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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Sacramento State by 31.7

Home Win Probability

Northern Colorado 5%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Northern Colorado +24

Edge: Sacramento State -24 (7.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Sacramento StateSacramento State
1407021
Northern Colorado
370313

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-73-1410-1410-2113-21
Northern ColoradoSacramento State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SSNCSSNCSSNCSSNCSSNCSSNCNCSSNCSSNCSSNCSSNCSSTO45ydFG41ydTD975ydUncategorized928ydTD953ydPUNT32ydPUNT928ydTD592ydPUNT3-15ydPUNT3-5ydDOWNS1046ydEND1-1ydMISS1649ydPUNT419ydPUNT3-1ydTD1170ydPUNT631ydPUNT618ydFG1473ydPUNT32ydDOWNS838ydEND4-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Sacramento State and Northern Colorado
StatisticSacramento StateNorthern Colorado
Passing25-3120-39
Pass Yards183257
Rush Yards15175
Total Yards334332
Turnovers10
3rd Down10-176-16
Penalties5-554-40
Possession30:5729:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Sacramento State
passing
Kaiden Bennett
25/31, 183 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Ezra Moleni
16 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Marshel Martin
7 REC, 52 YDS
Northern Colorado
passing
Jacob Sirmon
20/39, 257 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
David Afari
10 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Brayden Munroe
3 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kaiden Bennett run for 2 yds to the SAC 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Kylen Ross for 1 yd to the SAC 28

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Kaiden Bennett run for 10 yds to the SAC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Ezra Moleni for 8 yds Ezra Moleni fumbled, recovered by UNCO Franky Morales

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

David Afari run for 1 yd to the SAC 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Kyle Helbig

4th & 9Field Goal Good+39 yds

Hunter Green 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 6 yds to the SAC 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kaiden Bennett run for 1 yd to the SAC 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.97

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 21 yds to the UNCO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete to Carlos Hill

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 7 yds to the UNCO 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.64

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marshel Martin for 20 yds to the UNCO 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marshel Martin for 2 yds to the UNCO 20

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ezra Moleni run for 5 yds to the UNCO 15

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.81

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for 15 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Darius Stewart run for 12 yds to the UNCO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 14 yds to the SAC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

David Afari run for 8 yds to the SAC 41

2nd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kyle Helbig for 2 yds to the SAC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Ty Arrington for 4 yds to the SAC 35

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Darius Stewart run for 3 yds to the SAC 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jacob Sirmon run for no gain to the SAC 32

4th & 3Penalty-15 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Karson Oliver) to the SAC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Ezra Moleni run for 10 yds to the UNCO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ezra Moleni run for no gain to the UNCO 43

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.48

Marshel Martin run for 13 yds to the UNCO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 7 yds to the UNCO 23

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ezra Moleni run for 4 yds to the UNCO 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Parker Clayton for 8 yds to the UNCO 11

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Ezra Moleni run for 1 yd to the UNCO 10

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.24

Ezra Moleni run for 2 yds to the UNCO 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Ezra Moleni for 8 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

David Afari run for 4 yds to the UNCO 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Devvin Gitchuway for 2 yds to the UNCO 31

3rd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Jacob Sirmon sacked by Ben Ahio for a loss of 4 yards to the UNCO 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the SAC 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Zeke Burnett run for 7 yds to the SAC 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 2 yds to the SAC 29

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.24

Zeke Burnett run for 7 yds to the SAC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete to Jared Gipson

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Ezra Moleni run for 12 yds to the SAC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kaiden Bennett run for 1 yd to the SAC 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marshel Martin for 7 yds to the UNCO 44

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SAC 46

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kaiden Bennett run for 2 yds to the SAC 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

David Afari run for 1 yd to the UNCO 9

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, Offensive Holding (-5 Yards) to the UNCO 5

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

David Afari run for 6 yds to the UNCO 11

3rd & 7Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.99

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 48 yds to the SAC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 41 yds for a TD (Hunter Green KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Marshel Martin run for 1 yd to the SAC 26

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Tau-Tolliver,Elijah rush right for 4 yards gain to the SAC30 (Tuha,Sione) PENALTY SAC Holding (Garza,Ivan) 10 yards from SAC26 to SAC16. NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for 2 yds to the SAC 18

3rd & 17Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.07

Kaiden Bennett sacked by Vincent King for a loss of 8 yards to the SAC 10

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Connor Stutz punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Blake Haggerty at the UNCO 45

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UNC False Start (Afari,David) 5 yards from UNC45 to UNC40. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacob Sirmon run for 4 yds to the UNCO 44

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.45

Jacob Sirmon sacked by Mason Brosseau for a loss of 7 yards to the UNCO 37

3rd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jacob Sirmon run for 3 yds to the UNCO 40

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAC 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ezra Moleni run for 4 yds to the SAC 39

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.13

Ezra Moleni run for 6 yds to the SAC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marshel Martin for 11 yds to the UNCO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Ezra Moleni run for 2 yds to the UNCO 42

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ezra Moleni run for 4 yds to the UNCO 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for 10 yds to the UNCO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Austin Jarrard for 4 yds to the UNCO 24

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kaiden Bennett run for no gain to the UNCO 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 4 yds to the UNCO 20

4th & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -3.55

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marshel Martin for 1 yd to the UNCO 19

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

J. Sirmon takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 9 yds to the UNCO 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

David Afari run for 3 yds to the UNCO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Jacquez Robertson run for 7 yds to the UNCO 44

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.62

Jacquez Robertson run for 4 yds to the UNCO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

David Afari run for 3 yds to the SAC 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.40

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to David Afari for 10 yds to the SAC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 5 yds to the SAC 34

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jacquez Robertson run for 1 yd to the SAC 33

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Ty Arrington

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.92

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Zain Zinicola for 5 yds to the SAC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

David Afari run for 6 yds to the SAC 22

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Blake Haggerty

3rd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.41

Jacob Sirmon sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the SAC 26

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Hunter Green 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.73

Ezra Moleni run for 19 yds to the SAC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Kaiden Bennett run for 7 yds to the UNCO 48

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Moleni,Ezra rush right for 1 yard loss to the UNC49 (Johnson,Dustin) PENALTY SAC Illegal Block in Back (May,Davis) 10 yards from UNC48 to SAC42. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete to Carlos Hill

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaiden Bennett run for 3 yds to the SAC 45

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 37 yds , Blake Haggerty returns for no gain to the UNCO 18

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jamarii Robinson run for 4 yds to the UNCO 14 Jamarii Robinson fumbled, recovered by UNCO Jamarii Robinson

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Darius Stewart run for 1 yd to the UNCO 15

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Darius Stewart run for 2 yds to the UNCO 17

4th & 11Punt+5 yds

Hunter Green punt for 58 yds , Anderson Grover returns for 5 yds to the SAC 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marshel Martin for 5 yds to the SAC 35

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.93

Zeke Burnett run for 6 yds to the SAC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marshel Martin for 6 yds to the SAC 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete to Devin Gandy

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.15

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 10 yds to the UNCO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kaiden Bennett run for 1 yd to the UNCO 42

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zeke Burnett run for 5 yds to the UNCO 37

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Kaiden Bennett run for 5 yds to the UNCO 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY UNC Targeting (Capasso,Ryan) 15 yards from UNC32 to UNC17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for no gain to the UNCO 17

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Zeke Burnett run for 3 yds to the UNCO 20

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.69

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 20 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Evan Kiely kickoff for 65 yds , Jamarii Robinson return for 10 yds to the UNCO 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.79

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 16 yds to the UNCO 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jacquez Robertson run for 5 yds to the UNCO 31

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.96

Jacquez Robertson run for 7 yds to the UNCO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

David Afari run for 3 yds to the UNCO 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the SAC 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Ezra Moleni run for 7 yds to the SAC 27

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.43

Ezra Moleni run for 6 yds to the SAC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.08

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 24 yds to the UNCO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 3 yds to the UNCO 40

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bennett,Kaiden pass complete short left to Grover,Anderson for 40 yards to the UNC00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY SAC Holding (Garza,Ivan) 10 yards from UNC40 to UNC50. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bennett,Kaiden pass incomplete short middle to Grover,Anderson PENALTY SAC Pass Interference (Grover,Anderson) 15 yards from UNC50 to SAC35. NO PLAY.

2nd & 32Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete to Anderson Grover

3rd & 32Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Kaiden Bennett run for 3 yds to the SAC 38

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Connor Stutz punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Blake Haggerty at the UNCO 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 9 yds to the UNCO 27

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.80

Jacob Sirmon run for 3 yds to the UNCO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Zain Zinicola for 8 yds to the UNCO 38

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.50

Jacquez Robertson run for 5 yds to the UNCO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.82

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Zain Zinicola for 35 yds to the SAC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Blake Haggerty

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 11 yds to the SAC 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jamarii Robinson run for 2 yds to the SAC 9

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Blake Haggerty

4th & 8Field Goal Good+19 yds

Hunter Green 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Zeke Burnett run for 1 yd to the SAC 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Ezra Moleni run for 1 yd to the SAC 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete to Anderson Grover

4th & 8Punt+10 yds

Cal McGough punt for 44 yds , Blake Haggerty returns for 10 yds to the UNCO 39

1st & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.23

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to David Afari for 6 yds to the SAC 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to David Afari for 12 yds to the SAC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Ty Arrington for 8 yds to the SAC 24

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Zain Zinicola

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to David Afari

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.31

David Afari run for 1 yd to the SAC 23

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Ezra Moleni run for 10 yds to the SAC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.79

Kaiden Bennett sacked by Marcus Howard for a loss of 10 yards to the SAC 23

2nd & 20Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.16

K. Bennett takes a knee

3rd & 25Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.02

K. Bennett takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Sacramento State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
30 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
10 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play