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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Abilene Christian by 21.7

Home Win Probability

Abilene Christian 89%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Abilene Christian -13.5

Edge: Abilene Christian -13.5 (8.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Colorado
030811
Abilene Christian
14710031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-324-331-331-11
Abilene ChristianNorthern Colorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCACNCACNCACNCACNCACACNCACNCACNCACNCACPUNT31ydTD966ydPUNT38ydTD1487ydPUNT616ydPUNT32ydPUNT35ydTD687ydFG1661ydEND17ydFG752ydPUNT35ydTD671ydPUNT419ydDOWNS1265ydTD1585ydPUNT31ydDOWNS625ydEND1050yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Colorado and Abilene Christian
StatisticNorthern ColoradoAbilene Christian
Passing18-3218-29
Pass Yards106225
Rush Yards84268
Total Yards190493
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-156-11
Penalties2-3011-85
Possession26:5433:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Colorado
passing
Jacob Sirmon
18/32, 106 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
David Afari
11 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Blake Haggerty
5 REC, 30 YDS
Abilene Christian
passing
Maverick McIvor
16/25, 219 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jermiah Dobbins
10 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Blayne Taylor
4 REC, 75 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

David Afari run for 1 yd to the UNCO 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Jermiah Dobbins run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jermiah Dobbins run for 7 yds to the UNCO 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Taelyn Williams for 4 yds to the UNCO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Jermiah Dobbins run for 13 yds to the UNCO 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Rovaughn Banks Jr. for 9 yds to the UNCO 17

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.46

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 5 yds to the UNCO 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 5 yds to the UNCO 7

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNCO 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.14

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Rovaughn Banks Jr. for 12 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, Offsides (-5 Yards) to the UNCO 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Jordan Riles for 6 yds to the UNCO 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

David Afari run for 2 yds to the UNCO 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 44 yds , Dax Neece returns for no gain to the ACU 13

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 6 yds to the ACU 19

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ACU 14

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 9 yds to the ACU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Xavier Wishert run for 4 yds to the ACU 27

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, Personal Foul (Tama Tuitele) to the ACU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jermiah Dobbins run for 4 yds to the ACU 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.25

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Cooper McCasland for 11 yds to the UNCO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jermiah Dobbins run for 1 yd to the UNCO 39

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.05

Maverick McIvor run for 10 yds to the UNCO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Rovaughn Banks Jr. for 8 yds to the UNCO 21

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 15 yds to the UNCO 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Xavier Wishert run for 4 yds to the UNCO 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Xavier Wishert run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacob Sirmon run for no gain to the UNCO 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Darius Stewart run for 2 yds to the UNCO 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 9 yds to the UNCO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.60

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Ty Arrington for a loss of 4 yards to the UNCO 32

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Darius Stewart run for 9 yds to the UNCO 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dax Neece at the ACU 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Jermiah Dobbins run for 7 yds to the ACU 19

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ACU 14

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Blake Haggerty at the UNCO 35

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Jacob Sirmon run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNCO 32

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jamarii Robinson run for 3 yds to the UNCO 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 5 yds to the UNCO 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.45

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 22 yds to the ACU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MCIVOR, Maverick pass short to the left incomplete intended for SUNDAY, Jay'Veon thrown to the ACU39. PENALTY ACU Holding on GHIRMAI, Rafiti enforced 10 yards from the ACU35 to the ACU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.26

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 13 yds to the ACU 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.55

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jed Castles for 24 yds to the UNCO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MCCASLAND, Cooper rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the UNC39 (GILLIS, Nathaniel). PENALTY UNC Face mask on HARRIS, Tywonne enforced 15 yards from the UNC38 to the UNC23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Marcayll Jones for 3 yds to the UNCO 20

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 8 yds to the UNCO 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 12 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

David Afari run for 5 yds to the UNCO 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.03

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Zain Zinicola for a loss of 3 yards to the UNCO 27

3rd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.00

David Afari run for 21 yds to the UNCO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kyle Helbig for 5 yds to the ACU 47

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.84

Jacob Sirmon run for 6 yds to the ACU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, Personal Foul (Patrick Jolly) to the ACU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Jamarii Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ACU 34

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to David Afari for 5 yds to the ACU 29

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Darius Stewart for 2 yds to the ACU 27

4th & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.82

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Ty Arrington for 13 yds to the ACU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Jacob Sirmon run for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 15

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Alec Pell for 1 yd to the ACU 14

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+31 yds

Hunter Green 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jermiah Dobbins run for 7 yds to the ACU 32

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jermiah Dobbins run for 12 yds to the ACU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jermiah Dobbins run for 5 yds to the ACU 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.32

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Taelyn Williams for 38 yds to the UNCO 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jay'Veon Sunday run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNCO 21

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 3 yds to the UNCO 18

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNCO 23

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+40 yds

Kyle Ramsey 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 2 yds to the UNCO 27

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jacob Sirmon run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNCO 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Alec Pell for 5 yds to the UNCO 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 7 yds to the ACU 36

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Jermiah Dobbins run for 11 yds to the ACU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Maverick McIvor run for no gain to the ACU 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.62

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 32 yds to the UNCO 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Cooper McCasland for 3 yds to the UNCO 18

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Xavier Wishert run for 18 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Darius Stewart run for 11 yds to the UNCO 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Darius Stewart run for 8 yds to the UNCO 39

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dax Neece at the ACU 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 5 yds to the ACU 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.57

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Rovaughn Banks Jr. for 9 yds to the ACU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 13 yds to the ACU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 21 yds to the UNCO 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Xavier Wishert run for 6 yds to the UNCO 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 3 yds to the UNCO 23

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.20

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 1 yd to the UNCO 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Xavier Wishert run for 7 yds to the UNCO 15

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Xavier Wishert run for no gain to the UNCO 15

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.72

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

David Afari run for 4 yds to the UNCO 19

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

David Afari run for 3 yds to the UNCO 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.08

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 7 yds to the UNCO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

David Afari run for 3 yds to the UNCO 32

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.27

David Afari run for 7 yds to the UNCO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Jacob Sirmon sacked by Syncere Massey and Jerry Lawson for a loss of 1 yard to the UNCO 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.67

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Alec Pell for 17 yds to the ACU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SIRMON, Jacob pass deep to the left incomplete intended for ARRINGTON, Ty thrown to the ACU6. PENALTY ACU Pass Interference on REYNOLDS, Aaron enforced 15 yards to the ACU30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

David Afari run for 3 yds to the ACU 27

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

David Afari run for 5 yds to the ACU 22

4th & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 7 yds to the ACU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jacob Sirmon run for 4 yds to the ACU 11

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, Offsides (Jordan Butler) to the ACU 6

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Hank Gibbs run for no gain to the ACU 6

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.82

David Afari run for 2 yds to the ACU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Alec Pell for 4 yds for a TD (Jacob Sirmon pass to Jordan Riles for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 5 yds to the ACU 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 3 yds to the ACU 33

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Jay'Veon Sunday run for a loss of 2 yards to the ACU 31

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the ACU 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Blake Haggerty at the UNCO 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.76

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Jordan Riles for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Darius Stewart for 4 yds to the ACU 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Quayde Hawkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 11 yds to the UNCO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Quayde Hawkins run for 1 yd to the UNCO 42

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Xavier Wishert run for 8 yds to the UNCO 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.49

Xavier Wishert run for 2 yds to the UNCO 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Quayde Hawkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.46

Quayde Hawkins pass complete to Denver Holman for a loss of 3 yards to the UNCO 35

3rd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Xavier Wishert run for 7 yds to the UNCO 28

4th & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.85

Quayde Hawkins pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 9 yds to the UNCO 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.92

Quayde Hawkins run for 15 yds to the UNCO 4 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
20%
20 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Abilene Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
58%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
77%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play