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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana by 21.1

Home Win Probability

Northern Arizona 10%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Northern Arizona +17

Edge: Montana -17 (4.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana
0140014
Northern Arizona
7147028

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142814-014-621-1428-14
Northern ArizonaMontana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAMONNAMONNAMONNAMONNAMONNAMONNAMONNAMONNATO744ydPUNT3-1ydTD124ydPUNT57ydTD1575ydPUNT428ydTO31ydTD24ydPUNT3-9ydTO411ydTD148ydTD775ydPUNT418ydPUNT35ydEND633ydTO737ydTD850yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana and Northern Arizona
StatisticMontanaNorthern Arizona
Passing13-1818-24
Pass Yards110188
Rush Yards56101
Total Yards166289
Turnovers22
3rd Down2-63-9
Penalties3-152-20
Possession16:0621:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana
passing
Sam Vidlak
12/17, 107 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Xavier Harris
6 CAR, 45 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Keelan White
6 REC, 67 YDS
Northern Arizona
passing
Adam Damante
17/23, 140 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Devon Starling
9 CAR, 43 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marcus Phillips Jr.
2 REC, 52 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Chase Belcher run for 19 yds to the NAU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Adam Damante pass complete to Bryzai White for 15 yds to the MONT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, False Start (Johny Bottorff) to the MONT 46

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Chase Belcher run for 2 yds to the MONT 44

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chase Belcher run for 5 yds to the MONT 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Adam Damante pass complete to BJ Fleming for 6 yds to the MONT 33

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.58

Devon Starling run for 2 yds to the MONT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.16

Adam Damante pass intercepted

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Aaron Fontes run for no gain to the MONT 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Sam Vidlak pass complete to Junior Bergen for 4 yds to the MONT 28

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Vidlak,Sam pass complete short left to Gillman,Eli for 7 yards to the MON35 (Humphrey,Colby) PENALTY MON Illegal Formation 5 yards from MON28 to MON23. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MON False Start (Walker,Chris) 5 yards from MON23 to MON18. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Sam Vidlak pass complete to Keelan White for 5 yds to the MONT 23

4th & 10Blocked Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt blocked by Dustin Reynolds blocked by Dustin Reynolds

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Adam Damante pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 24 yds for a TD (Marcus Lye KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nick Ostmo run for 1 yd to the MONT 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.78

Sam Vidlak pass complete to Keelan White for 23 yds to the MONT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Sam Vidlak pass incomplete to Aaron Fontes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Sam Vidlak pass complete to Junior Bergen for 6 yds to the MONT 41

3rd & 16Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.44

Sam Vidlak sacked by George Steele for a loss of 9 yards to the MONT 32

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the NAU 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Devon Starling run for 2 yds to the NAU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Adam Damante pass complete to Marcus Phillips Jr. for 4 yds to the NAU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Adam Damante pass complete to Draycen Hall for 9 yds to the NAU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Belcher run for 1 yd to the NAU 41

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Chase Belcher run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Adam Damante pass complete to Bryzai White for 5 yds to the MONT 45

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chase Belcher run for no gain to the MONT 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.18

Adam Damante pass complete to Myseth Currie for 20 yds to the MONT 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chase Belcher run for 5 yds to the MONT 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Adam Damante pass complete to Shawn Dourseau for 2 yds to the MONT 18

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Devon Starling run for 7 yds to the MONT 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Adam Damante pass complete to Draycen Hall for 7 yds to the MONT 4

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Devon Starling run for 2 yds to the MONT 2

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Adam Damante run for no gain to the MONT 2

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.80

Devon Starling run for 2 yds for a TD (Marcus Lye KICK)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Xavier Harris run for 22 yds to the MONT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Xavier Harris run for 2 yds to the MONT 45

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Eli Gillman run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Eli Gillman for 3 yds to the NAU 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for 1 yd to the NAU 10

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

Chase Belcher run for no gain to the NAU 10

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA +0.28

Adam Damante pass intercepted

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Nick Ostmo run for no gain to the NAU 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Sam Vidlak pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 4 yds for a TD (Grant Glasgow PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Devon Starling run for no gain to the NAU 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Adam Damante pass complete to Bryzai White for no gain to the NAU 24

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Adam Damante run for 9 yds to the NAU 15

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Sam Vidlak pass complete to Keelan White for 6 yds to the NAU 44

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Xavier Harris run for 4 yds to the NAU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Xavier Harris run for 1 yd to the NAU 39

2nd & 9Uncategorized0 yds

fumbled, recovered by NAU Nehemiah Magalei

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Chase Belcher pass complete to Marcus Phillips Jr. for 48 yds for a TD (Marcus Lye KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Vidlak pass incomplete to Junior Bergen

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the MONT 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.58

Sam Vidlak pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 29 yds to the NAU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Sam Vidlak pass complete to Junior Bergen for 3 yds to the NAU 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Sam Vidlak pass incomplete to Junior Bergen

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MON False Start (Mayginnes,Hunter) 5 yards from NAU40 to NAU45. NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Vidlak,Sam pass incomplete short left to White,Keelan PENALTY NAU Pass Interference (Spruiells,David) 15 yards from NAU45 to NAU30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Clifton McDowell run for 6 yds to the NAU 24

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.60

Xavier Harris run for 24 yds for a TD (R. Meyer Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Devon Starling run for 17 yds to the NAU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Adam Damante pass incomplete to Hendrix Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Adam Damante pass incomplete to Coleman Owen

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Adam Damante pass complete to Devon Starling for 1 yd to the NAU 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MONT 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Sam Vidlak pass complete to Keelan White for 9 yds to the MONT 39

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Sam Vidlak pass incomplete to Junior Bergen

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.27

Xavier Harris run for 4 yds to the MONT 35

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Travis Benham punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the NAU 25

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Draycen Hall run for 9 yds to the NAU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Adam Damante pass complete to Draycen Hall for 9 yds to the NAU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Adam Damante pass incomplete to Hendrix Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Adam Damante pass incomplete to Hendrix Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Adam Damante pass complete to Draycen Hall for 5 yds to the NAU 48

4th & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +3.14

Draycen Hall run for 10 yds to the MONT 42 for a 1ST down

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Eli Gillman run for 1 yd to the MONT 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.10

Sam Vidlak pass complete to Keelan White for 16 yds to the MONT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Sam Vidlak pass complete to Eli Gillman for 6 yds to the MONT 48

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the NAU 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Aaron Fontes run for 3 yds to the NAU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Sam Vidlak pass complete to Keelan White for 8 yds to the NAU 38

2nd & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -4.21

Sam Vidlak pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the MONT 47

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.09

Devon Starling run for 8 yds to the MONT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Adam Damante pass complete to Coleman Owen for 8 yds to the MONT 31

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Adam Damante run for 3 yds to the MONT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

BJ Fleming run for no gain to the MONT 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Adam Damante pass complete to Bryzai White for 10 yds to the MONT 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Adam Damante pass complete to Bryzai White for 14 yds to the MONT 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Keyonta Lanier run for 4 yds for a TD (Marcus Lye KICK)

Situational Analysis

Montana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
14 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Northern Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
55%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play