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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tarleton State by 3.5

Home Win Probability

Abilene Christian 41%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Abilene Christian +6

Edge: Abilene Christian +6 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tarleton State
14001731
Abilene Christian
7160730

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-77-1410-1416-1423-1430-1730-31
Abilene ChristianTarleton State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSACTSACTSACTSACTSACTSACTSACTSACTSACTSACTSACTSTD533ydTD775ydPUNT425ydPUNT418ydTD973ydFG1561ydTO851ydTD838ydPUNT33ydTD651ydEND15ydPUNT928ydMISS667ydPUNT530ydTO36ydTD419ydFG1263ydPUNT36ydTD268ydTO3-3ydTD117ydPUNT38ydEND1155yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tarleton State and Abilene Christian
StatisticTarleton StateAbilene Christian
Passing15-2618-26
Pass Yards258172
Rush Yards240174
Total Yards498346
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-117-15
Penalties1-54-20
Possession26:1133:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tarleton State
passing
Victor Gabalis
15/26, 258 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Kayvon Britten
22 CAR, 176 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Benjamin Omayebu
10 REC, 163 YDS
Abilene Christian
passing
Maverick McIvor
18/26, 172 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jordon Vaughn
14 CAR, 79 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Blayne Taylor
6 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.85

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 27 yds to the ACU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 12 yds to the ACU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.69

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 20 yds to the ACU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.23

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 27 yds to the ACU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jed Castles for 5 yds to the ACU 30

2nd & 5Rush+36 ydsPPA +3.05

Jordon Vaughn run for 36 yds to the TAR 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Maverick McIvor run for 4 yds to the TAR 30

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 10 yds to the TAR 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hut Graham run for 5 yds to the TAR 15

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jordon Vaughn for 12 yds to the TAR 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordon Vaughn run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 17 yds to the TAR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.65

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Hut Graham for 13 yds to the ACU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jermiah Dobbins run for 5 yds to the ACU 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Carr at the TAR 27

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the TAR 35

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Kayvon Britten run for 7 yds to the TAR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the ACU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the ACU 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.69

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 23 yds to the ACU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the ACU 18

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Victor Gabalis run for 18 yds for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Taelyn Williams for 14 yds to the ACU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 3 yds to the ACU 42

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ACU 37

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 4 yds to the ACU 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.81

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 12 yds to the TAR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 1 yd to the TAR 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Maverick McIvor run for 7 yds to the TAR 39

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.94

Maverick McIvor run for 2 yds to the TAR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Noah Caldwell for 4 yds to the TAR 33

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TAR 38

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Hut Graham run for 9 yds to the TAR 29

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.62

Jordon Vaughn run for 11 yds to the TAR 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordon Vaughn run for 4 yds to the TAR 14

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordon Vaughn run for no gain to the TAR 14

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+36 yds

Kyle Ramsey 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Caleb Lewis run for 4 yds to the TAR 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Caleb Lewis run for 3 yds to the TAR 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.70

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Caleb Lewis for 19 yds to the ACU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.30

Caleb Lewis run for 21 yds to the ACU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Caleb Lewis run for 5 yds to the ACU 24

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -3.73

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Jordon Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAR 39

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jordon Vaughn run for 4 yds to the TAR 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 8 yds to the TAR 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 3 yds to the TAR 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Taelyn Williams for 5 yds to the TAR 19

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Jermiah Dobbins run for 8 yds to the TAR 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.81

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 11 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

punt for 23 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 9 yds to the TAR 42

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordon Vaughn run for 7 yds to the TAR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jed Castles for 5 yds to the TAR 30

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Maverick McIvor run for 4 yds to the TAR 3

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.69

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 23 yds to the TAR 7 for a 1ST down

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Maverick McIvor run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 40

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 5 yds to the ACU 32

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 1 yd to the ACU 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.66

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Taelyn Williams for 6 yds to the ACU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jordon Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 38

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.03

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 13 yds to the TAR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Maverick McIvor run for 4 yds to the TAR 45

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (Alan Hatten) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 1 yd to the TAR 49

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 9 yds to the TAR 40

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (Alan Hatten) to the TAR 45

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Patrick Jones at the TAR 11

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Kayvon Britten run for 13 yds to the TAR 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.43

Kayvon Britten run for 50 yds to the ACU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Caleb Lewis run for 3 yds to the ACU 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Caleb Lewis run for 1 yd to the ACU 22

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Adrian Guzman 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jordon Vaughn run for 6 yds to the ACU 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.78

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 18 yds to the ACU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tristan Golightly run for 3 yds to the ACU 49

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Maverick McIvor run for a loss of 5 yards to the ACU 44 Maverick McIvor fumbled, recovered by ACU Jordon Vaughn [NHSG] QB Keeper MCIVOR, Maverick rush up the middle for a loss of 5 yards, MCIVOR, Maverick fumbled at ACU46 , recovered by ACU VAUGHN, Jordon at the ACU44, returned 0 yards to the ACU44, End of Play.

3rd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Jordon Vaughn run for 8 yds to the TAR 48 Jordon Vaughn fumbled, recovered by ACU Jacob Thielen [NHSG] VAUGHN, Jordon rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards, VAUGHN, Jordon fumbled at TSU45 forced by JONES, Patrick, recovered by ACU THIELEN, Jacob at the TSU48, returned 0 yards to the TSU48, End of Play.

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 8

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 11

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA +0.12

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SUNDAY, Jay'Veon rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the TSU18 (SMITH, Blake;EGGLESTON JR., Greg). PENALTY TSU Offsides on EGGLESTON JR., Greg enforced 5 yards from the TSU19 to the TSU14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.46

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 5 yds to the TAR 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 1 yd to the TAR 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jordon Vaughn for 6 yds to the TAR 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Jordon Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Caleb Lewis run for 2 yds to the TAR 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 7 yds to the TAR 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Caleb Lewis run for 4 yds to the TAR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 19 yds to the ACU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.69

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 20 yds to the ACU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Caleb Lewis run for 5 yds to the ACU 18

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 6 yds to the ACU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Victor Gabalis run for no gain to the ACU 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+29 yds

Adrian Guzman 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 5 yds to the ACU 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jay'Veon Sunday run for 1 yd to the ACU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 37 yds, downed at the TAR 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+67 ydsPPA +4.58

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 67 yds to the ACU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Cooper McCasland for 3 yds to the ACU 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordon Vaughn run for 1 yd to the ACU 24

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.37

Maverick McIvor sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ACU 17

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Kayvon Britten run for 17 yds for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Maverick McIvor run for 9 yds to the ACU 38

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Jordon Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 37

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 58 yds, downed at the TAR 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.53

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 15 yds to the TAR 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the TAR 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Victor Gabalis run for 2 yds to the TAR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the TAR 37

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the TAR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Kayvon Britten run for 13 yds to the ACU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Caleb Lewis run for 3 yds to the ACU 43

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Kayvon Britten run for 10 yds to the ACU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

[NHSG] Kneel down by TSU at ACU36 (team loss of 3).

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

[NHSG] Kneel down by TSU at ACU40 (team loss of 4), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
59%
32 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Abilene Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
36%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
56%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play