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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana by 3.8

Home Win Probability

Montana 58%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Montana -2.5

Edge: Montana -2.5 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Sacramento StateSacramento State
70007
Montana
71401334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-721-734-7
MontanaSacramento State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MONSSMONSSMONSSMONSSMONSSMONSSMONSSSSMONSSMONSSMONSSMONSSMONSSPUNT3-2ydMISS626ydPUNT61ydTD555ydTD1375ydPUNT614ydTD233ydPUNT37ydTD777ydPUNT56ydPUNT831ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS41ydUncategorized1-5ydPUNT37ydPUNT632ydMISS1777ydTO862ydPUNT730ydTD299ydPUNT36ydTD675ydDOWNS524ydDOWNS728ydEND724yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Sacramento State and Montana
StatisticSacramento StateMontana
Passing15-3912-22
Pass Yards119242
Rush Yards149305
Total Yards268547
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-166-14
Penalties5-437-65
Possession24:1935:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Sacramento State
passing
Carson Conklin
7/22, 67 YDS
rushing
Marcus Fulcher
11 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Carlos Hill
4 REC, 53 YDS
Montana
passing
Clifton McDowell
11/21, 218 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Eli Gillman
16 CAR, 113 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Keelan White
2 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Eli Gillman run for 2 yds to the MONT 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.40

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Junior Bergen for a loss of 4 yards to the MONT 13

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt for 39 yds, downed at the SAC 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 7 yds to the MONT 45

2nd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.67

Marcus Fulcher run for 19 yds to the MONT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kaiden Bennett run for no gain to the MONT 26

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Zach Schreiner 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Montana Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MONT 32

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.48

Nick Ostmo run for no gain to the MONT 32

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.71

Nick Ostmo run for 6 yds to the MONT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.99

Clifton McDowell sacked by Gavin Davis-Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the MONT 31

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

3rd & 17Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.16

Clifton McDowell sacked by Josh Cashiola for a loss of 4 yards to the MONT 27

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the SAC 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kaiden Bennett run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Marcus Fulcher run for 9 yds to the MONT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.70

Marcus Fulcher run for 28 yds to the MONT 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Marcus Fulcher run for 12 yds to the MONT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Marcus Fulcher run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Eli Gillman run for 4 yds to the MONT 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Eli Gillman run for 5 yds to the MONT 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the MONT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Clifton McDowell run for 5 yds to the MONT 42

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.86

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 18 yds to the SAC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Eli Gillman run for 2 yds to the SAC 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.02

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Eli Gillman for 20 yds to the SAC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Eli Gillman run for 6 yds to the SAC 12

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Montana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAC 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 7 yds to the SAC 10

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.32

Clifton McDowell run for 2 yds to the SAC 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Eli Gillman run for 8 yds for a TD (Nico Ramos KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Nico Ramos kickoff for 60 yds , return for no gain to the SAC 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Carson Conklin pass complete to Marshel Martin for 1 yd to the SAC 15

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Marcus Fulcher run for no gain to the SAC 15

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.38

Carson Conklin pass complete to Carlos Hill for 13 yds to the SAC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.48

Junior Bergen pass complete to Clifton McDowell for 24 yds to the SAC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Nick Ostmo run for 9 yds for a TD (Nico Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Zeke Burnett run for 3 yds to the SAC 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Carson Conklin pass complete to Marshel Martin for 5 yds to the SAC 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Zeke Burnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAC 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 45 yds, downed at the MONT 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Eli Gillman run for 2 yds to the MONT 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Junior Bergen for 11 yds to the MONT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Eli Gillman run for 2 yds to the MONT 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +3.28

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 52 yds to the SAC 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Keelan White for 6 yds to the SAC 4

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Aaron Fontes for no gain to the SAC 4

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Montana Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the SAC 9

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 9 yds for a TD (Nico Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 8 yds to the SAC 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Marcus Fulcher run for 3 yds to the SAC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAC 31

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Nick Ostmo run for 19 yds to the MONT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick Ostmo run for 5 yds to the SAC 46

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

MCDOWELL, Clifton pass deep to the right complete for 39 yards to FONTES, Aaron caught at the SAC7 and advanced to the SAC7 (BROUSSARD, Cameron), 1ST DOWN. PENALTY UM Holding on GRIMSRUD, Journey declined UM Holding on WALKER, Chris SAC Targeting on BROUSSARD, Cameron , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Xavier Harris run for 3 yds to the SAC 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Nick Ostmo run for 1 yd to the SAC 42

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.01

Clifton McDowell run for 3 yds to the SAC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Clifton McDowell run for 4 yds to the SAC 35

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Nick Ostmo run for 1 yd to the SAC 34

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Montana Penalty, Delay Of Game (Clifton McDowell) to the SAC 39

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the SAC 9

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the SAC 5

1st & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Marcus Fulcher run for 2 yds to the SAC 7

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 42 yds , returns for no gain to the SAC 40

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Clifton McDowell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAC 41

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 2 yds to the SAC 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Carlos Hill) to the SAC 34

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for no gain to the SAC 34

2nd & 15Penalty-15 yds

Sacramento State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jared Gipson) to the SAC 19

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaiden Bennett run for 5 yds to the SAC 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marcus Fulcher for 2 yds to the SAC 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Junior Bergen at the MONT 21

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.28

Eli Gillman run for 16 yds to the MONT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the MONT 40

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Clifton McDowell run for 9 yds to the MONT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Eli Gillman run for 4 yds to the SAC 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Kaiden Bennett run for 7 yds to the SAC 24

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Marcus Fulcher run for 1 yd to the SAC 25

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.90

Kaiden Bennett run for 4 yds to the SAC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 10 yds to the SAC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Kaiden Bennett run for 7 yds to the SAC 46

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Montana Penalty, Personal Foul (TraJon Cotton) to the MONT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 5 yds to the MONT 26

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kaiden Bennett run for 4 yds to the MONT 22

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.87

Kaiden Bennett run for 4 yds to the MONT 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Kaiden Bennett run for 9 yds to the MONT 9

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.49

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 3 yds to the MONT 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 2 yds to the MONT 4

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.49

Kaiden Bennett run for a loss of 2 yards to the MONT 6 Kaiden Bennett fumbled, recovered by SAC Kaiden Bennett [NHSG] QB Keeper BENNETT, Kaiden rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards, BENNETT, Kaiden fumbled at UM6 , recovered by SAC BENNETT, Kaiden at the UM6, returned 0 yards to the UM6, End of Play.

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kaiden Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+23 yds

Zach Schreiner 23 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nick Ostmo run for 5 yds to the MONT 25

2nd & 5Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.40

Clifton McDowell run for 42 yds to the SAC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Clifton McDowell run for 7 yds to the SAC 26

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Clifton McDowell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAC 28 Clifton McDowell fumbled, recovered by MONT Clifton McDowell [NHSG] QB Keeper MCDOWELL, Clifton rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards, MCDOWELL, Clifton fumbled at SAC28 , recovered by UM MCDOWELL, Clifton at the SAC28, returned 0 yards to the SAC28, End of Play.

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Clifton McDowell run for 7 yds to the SAC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Nick Ostmo run for 3 yds to the SAC 18

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Clifton McDowell run for no gain to the SAC 18

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.83

Clifton McDowell pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Marcus Fulcher run for 6 yds to the SAC 13

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Marshel Martin for 7 yds to the SAC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Kaiden Bennett run for 8 yds to the SAC 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Carlos Hill for 12 yds to the SAC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for 7 yds to the SAC 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.54

Kaiden Bennett pass complete to Devin Gandy for a loss of 1 yard to the SAC 46

3rd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.60

Kaiden Bennett sacked by Alex Gubner for a loss of 9 yards to the SAC 37

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 62 yds, downed at the MONT 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Clifton McDowell run for 2 yds to the MONT 3

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+97 ydsPPA +7.15

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Keelan White for 97 yds for a TD (Nico Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Marcus Fulcher run for 6 yds to the SAC 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Eli Gillman run for 6 yds to the MONT 31

2nd & 4Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.69

Eli Gillman run for 32 yds to the SAC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Eli Gillman run for 4 yds to the SAC 33

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.52

Eli Gillman run for 14 yds to the SAC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Nick Ostmo run for 9 yds to the SAC 10

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Nick Ostmo run for 10 yds for a TD (Nico Ramos PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.75

Carson Conklin pass complete to Carlos Hill for 24 yds to the MONT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Isiah Childs run for 10 yds to the MONT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Isiah Childs run for 1 yd to the MONT 47

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.87

Isiah Childs run for 12 yds to the SAC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CHILDS, Isiah rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the SAC39 (FEO, Oge). PENALTY UM Holding on BARKER, Erik enforced 10 yards from the SAC41 to the UM49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Isiah Childs run for 7 yds to the SAC 44

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Isiah Childs run for 5 yds to the SAC 39

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Isiah Childs run for 7 yds to the SAC 32

4th & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.80

Isiah Childs run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAC 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Carson Conklin pass complete to Carlos Hill for 4 yds to the SAC 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Carson Conklin pass complete to Chris Miller for 9 yds to the SAC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +3.54

Carson Conklin pass complete to Parker Clayton for 11 yds to the MONT 40 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Sacramento State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
54%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Montana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
60%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play