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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Incarnate Word by 23.7

Home Win Probability

Northern Colorado 10%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Incarnate Word
71414742
Northern Colorado
00077

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-140-210-350-42
Northern ColoradoIncarnate Word

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCIWNCIWNCIWNCIWNCIWNCIWNCIWNCIWNCIWNCIWNCIWNCIWNCIWNCTO737ydPUNT421ydPUNT610ydTD340ydPUNT32ydTD1697ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT37ydPUNT431ydMISS767ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT928ydTD789ydPUNT3-2ydTO511ydDOWNS4-9ydTD960ydPUNT31ydTD667ydTO961ydPUNT38ydPUNT39ydTD667ydTD988ydTO422ydPUNT34yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Incarnate Word and Northern Colorado
StatisticIncarnate WordNorthern Colorado
Passing29-4015-32
Pass Yards382168
Rush Yards23593
Total Yards617261
Turnovers22
3rd Down7-152-18
Penalties9-947-65
Possession31:0328:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Incarnate Word
passing
Zach Calzada
29/40, 382 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Timothy Carter
16 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Caleb Chapman
5 REC, 116 YDS, 2 TD
Northern Colorado
passing
Jacob Sirmon
13/27, 114 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
David Afari
14 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Blake Haggerty
4 REC, 57 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.91

Jacob Sirmon pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

David Afari run for 3 yds to the UNCO 28

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 42 yds

4th & 11Punt+23 yds

Hunter Green punt for 38 yds Northern Colorado Penalty, kick catching interference (Tama Tuitele) to the UNCO 40

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Tywonne Harris) to the UNCO 3

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Tywonne Harris) to the UNCO 3

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Marquez Perez 21 Yd pass from Zach Calzada (Mason Lawler Kick)

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 70 yds

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.41

Jarrell Wiley run for 5 yds to the UNCO 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Jarrell Wiley run for 8 yds to the UNCO 13

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 10 yds to the UNCO 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jarrell Wiley run for 2 yds to the UNCO 1

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Incarnate Word Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Stanley Mark) to the UNCO 18

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 1 yd for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 71 yds , Zain Zinicola return for 22 yds to the UNCO 31

4th & 16Punt+5 yds

Hunter Green punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UIW 39 , Dekalon Taylor returns for 5 yds to the UIW 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.66

Ty Arrington run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNCO 28

4th & 15Punt+17 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 46 yds , Blake Haggerty returns for 17 yds to the UNCO 37

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 44 yds

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 57 yds

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+23 yds

Hunter Green 23 yd FG MISSED

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 56 yds

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

David Afari run for 6 yds to the UIW 48

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.60

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Ty Arrington for 5 yds to the UIW 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Zain Zinicola

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.85

Jacob Sirmon sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the UIW 47

3rd & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Darius Stewart

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Darius Stewart run for 20 yds to the UNCO 45 for a 1ST down

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Timothy Carter run for 6 yds to the UIW 19

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jackson Lowe for 7 yds to the UIW 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 12 yds to the UIW 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Timothy Carter run for 2 yds to the UIW 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.05

Caleb Chapman pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 44 yds to the UNCO 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Timothy Carter 16 Yd Run (Mason Lawler Kick)

3rd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.04

Caden Meis run for 8 yds to the UNCO 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 52 yds , Dekalon Taylor returns for no gain to the UIW 24

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.85

Zach Calzada pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 9 yds to the UIW 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.28

Zach Calzada pass complete to Tre Siggers

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jaelin Campbell, broken up by Nathaniel Gillis

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the UIW 36 for a 1ST down

4th & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.57

Jacob Sirmon sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the UIW 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

David Afari run for a loss of 1 yard to the UIW 32

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Zain Zinicola, broken up by Tre Richardson

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Zach Calzada run for 11 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.32

Incarnate Word Penalty, Offensive holding (Silas Robinson) to the UIW 30

1st & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jarrell Wiley for 3 yds to the UIW 33

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jarrell Wiley run for 3 yds to the UIW 36

3rd & 14Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.76

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 23 yds to the UNCO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Zach Calzada run for 4 yds to the UNCO 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Zach Calzada pass complete to Marquez Perez for 12 yds to the UNCO 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jarrell Wiley for 5 yds to the UNCO 20

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Jarrell Wiley run for 9 yds to the UNCO 11 for a 1ST down

4th & 9Punt+3 yds

Hunter Green punt for 44 yds , Dekalon Taylor returns for 3 yds to the UIW 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Darius Stewart run for 3 yds to the UNCO 28

3rd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Darius Stewart run for 5 yds to the UNCO 26

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.28

Tre Siggers run for 11 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.64

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 38 yds to the UNCO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the UNCO 24 Tre Siggers fumbled, recovered by UIW Tre Siggers

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -1.34

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Caleb Chapman, broken up by Cameron Murray Incarnate Word Penalty, personal foul (Caleb Chapman) to the UNCO 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Zach Calzada pass complete to Brandon Porter for 11 yds to the UNCO 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

D'Arius Carmouche run for 7 yds to the UNCO 11

4th & 6Pass Incompletion+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Jordan Riles for a 1ST down Incarnate Word Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jayden Staggers) to the UIW 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.88

Darius Stewart run for a loss of 7 yards to the UIW 24 Darius Stewart fumbled, recovered by UIW Devin Grant

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56
1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

David Afari run for 3 yds to the UNCO 28

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Darius Stewart run for 6 yds to the UNCO 34

4th & 1Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.93

Tama Tuitele run for 34 yds to the UIW 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Blake Haggerty run for 4 yds to the UIW 28

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65
3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

pass incomplete to David Afari

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Timothy Carter run for 2 yds to the UIW 26

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Timothy Carter run for 7 yds to the UIW 33

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Timothy Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UIW 32

4th & 2Punt+3 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 43 yds , Blake Haggerty returns for 3 yds to the UNCO 28

4th & 1Punt+13 yds

Hunter Green punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UIW 33 , Dekalon Taylor returns for 13 yds to the UIW 33

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.74

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 25 yds for a TD (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Hank Gibbs pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 43 yds for a TD (Hunter Green KICK)

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -2.95

Timothy Carter run for 9 yds to the UNCO 44 Timothy Carter fumbled, recovered by UNCO Christian Wren

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 46 yds

Situational Analysis

Incarnate Word

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
67%
15 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
18%
11 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play