40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass short up the middle incomplete intended for REES, Lance thrown to the INS43. PENALTY YSU Offsides on FITZGERALD, Chris enforced 5 yards from the INS40 to the INS45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 5Penalty+5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Offsides (Alex Howard) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Cade Chambers pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 14 yds to the YSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Cade Chambers run for 6 yds to the YSU 30

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BARNETT, Kevin thrown to the YSU10. PENALTY YSU Pass Interference on JAKUBEC, Troy enforced 15 yards to the YSU15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass up the middle incomplete intended for BARNETT, Kevin thrown to the YSU0. PENALTY INS Holding on VAZQUEZ IV, Jose enforced 10 yards from the YSU15 to the YSU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.55

Cade Chambers sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the YSU 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd to the YSU 36

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the YSU 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.36

Cade Chambers sacked by Chris Fitzgerald and Hunter Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the INST 20

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.37

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyshon King run for no gain to the INST 20

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyshon King run for 2 yds to the INST 18

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Dra Rushton run for 6 yds to the INST 12

Situational Analysis

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
30 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
44%
16 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th

Indiana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
13%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play