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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8

House Prediction

Model Margin

Jackson State by 16.2

Home Win Probability

Mississippi Valley State 18%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Mississippi Valley State +19.5

Edge: Mississippi Valley State +19.5 (3.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Jackson State
770721
Mississippi Valley State
00066

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-140-21
Mississippi Valley StateJackson State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20JSMVSJSMVSJSJSMVSJSMVSMVSJSJSMVSMVSMVSMVSMVSJSJSJSMVSJSJSMVSJSMVSJSMVSJSPUNT928ydPUNT520ydTD758ydDOWNS1037ydTO10ydPUNT31ydPUNT33ydTD757ydPUNT612ydDOWNS918ydEND10ydTO10ydTO412ydPUNT35ydTO60ydTO327ydTD614ydPUNT435ydPUNT33ydPUNT34ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-8ydTD758ydPUNT35ydMISS925ydPUNT35ydTO735ydTD297ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Jackson State and Mississippi Valley State
StatisticJackson StateMississippi Valley State
Passing20-3619-30
Pass Yards141165
Rush Yards177126
Total Yards318291
Turnovers33
3rd Down6-134-16
Penalties3-158-89
Possession24:4835:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Jackson State
passing
JaCobian Morgan
20/36, 141 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
JaCobian Morgan
10 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Fabian Mccray
4 REC, 49 YDS
Mississippi Valley State
passing
Ty'Jarian Williams
16/27, 155 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
DePhabian Fant
4 CAR, 99 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaxson Davis
5 REC, 50 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

pass incomplete to Duke Miller

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Khalil Arrington run for 7 yds to the JKST 33

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Khalil Arrington run for 6 yds to the JKST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Fabian McCray

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Desmond Moultrie run for 1 yd to the JKST 40

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.80

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Duke Miller for 11 yds to the MVSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to DJ Stevens for 5 yds to the MVSU 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Desmond Moultrie for 3 yds to the MVSU 41

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Jackson State Penalty, false start (Fabian McCray) to the MVSU 46

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

pass incomplete to Kobe Paul

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Avery Salerno punt for 34 yds , Cobie Bates returns for 1 yd to the MVSU 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Cobie Bates for 8 yds to the MVSU 21

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Malik Myers run for 10 yds to the MVSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the MVSU 28

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 11 yds to the MVSU 39

3rd & 2Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.26

Malik Myers run for a loss of 6 yards to the MVSU 33

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Desmond Moultrie run for 6 yds to the JKST 48

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Desmond Moultrie run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.54

Khalil Arrington run for 7 yds to the MVSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Khalil Arrington run for 12 yds to the MVSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+17 ydsPPA +0.29

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to DJ Stevens for 17 yds Jacobian Morgan fumbled, recovered by JKST Evan Henry for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Fabian McCray for 3 yds to the MVSU 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jared Wilson run for 5 yds to the MVSU 16

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Malik Myers for 3 yds to the MVSU 19

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 10 yds to the MVSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jared Wilson for 5 yds to the MVSU 34

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 2 yds to the MVSU 36

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.38

Jakobe Thomas run for 3 yds to the MVSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kobe Chambers

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jared Wilson run for 5 yds to the MVSU 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 4 yds to the MVSU 48

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97
1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+33 ydsPPA -3.31

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Fabian McCray for 33 yds Jacobian Morgan fumbled, recovered by MVSU Omar Emmons

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

pass incomplete to Fabian McCray

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Desmond Moultrie run for 1 yd to the JKST 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

pass incomplete to Kobe Paul

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Noll punt for 43 yds , Cobie Bates returns for no gain to the MVSU 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jared Wilson run for 6 yds to the MVSU 21

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the MVSU 23

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MVSU 18

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

pass incomplete to Cobie Bates

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 40 yds , Duke Miller returns for 1 yd to the JKST 43

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Jacobian Morgan run for 8 yds to the MVSU 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Kobe Paul for 8 yds to the MVSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Jackson State Penalty, false start (Allen Walker) to the MVSU 46

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Joanes Fortilien run for 11 yds to the MVSU 35

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.35

for a 1ST down Mississippi Valley State Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the MVSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Duke Miller for 3 yds to the MVSU 17

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ahmad Miller run for 3 yds to the MVSU 14

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Jacobian Morgan 14 Yd Run (Dylan Wasson Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 7 yds to the MVSU 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

DePhabian Fant run for 2 yds to the MVSU 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.92

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 12 yds to the MVSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.91

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the MVSU 33

2nd & 23Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kobe Chambers for 4 yds to the MVSU 37

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

pass incomplete to Kobe Chambers

4th & 19Punt+1 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 35 yds , Duke Miller returns for 1 yd to the JKST 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.09

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Malik Myers for 23 yds to the JKST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.81

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 1 yd to the MVSU 48 Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the MVSU 42

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Malik Myers

3rd & 19Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 13 yds to the JKST 45

4th & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.16

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 13 yds to the JKST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the JKST 47

1st & 25Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the JKST 49

2nd & 27Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.74

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the MVSU 41

3rd & 27Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Jared Wilson run for 12 yds to the JKST 47

4th & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.48

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MVSU 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jacobian Morgan pass incomplete to Fabian McCray, broken up by Omar Emmons

1st & 10Uncategorized0 yds

fumbled, recovered by MVSU Detrick Jones

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70
2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 9 yds to the MVSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the MVSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.95

Ty'Jarian Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Cobie Bates for 8 yds to the MVSU 36

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Jakobe Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 35

3rd & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 33

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 67 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kobe Chambers for 9 yds to the JKST 46

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.20

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 5 yds to the JKST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.95

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the MVSU 49

1st & 20Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.46

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the MVSU 45

2nd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

pass incomplete to DePhabian Fant

3rd & 24Interception0 ydsPPA +0.09

Ty'Jarian Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.28

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 26 yds to the JKST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jared Wilson run for 1 yd to the JKST 43

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -2.84

Ty'Jarian Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the JKST 17

2nd & 13Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.24

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the JKST 27

2nd & 23Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.52

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the JKST 37

2nd & 33Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.60

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 13 yds to the JKST 24

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Jaxson Davis, broken up by Jaheem Hazel

4th & 20Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Alexander Davis 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Jacobian Morgan run for 32 yds to the MVSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Joanes Fortilien

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Duke Miller for 3 yds to the MVSU 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Avery Salerno punt for 16 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Desmond Moultrie run for 3 yds to the MVSU 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jacobian Morgan pass incomplete, broken up by Detrick Jones

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jacobian Morgan fumbled, recovered by JKST Jacobian Morgan

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Avery Salerno punt for 17 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jacobian Morgan run for 1 yd to the JKST 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Seven McGee for 3 yds to the JKST 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jacobian Morgan pass incomplete to Kobe Paul, broken up by Christian Fagan

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Dylan Wasson punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Jaxson Davis, broken up by Jalin Hughes

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Malik Antwine

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

pass incomplete to Cobie Bates

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for a loss of 5 yards to the JKST 10

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

pass incomplete to Isaiah Spencer

3rd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.04

Jacobian Morgan run for a loss of 3 yards to the JKST 7

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Dylan Wasson punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Fabian McCray for 7 yds to the JKST 49

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.19

Ahmad Miller run for 3 yds to the MVSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Duke Miller for 1 yd to the MVSU 47

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.59

Jacobian Morgan run for 13 yds to the MVSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Fabian McCray for 6 yds to the MVSU 28

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion+14 ydsPPA +0.16

pass incomplete to DJ Stevens Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Brandon Williams) to the MVSU 14

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Joanes Fortilien for 14 yds for a TD (Dylan Wasson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaydyn Sisk run for 4 yds to the MVSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 5 yds to the MVSU 34

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.01

Jared Wilson run for a loss of 4 yards to the MVSU 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 20 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jacobian Morgan run for 3 yds to the MVSU 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.09

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Seven McGee for 8 yds to the MVSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Seven McGee for 2 yds to the MVSU 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jacobian Morgan pass incomplete to Joanes Fortilien, broken up by Christian Fagan

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.80

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Joanes Fortilien for 11 yds to the MVSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

pass incomplete to Joanes Fortilien

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Desmond Moultrie for 6 yds to the MVSU 20

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Jackson State Penalty, false start (Joanes Fortilien) to the MVSU 25

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Dylan Wasson 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Jaxson Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the MVSU 20

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15
3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.19

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Kobe Chambers for 10 yds to the MVSU 30

4th & 5Punt+20 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 35 yds , Duke Miller returns for 20 yds to the MVSU 45

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Ahmad Miller run for 7 yds to the MVSU 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 2 yds to the MVSU 36

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ahmad Miller run for 7 yds to the MVSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.81

Ahmad Miller run for 19 yds to the MVSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29
2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -4.20

Jacobian Morgan run for 7 yds to the MVSU 3 Jacobian Morgan fumbled, recovered by MVSU Anthony Blakely

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +2.95

DePhabian Fant run for 45 yds to the MVSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.01

DePhabian Fant run for 52 yds for a TD (Alexander Davis PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Alexander Davis kickoff for 47 yds , Julian Smith return for 4 yds to the JKST 22

Situational Analysis

Jackson State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
38%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Mississippi Valley State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
23 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play