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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 13.3

Home Win Probability

South Dakota State 77%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana State
730616
South Dakota State
0071320

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-107-1013-1013-1313-1620-16
South Dakota StateMontana State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSPUNT39ydTO620ydTD1057ydPUNT3-8ydFG1247ydPUNT627ydPUNT839ydEND1037ydTD775ydPUNT733ydTD1195ydTO2-3ydPUNT3-1ydFG4-1ydPUNT31ydFG1156ydTD275ydEND936yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana State and South Dakota State
StatisticMontana StateSouth Dakota State
Passing9-1513-22
Pass Yards87184
Rush Yards211157
Total Yards298341
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-115-9
Penalties12-807-75
Possession35:2324:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana State
passing
Sean Chambers
3/9, 53 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Sean Chambers
20 CAR, 90 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Derryk Snell
3 REC, 38 YDS
South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
13/22, 184 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Isaiah Davis
12 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Griffin Wilde
2 REC, 49 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Tommy Mellott run for 1 yd to the MTST 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Julius Davis for 2 yds to the MTST 21

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Derryk Snell for 6 yds to the MTST 27

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tucker Large at the SDST 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Davis run for 5 yds to the SDST 42

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Angel Johnson run for 9 yds to the MTST 41

2nd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 1 yd to the MTST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Mark Gronowski sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the MTST 43

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Tommy Mellott run for 8 yds to the SDST 49

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.01

Julius Davis run for 4 yds to the SDST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Julius Davis for 9 yds to the SDST 36

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.29

Julius Davis run for 6 yds to the SDST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Aidan Garrigan for 5 yds to the SDST 25

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.16

Tommy Mellott run for 8 yds to the SDST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the SDST 14

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Sean Chambers run for 8 yds to the SDST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the SDST 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Sean Chambers run for 2 yds for a TD (Brendan Hall KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Zach Heins) to the SDST 20

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds to the SDST 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDST 27

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.37

Mark Gronowski sacked by Rylan Ortt for a loss of 10 yards to the SDST 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Tommy Mellott run for 7 yds to the SDST 49

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.00

Tommy Mellott run for 1 yd to the SDST 48

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, False Start (Derryk Snell) to the MTST 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.48

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 9 yds to the SDST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the SDST 42

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Julius Davis run for 2 yds to the SDST 40

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cale Reeder) to the SDST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Tommy Mellott run for 2 yds to the SDST 20

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Sean Chambers run for 9 yds to the SDST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, False Start (Derryk Snell) to the SDST 16

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Tommy Mellott run for 2 yds to the SDST 14

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, False Start (Conner Moore) to the SDST 19

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the SDST 14

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the SDST 9

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 yds

Brendan Hall 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDST 27

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Mark Gronowski run for 9 yds to the SDST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 11 yds to the SDST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the MTST 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Isaiah Davis run for 1 yd to the MTST 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 41 yds, downed at the MTST 7

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Julius Davis run for 9 yds to the MTST 16

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.04

Julius Davis run for 9 yds to the MTST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jared White run for 6 yds to the MTST 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Tommy Mellott run for 2 yds to the MTST 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Tommy Mellott run for 4 yds to the MTST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tommy Mellott run for 5 yds to the MTST 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Julius Davis for 3 yds to the MTST 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jared White run for 1 yd to the MTST 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.69

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 11 yds to the SDST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 9 yds to the SDST 27

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.71

Mark Gronowski run for 2 yds to the SDST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 9 yds to the SDST 38

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the SDST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 2 yds to the SDST 43

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

GRONOWSKI, Mark pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GOERING, Grahm broken up by POLIDORE, Dru at the MSU26. PENALTY SDS Holding on O'BRIAN, John enforced 10 yards from the SDS43 to the SDS33 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.79

Amar Johnson run for 11 yds to the SDST 44

0th & 18End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Amar Johnson run for 26 yds to the MTST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 14 yds to the MTST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Jaxon Janke run for 9 yds to the MTST 26

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Isaiah Davis run for 9 yds to the MTST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Mason McCormick) to the MTST 22

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the MTST 20

2nd & 13Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.16

Mark Gronowski run for 20 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tommy Mellott run for 6 yds to the MTST 31

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

MELLOTT, Tommy pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SNELL, Derryk thrown to the SDS45. PENALTY SDS Roughing the Passer on SPALDING, Graham enforced 15 yards from the MSU31 to the MSU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Julius Davis run for 7 yds to the SDST 47

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Julius Davis run for no gain to the SDST 47

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the SDST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Sean Chambers run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 45

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Julius Davis run for 4 yds to the SDST 41

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Sean Chambers run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 37 yds, downed at the SDST 5

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.59

Isaiah Davis run for 16 yds to the SDST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Isaiah Davis run for 8 yds to the SDST 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 11 yds to the SDST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 17 yds to the MTST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

GRONOWSKI, Mark sacked for a loss of 5 yards at the MSU48 (VALDEZ, Sebastian). PENALTY SDS Holding on HEINS, Zach enforced 10 yards from the MSU43 to the SDS47 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mark Gronowski run for 4 yds to the MTST 49

2nd & 16Penalty+10 yds

GRONOWSKI, Mark pass to the right incomplete intended for HEINS, Zach thrown to the MSU37. PENALTY MSU Holding on JOHNSON, Jon enforced 10 yards from the MSU49 to the MSU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the MTST 33

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the MTST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Isaiah Davis run for 7 yds to the MTST 20

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the MTST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 16 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, False Start (Marcus Wehr) to the SDST 46

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Julius Davis run for 2 yds to the SDST 44

2nd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -2.23

Sean Chambers pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Isaiah Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 16

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 11Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Julius Davis blocked by Julius Davis

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Sean Chambers run for no gain to the SDST 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Sean Chambers run for no gain to the SDST 1

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, False Start (Marcus Wehr) to the SDST 6

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Julius Davis run for 4 yds to the SDST 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 yds

Brendan Hall 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Davis run for 5 yds to the SDST 30

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Mark Gronowski run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDST 28

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Mark Gronowski sacked by Kenneth Eiden IV for a loss of 2 yards to the SDST 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jared White run for 4 yds to the MTST 41

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the MTST 43

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the MTST 46

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.49

Sean Chambers run for 6 yds to the SDST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Personal Foul (Isaiah Stalbird) to the SDST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jared White run for 5 yds to the SDST 21

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Sean Chambers run for 10 yds to the SDST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, False Start (Derryk Snell) to the SDST 16

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the SDST 14

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, False Start (Conner Moore) to the SDST 19

2nd & 18Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Sean Chambers run for 9 yds to the SDST 10

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Sean Chambers run for 8 yds to the SDST 2

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, False Start (Treyton Pickering) to the SDST 7

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Brendan Hall 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.11

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Grahm Goering for 40 yds to the MTST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 35 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CHAMBERS, Sean sacked for a loss of 1 yard at the MSU24 (LARGE, Tucker). PENALTY MSU Holding on MOORE, Conner enforced 10 yards from the MSU25 to the MSU15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.33

Sean Chambers pass complete to Derryk Snell for 19 yds to the MTST 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Sean Chambers pass complete to Derryk Snell for 13 yds to the MTST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +3.02

Sean Chambers run for 13 yds to the SDST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.43

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 21 yds to the SDST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, False Start (Conner Moore) to the SDST 24

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 15Penalty-15 yds

Montana State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Marqui Johnson) to the SDST 39

2nd & 30Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
56%
18 plays
20%
5 plays
2nd
50%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
65%
23 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th