Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 10.2

Home Win Probability

Idaho 26%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Idaho +6

Edge: Montana State -6 (4.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana State
0014721
Idaho
3701424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-017-1417-21
IdahoMontana State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IDAMSIDAMSMSIDAIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAPUNT3-1ydPUNT38ydFG2059ydPUNT32ydPUNT34ydPUNT725ydTD1171ydMISS1153ydUncategorized32ydTD979ydDOWNS534ydTD359ydTD1575ydTD775ydTD1075ydMISS1149ydUncategorized2-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana State and Idaho
StatisticMontana StateIdaho
Passing12-2422-29
Pass Yards191229
Rush Yards128107
Total Yards319336
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-106-15
Penalties3-203-35
Possession18:3341:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana State
passing
Tommy Mellott
12/24, 191 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Julius Davis
11 CAR, 84 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Treyton Pickering
4 REC, 87 YDS
Idaho
passing
Gevani McCoy
22/29, 229 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Anthony Woods
20 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Hayden Hatten
4 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Gevani McCoy sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the IDHO 23

2nd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.37

Gevani McCoy sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the IDHO 18

3rd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Anthony Woods run for 6 yds to the IDHO 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ricardo Chavez punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete to Ty McCullouch, broken up by Ormanie Arnold

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Julius Davis run for 8 yds to the MTST 47

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the IDHO 8

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.50

Anthony Woods run for 9 yds to the IDHO 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Hayden Hatten, broken up by Jon Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Terez Traynor, broken up by Simeon Woodard

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.55

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 13 yds to the IDHO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

pass incomplete to Hayden Hatten

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Anthony Woods run for 8 yds to the IDHO 38

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Jermaine Jackson, broken up by Simeon Woodard

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

Montana State Penalty, off-side (Blake Schmidt) to the IDHO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the IDHO 46

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nick Romano run for 2 yds to the IDHO 48

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.01

Gevani McCoy run for 6 yds to the MTST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.73

Jermaine Jackson run for 16 yds to the MTST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 5 yds to the MTST 25

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Gevani McCoy run for 1 yd to the MTST 24

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Nick Romano run for 1 yd to the MTST 23

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.15

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 6 yds to the MTST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 18

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Anthony Woods run for 5 yds to the MTST 13

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-23 ydsPPA -4.06

Hayden Hatten run for a loss of 23 yards to the MTST 36 Hayden Hatten fumbled, recovered by IDHO Gevani McCoy Hatten,Hayden rush right for loss of 23 yards to the MSU36, fumble by Hatten,Hayden recovered by UID McCoy,Gevani, McCoy,Gevani rush.

4th & 29Field Goal Good+53 yds

Ricardo Chavez 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Taco Dowler

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Davis,Julius rush middle (Thomas,Tre).

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Tommy Mellott run for 2 yds to the MTST 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the MTST 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Sean Chambers run for 1 yd to the MTST 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete to Clevan Thomas, broken up by Ormanie Arnold

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 60 yds , Jermaine Jackson returns for 6 yds to the IDHO 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Jordan Dwyer, broken up by Jon Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.24

Nick Romano run for 12 yds to the IDHO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Anthony Woods run for 2 yds to the IDHO 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Nick Romano for 9 yds to the IDHO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Nick Romano for 2 yds to the IDHO 42

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Romano,Nick rush middle (Brott,Paul;Ortt,Rylan).

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

pass incomplete to Jake Cox

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ricardo Chavez punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Anthony Woods run for 5 yds to the IDHO 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.83

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Anthony Woods run for a loss of 4 yards to the IDHO 46

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Turon Ivy Jr. for 9 yds to the MTST 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.32

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 30 yds to the MTST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Gevani McCoy run for 6 yds to the MTST 9

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Anthony Woods run for 2 yds to the MTST 7

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Woods,Anthony rush middle (Jackson,Miles;Valdez,Sebastian).

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.26

Nick Romano run for 3 yds to the MTST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty-5 yds

Idaho Penalty, false start (Tigana Cisse) to the MTST 9

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Gevani McCoy run for 3 yds to the MTST 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 6 yds for a TD (Ricardo Chavez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Julius Davis run for 6 yds to the MTST 22

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Mellott,Tommy rush middle (Alexander,Xe'ree).

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.17

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 18 yds to the MTST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete to Clevan Thomas, broken up by Tommy McCormick

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.41

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete to Clevan Thomas, broken up by Tommy McCormick for a 1ST down Idaho Penalty, personal foul (Kyrin Beachem) to the IDHO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 9 yds to the IDHO 36

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.32

Jared White run for 5 yds to the IDHO 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete to Taco Dowler, broken up by Kyrin Beachem

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

pass incomplete to Taco Dowler

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete to Ty McCullouch, broken up by Marcus Harris

4th & 10Missed Field Goal Return0 yds

Brendan Hall 48 yd FG MISSED , Hayden John return for no gain to the IDHO 45

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.48

Gevani McCoy sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the IDHO 37

2nd & 18Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Nick Romano run for 10 yds to the IDHO 47

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.18

Gevani McCoy sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the IDHO 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Julius Davis run for 2 yds to the MTST 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch

3rd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.14

Tommy Mellott run for 15 yds to the MTST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to Clevan Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tommy Mellott run for 3 yds to the MTST 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.80

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Jacob Trimble for 46 yds to the IDHO 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, delay of game (Sean Chambers) to the IDHO 18

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the IDHO 15

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Julius Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDHO 16

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.46

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Jared White for 16 yds for a TD (Brendan Hall KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 26 yds to the MTST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the MTST 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Woods for 7 yds to the MTST 41

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Woods,Anthony rush middle (Askelson,Nolan;O'Reilly,McCade).

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.81

pass incomplete to Jermaine Jackson

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.11

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 45 yds to the IDHO 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.34

Julius Davis run for 12 yds to the IDHO 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 2 yds for a TD (Brendan Hall KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Anthony Woods run for 8 yds to the IDHO 33

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Nick Romano run for 10 yds to the IDHO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Gevani McCoy run for 1 yd to the IDHO 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 8 yds to the MTST 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Anthony Woods run for 2 yds to the MTST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Anthony Woods run for 2 yds to the MTST 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 6 yds to the MTST 38

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Nick Romano run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 39

4th & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.34

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 10 yds to the MTST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 8 yds to the MTST 21

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Nick Romano run for 3 yds to the MTST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Anthony Woods run for 2 yds to the MTST 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.73

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Woods for 10 yds to the MTST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the MTST 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Anthony Woods run for 3 yds for a TD (Ricardo Chavez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Julius Davis run for 11 yds to the MTST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Julius Davis run for 17 yds to the IDHO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Tommy Mellott run for 8 yds to the IDHO 39

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.10

Jared White run for 12 yds to the IDHO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Julius Davis run for 3 yds to the IDHO 24

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Trimble,Jacob rush right (McCormick,Tommy).

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.44

Julius Davis run for 24 yds for a TD (Brendan Hall KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 19 yds to the IDHO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 13 yds to the MTST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Nick Romano run for 3 yds to the MTST 40

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Anthony Woods run for 4 yds to the MTST 36

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.14

Gevani McCoy run for 14 yds to the MTST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Hayden Hatten for a 1ST down Montana State Penalty, Defensive holding (Rylan Ortt) to the MTST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-15 ydsPPA -2.01

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Terez Traynor Idaho Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Terez Traynor) to the MTST 27

1st & 25Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Woods for 11 yds to the MTST 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 4 yds to the MTST 12

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.14

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 12 yds for a TD (Ricardo Chavez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Julius Davis run for 2 yds to the MTST 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 10 yds to the MTST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 11 yds to the MTST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 10 yds to the IDHO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 13 yds to the IDHO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete to Clevan Thomas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 11 yds to the IDHO 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Clevan Thomas

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.71

Tommy Mellott sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the IDHO 26

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Jacob Trimble

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Brendan Hall 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Gevani McCoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDHO 25

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Gevani McCoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDHO 25

Situational Analysis

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
27%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Idaho

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
34%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
12 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
75%
4 plays