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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego by 11.5

Home Win Probability

Cal Poly 24%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego
307010
Cal Poly
1073727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-310-317-317-1020-1027-10
Cal PolySan Diego

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPCPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDEND1-1ydPUNT45ydFG1066ydFG1064ydTD372ydPUNT512ydDOWNS1171ydPUNT738ydTD390ydPUNT36ydPUNT735ydEND16ydPUNT413ydPUNT35ydTD615ydMISS744ydTO4-8ydFG4-4ydPUNT31ydTO630ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS1135ydTD769ydUncategorized827yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego and Cal Poly
StatisticSan DiegoCal Poly
Passing15-2724-42
Pass Yards145326
Rush Yards9696
Total Yards241422
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-163-10
Penalties11-954-25
Possession34:1625:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego
passing
Dom Nankil
15/27, 145 YDS
rushing
Isaiah Williams
22 CAR, 82 YDS
receiving
Ja'seem Reed
5 REC, 69 YDS
Cal Poly
passing
Sam Huard
24/42, 326 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Troy Fletcher
8 CAR, 52 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyrece Fairly-Diyem
7 REC, 129 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

S. Huard takes a knee

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+39 yds

Noah Serna kickoff for 52 yds , Eric Haney return for 39 yds to the CP 48

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Isaiah Williams run for 11 yds to the CP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the CP 37

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(13:40) Shotgun Williams,Isaiah rush right for 0 yards to the CP37 (), out of bounds PENALTY USD Holding (Murray,Nick) 10 yards from CP37 to CP47. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.11

Dom Nankil sacked by Je'kob Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the USD 49

3rd & 24Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Dom Nankil pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 8 yds to the CP 43

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ayden Corrales punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Sam Huard pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 8 yds to the CP 28

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Mark Biggins run for 5 yds to the CP 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Sam Huard pass complete to Logan Booher for 3 yds to the CP 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.91

Sam Huard pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for 31 yds to the USD 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Aiden Ramos run for 1 yd to the USD 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.10

Sam Huard pass complete to Dominique Thompson for 15 yds to the USD 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun Huard,Sam pass incomplete short middle to Briscoe,Michael PENALTY USD Offside (Hong,Joshua) 5 yards from USD19 to USD14. NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Aiden Ramos run for 1 yd to the USD 15

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Sam Huard pass complete to Aiden Ramos for 1 yd to the USD 14

4th & 5Field Goal Good+41 yds

Noah Serna 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Noah Serna kickoff for 36 yds , Elijah Johnson return for no gain to the USD 29

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the USD 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.14

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 14 yds to the USD 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dom Nankil pass incomplete to Liam McHale

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the USD 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.63

Dom Nankil pass complete to Josh Heverly for 14 yds to the CP 39 for a 1ST down

3rd & 6Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.21

Dom Nankil run for 38 yds to the CP 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the CP 19

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the CP 15

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.70

Dom Nankil sacked by Elijah Ponder for a loss of 6 yards to the CP 21

4th & 16Field Goal Good+38 yds

Aidan Lehman 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 58 yds , Xavier Oliphant return for 21 yds to the CP 28 Xavier Oliphant fumbled, recovered by USD Christian Brown

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY USD Offside (Hemmert,Jack) 5 yards from CP28 to CP33. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.61

Sam Huard pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for 37 yds to the USD 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Troy Fletcher 30 Yd Run (Noah Serna Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Noah Serna kickoff for 35 yds , Elijah Johnson return for no gain to the USD 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the USD 32

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.68

Isaiah Williams run for 10 yds to the USD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Dom Nankil pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 1 yd to the USD 43

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the USD 48

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

(12:35) Shotgun Nankil,Dom sacked for loss of 0 yards to the USD48 (Ngaluafe,Josh) PENALTY USD Chop Block (D'Ambra,Jack) 15 yards from USD48 to USD33. NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.21

Isaiah Williams run for 9 yds to the USD 42

4th & 10Punt+12 yds

Ayden Corrales punt for 42 yds , Xavier Oliphant returns for 12 yds to the CP 28

4th & 10Punt+12 yds

Ayden Corrales punt for 42 yds , Xavier Oliphant returns for 12 yds to the CP 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Troy Fletcher

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.39

Sam Huard pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for 13 yds to the CP 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mark Biggins run for 4 yds to the CP 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Jordan Garrison

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Sam Huard pass complete to Logan Booher for 6 yds to the CP 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Paul Holyfield Jr. run for 1 yd to the CP 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.96

Sam Huard pass complete to for 38 yds to the USD 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Jordan Garrison

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Sam Huard pass complete to Logan Booher for 6 yds to the USD 14

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the USD 11

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.00

Aiden Ramos run for no gain to the USD 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.91

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 28 yds to the USD 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Dom Nankil pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the USD 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.55

Dom Nankil pass complete to Charlie Specht for 11 yds to the CP 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Dom Nankil pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 1 yd to the CP 47

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the USD 49

3rd & 15Penalty0 yds

San Diego Penalty, Illegal Shift (Brett Bostad) declined

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ayden Corrales punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Xavier Oliphant at the CP 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+87 ydsPPA +5.33

Sam Huard pass complete to Carlton Brown III for 87 yds to the USD 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Mark Biggins run for 2 yds to the USD 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyrece Fairly-Diyem 1 Yd pass from Sam Huard (Noah Serna Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Noah Serna kickoff for 61 yds , Yosei Takahashi return for 19 yds to the USD 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Dom Nankil pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Isaiah Williams run for 6 yds to the USD 29

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Dom Nankil pass incomplete to Josh Heverly

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ayden Corrales punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sam Huard pass complete to Jordan Garrison for 5 yds to the CP 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.64

Sam Huard pass complete to Evan Burkhart for 17 yds to the CP 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Sam Huard pass complete to Carlton Brown III for 11 yds to the USD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Logan Booher

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Paul Holyfield Jr.

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Paul Holyfield Jr. run for 2 yds to the USD 40

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the USD 10

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Isaiah Williams run for 6 yds to the USD 16

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 35 yds , Xavier Oliphant return for no gain to the CP 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Sam Huard pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for 2 yds to the CP 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.87

Sam Huard pass complete to Jordan Garrison for 21 yds to the CP 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Sack-15 ydsPPA -2.17

Sam Huard sacked by Jacob Saewitz for a loss of 15 yards to the CP 29

3rd & 16Punt+4 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 39 yds , Eric Haney returns for 4 yds to the USD 22

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.96

Dom Nankil sacked by Elijah Ponder for a loss of 6 yards to the USD 16

2nd & 16Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USD 18

3rd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.14

Dom Nankil run for 9 yds to the USD 27

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ayden Corrales punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Xavier Oliphant at the CP 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Logan Booher

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Aiden Ramos

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.86

Sam Huard pass complete to Evan Burkhart for 15 yds to the CP 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Troy Fletcher run for no gain to the CP 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Logan Booher

3rd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+48 ydsPPA -7.79

Ruben Lopez 48 Yd Interception Return (Aidan Lehman Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 59 yds , Xavier Oliphant return for 28 yds to the CP 34

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Mark Biggins run for 8 yds to the CP 42

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Mark Biggins run for 3 yds to the CP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mark Biggins run for no gain to the CP 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.79

Sam Huard pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for 33 yds to the USD 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Jordan Garrison

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Evan Burkhart

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Logan Booher

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Noah Serna 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the USD 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dom Nankil pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.21

Dom Nankil sacked by Soni Finau for a loss of 8 yards to the USD 14

4th & 18Uncategorized0 yds

fumbled, recovered by USD Elijah Ponder

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sam Huard pass complete to Aiden Ramos for 4 yds to the USD 18

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Carlton Brown III

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem

4th & 14Field Goal Good+45 yds

Noah Serna 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Noah Serna kickoff for 63 yds , Eric Haney return for 13 yds to the USD 15

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

(04:05) Shotgun Williams,Isaiah rush right for 0 yards to the USD15 (Calvert,Ethan) PENALTY USD Holding (Specht,Charlie) 7 yards from USD15 to USD08. NO PLAY.

1st & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the USD 8

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Dom Nankil pass incomplete to Rashaan Ward

3rd & 17Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.04

Dom Nankil run for 8 yds to the USD 16

4th & 9Punt+31 yds

Ayden Corrales punt for 45 yds , Xavier Oliphant returns for 31 yds to the USD 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Paul Holyfield Jr. run for 2 yds to the USD 28

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Paul Holyfield Jr. run for 2 yds to the USD 30

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(00:47) Shotgun Huard,Sam pass incomplete deep to Booher,Logan PENALTY USD Pass Interference (Ballentine,Matt) 15 yards from USD30 to USD15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(00:42) Shotgun Huard,Sam pass incomplete short to Brown,Carlton PENALTY USD Offside (Colvin,Landon) 5 yards from USD15 to USD10. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Carlton Brown III

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Carlton Brown III

3rd & 5Penalty+8 yds

(00:26) Shotgun Huard,Sam pass incomplete short to Booher,Logan QB hurried by Saewitz,Jacob PENALTY USD Pass Interference (Haney,Eric) 8 yards from USD10 to USD02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Troy Fletcher run for no gain to the USD 2

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.93

Aiden Ramos run for 2 yds Aiden Ramos fumbled, recovered by USD Ruben Lopez

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dom Nankil pass incomplete to Rashaan Ward

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the USD 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Dom Nankil pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 7 yds to the USD 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ayden Corrales punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Xavier Oliphant at the CP 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Sam Huard pass complete to Mark Biggins for 1 yd to the CP 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Sam Huard pass complete to Evan Burkhart for 1 yd to the CP 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Sam Huard pass incomplete to Jordan Garrison

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the USD 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dom Nankil pass incomplete to Isaiah Williams

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Isaiah Williams run for 7 yds to the USD 41

3rd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.26

Isaiah Williams run for 12 yds to the CP 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Dom Nankil pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Isaiah Williams run for 8 yds to the CP 39

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.97

Isaiah Williams run for 6 yds to the CP 45

4th & 8Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.77

D. Nankil takes a knee for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.63

Dom Nankil sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the CP 46

2nd & 19Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USD False Start (D'Ambra,Jack) 5 yards from CP46 to USD49. NO PLAY.

2nd & 24Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.09

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 11 yds to the CP 40

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Dom Nankil pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

4th & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.69

Dom Nankil pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 9 yds to the CP 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Troy Fletcher run for 1 yd to the CP 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.34

Sam Huard pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for 16 yds to the CP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Troy Fletcher run for no gain to the CP 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Sam Huard pass complete to Evan Burkhart for 8 yds to the USD 44

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

(03:35) Shotgun Huard,Sam pass incomplete short to Fairly-Diyem,Tyrece PENALTY USD Pass Interference (Lopez,Ruben) 15 yards from USD44 to USD29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.23

Troy Fletcher run for 14 yds to the USD 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Troy Fletcher run for 3 yds to the USD 18

2nd & 13Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.10

Mark Biggins run for 18 yds for a TD (Noah Serna KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Noah Serna kickoff for 31 yds , Elijah Johnson return for no gain to the USD 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dom Nankil pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Dom Nankil pass complete to Josh Heverly for 11 yds to the USD 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 8 yds to the CP 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Dom Nankil pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 8 yds to the CP 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.81

Dom Nankil pass complete to Elijah Johnson for no gain to the CP 0

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Dom Nankil sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 41

2nd & 12Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.78

Dom Nankil sacked by John Smolenski for a loss of 14 yards to the USD 45

4th & 26Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.29

Dom Nankil pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 16 yds to the CP 39

3rd & 26Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.19

Dom Nankil pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 16 yds to the CP 39

Situational Analysis

San Diego

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
18%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
64%
11 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
83%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Cal Poly

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
29%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
58%
12 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play