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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Eastern Kentucky by 3.8

Home Win Probability

Eastern Kentucky 57%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Eastern Kentucky -8

Edge: Tarleton State +8 (4.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
Tarleton State
14707735
Eastern Kentucky
714701341

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-1414-2121-2128-2128-2835-28
Eastern KentuckyTarleton State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSTSEKTD1175ydPUNT730ydPUNT418ydTD574ydTD670ydTD1375ydTD675ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS554ydTD891ydEND414ydTD1075ydPUNT736ydPUNT721ydPUNT32ydPUNT722ydTD688ydMISS1045ydMISS1361ydTD225ydTD425ydTO30ydTD425yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tarleton State and Eastern Kentucky
StatisticTarleton StateEastern Kentucky
Passing16-3019-33
Pass Yards211190
Rush Yards316288
Total Yards527478
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-126-12
Penalties9-546-35
Possession26:0533:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tarleton State
passing
Victor Gabalis
16/30, 211 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kayvon Britten
18 CAR, 187 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Darius Cooper
6 REC, 149 YDS, 2 TD
Eastern Kentucky
passing
Parker McKinney
19/33, 190 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Braedon Sloan
24 CAR, 120 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jalen Burbage
4 REC, 54 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the TAR 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.00

Victor Gabalis run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Dawson Hearne for 5 yds to the EKU 45

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Kayvon Britten run for 10 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 10 yds to the EKU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the EKU 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 15 yds to the EKU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the EKU 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 2 yds for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Braedon Sloan run for 12 yds to the EKU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the EKU 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.76

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jalen Burbage for 14 yds to the TAR 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 37 yds, downed at the TAR 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 11 yds to the TAR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 1 yd to the TAR 20

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Derrel Kelley III for 6 yds to the TAR 26

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKU 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Joshua Carter run for no gain to the EKU 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.01

Parker McKinney pass complete to Dequan Stanley for 21 yds to the EKU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joshua Carter run for 5 yds to the TAR 48

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.99

Joshua Carter run for 48 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Kayvon Britten run for 10 yds to the TAR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Dawson Hearne for 4 yds to the TAR 44

3rd & 6Penalty+36 yds

Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (36 Yards) to the EKU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the EKU 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the EKU 29

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Parker McKinney run for 8 yds to the EKU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the EKU 42

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.93

Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the EKU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.19

Parker McKinney run for 22 yds to the TAR 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the TAR 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Parker McKinney pass complete to Mo Edwards Jr. for 8 yds to the TAR 22

4th & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Braedon Sloan run for 8 yds to the TAR 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Parker McKinney pass complete to Mo Edwards Jr. for 11 yds to the TAR 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the TAR 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

0th & 0Penalty0 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, Offsides (Yards) to the TAR 2

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Derrel Kelley III run for 3 yds to the TAR 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Derrel Kelley III for 8 yds to the TAR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.60

Derrel Kelley III run for a loss of 4 yards to the TAR 32

2nd & 14Rush+36 ydsPPA +3.88

Derrel Kelley III run for 36 yds to the EKU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Caleb Lewis run for 5 yds to the EKU 27

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.79

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 27 yds for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Joshua Carter run for no gain to the EKU 21

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.16

Parker McKinney sacked by Caimyn Layne for a loss of 3 yards to the EKU 18

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.37

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 39 yds to the EKU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Caleb Lewis run for 7 yds to the EKU 17

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Caleb Lewis run for 1 yd to the EKU 16

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Caleb Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKU 15 Caleb Lewis fumbled, recovered by TAR Caleb Lewis

4th & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -3.87

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the EKU 9

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.64

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jalen Burbage for 23 yds to the EKU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the EKU 36

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Parker McKinney run for 8 yds to the EKU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MCKINNEY, Parker pass up the middle incomplete intended for BURBAGE, Jalen broken up by CARR, Jalen at the TSU42. PENALTY TSU Pass Interference on CARR, Jalen enforced 15 yards to the TSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the TAR 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Parker McKinney pass complete to Mo Edwards Jr. for 8 yds to the TAR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+30 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Carr) to the TAR 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 2 yards to the TAR 23

2nd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Kayvon Britten run for 14 yds to the TAR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Kayvon Britten run for 10 yds to the TAR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

GABALIS, Victor pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WEST, Trevon thrown to the EKU35. PENALTY TSU Holding on OTTO, Dawson declined TSU Holding on RIOS, Robert enforced 10 yards from the TSU47 to the TSU37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the TAR 39

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 7 yds to the EKU 32

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Braedon Sloan run for 8 yds to the EKU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the EKU 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.44

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jalen Burbage for 8 yds to the TAR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Braedon Sloan run for 8 yds to the TAR 41

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.18

Parker McKinney pass complete to Hunter Brown for 13 yds to the TAR 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Braedon Sloan run for 15 yds to the TAR 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Braedon Sloan run for a loss of 2 yards to the TAR 15

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.97

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 15 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Patrick Nations kickoff for 58 yds , return for no gain to the TAR 13

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.40

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Fred Brown II for no gain to the TAR 13

2nd & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.63

Kayvon Britten run for 30 yds to the TAR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.54

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 11 yds to the EKU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 3 yards to the EKU 46

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, False Start (Tucker Swoboda) to the TAR 49

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKU 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Joshua Carter run for 7 yds to the EKU 23

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Eastern Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Zach Russell) to the EKU 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.02

Parker McKinney pass complete to Joshua Carter for 10 yds to the EKU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Joshua Carter run for 1 yd to the EKU 29

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Parker McKinney run for 11 yds to the EKU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Parker McKinney sacked by Brandon Tolvert for a loss of 3 yards to the EKU 37

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the TAR 26

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKU 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 6 yds to the EKU 32

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.52

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the EKU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Eastern Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EKU 31

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jalen Burbage for 9 yds to the EKU 40

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MCKINNEY, Parker pass short to the left complete for 15 yards to SLOAN, Braedon caught at the EKU43 and advanced to the TSU45 (CARR, Jalen). PENALTY EKU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on STONE, John enforced 5 yards from the EKU40 to the EKU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.43

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 14 yds to the EKU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Parker McKinney pass complete to Hunter Brown for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the TAR 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for a loss of 2 yards to the TAR 47

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Eastern Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EKU 48

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jalen Carr at the TAR 12

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Kayvon Britten run for 10 yds to the TAR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.42

Kayvon Britten run for 17 yds to the TAR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the TAR 31

2nd & 18Rush+59 ydsPPA +4.47

Kayvon Britten run for 59 yds to the EKU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Derrel Kelley III run for 7 yds to the EKU 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Derrel Kelley III run for 3 yds for a TD (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 11 yds to the EKU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 4 yds to the EKU 38

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Joshua Carter run for 2 yds to the EKU 40

3rd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.40

Parker McKinney run for 12 yds to the TAR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 9 yds to the TAR 39

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.22

Joshua Carter run for 7 yds to the TAR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Patrick Nations 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Derrel Kelley III run for 3 yds to the TAR 35

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Derrel Kelley III run for 6 yds to the TAR 41

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.88

Derrel Kelley III run for 11 yds to the EKU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 6 yds to the EKU 42

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Derrel Kelley III run for 1 yd to the EKU 41

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.46

Derrel Kelley III run for 14 yds to the EKU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the EKU 22

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the EKU 18

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, False Start (Tuli Teuhema) to the EKU 23

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Delay Of Game (O'Brien Jackson) to the EKU 18

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.71

Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the EKU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the EKU 9

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the EKU 7

3rd & 3Field Goal Missed+24 yds

Adrian Guzman 24 yd FG MISSED

0th & 3End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.82

Braedon Sloan run for 20 yds to the TAR 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Braedon Sloan 5 Yd Run (Patrick Nations Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the EKU 20

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

GABALIS, Victor pass deep to the right incomplete intended for COOPER, Darius thrown to the EKU0. PENALTY TSU Holding on SMITH, Hunter enforced 10 yards from the EKU20 to the EKU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 15Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +5.69

Darius Cooper 30 Yd pass from Victor Gabalis (Adrian Guzman Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Derrel Kelley III run for no gain to the EKU 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.24

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Parker McKinney run for 12 yds to the TAR 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the TAR 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the TAR 1

Situational Analysis

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
55%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Eastern Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
47%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
36%
14 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play