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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7

House Prediction

Model Margin

Even matchup

Home Win Probability

Houston Christian 49%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Houston Christian +2

Edge: Houston Christian +2 (2.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Prairie View A&M
00000
Houston Christian
10143330

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142810-024-027-0
Houston ChristianPrairie View A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PVAHCPVAHCPVAHCPVAHCHCPVAHCPVAHCHCPVAHCPVAHCPVAHCPVAHCUncategorized512ydFG843ydPUNT36ydTD385ydPUNT39ydUncategorized41ydPUNT523ydPUNT514ydTD536ydPUNT46ydTD774ydDOWNS520ydTO935ydTO927ydPUNT4-1ydFG1374ydTO535ydFG844ydPUNT32ydUncategorized1330ydPUNT611ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Prairie View A&M and Houston Christian
StatisticPrairie View A&MHouston Christian
Passing12-1924-34
Pass Yards90199
Rush Yards20246
Total Yards110445
Turnovers22
3rd Down1-105-16
Penalties10-1006-45
Possession21:3338:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Prairie View A&M
passing
Trazon Connley
12/19, 90 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jamarious Brooks
3 CAR, 14 YDS
receiving
Chris Herron
4 REC, 34 YDS
Houston Christian
passing
Colby Suits
19/28, 166 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
RJ Smith
14 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ismael Fuller
1 REC, 49 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Trazon Connley pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 7 yds to the PV 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Caleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the PV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to David Murray

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Trazon Connley run for 1 yd to the PV 37

4th & 12Punt+29 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 40 yds , Karl Reynolds returns for 29 yds to the PV 45

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Trazon Connley sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the PV 34

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.87

Colby Suits run for 26 yds to the PV 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Darryle Evans run for 4 yds to the PV 15

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Colby Suits pass complete to Calvin Wiggins for 2 yds to the PV 13

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.41

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 4 yds to the PV 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32
2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 1 yd to the PV 8

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Colby Suits pass complete to Adrian Green for 6 yds to the PV 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 yds

Dillon Fedor 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70
2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Caleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the PV 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Trazon Connley pass complete to Brian Jenkins Jr. for 7 yds to the PV 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.53

Jesse Valenzuela run for 32 yds to the HCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 4 yds to the PV 49

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +4.25

Colby Suits pass complete to Ismael Fuller for 49 yds for a TD (Dillon Fedor KICK)

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Trazon Connley sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the PV 16

2nd & 19Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Trazon Connley pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 3 yds to the PV 19

3rd & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.51

Trazon Connley pass complete to Shemar Savage for 15 yds to the PV 34

4th & 1Punt+30 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 45 yds for a 1ST down Prairie View A&M Penalty, personal foul (Myles McHaney IV) to the HCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

RJ Smith run for 1 yd to the HCU 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.73

Colby Suits pass complete to AJ Wilson for a loss of 6 yards to the HCU 46

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Colby Suits run for 11 yds to the HCU 47 for a 1ST down

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

RJ Smith run for 4 yds to the PV 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Wisham run for 5 yds to the PV 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.43

Trazon Connley pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 13 yds to the PV 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.91

Trazon Connley sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the PV 35

2nd & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Trazon Connley pass complete to Connor Wisham for 1 yd to the PV 36

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Trazon Connley pass complete to Chris Herron for 9 yds to the PV 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Jesse Valenzuela run for 9 yds to the HCU 31

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jesse Valenzuela run for 2 yds to the HCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jesse Valenzuela run for 3 yds to the HCU 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Adrian Green, broken up by Travis Pearson II

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 25 yds , Brian Jenkins Jr. returns for no gain to the PV 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.38

AJ Wilson pass complete to Colby Suits for a 1ST down Prairie View A&M Penalty, roughing passer (Tre'Vion Green) to the PV 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Darryle Evans run for 2 yds to the PV 19

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Darryle Evans run for 5 yds to the PV 14

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Darryle Evans run for a loss of 6 yards to the PV 20 for a 1ST down Prairie View A&M Penalty, personal foul (Myles McHaney IV) to the PV 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Prairie View A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tre'Vion Green) to the PV 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jesse Valenzuela run for 5 yds for a TD (Dillon Fedor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Caleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the PV 31

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Houston Christian Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the PV 36

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Trazon Connley pass incomplete to Jahquan Bloomfield, broken up by Isaiah Cash

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

pass incomplete to D'Agostino Saintal

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds for a 1ST down Prairie View A&M Penalty, illegal use of hands (Carlos Villagomez) to the HCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.60

RJ Smith run for 18 yds to the PV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 5 yds to the PV 41

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

RJ Smith run for 7 yds to the PV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

RJ Smith run for 1 yd to the PV 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.79

Colby Suits pass complete to Alvin Edney for 11 yds to the PV 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

RJ Smith run for 22 yds for a TD (Dillon Fedor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Connor Wisham run for 11 yds to the PV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Connor Wisham run for 1 yd to the PV 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Trazon Connley pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 8 yds to the PV 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07
4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82
1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.03

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.60

Colby Suits pass complete to AJ Wilson for 11 yds to the PV 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 2 yds to the PV 33

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Darryle Evans run for 2 yds to the PV 31

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Colby Suits run for 11 yds to the PV 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.88

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan Houston Christian Penalty, illegal shift (Adrian Green) to the PV 25

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 14 yds to the PV 11

3rd & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -4.43

Colby Suits pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Jesse Valenzuela run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.23

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 12 yds to the HCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 9 yds to the PV 45

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jesse Valenzuela run for 3 yds to the PV 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jesse Valenzuela run for 3 yds to the PV 39

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99
3rd & 7Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds Prairie View A&M Penalty, off-side (Darren Vasquez) to the PV 34

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.91

Colby Suits run for a loss of 4 yards to the PV 38

4th & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -1.58

Colby Suits pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 3 yds Colby Suits fumbled, recovered by PV Cameron Franklin

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Caleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the PV 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.46

Trazon Connley pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller Prairie View A&M Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the PV 38

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Caleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the PV 41

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

pass incomplete to Caleb Johnson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

RJ Smith run for 4 yds to the HCU 26

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.32

RJ Smith run for 11 yds to the HCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

RJ Smith run for 4 yds to the HCU 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 3 yds to the HCU 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.38

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins, broken up by Malachi Harrison Prairie View A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jeremiah Harris) to the PV 41

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Jesse Valenzuela run for a loss of 2 yards to the PV 43

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Deuce McMillan

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Colby Suits pass complete to Calvin Wiggins for 10 yds to the PV 33

4th & 2Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.95

Jesse Valenzuela run for 30 yds to the PV 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75
2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jesse Valenzuela run for a loss of 1 yard to the PV 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Aaron Sotelo, broken up by DeJuan Lewis

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Dillon Fedor 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Trazon Connley run for 6 yds to the PV 31

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Rodney Dansby) to the PV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Trazon Connley pass complete to Chris Herron for 9 yds to the HCU 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.16

Trazon Connley pass complete to Chris Herron for 6 yds to the HCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Caleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 40

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -2.84

Trazon Connley pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.35

Colby Suits pass complete to AJ Wilson for 26 yds to the PV 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Colby Suits pass incomplete to AJ Wilson, broken up by Freddie Byrd III

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jesse Valenzuela run for 4 yds to the PV 23

3rd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.88

Colby Suits run for 14 yds to the PV 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27
3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Alvin Edney, broken up by Cameron Franklin

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Dillon Fedor kickoff for 48 yds , Nevon Cooper return for 11 yds to the PV 28

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.23

Connor Wisham run for a loss of 5 yards to the PV 23

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Trazon Connley pass complete to Coby Cavil for 2 yds to the PV 25

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Trazon Connley pass complete to Chris Herron for 10 yds to the PV 35

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Prairie View A&M Penalty, false start (Adrian Lacy) to the PV 30

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 59 yds , Karl Reynolds returns for no gain to the HCU 11

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.55

RJ Smith run for 12 yds to the HCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

RJ Smith run for 1 yd to the HCU 24

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.09

RJ Smith run for 17 yds to the HCU 41 for a 1ST down

2nd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.24

Justin Fomby pass complete to Dawson Adams-Grenier for 8 yds to the PV 49 Houston Christian Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the HCU 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justin Fomby pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for 5 yds to the HCU 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.83

Justin Fomby pass complete to Dawson Adams-Grenier for 21 yds to the PV 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

RJ Smith run for 4 yds to the PV 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Justin Fomby pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for a loss of 1 yard to the PV 30

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

pass incomplete to Ismael Fuller Prairie View A&M Penalty, Defensive holding (Tre'Vion Green) to the PV 30

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Prairie View A&M Penalty, personal foul (Myles McHaney IV) to the PV 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32
2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.82

Darryle Evans run for a loss of 4 yards to the PV 19

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PV 24

3rd & 19Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.30

Justin Fomby sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the PV 33

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jamarious Brooks run for 6 yds to the PV 9

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jamarious Brooks run for 2 yds to the PV 11

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Jamarious Brooks run for 6 yds to the PV 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

pass incomplete to Khristopher Simmons

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

pass incomplete to Khristopher Simmons

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.13

Trazon Connley sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the PV 14

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Colby Suits run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 35

Situational Analysis

Prairie View A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
16 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Houston Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
36%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
36%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play