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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Arizona by 25.2

Home Win Probability

Northern Arizona 91%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Colorado
07007
Northern Arizona
7147028

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-721-728-7
Northern ArizonaNorthern Colorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCNANCNANCNANCNANCNANCNANANCNANCNANCNANCNANCNAPUNT31ydTD554ydPUNT34ydDOWNS1355ydPUNT31ydTD877ydTD1275ydTD775ydPUNT618ydPUNT36ydTO948ydEND10ydTD575ydPUNT616ydPUNT36ydPUNT715ydPUNT34ydDOWNS725ydPUNT3-8ydDOWNS942ydPUNT714ydPUNT33ydEND812yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Colorado and Northern Arizona
StatisticNorthern ColoradoNorthern Arizona
Passing21-3420-25
Pass Yards177201
Rush Yards68227
Total Yards245428
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-187-13
Penalties1-58-76
Possession30:3529:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Colorado
passing
Shea Kuykendall
21/34, 177 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
David Afari
17 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Jamarii Robinson
7 REC, 72 YDS
Northern Arizona
passing
Angel H Flores
18/22, 167 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Devon Starling
11 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
BJ Fleming
3 REC, 71 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Marcus Lye kickoff for 65 yds , Jamarii Robinson return for 22 yds to the UNCO 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

David Afari run for 2 yds to the UNCO 24

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

David Afari run for 1 yd to the UNCO 23

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Shea Kuykendall pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe

4th & 9Punt+26 yds

Hunter Green punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NAU 46 , Coleman Owen returns for 26 yds to the NAU 46

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Angel Flores run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Angel Flores pass complete to Chase Belcher for 9 yds to the UNCO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Angel Flores pass incomplete to Coleman Owen

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Devon Starling run for 11 yds to the UNCO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Xander Werner pass complete to Devon Starling for 30 yds for a TD (Szymon Gawlick KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Shea Kuykendall run for 3 yds to the UNCO 22 Shea Kuykendall fumbled, recovered by UNCO Shea Kuykendall No Huddle-Shotgun Kuykendall,Shea rush middle for 3 yards loss to the UNC22 fumbled by Kuykendall,Shea at UNC25 recovered by UNC Kuykendall,Shea at UNC22 (Kwete,Eloi; Ma'afu,Alani).

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

David Afari run for 1 yd to the UNCO 23

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Jordan Hornbeak run for 6 yds to the UNCO 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the NAU 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

BJ Fleming run for 5 yds to the NAU 35

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.83

Angel Flores run for 5 yds to the NAU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Belcher run for 1 yd to the NAU 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Angel Flores pass complete to Xander Werner for 4 yds to the NAU 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Angel Flores pass complete to Coleman Owen for 6 yds to the UNCO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the UNCO 46

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Chase Belcher run for 4 yds to the UNCO 42

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the UNCO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.59

Angel Flores pass complete to BJ Fleming for 25 yds to the UNCO 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Flores,Angel (QB) rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNC07 (Johnson,Dustin; Polson,Payton) PENALTY NAU Holding (Baker-McCaulay,Que) 10 yards from UNC14 to UNC24. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Angel Flores pass complete to Chase Belcher for 2 yds to the UNCO 22

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Angel Flores pass incomplete to Chase Belcher

3rd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Angel Flores pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 8 yds to the UNCO 14

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NAU False Start (Koustanian,Krikour) 5 yards from UNC14 to UNC19. NO PLAY.

4th & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -2.36

PJ London pass complete to Marcus Lye for 4 yds to the UNCO 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Hornbeak run for 1 yd to the UNCO 16

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Shea Kuykendall pass incomplete to Ty Arrington

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.10

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for no gain to the UNCO 16

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 61 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Angel Flores run for 2 yds to the NAU 25

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.16

Devon Starling run for 18 yds to the NAU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Angel Flores run for 9 yds to the UNCO 48

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.17

Devon Starling run for 12 yds to the UNCO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Angel Flores pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 10 yds to the UNCO 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Chase Belcher pass incomplete to Bryzai White

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Devon Starling run for 4 yds to the UNCO 22

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.26

Angel Flores pass complete to Coleman Owen for 22 yds for a TD (Szymon Gawlick KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Darius Stewart run for 4 yds to the UNCO 21

2nd & 14Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.14

Darius Stewart run for 17 yds to the UNCO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

David Afari run for no gain to the UNCO 38

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

David Afari run for 2 yds to the UNCO 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.65

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.12

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 24 yds to the NAU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

David Afari run for 4 yds to the NAU 22

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Darius Stewart run for 1 yd to the NAU 21

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 18 yds to the NAU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jordan Hornbeak run for 1 yd to the NAU 2

2nd & 2Rush+2 yds

David Afari run for 2 yds to the NAU 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 4 yds for a TD (Hunter Green KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the NAU 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Angel Flores run for 1 yd to the NAU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Angel Flores pass complete to Marcus Phillips Jr. for 10 yds to the NAU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Angel Flores run for 8 yds to the NAU 47

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Daniel Britt run for 5 yds to the UNCO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.63

Angel Flores pass complete to BJ Fleming for 42 yds to the UNCO 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Devon Starling run for 6 yds for a TD (Szymon Gawlick KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 5 yds to the UNCO 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Darius Stewart run for no gain to the UNCO 30

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Shea Kuykendall run for 7 yds to the UNCO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Shea Kuykendall pass incomplete to Ty Arrington

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

David Afari run for 3 yds to the UNCO 40

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jacquez Robertson run for 3 yds to the UNCO 43

4th & 4Punt+10 yds

Hunter Green punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NAU 15 , Coleman Owen returns for 10 yds to the NAU 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Angel Flores pass incomplete to Coleman Owen

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Angel Flores pass complete to BJ Fleming for 4 yds to the NAU 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Angel Flores pass complete to Chase Belcher for 2 yds to the NAU 21

4th & 4Punt+7 yds

Brody Richter punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNCO 37 , Aliou-Rocco Traore returns for 7 yds to the UNCO 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 3 yds to the UNCO 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to David Afari for 5 yds to the UNCO 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.53

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 16 yds to the NAU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to David Afari for 3 yds to the NAU 31

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

David Afari run for 2 yds to the NAU 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.98

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 14 yds to the NAU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Shea Kuykendall pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.12

Shea Kuykendall pass intercepted Northern Arizona Penalty, Illegal Block (Zach Lewis) to the NAU 45

2nd & 10Interception+10 ydsPPA -4.12

Shea Kuykendall pass intercepted Northern Arizona Penalty, Illegal Block (Zach Lewis) to the NAU 35

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

A. Flores takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+63 ydsPPA +3.55

Chase Belcher run for 63 yds to the UNCO 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Chase Belcher run for 1 yd to the UNCO 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Angel Flores pass complete to Xander Werner for 3 yds to the UNCO 8

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.92

BJ Fleming run for 7 yds to the UNCO 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Angel Flores run for 1 yd for a TD (Szymon Gawlick KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 9 yds to the UNCO 44

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

David Afari run for 1 yd to the UNCO 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

David Afari run for 3 yds to the UNCO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.14

Shea Kuykendall sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the UNCO 41

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kamron Randell-Taylor run for 2 yds to the UNCO 43

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

David Afari run for 8 yds to the NAU 49

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the NAU 6

2nd & 7Penalty-3 yds

PENALTY NAU False Start (Koustanian,Krikour) 3 yards from NAU06 to NAU03. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Devon Starling run for 1 yd to the NAU 4

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Devon Starling run for 5 yds to the NAU 9

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNCO 35 , Aliou-Rocco Traore returns for no gain to the UNCO 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Shea Kuykendall pass incomplete to Ty Arrington

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Caden Meis run for 9 yds to the UNCO 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Shea Kuykendall run for no gain to the UNCO 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Shea Kuykendall run for 2 yds to the UNCO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shea Kuykendall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Jacquez Robertson run for 7 yds to the NAU 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Angel Flores run for 2 yds to the NAU 4

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Daniel Britt run for 3 yds to the NAU 7

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Angel Flores pass complete to Coleman Owen for 3 yds to the NAU 10

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Aliou-Rocco Traore at the UNCO 36

1st & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

David Afari run for 8 yds to the UNCO 44

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.24

David Afari run for 3 yds to the UNCO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Shea Kuykendall pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

2nd & 10Penalty+8 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Kuykendall,Shea pass incomplete short middle to Munroe,Brayden PENALTY NAU Pass Interference (Harkins,Michael) 8 yards from UNC47 to NAU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Shea Kuykendall pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Shea Kuykendall pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UNC Delay Of Game (Kuykendall,Shea) 5 yards from NAU45 to NAU50. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.17

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 11 yds to the NAU 39

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.74

Shea Kuykendall pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

1st & 10Pass Reception-11 ydsPPA -2.30

Angel Flores pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 4 yds to the NAU 43 Northern Arizona Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the NAU 28

1st & 21Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Angel Flores run for 2 yds to the NAU 30

2nd & 19Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Angel Flores pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 1 yd to the NAU 31

3rd & 18Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Aliou-Rocco Traore at the UNCO 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.11

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 16 yds to the UNCO 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 12 yds to the UNCO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to David Afari for 7 yds to the NAU 48

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

David Afari run for 1 yd to the NAU 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.55

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 10 yds to the NAU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Shea Kuykendall pass incomplete to Jamarii Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Shea Kuykendall pass incomplete to Blake Haggerty

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.03

Shea Kuykendall sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the NAU 44

4th & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 3 yds to the NAU 41

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Devon Starling rush for 20 yds ti the UNCO 39, Northern Arizona Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NAU 43

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Devon Starling run for 1 yd to the NAU 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Angel Flores pass complete to Chase Belcher for 3 yds to the NAU 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.09

Angel Flores pass complete to Chase Belcher for 9 yds to the UNCO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Angel Flores sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the UNCO 47

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Chase Belcher run for 2 yds to the UNCO 45

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Angel Flores pass incomplete to Coleman Owen

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Aliou-Rocco Traore at the UNCO 10

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

David Afari run for 6 yds to the UNCO 4

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

David Afari run for 4 yds to the UNCO 8

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Shea Kuykendall pass complete to Jordan Hornbeak for 5 yds to the UNCO 13

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Alec Wyble-Meza run for 2 yds to the UNCO 48

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Daniel Britt run for no gain to the UNCO 48

3rd & 8Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.45

Daniel Britt run for 9 yds to the NAU 39 for a 1ST down Northern Arizona Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Keyonta Lanier) to the NAU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Alec Wyble-Meza run for 3 yds to the NAU 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Daniel Britt run for 3 yds to the UNCO 48

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Alec Wyble-Meza run for no gain to the UNCO 48

4th & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.77

Daniel Britt run for 6 yds to the UNCO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Daniel Britt run for 4 yds to the UNCO 38

Situational Analysis

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Northern Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
31%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
17%
12 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
71%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play