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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Sacramento State by 2.4

Home Win Probability

UC Davis 40%

Market (ESPN Bet)

UC Davis -2

Edge: Sacramento State +2 (4.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Sacramento StateSacramento State
0071421
UC Davis
14301431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-017-017-7
UC DavisSacramento State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UDSSUDSSUDSSUDSSUDSSUDSSUDSSUDSSUDSSUDSSUDTD1075ydDOWNS619ydDOWNS47ydPUNT30ydTD650ydPUNT32ydPUNT30ydPUNT32ydFG940ydDOWNS1271ydPUNT37ydTO324ydEND2-2ydTO35ydPUNT34ydDOWNS1267ydPUNT616ydTD674ydPUNT36ydDOWNS48ydUncategorized310yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Sacramento State and UC Davis
StatisticSacramento StateUC Davis
Passing22-3715-23
Pass Yards230128
Rush Yards2787
Total Yards257215
Turnovers20
3rd Down1-105-12
Penalties4-245-45
Possession21:5025:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Sacramento State
passing
Carson Conklin
13/25, 129 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Marcus Fulcher
9 CAR, 21 YDS
receiving
Carlos Hill
8 REC, 109 YDS
UC Davis
passing
Miles Hastings
15/23, 128 YDS
rushing
Lan Larison
18 CAR, 68 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Trent Tompkins
5 REC, 48 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Lan Larison run for 18 yds to the UCD 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 10 yds to the SAC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 4 yds to the SAC 36

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Matteo Perez run for 5 yds to the SAC 31

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.45

Lan Larison run for 4 yds to the SAC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 13 yds to the SAC 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 9 yds to the SAC 5

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.47

run for 2 yds to the SAC 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

run for 3 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Carson Conklin pass complete to Charlie McBride for 8 yds to the SAC 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Marcus Fulcher run for 2 yds to the SAC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Carson Conklin pass complete to Carlos Hill for 6 yds to the SAC 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Marcus Fulcher run for 2 yds to the SAC 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Marcus Fulcher run for 1 yd to the SAC 44

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Marcus Fulcher run for no gain to the SAC 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 2 yds to the SAC 42

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

UC Davis Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAC 47

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Lan Larison run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAC 48

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 11 yds to the SAC 37

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.06

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Lan Larison run for 5 yds to the SAC 45

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Lan Larison run for no gain to the SAC 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.69

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 5 yds to the SAC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

HASTINGS, Miles pass to the left incomplete intended for DAVIS, Chaz thrown to the SAC30. PENALTY SAC Pass Interference on NELSON, Caleb enforced 10 yards to the SAC30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Miles Hastings pass complete to Andre Crump Jr. for 10 yds to the SAC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Miles Hastings pass complete to Josh Gale for 5 yds to the SAC 15

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Lan Larison run for 7 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Marcus Fulcher run for no gain to the SAC 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Carson Conklin pass complete to Anderson Grover for 6 yds to the SAC 31

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAC 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Trent Tompkins run for no gain to the UCD 43

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Zeke Burnett run for 2 yds to the SAC 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 4 yds to the UCD 39

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Lan Larison run for 5 yds to the UCD 44

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.68

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 9 yds to the SAC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.89

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 21 yds to the SAC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Lan Larison run for 4 yds to the SAC 22

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Trent Tompkins run for 3 yds to the SAC 19

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Lan Larison run for 19 yds UC Davis Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SAC 25

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+42 yds

Hunter Ridley 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Carson Conklin pass complete to Carlos Hill for 17 yds to the SAC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FULCHER, Marcus rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the SAC45 (BUCHANAN, Teddye). PENALTY Before the snap, SAC Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the SAC42 to the SAC37. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Carson Conklin pass complete to Marshel Martin for 7 yds to the SAC 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Carson Conklin pass complete to Carlos Hill for 7 yds to the UCD 49

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.25

Coleman Kuntz run for 3 yds to the UCD 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Carson Conklin pass complete to Marcus Fulcher for 6 yds to the UCD 40

3rd & 4Penalty+10 yds

UC Davis Penalty, Defensive Holding (Lamont Shamburger) to the UCD 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, False Start (Kaden Richardson) to the UCD 35

1st & 15Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.91

Carson Conklin pass complete to Anderson Grover for 25 yds to the UCD 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Marcus Fulcher run for 6 yds to the UCD 4

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Lan Larison run for 4 yds to the UCD 8

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the UCD 11

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the SAC 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Carson Conklin pass complete to Jared Gipson for 10 yds to the SAC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Carson Conklin pass complete to Jared Gipson for 14 yds to the UCD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.91

Carson Conklin pass intercepted Teddye Buchanan return for no gain to the UCD 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

[NH] Kneel down by HASTINGS, Miles at UCD31 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

[NH] Kneel down by HASTINGS, Miles at UCD30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kaiden Bennett run for 2 yds to the SAC 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kaiden Bennett run for 3 yds to the SAC 30

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.26

Kaiden Bennett pass intercepted Teddye Buchanan return for no gain to the SAC 41

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Trent Tompkins run for 3 yds to the SAC 38

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.41

Lan Larison run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAC 40

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

run for 3 yds to the SAC 37

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 23 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Kaiden Bennett run for 8 yds to the SAC 22

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 7 yds to the SAC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Marcus Fulcher run for 2 yds to the SAC 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +2.33

Kaiden Bennett run for 11 yds to the SAC 42 Kaiden Bennett fumbled, recovered by SAC Jared Gipson for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

UC Davis Penalty, Roughing the Passer on CLOYD, Jackson enforced (Jackson Cloyd) to the UCD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Marcus Fulcher run for 1 yd to the UCD 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Carson Conklin pass complete to Carlos Hill for 9 yds to the UCD 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Carson Conklin pass complete to Marcus Fulcher for 9 yds to the UCD 19

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.13

Kaiden Bennett run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCD 23

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -3.07

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 4 yds to the UCD 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the UCD 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.47

Miles Hastings pass complete to Andre Crump Jr. for 9 yds to the UCD 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

LARISON, Lan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for GBATU, JR., Samuel thrown to the SAC27. PENALTY Before the snap, UCD Illegal Shift SAC Pass Interference on JUNIEL, Dillon , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Matteo Perez run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCD 29

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

UC Davis Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UCD 24

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Matteo Perez run for 2 yds to the UCD 26

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams for 9 yds to the UCD 35

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Marcus Fulcher run for 7 yds to the SAC 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 19 yds to the UCD 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.71

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 11 yds to the UCD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.48

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 21 yds to the UCD 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 16 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Lan Larison run for 7 yds to the UCD 26

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Lan Larison run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 25

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marshel Martin for no gain to the UCD 40

2nd & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.08

Kaiden Bennett sacked by Nick Eaton and Semaj Verner for a loss of 15 yards to the SAC 45

3rd & 25Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.89

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 19 yds to the UCD 36

4th & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -1.77

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marcus Fulcher for 4 yds to the UCD 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

run for 4 yds to the UCD 36

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.11

run for 6 yds to the UCD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Sacramento State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
21 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
40%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays

UC Davis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
45%
22 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play