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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Iowa by 17.3

Home Win Probability

Indiana State 16%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Indiana State +17.5

Edge: Indiana State +17.5 (0.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Iowa
01410327
Indiana State
377320

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-710-1417-2117-2420-27
Indiana StateNorthern Iowa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NIISNIISNIISNIISNIISNIISNIISNIISNIISISNIPUNT414ydFG1363ydPUNT630ydPUNT614ydTD566ydDOWNS849ydPUNT3-11ydTD844ydTD1071ydTD575ydTD575ydPUNT3-16ydFG740ydPUNT311ydPUNT1150ydTO32ydFG48ydFG1451ydTO715ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Iowa and Indiana State
StatisticNorthern IowaIndiana State
Passing16-2823-30
Pass Yards176245
Rush Yards14896
Total Yards324341
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-108-14
Penalties7-638-88
Possession20:0239:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Iowa
passing
Theo Day
16/28, 176 YDS
rushing
Harrison Bey-Buie
20 CAR, 137 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Sam Schnee
5 REC, 75 YDS
Indiana State
passing
Cade Chambers
23/30, 245 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Justin Dinka
18 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
Harry Van Dyne
5 REC, 94 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Theo Day pass complete to Naran Buntin for 11 yds to the UNI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyjahree Edwards run for 3 yds to the UNI 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Theo Day pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 46 yds , returns for no gain to the INST 24

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the INST 29

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.30

Justin Dinka run for no gain to the INST 29

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.78

Justin Dinka run for 16 yds to the INST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Justin Dinka run for 15 yds to the UNI 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Plez Lawrence run for 3 yds to the UNI 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Cade Chambers pass complete to Plez Lawrence for 2 yds to the UNI 35

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.18

Justin Dinka run for 6 yds to the UNI 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Justin Dinka run for 3 yds to the UNI 26

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Justin Dinka run for 3 yds to the UNI 23

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.54

Plez Lawrence run for 4 yds to the UNI 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 20

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Cade Chambers pass complete to Dakota Caton for 5 yds to the UNI 15

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Korbin Allen run for 2 yds to the UNI 13

4th & 4Field Goal Good+30 yds

Jake Andjelic 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Harrison Bey-Buie run for no gain to the UNI 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.50

Theo Day pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 20 yds to the UNI 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Theo Day pass complete to Layne Pryor for 15 yds to the INST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, Personal Foul (Layne Pryor) to the UNI 48

2nd & 22Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Theo Day pass complete to Layne Pryor for 10 yds to the INST 42

3rd & 12Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Theo Day sacked by Garret Ollendieck for a loss of 3 yards to the INST 45

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Justin Dinka run for 11 yds to the INST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Justin Dinka run for 6 yds to the INST 33

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.53

Korbin Allen run for 4 yds to the INST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the INST 35

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty-10 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass to the left complete for 16 yards to BARNETT, Kevin caught at the INS49 and advanced to the UNI49 (GALVAN, Jahsiah), out of bounds. PENALTY INS Holding on MCCOSKEY, Jude enforced 10 yards from the INS35 to the INS25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 22Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Korbin Allen run for 5 yds to the INST 30

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

DAY, Theo pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BUNTIN, Naran thrown to the INS26. PENALTY INS Pass Interference on CHATMAN, Malik enforced 15 yards to the UNI49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Theo Day pass complete to Layne Pryor for 9 yds to the INST 42

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.08

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 37 yds to the INST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 3 yds to the INST 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Cade Chambers pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 29 yds to the UNI 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Justin Dinka run for no gain to the UNI 46

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Justin Dinka run for 4 yds to the UNI 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.76

Cade Chambers pass complete to Dakota Caton for 7 yds to the UNI 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the UNI 33

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 34

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Cade Chambers pass complete to Justin Dinka for 7 yds to the UNI 27

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.09

Evan Olaes run for 1 yd to the UNI 26

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cordarrius Bailey) to the UNI 13

1st & 23Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 3 yds to the UNI 16

2nd & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 4 yds to the UNI 20

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Theo Day pass incomplete

4th & 16Penalty-5 yds

PETTINGER, Noah punt 52 yards to the INS28 downed by CLAUSEN, Drew. PENALTY Before the snap, UNI Illegal Motion enforced 5 yards from the UNI20 to the UNI15. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.58

Cade Chambers pass complete to Justin Dinka for 12 yds to the UNI 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Justin Dinka run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNI 36

2nd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.51

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 14 yds to the UNI 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Cade Chambers pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 9 yds to the UNI 13

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.55

Korbin Allen run for 10 yds to the UNI 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Evan Olaes run for 3 yds for a TD (Andre Casas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Theo Day run for 10 yds to the UNI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 2 yds to the UNI 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.43

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 21 yds to the INST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Theo Day pass complete to Josh Jenkins for 3 yds to the INST 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Theo Day pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 10 yds to the INST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Theo Day pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.69

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 22 yds to the INST 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 2 yds to the INST 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +3.45

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 54 yds to the UNI 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Cade Chambers pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 6 yds to the UNI 15

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Justin Dinka run for 4 yds to the UNI 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.54

Justin Dinka run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNI 15

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.06

Cade Chambers pass complete to Dakota Caton for 15 yds for a TD (Andre Casas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 9 yds to the UNI 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 3 yds to the UNI 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 26 yds for a TD (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 25

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.49

Cade Chambers sacked by Cordarrius Bailey for a loss of 7 yards to the INST 18

3rd & 18Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.07

Cade Chambers sacked by Cordarrius Bailey for a loss of 8 yards to the INST 10

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Logan Wolf at the INST 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Theo Day pass complete to Josh Jenkins for 1 yd to the INST 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.88

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 25 yds to the INST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.13

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 12 yds to the INST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Jenkins run for 2 yds to the INST 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Theo Day pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Matthew Cook 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DINKA, Justin rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards to the INS42 (LANGENBERG, Tucker). PENALTY INS Holding on ROSS, Michael enforced 10 yards from the INS45 to the INS35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Penalty+15 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Khristian Boyd) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Justin Dinka run for 2 yds to the UNI 48

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Justin Dinka run for 1 yd to the UNI 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Cade Chambers pass complete to Justin Dinka for 3 yds to the UNI 44

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Logan Wolf at the UNI 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Theo Day pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 10 yds to the UNI 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 5 yds to the UNI 24

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.16

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 5 yds to the UNI 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 9 yds to the UNI 38

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 8 yds to the UNI 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 8 yds to the INST 46

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 4 yds to the INST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 2 yds to the INST 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Theo Day pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Theo Day run for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 41

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.54

Plez Lawrence run for 14 yds to the INST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.84

Cade Chambers sacked by Jake McLaughlin and Khristian Boyd for a loss of 4 yards to the INST 17

2nd & 14Penalty0 yds

Indiana State Penalty, Personal Foul (Keagen Trost) to the INST 9

2nd & 22Interception0 ydsPPA +0.35

Cade Chambers pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 2 yds to the INST 39

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 5 yds to the INST 34

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Harrison Bey-Buie run for 1 yd to the INST 33

4th & 2Field Goal Good+50 yds

Matthew Cook 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Dinka run for 4 yds to the INST 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Cade Chambers pass complete to Ethan Chambers for 1 yd to the INST 30

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Cade Chambers run for 9 yds to the INST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Justin Dinka run for 2 yds to the INST 41

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Justin Dinka run for no gain to the INST 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.95

Cade Chambers pass complete to Justin Dinka for 14 yds to the UNI 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Korbin Allen run for 2 yds to the UNI 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 9 yds to the UNI 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cade Chambers pass complete to Korbin Allen for 5 yds to the UNI 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 9 yds to the UNI 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Cade Chambers pass complete to Justin Dinka for 4 yds to the UNI 16

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.96

Cade Chambers sacked by Cordarrius Bailey for a loss of 8 yards to the UNI 24

4th & 14Field Goal Good+41 yds

Jake Andjelic 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass deep to the left complete for 16 yards to CATON, Dakota caught at the UNI38 and advanced to the UNI38 (MARSHALL JR., Fletcher;STALEY, Dalesean). PENALTY INS Holding on MCCOSKEY, Jude enforced 10 yards from the INS46 to the INS36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Penalty+5 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass up the middle incomplete intended for DINKA, Justin thrown to the INS36. PENALTY UNI Offsides on BUTLER, Cannon enforced 5 yards from the INS36 to the INS41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Cade Chambers pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 6 yds to the INST 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Cade Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.97

Cade Chambers pass complete to Ethan Chambers for 14 yds to the UNI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Cade Chambers pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 8 yds to the UNI 31

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

DINKA, Justin rush to the left for a gain of 19 yards to the UNI12, out of bounds. PENALTY INS Holding on ROSS, Michael enforced 10 yards from the UNI31 to the UNI41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cade Chambers pass complete to Dakota Caton for 5 yds to the UNI 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.52

Cade Chambers pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 7 yds to the UNI 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CHAMBERS, Cade pass to the right complete for 10 yards to CATON, Dakota caught at the UNI30 and advanced to the UNI19 (MARSHALL JR., Fletcher;DEARMAN, Edwin). PENALTY INS Holding on BARNETT, Kevin enforced 10 yards from the UNI29 to the UNI39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Interception0 ydsPPA -2.85

Cade Chambers pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

[NH] Kneel down by UNI at UNI2 (team loss of 0).

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Indiana State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Joey Shew) to the UNI 17 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
52%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
56%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Indiana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
10%
10 plays
71%
7 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
83%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play