Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota by 17.4

Home Win Probability

North Dakota 85%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Arizona
0361322
North Dakota
6717737

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428426-06-313-320-320-930-1537-937-22
North DakotaNorthern Arizona

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NANDNANDNANDNANDNDNANDNANDNANDNANANDDOWNS830ydTD1164ydFG1475ydTD1372ydPUNT33ydPUNT1248ydTO575ydEND139ydPUNT31ydPUNT35ydTD965ydTD1575ydTD475ydPUNT720ydTD973ydTD971ydTD451ydEND623yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Arizona and North Dakota
StatisticNorthern ArizonaNorth Dakota
Passing21-3422-31
Pass Yards274298
Rush Yards171150
Total Yards445448
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-136-11
Penalties11-743-15
Possession25:3334:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Arizona
passing
Kai Millner
20/33, 258 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kai Millner
14 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Coleman Owen
6 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
North Dakota
passing
Tommy Schuster
21/30, 259 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Gaven Ziebarth
12 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bo Belquist
8 REC, 123 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Kai Millner pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the NAU 32

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the NAU 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.71

Kai Millner pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 12 yds to the NAU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Kai Millner run for 10 yds to the UND 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Kai Millner pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 9 yds to the UND 34

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.55

Devon Starling run for a loss of 3 yards to the UND 37

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 42

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Kai Millner pass complete to Coleman Owen for 6 yds to the UND 36

4th & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -2.16

Kai Millner run for no gain to the UND 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jaden Norby for 9 yds to the UND 45

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Smith run for 7 yds to the NAU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Quincy Vaughn for 4 yds to the NAU 44

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 13 yds Red Wilson fumbled, recovered by UND for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 1 yd to the NAU 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 6 yds to the NAU 24

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Gaven Ziebarth run for 7 yds to the NAU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.88

Tommy Schuster sacked by Daniel Robledo for a loss of 6 yards to the NAU 23

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.48

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 19 yds to the NAU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty0 yds

SCHUSTER, Tommy pass short to the left incomplete intended for BELQUIST, Bo thrown to the NAU0. PENALTY NAU Holding on DOURSEAU, Shawn enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the NAU4 to the NAU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Gaven Ziebarth 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Devon Starling run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 15

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Kai Millner pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.50

Kai Millner pass complete to Coleman Owen for 14 yds to the NAU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Kai Millner run for 7 yds to the NAU 36

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Kai Millner run for 1 yd to the NAU 37

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.38

Devon Starling run for 4 yds to the NAU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Devon Starling run for 8 yds to the NAU 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.78

Kai Millner pass complete to Xander Werner for 19 yds to the UND 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the UND 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.52

Xander Werner pass complete to Isaiah Eastman for 16 yds to the UND 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Coleman Owen run for 1 yd to the UND 12

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 17

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kai Millner pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Kai Millner run for 13 yds to the UND 4

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 9

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Marcus Lye 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the UND 33

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.10

Luke Skokna run for 8 yds to the UND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 7 yds to the UND 48

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Luke Skokna run for 4 yds to the NAU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jaden Norby for 9 yds to the NAU 39

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Quincy Vaughn for 6 yds to the NAU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Gaven Ziebarth run for 10 yds to the NAU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Gaven Ziebarth run for 11 yds to the NAU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Gaven Ziebarth run for 8 yds to the NAU 4

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.63

Tommy Schuster run for 3 yds to the NAU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Quincy Vaughn 1 Yd Run (Brady Stevens Kick)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Kai Millner sacked by Wyatt Pedigo for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 31

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Devon Starling run for 4 yds to the NAU 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Kai Millner pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 51 yds , returns for no gain to the UND 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Luke Skokna run for 5 yds to the UND 19

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 1 yd to the UND 20

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tommy Schuster run for 3 yds to the UND 23

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

run for 2 yds to the UND 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 7 yds to the UND 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.55

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 17 yds to the UND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.87

Tommy Schuster run for 11 yds to the NAU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the NAU 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 33 yds, downed at the NAU 5

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.65

Kai Millner run for 17 yds to the NAU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Kai Millner pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 9 yds to the NAU 31

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Kai Millner pass complete to Devon Starling for 6 yds to the NAU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.43

Kai Millner pass complete to Isaiah Eastman for 43 yds to the UND 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-32 ydsPPA -4.61

Kai Millner sacked for a loss of 32 yards to the NAU 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.26

Trey Feeney pass complete to Bo Belquist for 39 yds to the NAU 9 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the UND 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 23

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 4 yds to the UND 27

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the NAU 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devon Starling run for 5 yds to the NAU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kai Millner pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kai Millner pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, Targeting on SPRUIELLS, David enforced (David Spruiells) to the NAU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 7 yds to the NAU 36

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Luke Skokna run for 6 yds to the NAU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the NAU 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 13 yds to the NAU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the NAU 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 10 yds to the NAU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Quincy Vaughn 1 Yd Run (Brady Stevens Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Devon Starling run for 1 yd to the NAU 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kai Millner run for 5 yds to the NAU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kai Millner pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.20

Kai Millner pass complete to Isaiah Eastman for 8 yds to the NAU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kai Millner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Devon Starling run for 12 yds to the UND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kai Millner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.09

Devon Starling run for 21 yds to the UND 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Kai Millner run for 9 yds to the UND 19

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kai Millner pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Kai Millner run for 2 yds to the UND 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kai Millner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.04

Devon Starling run for 12 yds to the UND 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Devon Starling run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Bryzai White 6 Yd pass from Kai Millner (Marcus Lye PAT blocked)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 7 yds to the UND 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Luke Skokna run for 4 yds to the UND 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 31

1st & 15Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.77

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Luke Skokna for 24 yds to the NAU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Wesley Eliodor 45 Yd pass from Tommy Schuster (Tommy Schuster Pass to Bo Belquist for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Kai Millner pass complete to Isaiah Eastman for 12 yds to the NAU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Devon Starling run for no gain to the NAU 36

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Kai Millner run for 6 yds to the NAU 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.09

Kai Millner pass complete to Devon Starling for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kai Millner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kai Millner pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.16

Kai Millner sacked by Elijah Beach for a loss of 6 yards to the NAU 44

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 29 yds, downed at the UND 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Isaiah Smith run for 3 yds to the UND 30

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the UND 35

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, Offsides (Daniel Robledo) to the UND 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tommy Schuster run for no gain to the UND 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.83

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 23 yds to the NAU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the NAU 32

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the NAU 28

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Gaven Ziebarth run for no gain to the NAU 28

4th & 1Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.93

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 27 yds to the NAU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tommy Schuster run for 1 yd for a TD (Brady Stevens KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NAU 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kai Millner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.95

Kai Millner pass complete to Coleman Owen for 12 yds to the NAU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NAU 31

1st & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Kai Millner pass complete to Isaiah Eastman for 9 yds to the NAU 40

2nd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.59

Draycen Hall run for 16 yds to the UND 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.73

Kai Millner pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 20 yds to the UND 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Draycen Hall run for 3 yds to the UND 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kai Millner pass complete to Coleman Owen for 6 yds to the UND 15

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.10

Draycen Hall run for 2 yds to the UND 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Kai Millner run for 13 yds for a TD (Marcus Lye KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the NAU 37

2nd & 22Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.99

Kai Millner pass complete to Coleman Owen for 21 yds to the UND 42

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.91

Devon Starling run for 5 yds to the UND 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Kai Millner pass complete to Coleman Owen for 37 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Gaven Ziebarth run for 10 yds to the NAU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the NAU 38

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Gaven Ziebarth run for 6 yds to the NAU 32

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

run for no gain to the NAU 32

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.59

Luke Skokna run for 5 yds to the NAU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kneel down by SCHUSTER, Tommy at NAU27 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Northern Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
89%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
4 plays
52%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
83%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays