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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 3.9

Home Win Probability

Sacramento State 40%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Sacramento State +10

Edge: Sacramento State +10 (6.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 22, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana State
01472142
Sacramento StateSacramento State
70101330

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-77-1414-2117-2824-2824-3530-42
Sacramento StateMontana State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SSMSSSMSSSSSMSSSMSMSSSMSSSSSMSSSMSSSMSSSMSPUNT33ydMISS1357ydTD1180ydPUNT521ydTD21ydMISS1250ydTD875ydPUNT625ydMISS952ydTO631ydTO20ydTD326ydTD475ydFG517ydTD1190ydTD1275ydTD463ydDOWNS43ydTD428ydTD1175ydEND410yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana State and Sacramento State
StatisticMontana StateSacramento State
Passing10-1626-42
Pass Yards120234
Rush Yards328200
Total Yards448434
Turnovers22
3rd Down7-105-12
Penalties3-309-65
Possession32:3127:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana State
passing
Tommy Mellott
9/14, 99 YDS
rushing
Julius Davis
12 CAR, 110 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ty McCullouch
4 REC, 53 YDS, 1 TD
Sacramento State
passing
Kaiden Bennett
26/42, 234 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Elijah Tau-Tolliver
8 CAR, 100 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Devin Gandy
5 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for 6 yds to the SAC 31

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

FULCHER, Marcus rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the SAC41 (POLIDORE, Dru). PENALTY SAC Holding on RILEY, Kenndel enforced 10 yards from the SAC31 to the SAC21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Marcus Fulcher run for 1 yd to the SAC 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marshel Martin for 6 yds to the SAC 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 44 yds, downed at the MTST 28

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.36

Tommy Mellott run for a loss of 8 yards to the MTST 20

2nd & 18Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Tommy Mellott run for 8 yds to the MTST 28

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.31

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 12 yds to the MTST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.46

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 18 yds to the SAC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Sean Chambers run for 6 yds to the SAC 36

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.30

Sean Chambers run for 10 yds to the SAC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Tommy Mellott run for 2 yds to the SAC 18

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the SAC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.81

Marqui Johnson run for a loss of 6 yards to the SAC 21

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Montana State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SAC 20

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Julius Davis run for 5 yds to the SAC 16

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Tommy Mellott run for 1 yd to the SAC 15

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Brendan Hall 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 10 yds to the SAC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kaiden Bennett run for 3 yds to the SAC 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.39

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 8 yds to the SAC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Marcus Fulcher run for 14 yds to the MTST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Ezra Moleni for 8 yds to the MTST 37

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.04

Ezra Moleni run for 8 yds to the MTST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for 5 yds to the MTST 24

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, False Start (Kenndel Riley) to the MTST 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 11 yds to the MTST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ezra Moleni run for 2 yds to the MTST 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.16

Danny Scudero run for 16 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Julius Davis run for 6 yds to the MTST 31

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Tommy Mellott run for 10 yds to the MTST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Sean Chambers run for 1 yd to the MTST 42

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Julius Davis run for 4 yds to the MTST 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 45 yds, downed at the SAC 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Kaiden Bennett run for 1 yd to the SAC 10

2nd & 9Interception Return Touchdown+16 ydsPPA -6.90

Jon Johnson 16 Yd Interception Return (Brendan Hall Kick)

0th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Marqui Johnson) to the SAC 8

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ezra Moleni run for 6 yds to the SAC 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kaiden Bennett run for 2 yds to the SAC 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Ezra Moleni run for 2 yds to the SAC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 5 yds to the SAC 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.59

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marshel Martin for 13 yds to the MTST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.85

Ezra Moleni run for 17 yds to the MTST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Ezra Moleni run for 2 yds to the MTST 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Elijah Tau-Tolliver for 3 yds to the MTST 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Zach Schreiner 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Tommy Mellott run for 22 yds to the MTST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 7 yds to the SAC 46

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Julius Davis run for 2 yds to the SAC 44

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the SAC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Julius Davis run for 4 yds to the SAC 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 7 yds to the SAC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Tommy Mellott run for 8 yds to the SAC 21

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.28

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 21 yds for a TD (Brendan Hall KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 11 yds to the SAC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Marshel Martin run for 3 yds to the SAC 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 8 yds to the SAC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, False Start (Nathan Mejia) to the SAC 42

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Chris Miller for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 13 yds to the MTST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Tommy Mellott run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 32

3rd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.73

Tommy Mellott run for 13 yds to the MTST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Tommy Mellott run for 7 yds to the SAC 48

4th & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.05

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Jacob Trimble for 15 yds to the SAC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

HALL, Brendan field goal attempt from 50 yards NO GOOD (short right) [kick was spotted at SAC40]. PENALTY SAC Running Into the kicker on VEDDER, Zelmar enforced 5 yards from the SAC33 to the SAC28. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Brendan Hall 45 yd FG MISSED

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Tommy Mellott run for 2 yds to the MTST 33

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Julius Davis run for 7 yds to the MTST 40

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.89

Sean Chambers run for 11 yds to the SAC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Sean Chambers run for 1 yd to the SAC 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+10 yds

MELLOTT, Tommy pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for TRIMBLE, Jacob thrown to the SAC30. PENALTY SAC Holding on MOULTRIE, Ashton enforced 10 yards from the SAC48 to the SAC38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.91

Sean Chambers pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Ezra Moleni run for no gain to the SAC 29

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Kaiden Bennett pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Tommy Mellott run for 9 yds to the SAC 17

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.46

Marqui Johnson run for 6 yds to the SAC 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Tommy Mellott run for 11 yds for a TD (Brendan Hall KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 11 yds to the SAC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ezra Moleni run for 4 yds to the SAC 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Ezra Moleni for 7 yds to the SAC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 53 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 2 yds to the MTST 23

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

BENNETT, Kaiden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GANDY, Devin thrown to the MSU0. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on POWDRELL, Andrew enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the MSU8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, False Start (Kenndel Riley) to the MTST 13

1st & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 9 yds to the MTST 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaiden Bennett run for 3 yds to the MTST 1

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.85

Zeke Burnett run for a loss of 7 yards to the MTST 8 Zeke Burnett fumbled, recovered by SAC Zeke Burnett

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Zach Schreiner 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tommy Mellott run for 6 yds to the MTST 16

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Julius Davis run for 14 yds to the MTST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 4 yds to the MTST 34

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the MTST 39

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.36

Tommy Mellott run for 5 yds to the MTST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Sean Chambers run for 9 yds to the SAC 47

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.08

Julius Davis run for 7 yds to the SAC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.51

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 16 yds to the SAC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Jared White run for 12 yds to the SAC 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jared White run for 3 yds to the SAC 9

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.63

Tommy Mellott run for 9 yds for a TD (Brendan Hall KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 8 yds to the SAC 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 4 yds to the SAC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Elijah Tau-Tolliver for 4 yds to the SAC 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.47

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Zeke Burnett for 10 yds to the MTST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Anderson Grover for 9 yds to the MTST 40

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

BENNETT, Kaiden pass deep to the left complete for 40 yards to GIPSON, Jared caught at the MSU15 and advanced to the MSU0, TOUCHDOWN SAC, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY Before the snap, SAC Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the MSU40 to the MSU45. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Elijah Tau-Tolliver for 1 yd to the MTST 44

4th & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.10

Kaiden Bennett run for 17 yds to the MTST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Zeke Burnett run for 10 yds to the MTST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 7 yds to the MTST 10

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.27

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 10 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 7 yds to the MTST 44

2nd & 3Rush+49 ydsPPA +2.14

Julius Davis run for 49 yds to the SAC 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Julius Davis run for 6 yds to the SAC 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Julius Davis run for 1 yd for a TD (Brendan Hall KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 3 yds to the SAC 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.20

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tommy Mellott run for 1 yd to the SAC 27

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Julius Davis run for 5 yds to the SAC 22

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Sean Chambers run for 10 yds to the SAC 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Jared White run for 12 yds for a TD (Brendan Hall KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for 24 yds to the SAC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Elijah Gable for 10 yds to the MTST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

BENNETT, Kaiden pass to the left incomplete intended for GIPSON, Jared thrown to the MSU35. PENALTY SAC Pass Interference on GIPSON, Jared enforced 15 yards to the SAC44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 25Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 8 yds to the MTST 48

3rd & 17Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.64

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 18 yds to the MTST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.59

Kaiden Bennett sacked by Brody Grebe for a loss of 4 yards to the MTST 34

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 14Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.36

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for 17 yds to the MTST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Jared Gipson for 10 yds to the MTST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for 7 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the SAC 42

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the SAC 38

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.86

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the SAC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kneel down by MELLOTT, Tommy at SAC36 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
53%
30 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
83%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Sacramento State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
30 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play