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← Back to GamesSep 10, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Sacramento State by 27.7

Home Win Probability

Sacramento State 93%

Market (Bovada)

Sacramento State -34.5

Edge: East Texas A&M +34.5 (6.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 10, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East Texas A&M
06006
Sacramento StateSacramento State
10177034

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-017-024-024-634-6
Sacramento StateEast Texas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SSETASSETASSETASSETASSETASSETASSETASSETASSETASSETASSTD780ydPUNT36ydPUNT418ydPUNT33ydFG1042ydPUNT34ydTD1385ydPUNT526ydTD583ydTO727ydPUNT519ydPUNT32ydTO10ydTD314ydFG448ydPUNT35ydTD955ydDOWNS1249ydPUNT513ydPUNT1139ydDOWNS734yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Texas A&M and Sacramento State
StatisticEast Texas A&MSacramento State
Passing12-2517-26
Pass Yards63192
Rush Yards136285
Total Yards199477
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-124-10
Penalties3-253-25
Possession25:3029:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Texas A&M
passing
Peter Parrish
11/24, 68 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Reggie Branch
9 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Micaleous Elder
6 REC, 33 YDS
Sacramento State
passing
Kaiden Bennett
14/22, 176 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kaiden Bennett
10 CAR, 101 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Coleman Kuntz
4 REC, 68 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.77

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for 33 yds to the TAMC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Ezra Moleni run for 6 yds to the TAMC 41

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Marcus Fulcher run for 5 yds to the TAMC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.39

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 16 yds to the TAMC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 8 yds to the TAMC 12

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcus Fulcher run for 4 yds to the TAMC 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Kaiden Bennett run for 8 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Ra'veion Hargrove run for 1 yd to the TAMC 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Peter Parrish pass complete to Jabari Khepera for 5 yds to the TAMC 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.59

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 12 yds to the SAC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Marcus Fulcher run for 6 yds to the SAC 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 52 yds, downed at the TAMC 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Peter Parrish pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 3 yds to the TAMC 21

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ezra Moleni run for 4 yds to the SAC 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 5 yds to the TAMC 48

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.91

Ezra Moleni run for 1 yd to the TAMC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Kaiden Bennett run for 14 yds to the TAMC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Kaiden Bennett run for 6 yds to the TAMC 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Parker Clayton for 9 yds to the TAMC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 3 yds to the TAMC 15

4th & 7Field Goal Good+33 yds

Zach Schreiner 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Shamenski Rucker run for no gain to the TAMC 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Peter Parrish pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 5 yds to the TAMC 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Peter Parrish pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 4 yds to the TAMC 44

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, False Start (Michael Martin) to the TAMC 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 8 yds to the SAC 23

2nd & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.18

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 17 yds to the SAC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 13 yds to the TAMC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kaiden Bennett run for 3 yds to the TAMC 44

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ezra Moleni run for 3 yds to the TAMC 41

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 3 yds to the TAMC 38

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.91

Marcus Fulcher run for 7 yds to the TAMC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 1 yd to the TAMC 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 7 yds to the TAMC 23

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Marcus Fulcher run for 5 yds to the TAMC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, False Start (Charlie McBride) to the TAMC 23

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Kaiden Bennett run for 7 yds to the TAMC 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.16

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Chris Miller for 16 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.12

Reggie Branch run for 20 yds to the TAMC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Reggie Branch run for 2 yds to the TAMC 41

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Reggie Branch run for 4 yds to the TAMC 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 38 yds, downed at the SAC 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Marcus Fulcher run for 9 yds to the SAC 26

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dorian Gates) to the SAC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Marcus Fulcher run for 2 yds to the SAC 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 16 yds to the TAMC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Kaiden Bennett run for 40 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Peter Parrish pass complete to Ra'veion Hargrove for 5 yds to the TAMC 40

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Peter Parrish run for 5 yds to the TAMC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Ra'veion Hargrove run for a loss of 3 yards to the TAMC 42

2nd & 13Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.71

Jerome Buckner run for 15 yds to the SAC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Peter Parrish run for 5 yds to the SAC 38

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -2.78

Peter Parrish pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marcus Fulcher run for 5 yds to the SAC 41

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.49

Kaiden Bennett run for 13 yds to the TAMC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Kaiden Bennett run for 1 yd to the TAMC 45

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sean-Krystoff King at the TAMC 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Peter Parrish run for 2 yds to the TAMC 7

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.19

Kaiden Bennett pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Peter Parrish run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAC 15

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.99

Peter Parrish pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 14 yds to the SAC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Peter Parrish run for 1 yd for a TD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 13 yds to the SAC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.14

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 28 yds to the TAMC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+40 yds

Zach Schreiner 40 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Ra'veion Hargrove pass complete to Ra'veion Hargrove for a loss of 5 yards to the TAMC 15

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Ra'veion Hargrove run for 6 yds to the TAMC 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Peter Parrish pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 4 yds to the TAMC 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the SAC 45

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Marcus Fulcher run for 19 yds to the TAMC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Ezra Moleni run for no gain to the TAMC 36

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Marcus Fulcher run for 7 yds to the TAMC 29

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.63

Ezra Moleni run for 4 yds to the TAMC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ezra Moleni run for 2 yds to the TAMC 23

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Kaiden Bennett run for 8 yds to the TAMC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marcus Fulcher run for 5 yds to the TAMC 10

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marcus Fulcher for 5 yds to the TAMC 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Marcus Fulcher run for 5 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Reggie Branch run for a loss of 2 yards to the TAMC 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Peter Parrish pass complete to Wesley York Jr. for 4 yds to the TAMC 27

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.06

Reggie Branch run for 11 yds to the TAMC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Reggie Branch run for 13 yds to the SAC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Peter Parrish pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 3 yds to the SAC 46

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.32

Peter Parrish run for 16 yds to the SAC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Reggie Branch run for 4 yds to the SAC 26

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Shamenski Rucker run for 8 yds to the SAC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Peter Parrish pass complete to Shamenski Rucker for 9 yds to the SAC 9

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -4.06

Peter Parrish run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAC 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Carson Camp pass complete to Carlos Hill for 5 yds to the SAC 31

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.96

Ezra Moleni run for 7 yds to the SAC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Carson Camp pass complete to Carlos Hill for 2 yds to the SAC 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Carson Camp pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

CAMP, Carson scrambles to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the SAC45 (ANDERSON, Kyree). PENALTY SAC Holding on GARZA, Ivan enforced 10 yards from the SAC40 to the SAC30 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.19

Carson Camp pass complete to Carlos Hill for 9 yds to the SAC 39

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Sean-Krystoff King at the TAMC 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Peter Parrish run for 2 yds to the TAMC 17

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Peter Parrish run for 7 yds to the TAMC 24

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.68

Reggie Branch run for 3 yds to the TAMC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Peter Parrish pass complete to Reggie Branch for 12 yds to the TAMC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.19

Peter Parrish sacked by Jeremy Harris and Leke Fashola for a loss of 9 yards to the TAMC 30

2nd & 19Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, Delay Of Game (Peter Parrish) to the TAMC 25

2nd & 24Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.81

Peter Parrish run for 21 yds to the TAMC 46

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Peter Parrish run for 1 yd to the TAMC 47

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.53

Peter Parrish run for 5 yds to the SAC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Reggie Branch run for 2 yds to the SAC 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Peter Parrish pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 4 yds to the SAC 24

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 11 yds to the SAC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Elijah Gable run for 10 yds to the SAC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Elijah Gable run for 2 yds to the SAC 47

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Michael Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Carson Camp run for 3 yds to the TAMC 47

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.25

Carson Camp run for 1 yd to the TAMC 46

Situational Analysis

East Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
15%
20 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
55%
11 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Sacramento State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
59%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
100%
7 plays
45%
11 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays