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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Sacramento State by 26.5

Home Win Probability

Sacramento State 93%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Sacramento State -20

Edge: Sacramento State -20 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Arizona
7147230
Sacramento StateSacramento State
14100731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-714-1314-2121-2324-2124-2831-2831-30
Sacramento StateNorthern Arizona

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SSNASSNASSNASSNASSNASSNASSNASSNASSNASSNAPUNT417ydTD481ydTD975ydPUNT31ydTD1258ydTD681ydPUNT542ydTD898ydTD772ydPUNT33ydFG932ydPUNT619ydEND19ydTD1699ydMISS752ydPUNT834ydTD1881ydTO1753ydSAF4-13ydEND1-14yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Arizona and Sacramento State
StatisticNorthern ArizonaSacramento State
Passing24-3418-27
Pass Yards255257
Rush Yards195161
Total Yards450418
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-147-15
Penalties2-255-45
Possession30:1329:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Arizona
passing
Adam Damante
23/33, 196 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Devon Starling
21 CAR, 117 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Elijah Taylor
2 REC, 73 YDS
Sacramento State
passing
Kaiden Bennett
18/27, 257 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kaiden Bennett
22 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Jared Gipson
5 REC, 108 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Elijah Tau-Tolliver for 11 yds to the SAC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kaiden Bennett run for 5 yds to the SAC 38

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Kaiden Bennett run for 1 yd to the SAC 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the NAU 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Chase Belcher run for 1 yd to the NAU 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.84

Adam Damante pass complete to Marcus Phillips Jr. for 17 yds to the NAU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +3.59

Adam Damante pass complete to Elijah Taylor for 60 yds to the SAC 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Chase Belcher run for 3 yds for a TD (Marcus Lye KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marshel Martin for 3 yds to the SAC 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 5 yds to the SAC 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Ezra Moleni run for 3 yds to the SAC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.00

Kaiden Bennett run for 24 yds to the NAU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.68

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Chris Miller for 30 yds to the NAU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Kaiden Bennett run for 1 yd to the NAU 9

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.93

Kaiden Bennett sacked by Daniel Robledo for a loss of 7 yards to the NAU 16

3rd & 16Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.67

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 16 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Evan Kiely kickoff for 63 yds , return for no gain to the NAU 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Devon Starling run for 1 yd to the NAU 15

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Devon Starling run for 4 yds to the NAU 19

3rd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.29

Adam Damante pass complete to Devon Starling for a loss of 4 yards to the NAU 15

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ezra Moleni run for 4 yds to the SAC 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 3 yds to the SAC 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.02

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 12 yds to the NAU 39 for a 1ST down

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 3 yds to the NAU 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.04

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 13 yds to the NAU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Ezra Moleni run for 12 yds to the NAU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ezra Moleni run for 3 yds to the NAU 10

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ezra Moleni run for 4 yds to the NAU 6

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kaiden Bennett run for 2 yds to the NAU 4

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.37

Kaiden Bennett run for 1 yd to the NAU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Kaiden Bennett sacked by Alex McLaughlin for a loss of 2 yards to the NAU 41

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 3 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Adam Damante pass complete to Chase Belcher for 6 yds to the NAU 25

2nd & 4Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +3.59

Chase Belcher pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 59 yds to the SAC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Adam Damante pass complete to BJ Fleming for 4 yds to the SAC 12

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devon Starling run for 4 yds to the SAC 8

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Adam Damante pass incomplete

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.98

Devon Starling run for 8 yds for a TD (Marcus Lye PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Marcus Lye kickoff for 55 yds , return for no gain to the SAC 15

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.47

Kaiden Bennett run for 21 yds to the SAC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.28

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 32 yds to the NAU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Ezra Moleni run for 1 yd to the NAU 31

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.24

Kaiden Bennett sacked by Jhasi Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the NAU 38

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 16Penalty-5 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the NAU 43

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 41 yds, downed at the NAU 2

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Adam Damante run for no gain to the NAU 2

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Devon Starling run for 9 yds to the NAU 11

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Devon Starling run for 10 yds to the NAU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Chase Belcher run for 4 yds to the NAU 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.67

Adam Damante pass complete to BJ Fleming for 15 yds to the NAU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Chase Belcher run for 2 yds to the NAU 42

2nd & 8Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.83

Chase Belcher run for 39 yds to the SAC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Coleman Owen 19 Yd pass from Adam Damante (Adam Damante Pass to Devon Starling for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Zeke Burnett run for 13 yds to the SAC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Kaiden Bennett run for 12 yds to the NAU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 9 yds to the NAU 38

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.30

Zeke Burnett run for 5 yds to the NAU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

BENNETT, Kaiden pass to the right incomplete intended for GANDY, Devin broken up by RHAMBO, Edward at the NAU18. PENALTY NAU Personal Foul on JONES, Jonathan enforced 15 yards from the NAU33 to the NAU18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Kaiden Bennett run for 11 yds to the NAU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Zeke Burnett 7 Yd Run (Zach Schreiner Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the NAU 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Adam Damante pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Adam Damante pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 12 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 3 yds to the NAU 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 4 yds to the NAU 38

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Kaiden Bennett run for 10 yds to the NAU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Ezra Moleni run for 13 yds to the NAU 15 Sacramento State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NAU 25

1st & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.20

Kaiden Bennett run for 7 yds to the NAU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ezra Moleni run for 2 yds to the NAU 16

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ezra Moleni run for 3 yds to the NAU 13

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+31 yds

Zach Schreiner 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the NAU 41

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, Offsides (Armon Bailey) to the NAU 46

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Adam Damante pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.74

Devon Starling run for 8 yds to the SAC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.31

Adam Damante sacked by Jett Stanley for a loss of 13 yards to the NAU 41

2nd & 23Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Adam Damante pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 13 yds to the SAC 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Adam Damante pass complete to Zion Magalei for 3 yds to the SAC 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the SAC 9

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Zeke Burnett run for 9 yds to the SAC 18

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Devon Starling run for 5 yds to the NAU 6

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Adam Damante pass complete to Bryzai White for 8 yds to the NAU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Draycen Hall run for 7 yds to the NAU 21

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for 7 yds to the NAU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Adam Damante pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Draycen Hall run for 5 yds to the NAU 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Adam Damante pass complete to Keyonta Lanier for 4 yds to the NAU 37

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.73

Draycen Hall run for 1 yd to the NAU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Draycen Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAU 36

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Adam Damante pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.57

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for 21 yds to the SAC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devon Starling run for 5 yds to the SAC 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.56

Adam Damante pass complete to Elijah Taylor for 13 yds to the SAC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Devon Starling run for 2 yds to the SAC 23

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Devon Starling run for 15 yds to the SAC 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Devon Starling 8 Yd Run (Szymon Gawlick Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kaiden Bennett run for 4 yds to the SAC 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.45

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 44 yds to the NAU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.18

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for 12 yds to the NAU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Ezra Moleni run for 2 yds to the NAU 13

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ezra Moleni run for no gain to the NAU 13

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.29

Kaiden Bennett sacked by David Spruiells for a loss of 10 yards to the NAU 23

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Zach Schreiner 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

run for 9 yds to the NAU 32

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Devon Starling run for 10 yds to the NAU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Hendrix Johnson run for 6 yds to the NAU 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Adam Damante pass complete to Devon Starling for 3 yds to the SAC 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

run for 2 yds to the SAC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Adam Damante pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Belcher run for 4 yds to the SAC 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Adam Damante pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Zeke Burnett run for 3 yds to the SAC 22

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Zeke Burnett run for 3 yds to the SAC 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.50

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 9 yds to the SAC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kaiden Bennett run for no gain to the SAC 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.64

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 18 yds to the NAU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kaiden Bennett run for 4 yds to the NAU 44

4th & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.11

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 13 yds to the NAU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kaiden Bennett run for 6 yds to the NAU 25

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.37

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 6 yds to the NAU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Kaiden Bennett run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAU 21

2nd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.45

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for 17 yds to the NAU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Kaiden Bennett run for 2 yds to the NAU 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for no gain to the NAU 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Coleman Kuntz 2 Yd Run (Zach Schreiner Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Devon Starling run for 2 yds to the NAU 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Adam Damante pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Adam Damante pass complete to Devon Starling for 6 yds to the NAU 43

4th & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.63

Adam Damante pass complete to Ethen Cluff for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Devon Starling run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.02

Adam Damante pass complete to Keyonta Lanier for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Adam Damante pass complete to Chase Belcher for 4 yds to the SAC 46

4th & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +3.06

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for 9 yds to the SAC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Chase Belcher run for 4 yds to the SAC 33

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Chase Belcher run for 3 yds to the SAC 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Adam Damante pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 2 yds to the SAC 28

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Chase Belcher run for 12 yds to the SAC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devon Starling run for 4 yds to the SAC 12

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Devon Starling run for 7 yds to the SAC 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Devon Starling run for no gain to the SAC 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.80

Adam Damante pass complete to Chase Belcher for a loss of 7 yards to the SAC 12

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -3.77

Adam Damante pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

[NHSG] Kneel down by BENNETT, Kaiden at SAC18 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.29

Kaiden Bennett run for a loss of 7 yards to the SAC 11

3rd & 19Rush0 ydsPPA -0.02

[NHSG] Kneel down by BENNETT, Kaiden at SAC7 (team loss of 4).

4th & 23Safety0 ydsPPA -1.60

Team Safety

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Adam Damante pass complete to Devon Starling for 1 yd to the NAU 28

Situational Analysis

Northern Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
4 plays
100%
1 play

Sacramento State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
39%
33 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play